8=======>

2021-12-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2715
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.2%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-21.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.383.7902-13.47%1.95-55.48%0.4190✓1.0015.2M2022-01-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6412.7255-13.08%6.75-53.89%0.6481✓-0.064.8M2022-01-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.691828-12.38%0.6525-17.36%0.3784✗1.7828.3M2022-01-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5710.2221-11.65%5.62-51.43%0.4555✓0.581.5M2022-01-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.5121-11.57%0.4535-73.48%1.0065✓0.805.9M2022-01-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.184679-11.42%0.17087-18.05%0.3168✗1.6113k2022-01-27
HIVEHivenative1.61151.4364-10.87%0.8838-45.16%0.1455✓1.387.1M2022-01-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.01963-10.24%0.00534-75.58%1.0562✓1.0039.8M2022-01-27
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5913.1117-10.13%6.745-53.77%0.6925✓-0.11129k2022-01-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.307478-10.09%0.2367-30.79%0.0304✓0.94328k2022-01-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.0263-9.39%2.2527-32.55%0.0629✓0.958.0M2022-01-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.5277-9.21%0.99692-40.75%0.1876✓0.975.3M2022-01-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.0597.3503-9.06%64.73-39.53%0.1304✓1.13136.0M2022-01-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07521.9017-8.36%0.9645-53.52%0.2042✓1.931.5M2022-01-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.588137-8.10%0.314-50.94%0.3148✓1.272.9M2022-01-27
UMAUMAEthereum9.598.8385-7.84%5.67-40.88%0.1677✓1.124.1M2022-01-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.736.6157-7.77%16.82-57.63%0.3273✓1.837.2M2022-01-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.6738-7.70%1.0754-40.70%0.2516✓0.781.1M2022-01-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.656453-7.62%0.4474-37.04%0.0577✓1.333.4M2022-01-27
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.014449-7.56%0.00962-38.45%0.1707✓0.961.2M2022-01-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.1644-7.46%2.23-50.44%0.3789✓1.004.4M2022-01-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4535.5992-7.41%24.3-36.80%0.0431✓1.733.0M2022-01-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.6098-7.23%2.637-32.23%0.0684✓1.003.0M2022-01-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0270.953968-7.11%0.8569-16.56%0.1383✗1.00151k2022-01-27
RADRadworksEthereum11.6610.8438-7.00%5.07-56.52%0.5511✓0.851.3M2022-01-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.1377-6.77%0.83214-31.81%0.1246✗1.781.5M2022-01-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.5747-6.51%1.58-42.63%0.2376✓1.022.2M2022-01-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.2682-6.40%3.97-12.94%0.1732✗1.001.2M2022-01-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.000032721-6.30%0.00002125-39.15%0.1860✓1.002.2M2022-01-27
ZENHorizenBase63.3259.4755-6.07%36.7-42.04%0.1094✓1.521.2M2022-01-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0511.3184-6.07%6.37-47.14%0.6240✓-0.204.3M2022-01-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.031968-5.89%0.020242-40.41%0.1997✓1.059.3M2022-01-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.342-5.74%1.5616-37.15%0.1260✓1.14147k2022-01-27
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178179.2709-5.74%73.6045-61.30%0.6041✓1.16674k2022-01-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.4552-5.61%2.79-40.89%0.1399✓1.3426.8M2022-01-27
LUNATerraTerra 285.1780.4368-5.56%54.08-36.50%0.1514✓1.007.4M2022-01-27
XVGVergenative0.01760.016715-5.03%0.00965-45.17%0.2561✓1.192.8M2022-01-27
ZECZcashZcash149.45141.9595-5.01%88.89-40.52%0.1357✓1.3511.8M2022-01-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.5702-4.88%2.7225-43.34%0.3390✓0.7326k2022-01-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.6837-4.88%0.81-54.24%0.3077✓1.731.5M2022-01-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.018978-4.78%0.01439-27.80%0.1236✓0.6245k2022-01-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.3611-4.76%0.8032-43.80%0.2912✓0.9623.6M2022-01-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.6387-4.75%2.65-45.59%0.3142✓1.002.5M2022-01-27
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.6344-4.70%4.05-55.30%0.4329✓1.3215.8M2022-01-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.099685-4.61%0.065-37.80%0.0886✓1.382.0M2022-01-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.358-4.60%2.26-35.80%0.1386✓1.05787k2022-01-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.048304-4.59%0.02909-42.54%0.2821✓0.9210.4M2022-01-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.3533-4.54%5.873-40.06%0.3201✓0.59455k2022-01-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.1289.687-4.35%5.722-43.50%0.2198✓1.25411k2022-01-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.367601-4.32%0.2343-39.02%0.1350✓1.284.4M2022-01-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2227,460.78-4.29%23,910.78-16.66%0.0042✓0.589.0M2022-01-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.051952-4.27%0.0403-25.74%0.0186✓1.1116k2022-01-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.063111-4.23%0.0357-45.83%0.2434✓1.331.9M2022-01-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.1308-4.17%0.65-44.92%0.3081✓1.002.4M2022-01-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.0102-4.12%4.2126-32.79%0.0621✓1.19724k2022-01-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2486-4.03%1.8043+38.67%0.6344✗1.081.1M2022-01-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4079-4.01%0.9364-36.16%0.1317✓1.1231.7M2022-01-27
KCSKuCoinnative21.50620.6548-3.96%16.064-25.30%0.1547✗1.6518.6M2022-01-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.130476-3.92%0.0794-41.53%0.2367✓1.06344k2022-01-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.291698-3.83%0.1754-42.17%0.1883✓1.305.8M2022-01-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2089-3.82%0.5781-54.01%0.3852✓1.432.3M2022-01-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.080719-3.68%0.0638-23.87%0.0318✓1.0916k2022-01-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.414929-3.53%0.5303+23.30%0.5906✗1.411.0M2022-01-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.2476-3.52%2.7628-17.92%0.1388✗1.223.3M2022-01-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.21222-3.49%0.1127-48.75%0.3315✓1.236.1M2022-01-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.099681-3.37%0.07195-30.25%0.1702✓0.6392k2022-01-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.1711-3.33%3.107-41.91%0.3416✓0.68734k2022-01-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.4126-3.23%8.93-17.01%0.0319✓0.761.4M2022-01-27
BANDBandEthereum5.345.1678-3.23%3.38-36.70%0.1283✓1.212.5M2022-01-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.186224-3.16%0.0947-50.75%0.3955✓1.143.6M2022-01-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.366351-3.11%0.2772-26.69%0.0864✗1.494.7M2022-01-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.8875-3.10%2.121-28.83%0.0943✓0.8792k2022-01-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.4898-3.06%3.4851-3.19%0.0301✓-0.12405k2022-01-27
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.883394-3.03%0.482-47.09%0.2414✓1.489.2M2022-01-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016016-2.99%0.01041-36.95%0.1164✓1.282.7M2022-01-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7496.7763-2.97%47.47-52.41%0.4756✓0.967.6M2022-01-27
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.266102-2.92%0.194019-29.22%0.0640✓1.0332.3M2022-01-27
XEMNEMnative0.12840.124679-2.90%0.0984-23.36%0.0350✗1.11175k2022-01-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5725.8217-2.82%30+12.91%0.3733✗0.9140.2M2022-01-27
QNTQuantEthereum188.78183.5827-2.75%93.16-50.65%0.4424✓0.9611.5M2022-01-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.073327-2.72%0.04646-38.37%0.1527✓1.2421.1M2022-01-27
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.3619-2.71%1.0428-25.50%0.0037✓1.07120.2M2022-01-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1715.7462-2.62%12.75-21.15%0.0438✓0.681.4M2022-01-27
XECeCashnative0.000109510.000106653-2.61%0.00007022-35.88%0.1727✓1.009.9M2022-01-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.1302-2.54%18.67-46.69%0.2279✓1.531.3M2022-01-27
GTGateEthereum6.4596.3003-2.46%6.5312+1.12%0.2363✗0.824.3M2022-01-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.699467-2.38%0.5092-28.93%0.0058✓1.276.6M2022-01-27
DASHDashDash134.75131.558-2.37%91.73-31.93%0.0433✓1.292.0M2022-01-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4224.8217-2.35%13.95-45.12%0.3181✓1.051.6M2022-01-27
KSMKusamaHydration294.8287.8749-2.35%164.64-44.15%0.2839✓1.121.5M2022-01-27
QTUMQtumQtum9.09238.8806-2.33%5.5654-38.79%0.1136✓1.44285k2022-01-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.6254-2.32%1.42-14.66%0.1961✗1.358.3M2022-01-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.780197-2.32%0.530399-33.59%0.1153✓1.103.0M2022-01-27
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.6643-2.19%2.3156-38.19%0.2006✓1.05819k2022-01-27
XMRMoneroMonero208.62204.0767-2.18%144.6-30.69%0.1029✓0.982.8M2022-01-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5132.7866-2.16%26.76-20.14%0.0416✓0.66572k2022-01-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.2524-2.16%0.725-43.36%0.3157✓0.943.1M2022-01-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.057977-2.12%0.038232-35.45%0.0612✓1.458.2M2022-01-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02924.9283-2.01%3.0464-39.43%0.1596✓1.315.2M2022-01-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.088.9023-1.96%5.9-35.02%0.2268✓0.751.1M2022-01-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.112244-1.94%0.08437-26.29%0.0120✓1.1129k2022-01-27
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.4133-1.73%2.9095-35.21%0.0888✓1.335.4M2022-01-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,729.52-1.69%2,425.82-36.06%0.1745✓1.04766.3M2022-01-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.4874-1.68%2.955-35.25%0.2620✓0.63502k2022-01-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.032.9841-1.52%1.76-41.91%0.2062✓1.313.0M2022-01-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.655831-1.51%0.4054-39.12%0.1626✓1.3012.5M2022-01-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.196813-1.50%0.1146-42.64%0.3200✓0.90701k2022-01-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.4386-1.49%24.33-30.41%0.0900✓1.055.1M2022-01-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.5556-1.49%5.84-39.79%0.3448✓0.601.1M2022-01-27
SOLSolanaSolana177.27174.7717-1.41%89.55-49.48%0.4104✓1.05257.1M2022-01-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0946,874.51-1.41%37,188.37-21.78%0.0142✓1.00750.8M2022-01-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.2931-1.41%2.3-31.14%0.1139✓1.001.2M2022-01-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5164-1.34%0.861-43.98%0.2440✓1.314.1M2022-01-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.171544-1.27%0.141443-18.59%0.0801✗1.116.0M2022-01-27
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64249.5864-1.21%144.54-42.79%0.2773✓1.0911.4M2022-01-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021713-1.21%0.014097-35.86%0.1328✓1.222.4M2022-01-27
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.07635-1.12%0.056453-26.89%0.0687✓0.95648k2022-01-27
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.5926-1.04%38.35-4.15%0.2260✗1.0520.7M2022-01-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.418773-1.00%0.243-42.55%0.3600✓0.7546k2022-01-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0885-0.93%1.399-33.63%0.1231✓1.133.3M2022-01-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2535.9295-0.88%19.21-47.01%0.3748✓1.0222.1M2022-01-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77120.7204-0.86%89.31-26.66%0.0631✓0.973.7M2022-01-27
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.2491-0.82%10.32-43.91%0.2560✓1.2815.5M2022-01-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5222-0.70%1.59-37.40%0.2056✓1.044.4M2022-01-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.2177-0.70%15.23-25.20%0.0464✗1.3469.7M2022-01-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.6559-0.69%3.89-31.69%0.2325✓0.58798k2022-01-27
COMPCompoundEthereum209207.6133-0.66%121.94-41.66%0.2501✓1.15236k2022-01-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.5803-0.52%19.61-20.64%0.1260✗1.4322.9M2022-01-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67145.1283-0.37%106.92-26.60%0.0304✗1.3753.2M2022-01-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.5534-0.22%5.12-32.36%0.2322✓0.641.1M2022-01-27
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.215784-0.01%0.1614-25.21%0.1610✓0.53392k2022-01-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.089813+0.05%0.04978-44.55%0.2316✗1.464.1M2022-01-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6047,434.83+0.11%37,269.30-21.35%0.0029✓0.9910k2022-01-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.8651+0.26%4.57-21.88%0.0299✓1.145.1M2022-01-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.9609+0.43%18.13-34.88%0.1191✗1.2877.1M2022-01-27
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.7016+1.04%8.39-46.01%0.3470✗1.144.8M2022-01-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74445.7828+1.61%289.64-33.98%0.1813✗1.0210.8M2022-01-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.