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2021-12-29 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2700
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.11437.3136+1.67%296.79-31.00%0.1762✗1.0210.5M2022-01-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.0115.2019+1.28%8.42-43.90%0.3537✗1.144.7M2022-01-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.445.4833+0.80%4.57-15.99%0.0568✓1.154.6M2022-01-28
XYMSymbolnative0.19550.1969+0.72%0.177-9.46%0.0075✓0.55393k2022-01-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.8126.9373+0.47%18.34-31.59%0.1180✗1.2877.1M2022-01-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087840.088015+0.20%0.05152-41.35%0.2324✗1.464.0M2022-01-28
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1317.1307+0.00%10.67-37.71%0.2052✗1.2916.1M2022-01-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.145.1369-0.06%3.923-23.68%0.1449✓0.60846k2022-01-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.257.2418-0.11%5.14-29.10%0.2090✓0.641.1M2022-01-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.62145.1233-0.34%109.49-24.81%0.0012✓1.3651.4M2022-01-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0523.9438-0.44%20.31-15.55%0.1330✗1.4324.1M2022-01-28
AAVEAaveEthereum236.52235.4522-0.45%149.11-36.96%0.2267✓1.1111.4M2022-01-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1154.0917-0.57%3.011-26.83%0.1702✓0.66564k2022-01-28
COMPCompoundEthereum197195.7876-0.62%124.2-36.95%0.2145✓1.16228k2022-01-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.7419.6106-0.66%16.16-18.14%0.0858✗1.3469.7M2022-01-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0152.0013-0.68%1.438-28.64%0.0944✓1.133.3M2022-01-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.412.3928-0.71%1.65-31.54%0.1536✓1.054.4M2022-01-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,010.0047,656.49-0.74%37,761.00-21.35%0.0279✓0.9810k2022-01-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2133.9555-0.74%19.63-42.62%0.3334✓1.0322.7M2022-01-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4050.401797-0.79%0.247-39.01%0.3293✓0.7646k2022-01-28
FTTFTXEthereum38.5438.2044-0.87%40.01+3.81%0.2652✗1.0520.7M2022-01-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.028.9308-0.99%5.81-35.59%0.3020✓0.611.1M2022-01-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.4120.1718-1.01%90.37-25.56%0.0843✓0.963.7M2022-01-28
TRXTRONTron0.0763950.075579-1.07%0.057631-24.56%0.0741✓0.95632k2022-01-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0217260.021477-1.15%0.014181-34.73%0.1627✓1.212.4M2022-01-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1679740.165974-1.19%0.141603-15.70%0.0729✗1.115.5M2022-01-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,471.2445,895.26-1.24%37,741.90-18.78%0.0125✗1.00750.8M2022-01-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7964.7333-1.31%3.294-31.32%0.2154✓0.71842k2022-01-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63290.624557-1.32%0.4141-34.57%0.1400✓1.3012.2M2022-01-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19650.193908-1.32%0.1177-40.10%0.3125✓0.90688k2022-01-28
SOLSolanaSolana170.64168.3425-1.35%91.35-46.47%0.3916✓1.06255.1M2022-01-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1845-1.41%2.4-25.70%0.0747✓1.001.1M2022-01-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108180.10656-1.50%0.08808-18.58%0.0429✗1.1229k2022-01-28
NANOnanopayBase3.48273.4303-1.50%2.3494-32.54%0.1571✓1.06819k2022-01-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1333.6159-1.51%25.23-26.08%0.0690✓1.054.7M2022-01-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.9826-1.57%1.82-39.93%0.2230✓1.303.2M2022-01-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5761.551-1.58%0.899-42.96%0.2756✓1.304.1M2022-01-28
ETHEthereumEthereum3,630.593,569.80-1.67%2,546.84-29.85%0.1199✓1.05766.3M2022-01-28
XTZTezosTezos4.37594.302-1.69%3.0264-30.84%0.0743✓1.335.2M2022-01-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2012-1.78%0.736-39.82%0.2931✓0.953.0M2022-01-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.83414.7463-1.82%3.1165-35.53%0.1488✓1.315.2M2022-01-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.648.4818-1.83%6.04-30.09%0.1816✓0.761.1M2022-01-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6731.0663-1.91%27.6-12.85%0.0206✗0.67534k2022-01-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7596470.744969-1.93%0.544057-28.38%0.0837✓1.113.0M2022-01-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.9323.4449-2.03%14.23-40.53%0.2791✓1.061.5M2022-01-28
DASHDashDash133.27130.2362-2.28%95.64-28.24%0.0410✓1.292.0M2022-01-28
KSMKusamaHydration283.66277.1904-2.28%169-40.42%0.2612✓1.121.5M2022-01-28
QTUMQtumQtum8.78538.5845-2.29%5.7966-34.02%0.0930✓1.44280k2022-01-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06170.060286-2.29%0.038917-36.93%0.1405✓1.438.2M2022-01-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.5215.1636-2.30%12.86-17.14%0.0219✓0.691.4M2022-01-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5891.5525-2.30%1.436-9.63%0.2035✗1.358.3M2022-01-28
GTGateEthereum6.32736.1816-2.30%6.5861+4.09%0.2334✗0.824.0M2022-01-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.232.4315-2.31%20.08-39.52%0.1606✓1.531.3M2022-01-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07240.070721-2.32%0.04731-34.65%0.1438✓1.2421.1M2022-01-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70060.684203-2.34%0.5223-25.45%0.0064✓1.276.4M2022-01-28
QNTQuantEthereum175.55171.3561-2.39%97.25-44.60%0.3640✓0.9710.5M2022-01-28
ADACardanoCardano1.33221.2989-2.50%1.0486-21.29%0.0103✓1.08120.2M2022-01-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.891.4453-2.51%47.09-49.80%0.4610✓0.977.5M2022-01-28
XECeCashnative0.000107630.000104899-2.54%0.00007277-32.39%0.1584✓1.009.9M2022-01-28
XMRMoneroMonero214.5208.9189-2.60%149.15-30.47%0.1350✓0.972.9M2022-01-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6788.4453-2.68%5.923-31.75%0.0885✓1.28411k2022-01-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.18170.176719-2.74%0.0927-48.98%0.4063✓1.153.3M2022-01-28
XEMNEMnative0.12440.120965-2.76%0.0999-19.69%0.0392✗1.11160k2022-01-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015590.015159-2.76%0.01046-32.91%0.1037✓1.282.6M2022-01-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8620.837719-2.82%0.491-43.04%0.2245✓1.498.7M2022-01-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2668030.259263-2.83%0.198646-25.55%0.0528✓1.0330.9M2022-01-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.8622.7798-2.87%2.181-23.79%0.0600✓0.8880k2022-01-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.098310.095442-2.92%0.07192-26.84%0.1490✓0.6483k2022-01-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.39.9969-2.94%9.05-12.14%0.0590✗0.761.4M2022-01-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20680.200551-3.02%0.1183-42.79%0.2709✓1.246.0M2022-01-28
BANDBandEthereum5.084.9202-3.15%3.46-31.89%0.1001✓1.212.5M2022-01-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41070.397756-3.15%0.5555+35.26%0.6264✗1.41898k2022-01-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.3750.363036-3.19%0.3094-17.49%0.1482✗1.484.7M2022-01-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.91485.721-3.28%4.5826-22.52%0.0278✓1.20673k2022-01-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.2870.277539-3.30%0.1798-37.35%0.1612✓1.315.6M2022-01-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.078982-3.33%0.0647-20.81%0.0267✓1.0918k2022-01-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74113.6138-3.40%3.4691-7.27%0.0671✓-0.13405k2022-01-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23263.1213-3.44%2.7962-13.50%0.1444✗1.223.3M2022-01-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9827.0086-3.47%29.5+5.43%0.2735✗0.8941.0M2022-01-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12850.123945-3.54%0.0812-36.81%0.2009✓1.07344k2022-01-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25371.2079-3.65%0.5887-53.04%0.4223✓1.422.3M2022-01-28
KCSKuCoinnative20.66619.9019-3.70%16.846-18.48%0.1781✗1.6617.8M2022-01-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29521.2448-3.89%1.7954+38.62%0.5907✗1.081.0M2022-01-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06510.062565-3.89%0.0353-45.78%0.2974✓1.321.7M2022-01-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053810.051681-3.96%0.04014-25.40%0.0228✓1.1115k2022-01-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36980.355161-3.96%0.2434-34.18%0.1101✓1.294.4M2022-01-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09880.094868-3.98%0.0629-36.34%0.1224✓1.391.9M2022-01-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0833-4.13%0.64-43.36%0.3183✓1.002.4M2022-01-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.343.2012-4.16%2.29-31.44%0.1153✓1.06787k2022-01-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,569.8927,342.39-4.30%23,506.67-17.72%0.0308✓0.589.2M2022-01-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6166-4.34%0.85-49.70%0.2835✓1.731.3M2022-01-28
XVGVergenative0.016910.016174-4.35%0.00986-41.69%0.2458✓1.202.6M2022-01-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.049180.047032-4.37%0.03024-38.51%0.2504✓0.929.8M2022-01-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4859.0703-4.37%6.131-35.36%0.2675✓0.60455k2022-01-28
ZECZcashZcash146.64140.1149-4.45%91.3-37.74%0.1471✓1.3511.8M2022-01-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019390.018516-4.51%0.01255-35.28%0.2584✓0.6344k2022-01-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.844.6126-4.70%2.82-41.74%0.2840✓1.002.5M2022-01-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4821.4114-4.76%0.8173-44.85%0.3491✓0.9523.6M2022-01-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.58281.5072-4.77%0.9591-39.40%0.2235✓1.1031.7M2022-01-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.268.8114-4.84%4.16-55.08%0.4786✓1.3115.8M2022-01-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.53214.3063-4.98%3.0715-32.23%0.1840✓0.7426k2022-01-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.033310.031583-5.19%0.020623-38.09%0.2083✓1.059.0M2022-01-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.38032.2528-5.36%1.6203-31.93%0.0922✓1.14152k2022-01-28
MOVRMoonriverBase185.3722175.3987-5.38%77.0062-58.46%0.5811✓1.16648k2022-01-28
LUNATerraTerra 284.3279.5832-5.62%50.6-39.99%0.2448✓1.006.3M2022-01-28
ZENHorizenBase61.8858.3928-5.64%38.97-37.02%0.0887✓1.521.1M2022-01-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.854.5681-5.81%2.93-39.59%0.1686✓1.3228.7M2022-01-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6442.4878-5.91%1.639-38.01%0.2035✓1.032.1M2022-01-28
RADRadworksEthereum10.9610.3086-5.94%5.11-53.38%0.5223✓0.861.3M2022-01-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5810.8825-6.02%6.49-43.96%0.5562✓-0.194.0M2022-01-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033650.000031605-6.08%0.00002134-36.58%0.1847✓1.002.4M2022-01-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.15081.0795-6.20%0.86446-24.89%0.1501✗1.791.5M2022-01-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.494.2061-6.32%3.75-16.48%0.0933✗1.001.2M2022-01-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6533.4123-6.59%2.647-27.54%0.0459✓1.002.8M2022-01-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.71011.5955-6.70%1.1266-34.12%0.1837✓0.791.0M2022-01-28
LRCLoopringEthereum1.96621.8323-6.81%0.9906-49.62%0.2107✓1.941.5M2022-01-28
UMAUMAEthereum9.38.6647-6.83%6.01-35.38%0.1316✓1.134.1M2022-01-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015160.014124-6.83%0.0101-33.38%0.1349✓0.961.1M2022-01-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.34.006-6.84%2.25-47.67%0.3688✓1.003.9M2022-01-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9610.894637-6.91%0.8915-7.23%0.2046✗1.00149k2022-01-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.5135.819-6.99%17.9-53.52%0.3124✓1.837.0M2022-01-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68240.633741-7.13%0.4527-33.66%0.0598✓1.333.3M2022-01-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6280.582126-7.30%0.328-47.77%0.3092✓1.272.8M2022-01-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.53981.4171-7.97%1.0442-32.19%0.0982✓1.005.2M2022-01-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.1194.7029-8.15%67.06-34.96%0.1086✓1.14136.0M2022-01-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25692.9883-8.25%2.2835-29.89%0.0707✓0.957.6M2022-01-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.5338.8312-8.70%25.85-39.22%0.0538✓1.703.0M2022-01-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.3310.301436-8.93%0.2523-23.78%0.0184✓0.94328k2022-01-28
GITCOINGITCOIN13.51212.2985-8.98%7.091-47.52%0.5697✓-0.09129k2022-01-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021150.019108-9.65%0.00547-74.14%1.0428✓1.0035.6M2022-01-28
HIVEHivenative1.49181.343-9.97%0.931-37.59%0.0749✓1.407.0M2022-01-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.63981.4737-10.13%0.482-70.61%0.9485✓0.815.2M2022-01-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204230.182203-10.79%0.1835-10.15%0.3406✗1.609,9442022-01-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.910.559-11.27%5.91-50.34%0.4614✓0.571.5M2022-01-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5411.9327-11.87%7.1-47.56%0.5266✓-0.044.8M2022-01-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.844.2019-13.18%1.97-59.30%0.5494✓1.0018.1M2022-01-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.98190.840224-14.43%0.6272-36.12%0.0653✓1.7228.8M2022-01-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.