2021-12-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2789

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.10%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.1%

in alpha space · 58.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-21.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.6286	+3.49%	1.59	-37.40%	0.2469	✗	1.04	4.4M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.8241	+3.36%	5.12	-32.36%	0.2675	✗	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	215.9242	+3.31%	121.94	-41.66%	0.2893	✗	1.15	236k	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.131857	+2.69%	0.0984	-23.36%	0.0210	✓	1.11	175k	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.204634	+2.42%	0.1146	-42.64%	0.3589	✗	0.90	701k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	48,528.22	+2.42%	37,269.30	-21.35%	0.0199	✓	0.99	10k	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.1522	+2.10%	1.399	-33.63%	0.1531	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.076901	+2.02%	0.04646	-38.37%	0.2003	✗	1.24	21.1M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.177112	+1.94%	0.141443	-18.59%	0.0482	✓	1.11	6.0M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.9549	+1.79%	4.57	-21.88%	0.0147	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	212.0836	+1.66%	144.6	-30.69%	0.1413	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.022323	+1.57%	0.014097	-35.86%	0.1605	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	5.1078	+1.56%	3.0464	-39.43%	0.1954	✗	1.31	5.2M	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	3.0771	+1.55%	1.76	-41.91%	0.2369	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	256.4795	+1.52%	144.54	-42.79%	0.3045	✗	1.09	11.4M	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.084993	+1.42%	0.0638	-23.87%	0.0198	✗	1.09	16k	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	16.3957	+1.40%	12.75	-21.15%	0.0842	✗	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.078267	+1.36%	0.056453	-26.89%	0.0935	✗	0.95	648k	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016732	+1.34%	0.01041	-36.95%	0.1602	✗	1.28	2.7M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	20.6044	+1.20%	15.23	-25.20%	0.0274	✓	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.428075	+1.20%	0.243	-42.55%	0.3819	✗	0.75	46k	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	443.6776	+1.13%	289.64	-33.98%	0.1766	✗	1.02	10.8M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2935	+1.05%	0.725	-43.36%	0.3480	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.9689	+1.05%	19.61	-20.64%	0.1104	✓	1.43	22.9M	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.218015	+1.03%	0.1614	-25.21%	0.1713	✗	0.53	392k	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.115634	+1.03%	0.08437	-26.29%	0.0417	✗	1.11	29k	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	28.1167	+0.99%	18.13	-34.88%	0.1247	✗	1.28	77.1M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	9.1665	+0.95%	5.9	-35.02%	0.2560	✗	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.672238	+0.95%	0.4054	-39.12%	0.1873	✗	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.7901	+0.93%	5.84	-39.79%	0.3691	✗	0.60	1.1M	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.91941	+0.92%	0.482	-47.09%	0.2814	✗	1.48	9.2M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	122.8937	+0.92%	89.31	-26.66%	0.0810	✗	0.97	3.7M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.6813	+0.91%	8.39	-46.01%	0.3457	✗	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.7796	+0.88%	2.3156	-38.19%	0.2316	✗	1.05	819k	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.7851	+0.85%	0.81	-54.24%	0.3661	✗	1.73	1.5M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	178.7321	+0.82%	89.55	-49.48%	0.4328	✗	1.05	257.1M	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	33.7506	+0.72%	26.76	-20.14%	0.0706	✗	0.66	572k	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	47,860.46	+0.67%	37,188.37	-21.78%	0.0067	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.3748	+0.65%	3.38	-36.70%	0.1676	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	35.2456	+0.64%	18.67	-46.69%	0.2601	✗	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	146.5561	+0.61%	106.92	-26.60%	0.0206	✓	1.37	53.2M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.5896	+0.56%	2.955	-35.25%	0.2845	✗	0.63	502k	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.495	+0.56%	6.5312	+1.12%	0.2058	✓	0.82	4.3M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	10.1775	+0.49%	5.722	-43.50%	0.2692	✗	1.25	411k	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.6716	+0.46%	1.42	-14.66%	0.1680	✓	1.35	8.3M	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.000109969	+0.42%	0.00007022	-35.88%	0.2033	✗	1.00	9.9M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	35.0881	+0.37%	24.33	-30.41%	0.1087	✗	1.05	5.1M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	135.2358	+0.36%	91.73	-31.93%	0.0709	✗	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.054451	+0.33%	0.0403	-25.74%	0.0284	✗	1.11	16k	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	189.4083	+0.33%	93.16	-50.65%	0.4736	✗	0.96	11.5M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	40.1385	+0.32%	38.35	-4.15%	0.2123	✓	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	18.4576	+0.31%	10.32	-43.91%	0.2674	✗	1.28	15.5M	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.7117	+0.29%	3.89	-31.69%	0.2423	✗	0.58	798k	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	25.49	+0.28%	13.95	-45.12%	0.3447	✗	1.05	1.6M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.104607	+0.10%	0.065	-37.80%	0.1368	✗	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.716429	-0.01%	0.5092	-28.93%	0.0298	✓	1.27	6.6M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.019913	-0.08%	0.01439	-27.80%	0.1717	✓	0.62	45k	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	9.064	-0.31%	5.5654	-38.79%	0.1341	✓	1.44	285k	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.273091	-0.37%	0.194019	-29.22%	0.0899	✓	1.03	32.3M	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	293.3627	-0.49%	164.64	-44.15%	0.3028	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.9641	-0.53%	2.121	-28.83%	0.1205	✓	0.87	92k	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	36.0445	-0.57%	19.21	-47.01%	0.3780	✓	1.02	22.1M	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.218274	-0.74%	0.1127	-48.75%	0.3597	✓	1.23	6.1M	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.375083	-0.80%	0.2772	-26.69%	0.0629	✗	1.49	4.7M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.3881	-0.84%	1.0428	-25.50%	0.0227	✓	1.07	120.2M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.4624	-0.89%	1.5616	-37.15%	0.1761	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.3097	-0.91%	2.3	-31.14%	0.1189	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.088939	-0.93%	0.04978	-44.55%	0.2218	✓	1.46	4.1M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.289	-0.93%	1.8043	+38.67%	0.6025	✗	1.08	1.1M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	26.3219	-0.93%	30	+12.91%	0.3542	✗	0.91	40.2M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.791199	-0.94%	0.530399	-33.59%	0.1293	✓	1.10	3.0M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.5223	-0.96%	0.861	-43.98%	0.2479	✓	1.31	4.1M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.451	-1.07%	0.9364	-36.16%	0.1619	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.6422	-1.09%	8.93	-17.01%	0.0101	✓	0.76	1.4M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.017401	-1.13%	0.00965	-45.17%	0.2962	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.065099	-1.22%	0.0357	-45.83%	0.2744	✓	1.33	1.9M	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,745.66	-1.27%	2,425.82	-36.06%	0.1788	✓	1.04	766.3M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.1837	-1.35%	4.2126	-32.79%	0.0905	✓	1.19	724k	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.423729	-1.48%	0.5303	+23.30%	0.5696	✗	1.41	1.0M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.298763	-1.50%	0.1754	-42.17%	0.2123	✓	1.30	5.8M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	9.4463	-1.50%	5.67	-40.88%	0.2342	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.2675	-1.52%	3.107	-41.91%	0.3600	✓	0.68	734k	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.3111	-1.63%	2.7628	-17.92%	0.1195	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.4109	-1.78%	2.9095	-35.21%	0.0883	✓	1.33	5.4M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.058069	-1.96%	0.038232	-35.45%	0.0628	✓	1.45	8.2M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.376583	-1.98%	0.2343	-39.02%	0.1592	✓	1.28	4.4M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	146.4521	-2.01%	88.89	-40.52%	0.1668	✓	1.35	11.8M	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	28,090.10	-2.10%	23,910.78	-16.66%	0.0185	✓	0.58	9.0M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.4445	-2.15%	2.26	-35.80%	0.1640	✓	1.05	787k	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	185.9802	-2.21%	73.6045	-61.30%	0.6408	✓	1.16	674k	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.132733	-2.26%	0.0794	-41.53%	0.2538	✓	1.06	344k	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	97.457	-2.29%	47.47	-52.41%	0.4826	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.6943	-2.30%	2.7225	-43.34%	0.3658	✓	0.73	26k	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.049377	-2.47%	0.02909	-42.54%	0.3041	✓	0.92	10.4M	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.5072	-2.58%	3.4851	-3.19%	0.0351	✓	-0.12	405k	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.224	-2.62%	0.5781	-54.01%	0.3976	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.032979	-2.91%	0.020242	-40.41%	0.2308	✓	1.05	9.3M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.186664	-2.93%	0.0947	-50.75%	0.3979	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1428	-3.16%	0.65	-44.92%	0.3186	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	61.2967	-3.20%	36.7	-42.04%	0.1395	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.1803	-3.28%	0.83214	-31.81%	0.0879	✗	1.78	1.5M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.015094	-3.43%	0.00962	-38.45%	0.2144	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.099459	-3.59%	0.07195	-30.25%	0.1680	✓	0.63	92k	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	20.7219	-3.65%	16.064	-25.30%	0.1515	✗	1.65	18.6M	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.6476	-3.65%	0.4535	-73.48%	1.0924	✓	0.80	5.9M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.5887	-3.83%	6.37	-47.14%	0.6476	✓	-0.20	4.3M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.4209	-3.85%	5.873	-40.06%	0.3273	✓	0.59	455k	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.3734	-3.90%	0.8032	-43.80%	0.3002	✓	0.96	23.6M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.682028	-4.02%	0.4474	-37.04%	0.0959	✓	1.33	3.4M	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000033494	-4.08%	0.00002125	-39.15%	0.2094	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.6895	-4.09%	4.05	-55.30%	0.4392	✓	1.32	15.8M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	11.1537	-4.34%	5.07	-56.52%	0.5793	✓	0.85	1.3M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.6564	-4.39%	2.65	-45.59%	0.3180	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.611636	-4.43%	0.314	-50.94%	0.3540	✓	1.27	2.9M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	81.3028	-4.54%	54.08	-36.50%	0.1621	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.5003	-4.66%	2.79	-40.89%	0.1500	✓	1.34	26.8M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.325465	-4.83%	0.2367	-30.79%	0.0873	✓	0.94	328k	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.6204	-4.85%	1.58	-42.63%	0.2552	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.7247	-4.89%	1.0754	-40.70%	0.2816	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	1.971	-5.02%	0.9645	-53.52%	0.2399	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.2889	-5.94%	3.97	-12.94%	0.1684	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	36.1104	-6.08%	24.3	-36.80%	0.0289	✓	1.73	3.0M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	37.2049	-6.28%	16.82	-57.63%	0.3433	✓	1.83	7.2M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	99.9974	-6.59%	64.73	-39.53%	0.1572	✓	1.13	136.0M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.557	-7.47%	0.99692	-40.75%	0.2066	✓	0.97	5.3M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	0.950054	-7.49%	0.8569	-16.56%	0.1424	✗	1.00	151k	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	10.6714	-7.77%	5.62	-51.43%	0.4985	✓	0.58	1.5M	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.1454	-7.88%	2.23	-50.44%	0.3744	✓	1.00	4.4M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	3.0732	-7.98%	2.2527	-32.55%	0.0783	✓	0.95	8.0M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.556	-8.61%	2.637	-32.23%	0.0533	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	13.2257	-9.35%	6.745	-53.77%	0.7012	✓	-0.11	129k	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.4439	-10.40%	0.8838	-45.16%	0.1507	✓	1.38	7.1M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.184529	-11.50%	0.17087	-18.05%	0.3176	✗	1.61	13k	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	12.8887	-11.96%	6.75	-53.89%	0.6609	✓	-0.06	4.8M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.018917	-13.50%	0.00534	-75.58%	1.0192	✓	1.00	39.8M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	3.7656	-14.03%	1.95	-55.48%	0.4124	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.637862	-19.22%	0.6525	-17.36%	0.4596	✗	1.78	28.3M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.