8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2267
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.2%
in alpha space · 92.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.861609-2.57%0.7896-10.71%0.0261✗1.7523.5M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025769-1.64%0.02187-16.53%0.0994✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6729-1.50%5.349+12.75%0.1891✗0.83719k2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.1031-1.48%4.38-15.44%0.0882✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.0214-1.41%9.06-0.98%0.0939✗1.3915.8M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.978-1.29%14.64+3.39%0.0440✗-0.034.8M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789209.2184-1.12%190.178-10.11%0.0217✓1.14674k2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3133-1.09%4.564+4.65%0.1028✗0.72487k2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.6375-1.05%9.59-10.79%0.0335✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.9611-1.03%14.59+3.43%0.0380✗-0.09129k2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.461241-1.02%0.423-9.23%0.0406✓0.7145k2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.8342-0.96%1.6115-12.99%0.0438✓1.327.3M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9912-0.94%1.77-11.94%0.0069✓1.711.5M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8253-0.90%3.52-8.81%0.0170✓1.02787k2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.113865-0.87%0.10316-10.19%0.0619✓0.57113k2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.4526-0.86%4.87-11.45%0.0484✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.0006-0.84%107.05-6.06%0.0189✗1.13127.7M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0544-0.83%2.754-10.58%0.0409✓0.972.2M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.7121-0.82%3.3399-10.77%0.0491✓0.878.0M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.0622-0.78%1.71-17.72%0.1441✓0.676.3M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.02138-0.74%0.01993-7.47%0.0322✓0.5946k2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.6466-0.73%11.57-9.18%0.0551✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0391-0.73%1.8135-11.71%0.0719✓0.701.2M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2818-0.70%3.891-9.76%0.0311✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7146-0.68%1.6826-2.54%0.0453✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.718279-0.65%0.64-11.48%0.0355✓1.242.9M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.373157-0.65%0.342-8.95%0.0284✓0.91328k2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.227015-0.65%0.2085-8.75%0.0193✗1.6118k2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.805917-0.64%0.7106-12.39%0.0431✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.093-0.64%1.027-6.64%0.0024✓1.00165k2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.017021-0.63%0.01563-8.76%0.0250✓0.931.2M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6275.8571-0.63%252.64-8.99%0.0186✓1.0711.4M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.0283-0.63%4.5-11.07%0.0464✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76168.7022-0.62%149.45-11.96%0.0363✓1.3111.8M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038816-0.60%0.00003492-10.58%0.0411✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.298-0.59%1.2569-3.73%0.0647✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3742-0.58%1.2203-11.71%0.0052✓1.761.5M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2449-0.57%2.0752-8.09%0.0469✗1.941.6M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.3316-0.57%38.45-11.77%0.0092✓1.713.1M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,579.65-0.57%28,691.22-9.66%0.0621✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.9575-0.56%12.05-7.52%0.0908✓-0.284.5M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2512-0.55%4.72-10.61%0.0226✓1.3026.8M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.053123-0.54%0.05063-5.21%0.0112✗0.9210.6M2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.5205-0.54%85.17-6.42%0.0037✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.1027-0.53%4.56-11.11%0.0478✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.416086-0.53%0.3842-8.15%0.0030✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4444.2049-0.53%39.7-10.67%0.0111✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.018982-0.51%0.0176-7.76%0.0013✓1.192.8M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.115536-0.49%0.1045-9.99%0.0121✓1.372.5M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.3992-0.48%35.02-11.54%0.0204✓1.511.3M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3137-0.48%1.18-10.61%0.0427✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3728-0.47%1.4291+3.61%0.1078✗1.0523.6M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0123-0.46%0.911-10.42%0.0103✓1.479.2M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.9889-0.45%10.128+0.94%0.1001✗1.33411k2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.03716-0.44%0.033967-9.00%0.0240✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.238556-0.44%0.2199-8.22%0.0024✓1.226.1M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.8103-0.43%6.459-5.56%0.0009✓0.814.3M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3756-0.43%3.03-10.62%0.0250✓1.283.0M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5365-0.42%2.4846-2.45%0.0557✗1.18147k2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.144695-0.42%0.1358-6.54%0.0050✗1.06376k2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.335803-0.41%0.3033-10.05%0.0191✓1.285.8M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.2914-0.41%9.08-2.68%0.0270✗0.771.1M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4775-0.41%5.695+3.55%0.0807✗0.65798k2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.238123-0.41%0.2158-9.74%0.0682✓0.47392k2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.046-0.40%11.66+5.14%0.1152✗0.951.3M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6565-0.40%1.4667-11.81%0.0522✓1.0731.7M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.8471-0.39%6.2683-8.81%0.0116✓1.19764k2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.4456-0.39%63.32-10.46%0.0092✓1.511.2M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.5664-0.38%26.57-10.48%0.0511✓0.8640.2M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057939-0.38%0.05427-6.69%0.0065✗1.1116k2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.511-0.36%1.3998-7.69%0.0076✓1.06120.2M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.209251-0.36%0.1923-8.43%0.0108✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27321.131-0.35%294.8-8.52%0.0143✓1.101.5M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.400025-0.34%0.3781-5.80%0.0418✗1.524.7M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.0456-0.34%18.4-3.72%0.0508✗1.3214.6M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72219.987-0.33%208.62-5.48%0.0110✗0.992.8M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.941-0.33%4.8047-3.08%0.0200✗0.7427k2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4105-0.32%1.3011-8.05%0.0116✓1.071.2M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.125-0.31%10.76-3.58%0.0167✗0.771.4M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.073869-0.31%0.0659-11.07%0.0300✓1.302.1M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0859-0.31%4.4909-11.97%0.0406✓1.305.3M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.1532-0.31%24.71-12.50%0.0401✓1.4022.9M2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.769-0.31%9.798-0.01%0.0433✗0.62455k2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.089428-0.30%0.0838-6.58%0.0055✗1.0918k2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.4207-0.30%5.85-9.16%0.0207✓1.125.1M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018704-0.30%0.01651-11.99%0.0442✓1.252.8M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34236.6327-0.30%209-11.94%0.0530✓1.10239k2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5996-0.30%3.3661-6.76%0.0139✗1.253.1M2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.086-0.29%36.25-7.53%0.0096✓1.0222.1M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.138697-0.29%0.1284-7.69%0.0061✓1.10175k2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.9101-0.29%21.506-6.40%0.0453✗1.6818.6M2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05205.4688-0.28%188.78-8.38%0.0240✓0.9411.9M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024097-0.28%0.021978-9.05%0.0142✓1.202.3M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04150.6147-0.28%134.75-10.79%0.0296✓1.262.0M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.299449-0.28%0.274101-8.72%0.0236✓1.0033.6M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.7636-0.28%16.17-3.81%0.0084✗0.691.4M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9883-0.27%7.57-5.49%0.0131✓0.631.0M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.792221-0.26%0.7165-9.79%0.0196✓1.256.8M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8548-0.26%5.34-9.03%0.0149✓1.192.6M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.735698-0.24%0.6659-9.71%0.0170✓1.2812.5M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2792-0.24%5.0292-4.97%0.0391✗1.365.2M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.124552-0.23%0.11446-8.31%0.0135✓1.1029k2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.5127-0.22%33.51-3.12%0.0137✗0.67572k2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4289-0.22%9.7+2.65%0.0713✗0.661.0M2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.9688-0.22%20.36-11.56%0.0360✓1.3169.7M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9565-0.22%3.7465-5.51%0.0142✗1.06798k2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.084259-0.20%0.07538-10.72%0.0339✓1.2021.1M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.46995-0.20%0.4301-8.66%0.0036✗1.431.0M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5928-0.20%3.34-7.22%0.0091✓0.991.2M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8803-0.20%1.664-11.68%0.0374✓1.317.9M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.5153-0.20%40.01-6.08%0.0076✗1.0620.7M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04106.8333-0.19%99.74-6.82%0.0070✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118362-0.19%0.00010951-7.66%0.0138✓0.9910.2M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.9804-0.18%9.0923-9.07%0.0003✓1.44299k2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7949-0.18%2.54-9.29%0.0299✓1.024.4M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187503-0.17%0.173745-7.49%0.0047✓1.115.5M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6832-0.17%1.537-8.84%0.0066✓1.304.1M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4552-0.16%3.6+4.02%0.0353✗-0.09395k2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063734-0.16%0.05923-7.21%0.0210✗1.468.2M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.6705-0.15%25.42-4.83%0.0214✗1.071.6M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.098019-0.14%0.08977-8.55%0.0067✗1.464.8M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.874899-0.14%0.798687-8.84%0.0212✓1.083.0M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,032.97-0.14%3,793.67-6.07%0.0062✗1.04760.7M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.8166-0.14%15.54-7.72%0.0054✓1.144.8M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3338-0.14%2.108-9.80%0.0304✓1.103.3M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,650.98-0.13%47,543.09-6.26%0.0013✗1.00744.5M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.4949-0.13%177.27-9.44%0.0319✓1.02255.1M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.219164-0.11%0.1998-8.93%0.0364✓0.87701k2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3236-0.10%1.28-3.40%0.0289✗0.973.1M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081089-0.10%0.077218-4.87%0.0131✗0.96648k2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.9409-0.09%27.84-10.11%0.0243✓1.2677.1M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41127.3087-0.08%121.77-4.43%0.0193✗0.993.7M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78155.6655-0.07%145.67-6.49%0.0232✗1.3954.4M2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2647-0.07%2.98-8.78%0.0370✓0.8495k2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3465.0451-0.05%438.74-5.71%0.0080✗1.0212.3M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.5908-0.05%34.96-7.05%0.0050✓1.055.1M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,202.76+0.01%47,383.60-7.45%0.0141✗0.988,5662021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.