2021-12-24 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0158

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.80%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.4%

in alpha space · 62.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.368	0.370021	+0.55%	0.536	+45.65%	0.3769	✓	0.76	45k	2021-12-25
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.76	7.7958	+0.46%	8.05	+3.74%	0.0374	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-25
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.7	1.7077	+0.46%	1.94	+14.12%	0.1418	✓	1.71	1.5M	2021-12-25
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.014	5.0352	+0.42%	5.2814	+5.33%	0.0591	✓	1.36	5.2M	2021-12-25
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.74	16.8081	+0.41%	17.01	+1.61%	0.0177	✓	0.69	1.4M	2021-12-25
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.75	2.7607	+0.39%	2.73	-0.73%	0.0027	✓	1.02	4.7M	2021-12-25
XMR	Monero	Monero	204.44	205.238	+0.39%	211.35	+3.38%	0.0376	✓	0.99	2.7M	2021-12-25
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.05	9.0846	+0.38%	9.95	+9.94%	0.0967	✓	0.68	1.0M	2021-12-25
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3128	6.3362	+0.37%	6.389	+1.21%	0.0150	✓	0.80	4.6M	2021-12-25
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.72	5.7409	+0.37%	5.88	+2.80%	0.0332	✓	1.11	5.0M	2021-12-25
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.08	3.0913	+0.37%	3.13	+1.62%	0.0232	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-25
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.266	2.274	+0.35%	2.31	+1.94%	0.0250	✓	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-25
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	230.2	230.9801	+0.34%	228.44	-0.76%	0.0019	✓	1.10	239k	2021-12-25
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02326	0.023338	+0.33%	0.023808	+2.36%	0.0300	✓	1.20	2.2M	2021-12-25
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.681	8.7095	+0.33%	9.001	+3.69%	0.0441	✓	1.33	511k	2021-12-25
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.287	1.2912	+0.33%	1.302	+1.17%	0.0164	✓	0.97	4.1M	2021-12-25
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.909	0.911936	+0.32%	0.941	+3.52%	0.0436	✓	1.47	9.3M	2021-12-25
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.697	0.699216	+0.32%	0.7199	+3.29%	0.0399	✓	1.28	14.0M	2021-12-25
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.004	4.0167	+0.32%	4.05	+1.15%	0.0142	✓	0.71	473k	2021-12-25
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.186316	0.186901	+0.31%	0.190748	+2.38%	0.0297	✓	1.11	6.1M	2021-12-25
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.157	4.1698	+0.31%	4.28	+2.96%	0.0330	✓	0.83	714k	2021-12-25
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0888	0.089069	+0.30%	0.0895	+0.79%	0.0140	✓	1.09	21k	2021-12-25
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2162	0.216851	+0.30%	0.2174	+0.56%	0.0098	✓	0.87	776k	2021-12-25
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.83	15.8763	+0.29%	16.46	+3.98%	0.0456	✓	1.14	5.0M	2021-12-25
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.34	25.4133	+0.29%	25.62	+1.10%	0.0171	✓	1.07	2.7M	2021-12-25
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	34.92	35.02	+0.29%	39.41	+12.86%	0.1308	✓	1.52	1.3M	2021-12-25
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.5	17.55	+0.29%	17.47	-0.17%	0.0064	✓	1.31	14.6M	2021-12-25
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.6421	3.6524	+0.28%	3.78	+3.79%	0.0432	✓	1.06	819k	2021-12-25
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.1219	0.122242	+0.28%	0.12333	+1.17%	0.0180	✓	1.10	30k	2021-12-25
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08284	0.083071	+0.28%	0.08801	+6.24%	0.0678	✓	1.21	21.7M	2021-12-25
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.080892	0.081112	+0.27%	0.081715	+1.02%	0.0155	✓	0.96	659k	2021-12-25
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.07	9.0946	+0.27%	9.34	+2.98%	0.0331	✓	0.78	836k	2021-12-25
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.63	5.6452	+0.27%	5.75	+2.13%	0.0284	✓	1.19	3.0M	2021-12-25
XEM	NEM	native	0.1359	0.136262	+0.27%	0.137	+0.81%	0.0146	✓	1.10	202k	2021-12-25
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.68	42.7916	+0.26%	42.74	+0.14%	0.0076	✓	1.06	21.8M	2021-12-25
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.47	21.5249	+0.26%	22.12	+3.03%	0.0382	✓	1.31	69.7M	2021-12-25
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,851.38	50,979.92	+0.25%	50,428.31	-0.83%	0.0025	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-25
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	452.27	453.3964	+0.25%	455.36	+0.68%	0.0129	✓	1.03	13.7M	2021-12-25
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.42	37.5125	+0.25%	38.1	+1.82%	0.0243	✓	1.05	6.1M	2021-12-25
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.275	5.2876	+0.24%	5.47	+3.70%	0.0393	✓	0.65	846k	2021-12-25
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	50,714.60	50,834.40	+0.24%	51,009.40	+0.58%	0.0117	✓	0.98	9,279	2021-12-25
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018804	+0.23%	0.01881	+0.27%	0.0108	✓	1.25	3.2M	2021-12-25
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01972	0.019766	+0.23%	0.01996	+1.22%	0.0147	✓	0.59	60k	2021-12-25
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	288.88	289.5514	+0.23%	293.74	+1.68%	0.0235	✓	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-25
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7966	0.798395	+0.23%	0.7916	-0.63%	0.0019	✓	1.25	7.7M	2021-12-25
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3935	1.3966	+0.22%	1.4542	+4.36%	0.0493	✓	1.07	124.4M	2021-12-25
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1086	0.10884	+0.22%	0.1109	+2.12%	0.0302	✓	1.37	3.0M	2021-12-25
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	199.57	199.9941	+0.21%	195.44	-2.07%	0.0152	✗	0.94	12.0M	2021-12-25
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.63	27.6849	+0.20%	27.29	-1.23%	0.0027	✗	1.40	24.1M	2021-12-25
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.01	34.0775	+0.20%	34.44	+1.26%	0.0162	✓	0.67	649k	2021-12-25
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2445	0.244967	+0.19%	0.2424	-0.86%	0.0066	✗	0.47	410k	2021-12-25
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.999	2.0027	+0.19%	1.952	-2.35%	0.0147	✗	1.31	7.9M	2021-12-25
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		129.58	129.814	+0.18%	128.21	-1.06%	0.0042	✗	0.99	3.2M	2021-12-25
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.139	3.1444	+0.17%	3.331	+6.12%	0.0647	✓	0.85	100k	2021-12-25
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	161.35	161.6184	+0.17%	158	-2.08%	0.0110	✗	1.39	58.6M	2021-12-25
DASH	Dash	Dash	149.49	149.7378	+0.17%	150	+0.34%	0.0123	✓	1.27	2.2M	2021-12-25
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.8967	1.8998	+0.16%	2	+5.45%	0.0569	✓	0.66	8.1M	2021-12-25
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.47	36.53	+0.16%	37.02	+1.51%	0.0218	✓	1.02	23.1M	2021-12-25
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,049.65	4,056.03	+0.16%	4,097.43	+1.18%	0.0189	✓	1.05	768.5M	2021-12-25
SOL	Solana	Solana	190.65	190.9375	+0.15%	193.06	+1.26%	0.0196	✓	1.02	257.1M	2021-12-25
XEC	eCash	native	0.0001173	0.000117475	+0.15%	0.00011988	+2.20%	0.0285	✓	0.99	11.7M	2021-12-25
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.7921	9.8065	+0.15%	10.0526	+2.66%	0.0368	✓	1.44	349k	2021-12-25
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.278628	0.279035	+0.15%	0.290047	+4.10%	0.0471	✓	1.01	36.2M	2021-12-25
XVG	Verge	native	0.01798	0.018006	+0.15%	0.01838	+2.22%	0.0305	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-25
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05798	0.058064	+0.14%	0.05902	+1.79%	0.0257	✓	1.12	17k	2021-12-25
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.53	3.5351	+0.14%	3.55	+0.57%	0.0125	✓	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-25
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3016	0.302007	+0.13%	0.3183	+5.54%	0.0632	✓	1.28	6.2M	2021-12-25
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.17	28.2059	+0.13%	28.86	+2.45%	0.0334	✓	1.25	77.3M	2021-12-25
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.87	26.9029	+0.12%	29.79	+10.87%	0.1091	✓	0.86	40.2M	2021-12-25
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1183	1.1196	+0.12%	1.1181	-0.02%	0.0110	✓	1.49	2.5M	2021-12-25
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.593	1.5948	+0.11%	1.639	+2.89%	0.0382	✓	1.31	5.2M	2021-12-25
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2171	0.217336	+0.11%	0.2345	+8.01%	0.0863	✓	1.23	6.5M	2021-12-25
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3856	1.387	+0.10%	1.4098	+1.75%	0.0253	✓	1.08	1.4M	2021-12-25
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.6807	6.6875	+0.10%	6.86	+2.68%	0.0354	✓	1.19	876k	2021-12-25
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5759	2.5784	+0.10%	2.5192	-2.20%	0.0133	✗	1.18	152k	2021-12-25
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.062217	0.062275	+0.09%	0.06464	+3.89%	0.0495	✓	1.47	9.5M	2021-12-25
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	270.33	270.5638	+0.09%	263.91	-2.37%	0.0160	✗	1.07	11.4M	2021-12-25
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.850611	0.851341	+0.09%	0.862461	+1.39%	0.0220	✓	1.08	3.7M	2021-12-25
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	188.1748	188.3207	+0.08%	185.5458	-1.40%	0.0053	✗	1.14	720k	2021-12-25
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.4093	3.4119	+0.08%	3.5842	+5.13%	0.0597	✓	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-25
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.54	3.5425	+0.07%	3.59	+1.41%	0.0218	✓	1.02	807k	2021-12-25
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09257	0.092633	+0.07%	0.10179	+9.96%	0.1066	✓	1.48	4.8M	2021-12-25
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.576	1.577	+0.06%	1.5748	-0.08%	0.0076	✓	1.07	34.9M	2021-12-25
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04944	0.049465	+0.05%	0.04956	+0.24%	0.0096	✓	0.91	12.1M	2021-12-25
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5814	3.5832	+0.05%	3.5524	-0.81%	0.0094	✗	-0.09	384k	2021-12-25
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4629	0.463124	+0.05%	0.4703	+1.60%	0.0273	✓	1.43	1.2M	2021-12-25
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	104.62	104.6472	+0.03%	109.28	+4.45%	0.0514	✓	0.96	8.8M	2021-12-25
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.56	9.5622	+0.02%	9.78	+2.30%	0.0315	✓	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-25
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4062	0.406278	+0.02%	0.4176	+2.81%	0.0402	✓	1.52	4.4M	2021-12-25
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4901	4.4907	+0.01%	4.5838	+2.09%	0.0313	✓	1.29	5.4M	2021-12-25
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3826	0.382642	+0.01%	0.3974	+3.87%	0.0485	✓	1.27	6.2M	2021-12-25
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.08	11.0804	+0.00%	11.18	+0.90%	0.0154	✓	0.77	1.5M	2021-12-25
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.219	5.2188	-0.00%	5.1706	-0.93%	0.0030	✓	0.75	29k	2021-12-25
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1379	0.13789	-0.01%	0.1406	+1.96%	0.0283	✗	1.06	445k	2021-12-25
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2849	1.2843	-0.04%	1.315	+2.34%	0.0323	✗	1.04	22.8M	2021-12-25
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2028	0.202699	-0.05%	0.2058	+1.48%	0.0247	✗	1.14	4.3M	2021-12-25
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.023	10.0173	-0.06%	9.952	-0.71%	0.0013	✓	0.63	455k	2021-12-25
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.34	12.3327	-0.06%	12.57	+1.86%	0.0167	✗	-0.28	4.9M	2021-12-25
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.53	70.4849	-0.06%	70.77	+0.34%	0.0167	✗	1.51	1.4M	2021-12-25
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003614	0.000036117	-0.07%	0.00003772	+4.37%	0.0518	✗	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-25
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11016	0.110087	-0.07%	0.11267	+2.28%	0.0280	✗	0.57	143k	2021-12-25
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.85	10.8417	-0.08%	11.08	+2.12%	0.0297	✗	0.95	1.6M	2021-12-25
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.18	165.0523	-0.08%	169.64	+2.70%	0.0384	✗	1.32	13.6M	2021-12-25
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.94	7.9335	-0.08%	7.65	-3.65%	0.0249	✓	1.38	14.9M	2021-12-25
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0781	0.078023	-0.10%	0.0826	+5.76%	0.0680	✗	1.31	2.5M	2021-12-25
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038247	0.038207	-0.10%	0.037845	-1.05%	0.0010	✓	1.02	12.1M	2021-12-25
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.81	22.7791	-0.14%	22.92	+0.48%	0.0202	✗	1.68	21.0M	2021-12-25
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.23	1.2282	-0.15%	1.27	+3.25%	0.0418	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-25
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7596	0.758336	-0.17%	0.7869	+3.59%	0.0477	✗	1.28	5.1M	2021-12-25
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01651	0.016481	-0.18%	0.01675	+1.45%	0.0240	✗	0.94	1.4M	2021-12-25
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3138	1.3111	-0.21%	1.3389	+1.91%	0.0357	✗	1.76	1.6M	2021-12-25
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.63	4.6201	-0.21%	4.72	+1.94%	0.0297	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-25
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.19	5.1787	-0.22%	5.84	+12.52%	0.1312	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-25
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.793	2.7864	-0.24%	3.134	+12.21%	0.1257	✗	0.98	2.2M	2021-12-25
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.673	0.671302	-0.25%	0.721	+7.13%	0.0818	✗	1.24	3.0M	2021-12-25
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3611	0.360158	-0.26%	0.3659	+1.33%	0.0234	✗	0.91	388k	2021-12-25
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.189	1.1856	-0.29%	1.1799	-0.77%	0.0036	✗	1.00	190k	2021-12-25
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,577.63	32,466.67	-0.34%	31,196.71	-4.24%	0.0356	✓	0.52	7.0M	2021-12-25
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.83	4.8133	-0.35%	4.91	+1.66%	0.0282	✗	1.00	1.5M	2021-12-25
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.793	3.7795	-0.36%	4.292	+13.16%	0.1355	✗	1.00	3.5M	2021-12-25
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.51	5.4895	-0.37%	5.29	-3.99%	0.0287	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-25
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2129	2.2036	-0.42%	2.2841	+3.22%	0.0521	✗	1.95	2.1M	2021-12-25
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.77	3.7538	-0.43%	5.01	+32.89%	0.2970	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-25
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.15	43.954	-0.44%	44.57	+0.95%	0.0282	✗	1.71	4.7M	2021-12-25
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9469	1.9381	-0.45%	2.0162	+3.56%	0.0453	✗	0.70	1.3M	2021-12-25
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.72	45.5137	-0.45%	46.41	+1.51%	0.0349	✗	1.85	8.8M	2021-12-25
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.93	114.2993	-0.55%	114.86	-0.06%	0.0144	✗	1.13	142.8M	2021-12-25
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.11	12.0251	-0.70%	13.23	+9.25%	0.0999	✗	0.53	2.7M	2021-12-25
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21483	0.213253	-0.73%	0.21629	+0.68%	0.0277	✗	1.62	24k	2021-12-25
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.5	3.4729	-0.77%	3.7481	+7.09%	0.0836	✗	0.88	9.0M	2021-12-25
HIVE	Hive	native	1.593	1.5801	-0.81%	1.6509	+3.63%	0.0549	✗	1.32	10.4M	2021-12-25
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.751	1.7359	-0.86%	1.7241	-1.54%	0.0015	✓	1.00	6.7M	2021-12-25
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02191	0.021712	-0.90%	0.02284	+4.24%	0.0590	✗	1.00	39.8M	2021-12-25
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.611	15.3807	-1.48%	16.057	+2.86%	0.0424	✗	-0.08	133k	2021-12-25
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	15.4239	-1.76%	16.15	+2.87%	0.0458	✗	-0.02	4.8M	2021-12-25
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7622	0.747193	-1.97%	0.7354	-3.52%	0.0012	✓	1.76	14.6M	2021-12-25

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.