2021-12-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2308

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.23%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.7%

in alpha space · 58.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.05	8.0836	+0.42%	7.96	-1.12%	0.0201	✗	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.73	2.7404	+0.38%	2.76	+1.10%	0.0004	✓	1.02	4.4M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.01	17.0745	+0.38%	16.92	-0.53%	0.0142	✗	0.69	1.4M	2021-12-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2814	5.3012	+0.37%	5.3426	+1.16%	0.0022	✓	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	211.35	212.1118	+0.36%	216.57	+2.47%	0.0135	✓	0.99	2.8M	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	228.44	229.2518	+0.36%	235.5	+3.09%	0.0188	✓	1.10	239k	2021-12-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.389	6.4109	+0.34%	6.7502	+5.65%	0.0457	✓	0.80	4.3M	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.13	3.1402	+0.33%	3.08	-1.60%	0.0288	✗	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.88	5.8988	+0.32%	6.24	+6.12%	0.0480	✓	1.11	4.6M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.31	2.3171	+0.31%	2.289	-0.91%	0.0204	✗	1.11	3.3M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023808	0.023879	+0.30%	0.024422	+2.58%	0.0136	✓	1.20	2.2M	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.05	4.0618	+0.29%	4.113	+1.56%	0.0073	✓	0.71	473k	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2174	0.218013	+0.28%	0.219	+0.74%	0.0019	✓	0.87	756k	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.302	1.3057	+0.28%	1.317	+1.15%	0.0015	✓	0.96	3.7M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.941	0.943579	+0.27%	1.002	+6.48%	0.0493	✓	1.46	8.9M	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.94	1.9453	+0.27%	2.22	+14.43%	0.1196	✓	1.70	1.5M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.001	9.0255	+0.27%	9.232	+2.57%	0.0128	✓	1.33	455k	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.28	4.2916	+0.27%	4.37	+2.10%	0.0120	✓	0.83	719k	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190748	0.191263	+0.27%	0.190018	-0.38%	0.0147	✗	1.11	6.1M	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7199	0.721838	+0.27%	0.7354	+2.15%	0.0092	✓	1.28	13.2M	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.517	+0.27%	18.67	+6.87%	0.0541	✓	1.31	14.6M	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.62	25.6873	+0.26%	25.82	+0.78%	0.0028	✗	1.07	2.7M	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0895	0.089731	+0.26%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0095	✗	1.09	19k	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081715	0.081925	+0.26%	0.081508	-0.25%	0.0122	✗	0.96	655k	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12333	0.123644	+0.25%	0.12458	+1.01%	0.0006	✓	1.10	29k	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.95	9.9751	+0.25%	9.64	-3.12%	0.0391	✗	0.67	1.0M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.34	9.3634	+0.25%	9.4	+0.64%	0.0018	✓	0.77	934k	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.78	3.7894	+0.25%	3.8689	+2.35%	0.0129	✓	1.06	819k	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.46	16.5002	+0.24%	17.11	+3.95%	0.0279	✓	1.13	4.9M	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,428.31	50,546.34	+0.23%	50,801.79	+0.74%	0.0023	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.74	42.84	+0.23%	42.59	-0.35%	0.0137	✗	1.06	21.2M	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.29	27.3529	+0.23%	26.72	-2.09%	0.0338	✗	1.40	24.1M	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.75	5.7633	+0.23%	5.85	+1.74%	0.0061	✓	1.19	3.0M	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.137	0.137311	+0.23%	0.1412	+3.07%	0.0198	✓	1.10	199k	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	455.36	456.3852	+0.23%	451.86	-0.77%	0.0175	✗	1.03	13.1M	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.12	22.1692	+0.22%	22.99	+3.93%	0.0267	✓	1.30	69.7M	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	263.91	264.4862	+0.22%	268.05	+1.57%	0.0055	✓	1.07	11.4M	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7916	0.79332	+0.22%	0.7893	-0.29%	0.0143	✗	1.25	7.7M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01881	0.01885	+0.21%	0.01869	-0.64%	0.0177	✗	1.25	2.9M	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	38.1	38.1801	+0.21%	37.92	-0.47%	0.0146	✗	1.05	5.9M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	195.44	195.849	+0.21%	194.3	-0.58%	0.0149	✗	0.94	12.0M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01996	0.020002	+0.21%	0.01958	-1.90%	0.0257	✗	0.59	53k	2021-12-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,009.40	51,113.28	+0.20%	50,987.30	-0.04%	0.0097	✗	0.98	8,566	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	293.74	294.336	+0.20%	322.4	+9.76%	0.0830	✓	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4807	+0.19%	5.487	+0.31%	0.0036	✗	0.65	846k	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1109	0.111108	+0.19%	0.113	+1.89%	0.0068	✓	1.36	3.0M	2021-12-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08801	0.088173	+0.18%	0.08785	-0.18%	0.0125	✗	1.20	21.7M	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.242842	+0.18%	0.2394	-1.24%	0.0177	✗	0.47	393k	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.952	1.9555	+0.18%	1.942	-0.51%	0.0166	✗	1.32	7.9M	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		128.21	128.4369	+0.18%	127.5	-0.55%	0.0146	✗	0.99	3.2M	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.44	34.4991	+0.17%	34.4	-0.12%	0.0078	✗	0.67	611k	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4542	1.4566	+0.17%	1.4549	+0.05%	0.0090	✗	1.06	120.7M	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	158	158.2618	+0.17%	155.96	-1.29%	0.0249	✗	1.39	56.9M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.41	39.4732	+0.16%	38.9	-1.29%	0.0258	✗	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	150	150.2372	+0.16%	149.09	-0.61%	0.0170	✗	1.27	2.1M	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05902	0.059099	+0.13%	0.05866	-0.61%	0.0157	✗	1.11	16k	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.02	37.0692	+0.13%	37.29	+0.73%	0.0015	✗	1.01	22.7M	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	193.06	193.3154	+0.13%	198	+2.56%	0.0164	✓	1.02	257.1M	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,097.43	4,102.67	+0.13%	4,065.91	-0.77%	0.0167	✗	1.05	768.5M	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011988	0.000120024	+0.12%	0.00012144	+1.30%	0.0044	✓	0.99	11.6M	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	10.0526	10.0643	+0.12%	9.8982	-1.54%	0.0273	✗	1.44	309k	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01838	0.018401	+0.12%	0.01937	+5.39%	0.0426	✓	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.331	3.3348	+0.11%	3.279	-1.56%	0.0231	✗	0.84	99k	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.55	3.5539	+0.11%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0084	✓	0.99	1.2M	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5192	2.5219	+0.10%	2.4928	-1.05%	0.0203	✗	1.18	147k	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1181	1.1193	+0.10%	1.1705	+4.69%	0.0338	✓	1.48	2.4M	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290047	0.290347	+0.10%	0.291987	+0.67%	0.0018	✗	1.00	35.1M	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.86	28.8879	+0.10%	31.34	+8.59%	0.0723	✓	1.25	77.3M	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5748	1.5761	+0.08%	1.6079	+2.10%	0.0121	✓	1.07	33.5M	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4098	1.4108	+0.07%	1.3933	-1.17%	0.0204	✗	1.07	1.3M	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.639	1.6401	+0.07%	1.668	+1.77%	0.0072	✓	1.30	4.8M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3183	0.318522	+0.07%	0.3303	+3.77%	0.0269	✓	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.5458	185.6685	+0.07%	187.2077	+0.90%	0.0001	✓	1.14	704k	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.862461	0.862924	+0.05%	0.879132	+1.93%	0.0106	✓	1.08	3.4M	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5919	+0.05%	3.81	+6.13%	0.0515	✓	1.02	787k	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.86	6.8633	+0.05%	6.8179	-0.61%	0.0154	✗	1.19	819k	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06464	0.06467	+0.05%	0.06404	-0.93%	0.0206	✗	1.46	9.2M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5842	3.5859	+0.05%	3.66	+2.11%	0.0113	✓	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5524	3.554	+0.04%	3.4826	-1.96%	0.0196	✗	-0.09	384k	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04956	0.049579	+0.04%	0.05082	+2.54%	0.0180	✓	0.91	11.3M	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2345	0.234579	+0.03%	0.24	+2.35%	0.0138	✓	1.22	6.2M	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.79	29.7995	+0.03%	32.17	+7.99%	0.0702	✓	0.85	39.4M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4703	0.470436	+0.03%	0.469	-0.28%	0.0136	✗	1.42	1.1M	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4176	0.417709	+0.03%	0.4225	+1.17%	0.0002	✓	1.52	4.4M	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2	2.0004	+0.02%	2.196	+9.80%	0.0884	✓	0.66	7.5M	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.65	7.651	+0.01%	7.93	+3.66%	0.0256	✓	1.38	15.1M	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10179	0.101796	+0.01%	0.09987	-1.89%	0.0299	✗	1.47	4.8M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.18	11.1804	+0.00%	11.25	+0.63%	0.0005	✓	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.78	9.7797	-0.00%	10.41	+6.44%	0.0545	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1406	0.140574	-0.02%	0.1438	+2.28%	0.0149	✗	1.06	413k	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	109.28	109.2553	-0.02%	107.53	-1.60%	0.0230	✓	0.96	8.4M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3974	0.397302	-0.02%	0.4265	+7.32%	0.0615	✗	1.27	5.3M	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5838	4.5825	-0.03%	4.8691	+6.22%	0.0512	✗	1.29	5.4M	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.1706	5.1682	-0.05%	4.9306	-4.64%	0.0526	✓	0.75	28k	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.77	70.7199	-0.07%	70.3	-0.66%	0.0171	✓	1.51	1.3M	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.315	1.314	-0.07%	1.3907	+5.76%	0.0490	✗	1.04	22.8M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.952	9.9446	-0.07%	9.727	-2.26%	0.0268	✓	0.63	388k	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11267	0.112578	-0.08%	0.11329	+0.55%	0.0021	✗	0.57	113k	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003772	0.000037688	-0.09%	0.00003825	+1.41%	0.0074	✗	1.00	2.1M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2058	0.205619	-0.09%	0.2011	-2.28%	0.0306	✓	1.14	4.2M	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.57	12.5585	-0.09%	12.67	+0.80%	0.0109	✗	-0.28	4.9M	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037845	0.037809	-0.09%	0.03765	-0.52%	0.0118	✓	1.02	11.6M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.64	169.464	-0.10%	167.45	-1.29%	0.0217	✓	1.32	12.7M	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0826	0.082506	-0.11%	0.084	+1.69%	0.0083	✗	1.31	2.3M	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.08	11.0648	-0.14%	10.61	-4.24%	0.0490	✓	0.95	2.0M	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.92	22.8871	-0.14%	22.898	-0.10%	0.0119	✓	1.68	20.1M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.27	1.2679	-0.16%	1.28	+0.79%	0.0021	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7869	0.785418	-0.19%	0.8093	+2.85%	0.0205	✗	1.28	4.0M	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01675	0.016718	-0.19%	0.01668	-0.42%	0.0091	✓	0.93	1.3M	2021-12-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	98.4	98.2088	-0.19%	99.78	+1.40%	0.0085	✗	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,196.71	31,130.68	-0.21%	31,193.34	-0.01%	0.0018	✓	0.52	7.7M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3389	1.3359	-0.22%	1.3324	-0.49%	0.0157	✓	1.76	1.6M	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.7091	-0.23%	4.72	+0.00%	0.0051	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3659	0.364996	-0.25%	0.371	+1.39%	0.0096	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1799	1.1762	-0.31%	1.0806	-8.42%	0.0922	✓	1.00	184k	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.84	5.818	-0.38%	5.75	-1.54%	0.0214	✓	1.31	28.7M	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.134	3.122	-0.38%	3.19	+1.79%	0.0144	✗	0.97	2.2M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.29	5.2696	-0.39%	5.23	-1.13%	0.0149	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.91	4.8909	-0.39%	4.79	-2.44%	0.0282	✓	1.00	1.3M	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.721	0.718184	-0.39%	0.73	+1.25%	0.0072	✗	1.24	3.0M	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2841	2.2738	-0.45%	2.3444	+2.64%	0.0162	✗	1.95	1.9M	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.57	44.3692	-0.45%	43.55	-2.29%	0.0313	✓	1.71	4.2M	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	46.41	46.1962	-0.46%	45.66	-1.62%	0.0253	✓	1.85	8.6M	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0162	2.006	-0.50%	2.0712	+2.73%	0.0268	✗	0.70	1.3M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.86	114.2447	-0.54%	115.07	+0.18%	0.0012	✓	1.13	136.0M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21629	0.214763	-0.71%	0.20968	-3.06%	0.0359	✓	1.62	23k	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.292	4.2608	-0.73%	4.307	+0.35%	0.0034	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7241	1.7114	-0.74%	1.6918	-1.87%	0.0188	✓	1.00	6.2M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7481	3.7157	-0.87%	3.862	+3.04%	0.0322	✗	0.88	8.6M	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6509	1.6365	-0.87%	1.7664	+7.00%	0.0667	✗	1.32	8.6M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.23	13.1138	-0.88%	13.1	-0.98%	0.0049	✓	0.53	2.7M	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		16.057	15.9123	-0.90%	15.136	-5.74%	0.0494	✓	-0.08	134k	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02284	0.022619	-0.97%	0.02201	-3.63%	0.0347	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.536	0.528955	-1.31%	0.494	-7.84%	0.0737	✓	0.73	45k	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	16.15	15.9191	-1.43%	15.17	-6.07%	0.0480	✓	-0.02	5.1M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7354	0.722117	-1.81%	0.7068	-3.89%	0.0344	✓	1.76	17.7M	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.01	4.9086	-2.02%	5.75	+14.77%	0.1508	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.