8=======>

2021-12-28 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1511
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.2%
in alpha space · 88.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.2166-2.47%4.796-10.34%0.0685✓0.68734k2021-12-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.4849-1.73%4.115-9.84%0.0716✓0.63502k2021-12-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.777348-1.55%0.9819+24.35%0.2742✗1.7828.3M2021-12-29
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.9332-1.40%9.26+2.21%0.0660✗1.3215.8M2021-12-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6414.4352-1.40%13.54-7.51%0.0653✓-0.064.8M2021-12-29
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5914.4313-1.09%13.512-7.39%0.0684✓-0.11129k2021-12-29
RADRadworksEthereum11.6611.5398-1.03%10.96-6.00%0.0321✓0.851.3M2021-12-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.4157-0.94%1.482+3.70%0.0677✗0.9623.6M2021-12-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.021679-0.87%0.02115-3.29%0.0019✓1.0039.8M2021-12-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.6483-0.82%5.14-9.75%0.0811✓0.58798k2021-12-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.384.3447-0.80%4.84+10.50%0.1308✗1.0015.2M2021-12-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2472-0.77%1.2537-0.25%0.0379✗1.432.3M2021-12-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.05106.3623-0.64%103.11-3.68%0.0053✓1.13136.0M2021-12-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.7378-0.59%2.644-3.99%0.0116✓1.022.2M2021-12-29
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0271.0211-0.58%0.961-6.43%0.0378✓1.00151k2021-12-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.420622-0.56%0.405-4.26%0.0207✓0.7546k2021-12-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.471-0.55%2.3803-4.20%0.0115✓1.14147k2021-12-29
LUNATerraTerra 285.1784.7196-0.53%84.32-1.00%0.0181✗1.007.4M2021-12-29
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.8443-0.53%4.84-0.62%0.0219✗1.002.5M2021-12-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5711.5091-0.53%11.9+2.85%0.0466✗0.581.5M2021-12-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.12810.0759-0.51%8.678-14.32%0.1209✓1.25411k2021-12-29
HIVEHivenative1.61151.6032-0.51%1.4918-7.43%0.0404✓1.387.1M2021-12-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.6741-0.50%1.5398-8.49%0.0614✓0.975.3M2021-12-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.478-0.49%4.3-4.44%0.0178✓1.004.4M2021-12-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.089.0359-0.49%8.64-4.85%0.0277✓0.751.1M2021-12-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.5031-0.48%3.34-5.11%0.0238✓1.05787k2021-12-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.599.5439-0.48%9.3-3.02%0.0003✓1.124.1M2021-12-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.5383-0.48%4.49-1.54%0.0121✗1.001.2M2021-12-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.7616-0.47%1.69-4.52%0.0021✓1.731.5M2021-12-29
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178189.2828-0.47%185.3722-2.53%0.0057✗1.16674k2021-12-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.019838-0.46%0.01939-2.71%0.0086✓0.6245k2021-12-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.2147-0.46%1.1508-5.69%0.0134✓1.781.5M2021-12-29
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64251.4736-0.46%236.52-6.38%0.0363✓1.0911.4M2021-12-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.340424-0.46%0.331-3.22%0.0066✓0.94328k2021-12-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.8736-0.45%3.653-6.12%0.0358✓1.003.0M2021-12-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.6989-0.45%4.85+2.75%0.0621✗1.3426.8M2021-12-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.8054-0.44%1.7101-5.70%0.0366✓0.781.1M2021-12-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6047,177.27-0.44%48,010.00+1.32%0.0402✗0.9910k2021-12-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.3253-0.43%3.2569-2.48%0.0008✓0.958.0M2021-12-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.6591-0.42%9.02-7.01%0.0548✓0.601.1M2021-12-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.1751-0.42%1.13-4.24%0.0163✓1.002.4M2021-12-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.10276-0.39%0.09831-4.70%0.0298✓0.6392k2021-12-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2228,582.12-0.38%28,569.89-0.42%0.0128✗0.589.0M2021-12-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.707899-0.38%0.6824-3.97%0.0065✓1.333.4M2021-12-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.05044-0.38%0.04918-2.86%0.0044✓0.9210.4M2021-12-29
ZECZcashZcash149.45148.8904-0.37%146.64-1.88%0.0156✗1.3511.8M2021-12-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.00003479-0.37%0.00003365-3.64%0.0105✓1.002.2M2021-12-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.637649-0.37%0.628-1.88%0.0138✗1.272.9M2021-12-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.015573-0.37%0.01516-3.01%0.0050✓0.961.2M2021-12-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0512.0076-0.35%11.58-3.90%0.0408✓-0.204.3M2021-12-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.7883-0.34%4.5321-5.67%0.0384✓0.7326k2021-12-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4538.3204-0.34%42.53+10.61%0.1437✗1.733.0M2021-12-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5726.4834-0.33%27.98+5.31%0.0757✗0.9140.2M2021-12-29
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.908058-0.32%0.862-5.38%0.0182✓1.489.2M2021-12-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5133.4041-0.32%31.67-5.49%0.0383✓0.66572k2021-12-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.135373-0.31%0.1285-5.38%0.0280✓1.06344k2021-12-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.7677-0.31%9.485-3.19%0.0159✓0.59455k2021-12-29
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.3435-0.31%17.13-6.90%0.0393✓1.2815.5M2021-12-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.7278-0.30%10.3-4.28%0.0235✓0.761.4M2021-12-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.9153-0.30%33.2-5.20%0.0155✓1.531.3M2021-12-29
XVGVergenative0.01760.017548-0.30%0.01691-3.92%0.0098✓1.192.8M2021-12-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.219251-0.30%0.2068-5.96%0.0305✓1.236.1M2021-12-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.383075-0.29%0.3698-3.75%0.0060✓1.284.4M2021-12-29
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07522.0691-0.29%1.9662-5.25%0.0070✓1.931.5M2021-12-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.377021-0.29%0.375-0.82%0.0285✗1.494.7M2021-12-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1716.124-0.28%15.52-4.02%0.0227✓0.681.4M2021-12-29
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.3958-0.28%1.3322-4.83%0.0222✓1.07120.2M2021-12-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.739.5899-0.28%38.51-3.00%0.0142✗1.837.2M2021-12-29
XMRMoneroMonero208.62208.0603-0.27%214.5+2.82%0.0529✗0.982.8M2021-12-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4632-0.24%1.5828+7.92%0.1042✗1.1231.7M2021-12-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.552-0.24%7.25-4.23%0.0263✓0.641.1M2021-12-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.3582-0.23%3.2326-3.97%0.0102✓1.223.3M2021-12-29
XEMNEMnative0.12840.128101-0.23%0.1244-3.12%0.0041✓1.11175k2021-12-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.277-0.23%1.223-4.45%0.0218✓0.943.1M2021-12-29
KSMKusamaHydration294.8294.1161-0.23%283.66-3.78%0.0107✓1.121.5M2021-12-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.033.0231-0.23%3.03+0.00%0.0322✗1.313.0M2021-12-29
GTGateEthereum6.4596.4443-0.23%6.3273-2.04%0.0003✓0.824.3M2021-12-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.03389-0.23%0.03331-1.93%0.0066✗1.059.3M2021-12-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.5919-0.22%3.7411+3.92%0.0380✗-0.12405k2021-12-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.50621.458-0.22%20.666-3.91%0.0001✓1.6518.6M2021-12-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2982-0.22%1.2952-0.45%0.0224✗1.081.1M2021-12-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.083616-0.22%0.0817-2.51%0.0016✓1.0916k2021-12-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.273501-0.22%0.266803-2.66%0.0014✓1.0332.3M2021-12-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02925.0182-0.22%4.8341-3.88%0.0075✓1.315.2M2021-12-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.104273-0.22%0.0988-5.45%0.0224✓1.382.0M2021-12-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2536.1723-0.21%34.21-5.63%0.0324✓1.0222.1M2021-12-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.054154-0.21%0.05381-0.85%0.0189✗1.1116k2021-12-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.2549-0.21%5.9148-5.64%0.0287✓1.19724k2021-12-29
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.7386-0.21%3.4827-7.04%0.0469✓1.05819k2021-12-29
QNTQuantEthereum188.78188.3833-0.21%175.55-7.01%0.0487✓0.9611.5M2021-12-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.302708-0.20%0.287-5.37%0.0236✓1.305.8M2021-12-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.3335-0.19%3.23-3.29%0.0088✓1.001.2M2021-12-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021938-0.18%0.021726-1.15%0.0180✗1.222.4M2021-12-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4225.3741-0.18%23.93-5.86%0.0346✓1.051.6M2021-12-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.208127-0.18%0.20423-2.05%0.0177✗1.6113k2021-12-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016481-0.18%0.01559-5.57%0.0264✓1.282.7M2021-12-29
ZENHorizenBase63.3263.2096-0.17%61.88-2.27%0.0134✗1.521.2M2021-12-29
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.9444-0.16%38.54-3.67%0.0118✓1.0520.7M2021-12-29
BANDBandEthereum5.345.3312-0.16%5.08-4.87%0.0208✓1.212.5M2021-12-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.191985-0.16%0.1817-5.51%0.0290✓1.143.6M2021-12-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.715379-0.16%0.7006-2.22%0.0081✗1.276.6M2021-12-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.664883-0.15%0.6329-4.96%0.0197✓1.3012.5M2021-12-29
DASHDashDash134.75134.5501-0.15%133.27-1.10%0.0199✗1.292.0M2021-12-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.6617-0.14%1.589-4.51%0.0140✓1.358.3M2021-12-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7499.6049-0.14%93.8-5.96%0.0381✓0.967.6M2021-12-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,788.57-0.13%3,630.59-4.30%0.0189✓1.04766.3M2021-12-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.114313-0.13%0.10818-5.49%0.0298✓1.1129k2021-12-29
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.215534-0.12%0.1955-9.41%0.0855✓0.53392k2021-12-29
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.4854-0.12%4.3759-2.56%0.0057✗1.335.4M2021-12-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.173533-0.12%0.167974-3.32%0.0072✓1.116.0M2021-12-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.8429-0.12%5.44-7.01%0.0455✓1.145.1M2021-12-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.68-0.12%24.05-2.67%0.0068✗1.4322.9M2021-12-29
COMPCompoundEthereum209208.7515-0.12%197-5.74%0.0318✓1.15236k2021-12-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0947,493.29-0.10%46,471.24-2.25%0.0010✓1.00750.8M2021-12-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.065833-0.10%0.0651-1.21%0.0191✗1.331.9M2021-12-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.3394-0.10%19.74-3.05%0.0007✓1.3469.7M2021-12-29
XECeCashnative0.000109510.0001094-0.10%0.00010763-1.72%0.0065✗1.009.9M2021-12-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.7084-0.10%1.6398-4.11%0.0226✓0.805.9M2021-12-29
QTUMQtumQtum9.09239.084-0.09%8.7853-3.38%0.0006✓1.44285k2021-12-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5357-0.09%1.576+2.54%0.0558✗1.314.1M2021-12-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.429746-0.08%0.4107-4.51%0.0133✓1.411.0M2021-12-29
SOLSolanaSolana177.27177.135-0.08%170.64-3.74%0.0134✓1.05257.1M2021-12-29
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.077164-0.07%0.076395-1.07%0.0116✗0.95648k2021-12-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5382-0.07%2.41-5.12%0.0281✓1.044.4M2021-12-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.798192-0.06%0.759647-4.89%0.0244✓1.103.0M2021-12-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.059197-0.06%0.0617+4.17%0.0744✗1.458.2M2021-12-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.532-0.05%15.01-3.41%0.0082✓1.144.8M2021-12-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.089729-0.05%0.08784-2.15%0.0120✗1.464.1M2021-12-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.9479-0.03%34.13-2.37%0.0002✓1.055.1M2021-12-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67145.6209-0.03%145.62-0.03%0.0312✗1.3753.2M2021-12-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.1073-0.03%2.015-4.41%0.0190✓1.133.3M2021-12-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.199739-0.03%0.1965-1.65%0.0042✗0.90701k2021-12-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77121.741-0.02%121.4-0.30%0.0193✗0.973.7M2021-12-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.075365-0.02%0.0724-3.95%0.0120✓1.2421.1M2021-12-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74438.6968-0.01%430.11-1.97%0.0034✗1.0210.8M2021-12-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.9804+0.01%2.862-3.96%0.0207✗0.8792k2021-12-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.8441+0.01%26.81-3.70%0.0087✗1.2877.1M2021-12-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.