8=======>

2021-12-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1403
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.6066-3.36%15.17-6.07%0.0282✓-0.025.1M2021-12-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.5203-2.93%0.494-7.84%0.0572✓0.7345k2021-12-26
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.6553-2.50%15.136-5.74%0.0331✓-0.08134k2021-12-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.913-1.94%5.75+14.77%0.1499✗1.0012.1M2021-12-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.724408-1.49%0.7068-3.89%0.0376✓1.7617.7M2021-12-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2313.0538-1.33%13.1-0.98%0.0004✓0.532.7M2021-12-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.1008-1.06%3.19+1.79%0.0212✗0.972.2M2021-12-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.022601-1.05%0.02201-3.63%0.0339✓1.0035.6M2021-12-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.2522-0.93%4.307+0.35%0.0054✓1.003.6M2021-12-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.786-0.92%5.75-1.54%0.0159✓1.3128.7M2021-12-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.7154-0.87%3.862+3.04%0.0322✗0.888.6M2021-12-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86113.878-0.85%115.07+0.18%0.0021✓1.13136.0M2021-12-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.924-0.83%2.22+14.43%0.1306✗1.701.5M2021-12-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.715325-0.79%0.73+1.25%0.0112✗1.243.0M2021-12-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.01622.0008-0.76%2.0712+2.73%0.0294✗0.701.3M2021-12-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5744.2333-0.76%43.55-2.29%0.0282✓1.714.2M2021-12-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.7115-0.73%1.6918-1.87%0.0189✓1.006.2M2021-12-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.414886-0.65%0.4225+1.17%0.0070✗1.524.4M2021-12-26
HIVEHivenative1.65091.6402-0.65%1.7664+7.00%0.0644✗1.328.6M2021-12-26
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.6014-0.64%7.93+3.66%0.0321✗1.3815.1M2021-12-26
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91262.2469-0.63%268.05+1.57%0.0140✗1.0711.4M2021-12-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0811.0103-0.63%10.61-4.24%0.0441✓0.952.0M2021-12-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8886-0.62%9.64-3.12%0.0304✓0.671.0M2021-12-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.258-0.60%5.23-1.13%0.0127✓1.006.5M2021-12-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.782158-0.60%0.8093+2.85%0.0247✗1.284.0M2021-12-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3309-0.60%1.3324-0.49%0.0119✓1.761.6M2021-12-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7131,012.26-0.59%31,193.34-0.01%0.0020✓0.527.7M2021-12-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2706-0.59%2.3444+2.64%0.0176✗1.951.9M2021-12-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1731-0.58%1.0806-8.42%0.0895✓1.00184k2021-12-26
LUNATerraTerra 298.497.8316-0.58%99.78+1.40%0.0123✗1.006.1M2021-12-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4146.1461-0.57%45.66-1.62%0.0242✓1.858.6M2021-12-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.363839-0.56%0.371+1.39%0.0128✗0.91356k2021-12-26
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016658-0.55%0.01668-0.42%0.0056✓0.931.3M2021-12-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000037515-0.54%0.00003825+1.41%0.0120✗1.002.1M2021-12-26
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.7282-0.53%10.41+6.44%0.0598✗1.084.1M2021-12-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.082165-0.53%0.084+1.69%0.0124✗1.312.3M2021-12-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9895-0.52%2.196+9.80%0.0939✗0.667.5M2021-12-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.215185-0.51%0.20968-3.06%0.0379✓1.6223k2021-12-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8851-0.51%4.79-2.44%0.0270✓1.001.3M2021-12-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4139.211-0.50%38.9-1.29%0.0191✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037661-0.49%0.03765-0.52%0.0078✓1.0211.6M2021-12-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.6469-0.48%32.17+7.99%0.0754✗0.8539.4M2021-12-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.8275-0.47%6.8179-0.61%0.0102✓1.19819k2021-12-26
ZECZcashZcash169.64168.8387-0.47%167.45-1.29%0.0180✓1.3212.7M2021-12-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019875-0.43%0.01958-1.90%0.0193✓0.5953k2021-12-26
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.7-0.42%4.72+0.00%0.0031✓1.002.5M2021-12-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.3095-0.42%1.3907+5.76%0.0525✗1.0422.8M2021-12-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.23353-0.41%0.24+2.35%0.0183✗1.226.2M2021-12-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2648-0.41%1.28+0.79%0.0046✗1.002.4M2021-12-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.1359-0.39%11.25+0.63%0.0045✗0.771.4M2021-12-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.3034-0.39%9.4+0.64%0.0046✗0.77934k2021-12-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5702-0.39%3.66+2.11%0.0156✗1.253.4M2021-12-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.08767-0.39%0.08785-0.18%0.0068✓1.2021.7M2021-12-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.112241-0.38%0.11329+0.55%0.0051✗0.57113k2021-12-26
XVGVergenative0.018380.018312-0.37%0.01937+5.39%0.0475✗1.182.8M2021-12-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058808-0.36%0.05866-0.61%0.0107✓1.1116k2021-12-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7770.5187-0.36%70.3-0.66%0.0143✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1523-0.35%4.9306-4.64%0.0495✓0.7528k2021-12-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.9515-0.34%16.92-0.53%0.0069✓0.691.4M2021-12-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5777-0.34%3.81+6.13%0.0554✗1.02787k2021-12-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0362-0.34%4.113+1.56%0.0136✗0.71473k2021-12-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.140131-0.33%0.1438+2.28%0.0181✗1.06413k2021-12-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.5282-0.33%12.67+0.80%0.0134✗-0.284.9M2021-12-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2642-0.33%5.3426+1.16%0.0048✗1.355.4M2021-12-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5697-0.32%1.6079+2.10%0.0161✗1.0733.5M2021-12-26
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4497-0.31%1.4549+0.05%0.0042✓1.06120.7M2021-12-26
XEMNEMnative0.1370.136576-0.31%0.1412+3.07%0.0252✗1.10199k2021-12-26
DASHDashDash150149.5371-0.31%149.09-0.61%0.0123✓1.272.1M2021-12-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.4056-0.30%1.3933-1.17%0.0167✓1.071.3M2021-12-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.396219-0.30%0.4265+7.32%0.0643✗1.275.3M2021-12-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.9226-0.30%9.727-2.26%0.0245✓0.63388k2021-12-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.205199-0.29%0.2011-2.28%0.0286✓1.144.2M2021-12-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.789303-0.29%0.7893-0.29%0.0092✓1.257.7M2021-12-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018756-0.29%0.01869-0.64%0.0127✓1.252.9M2021-12-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.049418-0.29%0.05082+2.54%0.0212✗0.9111.3M2021-12-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.089245-0.28%0.0896+0.11%0.0041✓1.0919k2021-12-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023741-0.28%0.024422+2.58%0.0194✗1.202.2M2021-12-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.190221-0.28%0.190018-0.38%0.0092✓1.116.1M2021-12-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.317422-0.28%0.3303+3.77%0.0304✗1.285.8M2021-12-26
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.7705-0.27%216.57+2.47%0.0199✗0.992.8M2021-12-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.8579-0.27%22.898-0.10%0.0107✓1.6820.1M2021-12-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.058.0282-0.27%7.96-1.12%0.0132✓0.631.0M2021-12-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.110601-0.27%0.113+1.89%0.0114✗1.363.0M2021-12-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.289275-0.27%0.291987+0.67%0.0019✓1.0035.1M2021-12-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9468-0.27%1.942-0.51%0.0122✓1.327.9M2021-12-26
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44227.8658-0.25%235.5+3.09%0.0249✗1.10239k2021-12-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.2244-0.24%26.72-2.09%0.0290✓1.4024.1M2021-12-26
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.93875-0.24%1.002+6.48%0.0544✗1.468.9M2021-12-26
BANDBandEthereum5.755.7364-0.24%5.85+1.74%0.0108✗1.193.0M2021-12-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.5134-0.23%2.4928-1.05%0.0170✓1.18147k2021-12-26
QNTQuantEthereum195.44195.0007-0.22%194.3-0.58%0.0105✓0.9412.0M2021-12-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101565-0.22%0.09987-1.89%0.0277✓1.474.8M2021-12-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2706-0.22%4.37+2.10%0.0169✗0.83719k2021-12-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28109.0461-0.21%107.53-1.60%0.0211✓0.968.4M2021-12-26
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000119639-0.20%0.00012144+1.30%0.0077✗0.9911.6M2021-12-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.3714-0.20%34.4-0.12%0.0041✓0.67611k2021-12-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.543-0.20%3.61+1.69%0.0115✗0.991.2M2021-12-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.718486-0.20%0.7354+2.15%0.0138✗1.2813.2M2021-12-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.469433-0.18%0.469-0.28%0.0114✓1.421.1M2021-12-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1243-0.18%3.08-1.60%0.0238✓1.293.2M2021-12-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0803-0.18%22.99+3.93%0.0307✗1.3069.7M2021-12-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5461-0.18%3.4826-1.96%0.0174✓-0.09384k2021-12-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.6658-0.17%42.59-0.35%0.0096✓1.0621.2M2021-12-26
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7736-0.17%3.8689+2.35%0.0171✗1.06819k2021-12-26
QTUMQtumQtum10.052610.0359-0.17%9.8982-1.54%0.0245✓1.44309k2021-12-26
KSMKusamaHydration293.74293.2738-0.16%322.4+9.76%0.0866✗1.091.5M2021-12-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9868-0.16%9.232+2.57%0.0171✗1.33455k2021-12-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.064539-0.16%0.06404-0.93%0.0186✓1.469.2M2021-12-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.123141-0.15%0.12458+1.01%0.0035✗1.1029k2021-12-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7259-0.15%2.76+1.10%0.0049✗1.024.4M2021-12-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,091.33-0.15%4,065.91-0.77%0.0139✓1.05768.5M2021-12-26
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5773-0.14%4.8691+6.22%0.0523✗1.295.4M2021-12-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6368-0.14%1.668+1.77%0.0093✗1.304.8M2021-12-26
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3808-0.13%6.7502+5.65%0.0504✗0.804.3M2021-12-26
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.448-0.13%18.67+6.87%0.0580✗1.3114.6M2021-12-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.217131-0.12%0.219+0.74%0.0022✗0.87756k2021-12-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,366.48-0.12%50,801.79+0.74%0.0012✓1.00750.8M2021-12-26
SOLSolanaSolana193.06192.8239-0.12%198+2.56%0.0190✗1.02257.1M2021-12-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.861457-0.12%0.879132+1.93%0.0123✗1.083.4M2021-12-26
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458185.3367-0.11%187.2077+0.90%0.0017✗1.14704k2021-12-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.9789-0.11%37.29+0.73%0.0009✓1.0122.7M2021-12-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4641-0.11%5.487+0.31%0.0006✓0.65846k2021-12-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.4432-0.10%17.11+3.95%0.0314✗1.134.9M2021-12-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.328-0.09%3.279-1.56%0.0211✓0.8499k2021-12-26
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.081642-0.09%0.081508-0.25%0.0087✓0.96655k2021-12-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.5977-0.09%25.82+0.78%0.0007✓1.072.7M2021-12-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.308-0.09%2.289-0.91%0.0164✓1.113.3M2021-12-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21128.1015-0.08%127.5-0.55%0.0120✓0.993.2M2021-12-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8751-0.08%6.24+6.12%0.0521✗1.114.6M2021-12-26
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.242213-0.08%0.2394-1.24%0.0152✓0.47393k2021-12-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158157.8857-0.07%155.96-1.29%0.0225✓1.3956.9M2021-12-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.138.0738-0.07%37.92-0.47%0.0118✓1.055.9M2021-12-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.3012-0.06%1.317+1.15%0.0050✗0.963.7M2021-12-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36455.2841-0.02%451.86-0.77%0.0151✓1.0313.1M2021-12-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.118-0.01%1.1705+4.69%0.0350✗1.482.4M2021-12-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4051,011.57+0.00%50,987.30-0.04%0.0077✗0.988,5662021-12-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.8652+0.02%31.34+8.59%0.0731✓1.2577.3M2021-12-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.