8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1856
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 40.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.018.0442+0.43%7.57-5.49%0.0200✗0.631.0M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.8714+0.37%16.17-3.81%0.0020✓0.691.4M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.81+0.36%2.54-9.29%0.0353✗1.024.4M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.3104+0.35%5.0292-4.97%0.0332✓1.365.2M2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4794+0.31%9.7+2.65%0.0660✓0.661.0M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34238.077+0.31%209-11.94%0.0591✗1.10239k2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72221.3723+0.30%208.62-5.48%0.0047✓0.992.8M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3435+0.28%2.108-9.80%0.0346✗1.103.3M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024232+0.28%0.021978-9.05%0.0198✗1.202.3M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.858+0.27%6.459-5.56%0.0079✗0.814.3M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081382+0.27%0.077218-4.87%0.0095✓0.96648k2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.188303+0.26%0.173745-7.49%0.0089✗1.115.5M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.219956+0.25%0.1998-8.93%0.0400✗0.87701k2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.084643+0.25%0.07538-10.72%0.0385✗1.2021.1M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.08992+0.25%0.0838-6.58%0.0000✓1.0918k2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.3528+0.24%9.08-2.68%0.0205✓0.771.1M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3982+0.24%3.03-10.62%0.0317✗1.283.0M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.739268+0.24%0.6659-9.71%0.0218✗1.2812.5M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.012.0147+0.23%1.77-11.94%0.0187✗1.711.5M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,313.57+0.23%47,383.60-7.45%0.0162✗0.988,5662021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.7703+0.23%25.42-4.83%0.0177✓1.071.6M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.328+0.22%1.28-3.40%0.0257✓0.973.1M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.4539+0.22%5.85-9.16%0.0259✗1.125.1M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.8764+0.22%15.54-7.72%0.0089✗1.144.8M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,826.95+0.22%47,543.09-6.26%0.0022✓1.00744.5M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.6902+0.21%40.01-6.08%0.0035✓1.0620.7M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.125103+0.21%0.11446-8.31%0.0179✗1.1029k2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9735+0.21%3.7465-5.51%0.0099✓1.06798k2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.13939+0.21%0.1284-7.69%0.0111✗1.10175k2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.686+0.20%34.96-7.05%0.0075✗1.055.1M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3466.2317+0.20%438.74-5.71%0.0055✓1.0212.3M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8816+0.20%5.34-9.03%0.0195✗1.192.6M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.2956+0.20%24.71-12.50%0.0451✗1.4022.9M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018796+0.19%0.01651-11.99%0.0491✗1.252.8M2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0223.0634+0.19%20.36-11.56%0.0401✗1.3169.7M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.795761+0.18%0.7165-9.79%0.0241✗1.256.8M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41127.6393+0.18%121.77-4.43%0.0167✓0.993.7M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8874+0.18%1.664-11.68%0.0412✗1.317.9M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.1443+0.18%18.4-3.72%0.0456✓1.3214.6M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.5098+0.18%5.695+3.55%0.0748✓0.65798k2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0188+0.18%0.911-10.42%0.0167✗1.479.2M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.6482+0.17%33.51-3.12%0.0098✓0.67572k2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05206.3801+0.16%188.78-8.38%0.0284✗0.9411.9M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.6516+0.16%35.02-11.54%0.0268✗1.511.3M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78156.016+0.15%145.67-6.49%0.0210✓1.3954.4M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27322.7566+0.15%294.8-8.52%0.0193✗1.101.5M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6278.0097+0.15%252.64-8.99%0.0264✗1.0711.4M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.116269+0.15%0.1045-9.99%0.0185✗1.372.5M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04151.2515+0.14%134.75-10.79%0.0338✗1.262.0M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.058241+0.14%0.05427-6.69%0.0013✓1.1116k2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.03410.0477+0.14%10.128+0.94%0.0942✓1.33411k2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.239423+0.13%0.2158-9.74%0.0736✗0.47392k2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.5183+0.13%1.3998-7.69%0.0125✗1.06120.2M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,043.72+0.13%3,793.67-6.07%0.0035✓1.04760.7M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.9789+0.12%177.27-9.44%0.0344✗1.02255.1M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021566+0.12%0.01993-7.47%0.0409✗0.5946k2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118728+0.12%0.00010951-7.66%0.0169✗0.9910.2M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.998810.01+0.11%9.0923-9.07%0.0032✗1.44299k2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3658+0.11%4.564+4.65%0.0907✓0.72487k2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2705+0.11%2.98-8.78%0.0387✗0.8495k2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.401786+0.10%0.3781-5.80%0.0374✓1.524.7M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.2334+0.09%36.25-7.53%0.0134✗1.0222.1M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.603+0.08%3.34-7.22%0.0120✗0.991.2M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.019095+0.08%0.0176-7.76%0.0046✗1.192.8M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.466336+0.07%0.423-9.23%0.0515✗0.7145k2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.300468+0.06%0.274101-8.72%0.0270✗1.0033.6M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4158+0.06%1.3011-8.05%0.0153✗1.071.2M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4628+0.06%3.6+4.02%0.0331✓-0.09395k2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5485+0.06%2.4846-2.45%0.0510✓1.18147k2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063868+0.05%0.05923-7.21%0.0189✓1.468.2M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.9859+0.05%27.84-10.11%0.0257✗1.2677.1M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6867+0.04%1.537-8.84%0.0087✗1.304.1M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.746+0.04%5.349+12.75%0.1735✓0.83719k2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.8766+0.04%6.2683-8.81%0.0159✗1.19764k2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.876449+0.04%0.798687-8.84%0.0230✗1.083.0M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.6888+0.03%26.57-10.48%0.0553✗0.8640.2M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.074112+0.02%0.0659-11.07%0.0333✗1.302.1M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.239635+0.01%0.2199-8.22%0.0069✗1.226.1M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.6108+0.01%3.3661-6.76%0.0108✓1.253.1M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.470959+0.01%0.4301-8.66%0.0014✓1.431.0M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.098171+0.01%0.08977-8.55%0.0051✓1.464.8M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.1613+0.01%10.76-3.58%0.0134✓0.771.4M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6633+0.01%1.4667-11.81%0.0563✗1.0731.7M2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.337216+0.00%0.3033-10.05%0.0233✗1.285.8M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04107.0311-0.01%99.74-6.82%0.0088✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.053401-0.02%0.05063-5.21%0.0060✗0.9210.6M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8593-0.02%3.52-8.81%0.0258✓1.02787k2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.9564-0.02%4.8047-3.08%0.0169✗0.7427k2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.145255-0.03%0.1358-6.54%0.0012✗1.06376k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.7941-0.05%9.798-0.01%0.0408✗0.62455k2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.418053-0.06%0.3842-8.15%0.0017✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0979-0.07%4.4909-11.97%0.0429✓1.305.3M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.3046-0.07%1.2569-3.73%0.0595✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.0767-0.08%1.71-17.72%0.1512✓0.676.3M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.037292-0.09%0.033967-9.00%0.0275✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.0792-0.10%11.66+5.14%0.1122✗0.951.3M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.6494-0.10%63.32-10.46%0.0121✓1.511.2M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.209774-0.11%0.1923-8.43%0.0133✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000039008-0.11%0.00003492-10.58%0.0461✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.114722-0.12%0.10316-10.19%0.0694✓0.57113k2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76169.542-0.13%149.45-11.96%0.0413✓1.3111.8M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3774-0.13%1.4291+3.61%0.1044✗1.0523.6M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.9421-0.15%21.506-6.40%0.0439✗1.6818.6M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0313.0104-0.15%12.05-7.52%0.0949✓-0.284.5M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.7328-0.16%9.59-10.79%0.0424✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3175-0.19%1.18-10.61%0.0456✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,696.44-0.20%28,691.22-9.66%0.0658✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789211.1547-0.20%190.178-10.11%0.0309✓1.14674k2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.809374-0.21%0.7106-12.39%0.0474✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.017093-0.22%0.01563-8.76%0.0292✓0.931.2M2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.804-0.23%85.17-6.42%0.0006✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.1268-0.25%9.06-0.98%0.0822✗1.3915.8M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3785-0.27%1.2203-11.71%0.0082✓1.761.5M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.374533-0.28%0.342-8.95%0.0321✓0.91328k2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2637-0.31%4.72-10.61%0.0250✓1.3026.8M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0702-0.32%2.754-10.58%0.0460✓0.972.2M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.720421-0.36%0.64-11.48%0.0385✓1.242.9M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0958-0.38%1.027-6.64%0.0002✓1.00165k2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.4785-0.39%4.87-11.45%0.0531✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.4085-0.39%38.45-11.77%0.0110✓1.713.1M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.039-0.41%4.5-11.07%0.0485✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2479-0.44%2.0752-8.09%0.0456✗1.941.6M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4444.2415-0.45%39.7-10.67%0.0103✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.1058-0.47%4.56-11.11%0.0484✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0442-0.48%1.8135-11.71%0.0744✓0.701.2M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.3889-0.50%107.05-6.06%0.0154✗1.13127.7M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2878-0.56%3.891-9.76%0.0325✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.6654-0.59%11.57-9.18%0.0566✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10614.0097-0.68%14.59+3.43%0.0345✗-0.09129k2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7135-0.75%1.6826-2.54%0.0459✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1614.044-0.82%14.64+3.39%0.0393✗-0.034.8M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.7106-0.86%3.3399-10.77%0.0487✓0.878.0M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.226392-0.92%0.2085-8.75%0.0221✗1.6118k2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.8301-1.18%1.6115-12.99%0.0416✓1.327.3M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025883-1.21%0.02187-16.53%0.1038✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.1084-1.38%4.38-15.44%0.0892✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.866047-2.06%0.7896-10.71%0.0209✗1.7523.5M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.