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2021-12-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0039
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.4%
in alpha space · 7.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6787+0.03%28.61+7.27%0.0283✓1.2875.1M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8822+0.01%2.914+1.11%0.0174✗0.8853k2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15430.0658-0.02%445.07+3.47%0.0016✗1.019.8M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0573-0.03%2.133+3.64%0.0006✓1.133.1M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.9766-0.04%123.03+1.66%0.0144✓0.963.7M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.196803-0.04%0.20032+1.75%0.0338✓1.598,4562022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1336-0.04%16.08+6.21%0.0237✗1.144.3M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.389-0.04%2.53+5.86%0.0233✗1.054.1M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.0854-0.04%150.83+3.20%0.0120✓1.3646.1M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.08763-0.05%0.093+6.08%0.0125✗1.453.9M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.6191-0.06%1.6281+0.50%0.0211✓0.824.6M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198276-0.06%0.2061+3.88%0.0096✗0.90622k2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4764-0.07%5.98+9.12%0.0508✗1.154.3M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.037-0.07%34.87+2.38%0.0097✓1.054.7M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413615-0.07%0.4264+3.02%0.0150✓1.40722k2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88169.7562-0.07%179.21+5.49%0.0200✗1.05236.5M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3989-0.08%3.58+5.25%0.0175✗1.06798k2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.175061-0.08%0.1885+7.59%0.0364✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075415-0.08%0.076625+1.52%0.0149✓0.95607k2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,171.97-0.08%47,733.43+3.29%0.0009✗1.00750.8M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.4924-0.09%20.75+6.36%0.0191✗1.3469.7M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2193.1251-0.09%94.1+0.95%0.0212✓0.977.0M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7271-0.10%8.9613+2.58%0.0200✓1.43280k2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.283009-0.10%0.2952+4.20%0.0002✓1.315.5M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108075-0.11%0.00011077+2.38%0.0076✓1.008.0M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0523-0.11%7.24+2.55%0.0056✗0.641.1M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2025-0.11%35.88+4.79%0.0144✗1.0323.7M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6013-0.11%4.7558+3.24%0.0089✓1.305.0M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3353-0.12%4.7494+9.42%0.0484✗1.324.9M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7896-0.12%8.94+1.59%0.0027✓0.61999k2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.3899-0.12%25.61+4.87%0.0025✗1.4324.2M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2574-0.12%1.276+1.35%0.0161✓0.952.7M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5401-0.12%1.651+7.07%0.0281✗1.283.6M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,671.12-0.13%3,765.72+2.45%0.0085✓1.05716.9M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0166-0.13%5.211+3.74%0.0188✗0.59773k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.194251-0.13%0.2245+15.42%0.1276✗0.53410k2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.4917-0.13%63.94+5.56%0.0066✗1.511.0M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0894-0.13%8.39+3.58%0.0045✓1.26391k2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.801559-0.13%0.875736+9.11%0.0525✗1.112.8M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8785-0.13%6.1094+3.79%0.0005✓1.20649k2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.3167-0.13%210.69+5.57%0.0182✗1.15210k2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096972-0.13%0.1001+3.09%0.0129✓1.381.8M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.9571-0.13%17.47+2.89%0.0123✓1.3015.5M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.169991-0.14%0.173118+1.70%0.0178✓1.115.5M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0027-0.14%5.18+3.39%0.0044✓1.212.4M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22275.8059-0.15%289.04+4.64%0.0108✗1.111.4M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9255-0.15%3.1+5.80%0.0155✗1.313.2M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0467-0.15%15.4+2.19%0.0010✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.706657-0.16%0.7302+3.16%0.0085✓1.276.1M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.354124-0.16%0.3879+9.36%0.0432✗1.484.3M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.858-0.17%9.193+3.61%0.0177✗0.60338k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.1843-0.17%40.2+5.10%0.0174✗1.0520.7M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.640985-0.17%0.6647+3.52%0.0058✓1.3011.8M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.631-0.18%1.748+6.98%0.0256✗1.357.6M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5429-0.19%6.7635+3.17%0.0060✗0.844.0M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.01576-0.19%0.01654+4.75%0.0062✗1.302.3M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.201907-0.19%0.2128+5.19%0.0126✗1.235.4M2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021779-0.20%0.022463+2.94%0.0084✓1.212.4M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22178.8637-0.20%179.87+0.36%0.0258✓0.979.4M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122454-0.20%0.126+2.69%0.0073✓1.11153k2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1401-0.20%3.2078+1.95%0.0178✓1.213.3M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.841274-0.20%0.875+3.80%0.0087✓1.488.5M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.3342-0.21%32.46+3.38%0.0136✗0.67503k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0888-0.21%10.37+2.57%0.0032✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2256-0.21%1.2912+5.13%0.0069✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3307-0.22%4.37+0.69%0.0234✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2031-0.22%3.35+4.36%0.0124✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033752-0.22%0.033863+0.11%0.0305✓1.048.5M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.9882-0.22%35.27+6.68%0.0172✗1.531.3M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112465-0.22%0.11476+1.82%0.0160✓1.1229k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.265894-0.22%0.276802+3.87%0.0071✗1.0227.7M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3283-0.22%22.386+4.72%0.0049✓1.6516.6M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.355-0.23%24.52+0.45%0.0272✓1.051.5M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2767-0.23%1.3805+7.89%0.0431✗1.08987k2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.441-0.23%189.4715+4.19%0.0057✗1.16622k2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.4765-0.23%138.03+3.18%0.0078✓1.282.1M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.36467-0.23%0.3775+3.28%0.0069✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0086-0.23%4.221+5.05%0.0306✗0.65502k2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3051-0.23%1.3797+5.47%0.0205✗1.08106.2M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3913-0.24%2.3965-0.02%0.0348✓1.14128k2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.016989-0.24%0.01775+4.23%0.0052✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063374-0.24%0.064208+1.07%0.0327✓1.417.9M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.61044-0.25%0.633+3.43%0.0049✓1.272.5M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.8194-0.26%40.17+3.21%0.0248✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6158-0.26%1.7+4.94%0.0050✓1.721.1M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7515-0.26%3.7989+1.00%0.0164✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7488-0.26%11.76-0.17%0.0066✗-0.173.4M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3876-0.27%8.65+2.85%0.0061✗0.761.1M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100621-0.28%0.10295+2.03%0.0020✓0.6564k2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048144-0.28%0.04964+2.82%0.0010✓0.918.6M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4861-0.28%3.609+3.23%0.0173✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4853-0.29%1.5238+2.30%0.0197✓1.405.8M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.12793-0.29%0.1339+4.36%0.0109✗1.07324k2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.0836-0.29%9.33+2.41%0.0096✓1.124.1M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92253.1579-0.30%266.48+4.95%0.0146✗1.1311.5M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015132-0.31%0.01554+2.37%0.0046✓0.96868k2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5615-0.32%1.5787+0.77%0.0204✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033312-0.32%0.00003416+2.21%0.0158✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1261-0.34%1.17+3.54%0.0058✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0836-0.35%2.08-0.52%0.0640✓1.921.5M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7368-0.35%1.835+5.29%0.0294✗0.79889k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46145.9445-0.35%150.36+2.66%0.0144✓1.3611.8M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8114-0.36%11+1.38%0.0103✓0.851.2M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.683939-0.36%0.715+4.17%0.0014✓1.333.1M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5266-0.38%3.73+5.37%0.0215✗1.07723k2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019007-0.38%0.0202+5.87%0.0405✗0.6342k2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2549-0.39%3.3501+2.52%0.0019✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3604-0.39%1.411+3.31%0.0060✗0.9423.6M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1991-0.40%1.2582+4.51%0.0097✓1.781.4M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8901-0.41%4.83-1.63%0.0448✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5635-0.41%2.681+4.16%0.0116✗1.032.1M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7225-0.42%4.5517-4.02%0.0605✓0.7322k2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.08477-0.42%0.08625+1.32%0.0228✓1.2421.7M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4887-0.43%5.069+12.44%0.0987✗0.711.0M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.326488-0.43%0.3671+11.95%0.0866✗0.94293k2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.08194-0.44%0.0839+1.94%0.0115✓1.0820k2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2013-0.44%4.36+3.32%0.0047✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.5105-0.45%41.07+3.48%0.0155✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.904628-0.46%0.9793+7.76%0.0469✗1.00146k2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,846.41-0.46%47,429.60+2.97%0.0023✓0.989,2042022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93227.8356-0.48%250.04+9.22%0.0615✗0.973.0M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.423888-0.50%0.43+0.94%0.0096✓0.7446k2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.158-0.51%13.2+8.02%0.0639✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6501-0.53%1.7433+5.09%0.0186✗1.1231.7M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.0979-0.54%91.66+7.13%0.0419✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4108.7511-0.59%114.26+4.44%0.0135✗1.11127.7M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.07583-0.62%0.0797+4.46%0.0048✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.2865-0.63%6.21+16.73%0.1183✗1.3228.7M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052961-0.65%0.05488+2.95%0.0003✓1.1115k2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6485-0.67%13.69+7.51%0.0825✗-0.10111k2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5186-0.69%4.49-1.32%0.0499✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.1832-0.76%36.33+12.03%0.0924✗0.8942.6M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3465-0.78%9.14-2.97%0.0658✓1.3417.1M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.599-0.80%13.58+6.93%0.0764✗-0.044.2M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,775.44-0.80%36,545.69+10.62%0.0905✗0.5713.3M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.02325-0.90%0.02333-0.55%0.0290✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.924103-1.23%1.0026+7.16%0.0266✗1.7030.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.