2021-12-28 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0349

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.96%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

40.1%

in alpha space · 34.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.25%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.602	+0.42%	7.25	-4.23%	0.0329	✗	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.07566	+0.37%	0.0724	-3.95%	0.0163	✗	1.22	21.1M	2021-12-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	209.7756	+0.37%	197	-5.74%	0.0375	✗	1.11	236k	2021-12-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.5489	+0.35%	2.41	-5.12%	0.0333	✗	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	16.2267	+0.35%	15.52	-4.02%	0.0292	✗	0.67	1.4M	2021-12-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.4802	+0.33%	6.3273	-2.04%	0.0066	✗	0.76	4.3M	2021-12-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	5.0455	+0.32%	4.8341	-3.88%	0.0130	✗	1.31	5.2M	2021-12-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.17429	+0.31%	0.167974	-3.32%	0.0119	✗	1.10	6.0M	2021-12-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.7755	+0.31%	1.69	-4.52%	0.0108	✗	1.69	1.5M	2021-12-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.1145	+0.31%	2.015	-4.41%	0.0227	✗	1.12	3.3M	2021-12-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	209.237	+0.30%	214.5	+2.82%	0.0456	✓	0.91	2.8M	2021-12-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.128777	+0.29%	0.1244	-3.12%	0.0104	✗	1.06	175k	2021-12-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	3.0387	+0.29%	3.03	+0.00%	0.0266	✓	1.29	3.0M	2021-12-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.200367	+0.28%	0.1965	-1.65%	0.0005	✓	0.88	701k	2021-12-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.7148	+0.28%	1.6398	-4.11%	0.0253	✗	0.85	5.9M	2021-12-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.022039	+0.28%	0.021726	-1.15%	0.0138	✓	1.23	2.4M	2021-12-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.913437	+0.27%	0.862	-5.38%	0.0251	✗	1.44	9.2M	2021-12-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.7754	+0.26%	24.05	-2.67%	0.0023	✓	1.40	22.9M	2021-12-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.077422	+0.26%	0.076395	-1.07%	0.0080	✓	0.93	648k	2021-12-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.667636	+0.26%	0.6329	-4.96%	0.0263	✗	1.19	12.5M	2021-12-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016553	+0.26%	0.01559	-5.57%	0.0313	✗	1.25	2.7M	2021-12-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.084015	+0.26%	0.0817	-2.51%	0.0040	✗	1.05	16k	2021-12-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.114753	+0.26%	0.10818	-5.49%	0.0341	✗	1.09	29k	2021-12-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.8649	+0.26%	5.44	-7.01%	0.0496	✗	1.12	5.1M	2021-12-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2832	+0.25%	1.223	-4.45%	0.0270	✗	0.92	3.1M	2021-12-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	47,659.96	+0.25%	46,471.24	-2.25%	0.0025	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	253.2604	+0.25%	236.52	-6.38%	0.0444	✗	1.05	11.4M	2021-12-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.718246	+0.24%	0.7006	-2.22%	0.0035	✓	1.24	6.6M	2021-12-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.353	+0.24%	5.08	-4.87%	0.0258	✗	1.16	2.5M	2021-12-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.668	+0.24%	1.589	-4.51%	0.0182	✗	1.33	8.3M	2021-12-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.577	+0.24%	15.01	-3.41%	0.0114	✗	1.13	4.8M	2021-12-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	35.0415	+0.23%	34.13	-2.37%	0.0035	✗	1.00	5.1M	2021-12-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	135.0431	+0.22%	133.27	-1.10%	0.0154	✓	1.25	2.0M	2021-12-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	35.0955	+0.22%	33.2	-5.20%	0.0223	✗	1.46	1.3M	2021-12-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	40.0952	+0.21%	38.54	-3.67%	0.0168	✗	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.216255	+0.21%	0.1955	-9.41%	0.0886	✗	0.54	392k	2021-12-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	25.4727	+0.21%	23.93	-5.86%	0.0463	✗	0.71	1.6M	2021-12-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.7542	+0.21%	3.4827	-7.04%	0.0515	✗	1.03	819k	2021-12-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.054382	+0.21%	0.05381	-0.85%	0.0134	✓	1.05	16k	2021-12-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.7197	+0.20%	9.02	-7.01%	0.0612	✗	0.59	1.1M	2021-12-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.104707	+0.20%	0.0988	-5.45%	0.0264	✗	1.39	2.0M	2021-12-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	20.4002	+0.20%	19.74	-3.05%	0.0041	✗	1.26	69.7M	2021-12-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	9.0976	+0.19%	8.64	-4.85%	0.0352	✗	0.72	1.1M	2021-12-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.423786	+0.19%	0.405	-4.26%	0.0285	✗	0.74	46k	2021-12-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.066019	+0.18%	0.0651	-1.21%	0.0163	✓	1.33	1.9M	2021-12-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	47,464.50	+0.17%	48,010.00	+1.32%	0.0340	✓	0.99	10k	2021-12-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	439.4886	+0.17%	430.11	-1.97%	0.0012	✓	1.00	10.8M	2021-12-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.019963	+0.17%	0.01939	-2.71%	0.0166	✗	0.55	45k	2021-12-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	189.0912	+0.16%	175.55	-7.01%	0.0529	✗	0.94	11.5M	2021-12-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	121.969	+0.16%	121.4	-0.30%	0.0170	✓	0.95	3.7M	2021-12-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.3032	+0.16%	1.2952	-0.45%	0.0181	✓	1.07	1.1M	2021-12-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	177.5482	+0.16%	170.64	-3.74%	0.0180	✗	0.95	257.1M	2021-12-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	295.2499	+0.15%	283.66	-3.78%	0.0152	✗	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.017625	+0.14%	0.01691	-3.92%	0.0143	✗	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	18.4261	+0.14%	17.13	-6.90%	0.0444	✗	1.25	15.5M	2021-12-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.4017	+0.14%	1.3322	-4.83%	0.0271	✗	1.04	120.2M	2021-12-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	145.8661	+0.13%	145.62	-0.03%	0.0290	✓	1.35	53.2M	2021-12-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.059309	+0.13%	0.0617	+4.17%	0.0714	✓	1.40	8.2M	2021-12-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.4686	+0.13%	1.5828	+7.92%	0.0995	✓	1.08	31.7M	2021-12-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.9838	+0.13%	2.862	-3.96%	0.0220	✗	0.86	92k	2021-12-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.00010965	+0.13%	0.00010763	-1.72%	0.0039	✓	0.99	9.9M	2021-12-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,798.47	+0.13%	3,630.59	-4.30%	0.0220	✗	1.02	766.3M	2021-12-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.378572	+0.12%	0.375	-0.82%	0.0228	✓	1.41	4.7M	2021-12-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	33.5517	+0.12%	31.67	-5.49%	0.0434	✗	0.63	572k	2021-12-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	9.103	+0.12%	8.7853	-3.38%	0.0043	✗	1.37	285k	2021-12-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.274386	+0.10%	0.266803	-2.66%	0.0049	✗	1.02	32.3M	2021-12-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.303595	+0.10%	0.287	-5.37%	0.0269	✗	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	149.5929	+0.10%	146.64	-1.88%	0.0091	✓	1.27	11.8M	2021-12-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	10.1376	+0.10%	8.678	-14.32%	0.1279	✗	1.21	411k	2021-12-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.430482	+0.09%	0.4107	-4.51%	0.0150	✗	1.41	1.0M	2021-12-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.3429	+0.09%	3.23	-3.29%	0.0122	✗	0.97	1.2M	2021-12-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	27.8636	+0.08%	26.81	-3.70%	0.0101	✗	1.25	77.1M	2021-12-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.2735	+0.08%	5.9148	-5.64%	0.0331	✗	1.13	724k	2021-12-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	36.279	+0.08%	34.21	-5.63%	0.0356	✗	1.01	22.1M	2021-12-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.4865	+0.08%	2.3803	-4.20%	0.0196	✗	1.05	147k	2021-12-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.799268	+0.07%	0.759647	-4.89%	0.0269	✗	1.05	3.0M	2021-12-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.3683	+0.07%	3.2326	-3.97%	0.0132	✗	1.22	3.3M	2021-12-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.5379	+0.06%	1.576	+2.54%	0.0542	✓	1.30	4.1M	2021-12-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	26.585	+0.06%	27.98	+5.31%	0.0717	✓	0.90	40.2M	2021-12-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	9.5942	+0.04%	9.3	-3.02%	0.0055	✗	1.13	4.1M	2021-12-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.219985	+0.04%	0.2068	-5.96%	0.0347	✗	1.19	6.1M	2021-12-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	63.3437	+0.04%	61.88	-2.27%	0.0091	✓	1.42	1.2M	2021-12-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.5211	+0.03%	3.34	-5.11%	0.0296	✗	1.02	787k	2021-12-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.6967	+0.03%	5.14	-9.75%	0.0900	✗	0.56	798k	2021-12-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.050642	+0.02%	0.04918	-2.86%	0.0089	✗	0.89	10.4M	2021-12-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.7613	+0.01%	10.3	-4.28%	0.0266	✗	0.76	1.4M	2021-12-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	99.7489	+0.01%	93.8	-5.96%	0.0394	✗	0.97	7.6M	2021-12-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.089777	+0.01%	0.08784	-2.15%	0.0115	✓	1.46	4.1M	2021-12-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.135795	-0.00%	0.1285	-5.38%	0.0311	✓	1.06	344k	2021-12-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.033965	-0.01%	0.03331	-1.93%	0.0045	✗	1.05	9.3M	2021-12-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	190.1502	-0.01%	185.3722	-2.53%	0.0024	✓	1.01	674k	2021-12-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.2201	-0.02%	1.1508	-5.69%	0.0189	✓	1.74	1.5M	2021-12-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.103139	-0.02%	0.09831	-4.70%	0.0334	✓	0.64	92k	2021-12-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.8036	-0.02%	4.5321	-5.67%	0.0431	✓	0.66	26k	2021-12-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.599	-0.03%	3.7411	+3.92%	0.0360	✗	-0.12	405k	2021-12-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000034908	-0.03%	0.00003365	-3.64%	0.0139	✓	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.384053	-0.04%	0.3698	-3.75%	0.0086	✓	1.28	4.4M	2021-12-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.4888	-0.05%	4.3759	-2.56%	0.0045	✗	1.31	5.4M	2021-12-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.710265	-0.05%	0.6824	-3.97%	0.0099	✓	1.32	3.4M	2021-12-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.01562	-0.06%	0.01516	-3.01%	0.0082	✓	0.95	1.2M	2021-12-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.192172	-0.07%	0.1817	-5.51%	0.0300	✓	1.14	3.6M	2021-12-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.7907	-0.07%	9.485	-3.19%	0.0174	✓	0.63	455k	2021-12-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.341723	-0.08%	0.331	-3.22%	0.0104	✓	0.94	328k	2021-12-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.2559	-0.08%	1.2537	-0.25%	0.0310	✗	1.43	2.3M	2021-12-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	21.4863	-0.09%	20.666	-3.91%	0.0018	✓	1.63	18.6M	2021-12-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	12.038	-0.10%	11.58	-3.90%	0.0431	✓	-0.19	4.3M	2021-12-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1788	-0.10%	1.13	-4.24%	0.0195	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.8114	-0.11%	1.7101	-5.70%	0.0397	✓	0.78	1.1M	2021-12-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	2.0729	-0.11%	1.9662	-5.25%	0.0093	✓	1.91	1.5M	2021-12-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.639236	-0.12%	0.628	-1.88%	0.0108	✗	1.25	2.9M	2021-12-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	28,656.79	-0.12%	28,569.89	-0.42%	0.0105	✗	0.59	9.0M	2021-12-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.7504	-0.13%	2.644	-3.99%	0.0166	✓	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.4937	-0.14%	4.3	-4.44%	0.0212	✓	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.5571	-0.15%	4.115	-9.84%	0.0875	✓	0.64	502k	2021-12-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	39.6346	-0.16%	38.51	-3.00%	0.0130	✗	1.83	7.2M	2021-12-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.8619	-0.17%	4.84	-0.62%	0.0183	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.7117	-0.18%	4.85	+2.75%	0.0587	✗	1.31	26.8M	2021-12-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	85.018	-0.18%	84.32	-1.00%	0.0146	✗	1.00	7.4M	2021-12-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	38.3765	-0.19%	42.53	+10.61%	0.1420	✗	1.72	3.0M	2021-12-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	3.3331	-0.20%	3.2569	-2.48%	0.0015	✓	0.95	8.0M	2021-12-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.4262	-0.20%	1.482	+3.70%	0.0597	✗	0.94	23.6M	2021-12-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	1.0247	-0.22%	0.961	-6.43%	0.0414	✓	1.00	151k	2021-12-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.882	-0.23%	3.653	-6.12%	0.0380	✓	1.00	3.0M	2021-12-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	9.0367	-0.26%	9.26	+2.21%	0.0542	✗	1.30	15.8M	2021-12-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	11.6288	-0.27%	10.96	-6.00%	0.0397	✓	0.86	1.3M	2021-12-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	11.5383	-0.27%	11.9	+2.85%	0.0440	✗	0.57	1.5M	2021-12-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.5457	-0.31%	4.49	-1.54%	0.0105	✗	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	106.6903	-0.34%	103.11	-3.68%	0.0098	✓	1.07	136.0M	2021-12-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.3279	-0.39%	4.796	-10.34%	0.0898	✓	0.67	734k	2021-12-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.6757	-0.41%	1.5398	-8.49%	0.0623	✓	0.98	5.3M	2021-12-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.207601	-0.43%	0.20423	-2.05%	0.0197	✗	1.58	13k	2021-12-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.6045	-0.44%	1.4918	-7.43%	0.0417	✓	1.36	7.1M	2021-12-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	14.5035	-0.59%	13.512	-7.39%	0.0724	✓	-0.07	129k	2021-12-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	4.3519	-0.64%	4.84	+10.50%	0.1291	✗	1.00	15.2M	2021-12-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.021685	-0.85%	0.02115	-3.29%	0.0022	✓	1.00	39.8M	2021-12-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	14.5139	-0.86%	13.54	-7.51%	0.0697	✓	-0.01	4.8M	2021-12-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.775698	-1.76%	0.9819	+24.35%	0.2757	✗	1.75	28.3M	2021-12-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.