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2021-12-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3036
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.0%
in alpha space · 93.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27459.4508+1.59%302.74-33.06%0.0704✗1.0313.7M2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.2056+1.17%3.138-24.51%0.0118✗0.83714k2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.9371+0.68%8.17-48.39%0.2845✗1.145.0M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.7427+0.40%3.94-31.12%0.0010✓1.115.0M2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.246+0.27%18.82-33.19%0.0158✓1.2577.3M2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.368143+0.04%0.278-24.46%0.0259✗0.7645k2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2734-0.03%3.844-27.13%0.0969✓0.65846k2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.092447-0.13%0.05508-40.50%0.0194✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.462-0.22%11.43-34.69%0.0186✗1.3114.6M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7391-0.27%5.02-35.31%0.2186✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9828-0.53%2.945-26.45%0.0607✓0.71473k2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4964-0.95%2.41-31.73%0.0389✓0.991.3M2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.9625-0.97%5.92-34.59%0.1858✓0.681.0M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.1028-1.01%19.51-46.50%0.2723✓1.0223.1M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5764-1.04%0.881-44.70%0.1412✓1.315.2M2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58128.0935-1.15%93.79-27.62%0.0220✗0.993.2M2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.1654-1.21%35.99-15.67%0.1991✗1.0621.8M2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.241481-1.23%0.1617-33.87%0.2423✓0.47410k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.1999-1.26%16.67-22.36%0.2010✗1.3169.7M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2701-1.31%0.731-43.20%0.2261✓0.974.1M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,023.74-1.36%36,274.40-28.47%0.0108✓0.989,2792022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7102-1.45%1.7-38.18%0.1235✓1.024.7M2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.079715-1.46%0.057499-28.92%0.0016✓0.96659k2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.686736-1.47%0.4151-40.44%0.0710✓1.2814.0M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.213009-1.48%0.1477-31.68%0.0730✓0.87776k2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,988.71-1.50%2,541.19-37.25%0.0975✓1.05768.5M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65187.7801-1.51%99.82-47.64%0.2877✓1.02257.1M2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0331-1.52%1.82-40.91%0.0758✓1.293.2M2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.1937-1.58%21.28-22.98%0.2279✗1.4024.1M2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.02289-1.59%0.015019-35.43%0.0149✓1.202.2M2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35158.7729-1.60%112.35-30.37%0.1230✗1.3958.6M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2285-1.65%1.421-37.29%0.0759✓1.113.4M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.789-1.69%25.17-32.74%0.0253✓1.056.1M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.414-1.69%3.0753-31.51%0.0743✗1.295.4M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.5312-1.73%6.033-30.50%0.1036✗1.33511k2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.913-1.73%5.85-35.50%0.1589✓0.78836k2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3849,945.55-1.78%36,282.47-28.65%0.0180✗1.00750.8M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2226.0612-1.80%128.28-44.27%0.1960✓1.10239k2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44200.6399-1.86%156.73-23.34%0.0874✗0.992.7M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.182791-1.89%0.141702-23.95%0.1205✗1.116.1M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.8016-2.12%14.05-44.55%0.2058✓1.072.7M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.1721-2.23%6.1111-3.20%0.2601✗0.804.6M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9002-2.27%3.1436-37.30%0.0145✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.222-2.32%22.3-34.43%0.1723✓0.67649k2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88282.1329-2.34%191.51-33.71%0.0190✓1.091.5M2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.119035-2.35%0.08478-30.45%0.0320✗1.1030k2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0905-2.48%0.596-46.70%0.1027✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.884279-2.72%0.507-44.22%0.0611✓1.479.3M2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7234-2.73%4.66-41.31%0.0404✓1.3814.9M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9233.9501-2.78%19.45-44.30%0.0435✓1.521.3M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.5409-2.78%2.227-38.85%0.1048✓1.06819k2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.826939-2.78%0.54463-35.97%0.0525✓1.083.7M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0513-2.79%2.095-33.26%0.0896✓0.85100k2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3545-2.80%1.1249-19.28%0.1748✗1.07124.4M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.4787-2.87%3.5571-0.68%0.0070✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.5092-2.89%5.815-40.62%0.0042✓1.44349k2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.270439-2.94%0.201066-27.84%0.0433✗1.0136.2M2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.2478-2.94%12.97-22.52%0.0080✓0.691.4M2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.0701-2.98%34.65+28.95%0.5753✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62101.4624-3.02%54.81-47.61%0.2908✓0.968.8M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.060331-3.03%0.039977-35.75%0.0833✗1.479.5M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33261.9514-3.10%158.72-41.29%0.1399✓1.0711.4M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57193.3569-3.11%109.75-45.01%0.2494✓0.9412.0M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9347-3.21%1.154-42.27%0.0733✓1.317.9M2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000113528-3.22%0.00007477-36.26%0.0835✓0.9911.7M2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.770598-3.26%0.5301-33.45%0.0487✗1.257.7M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.4406-3.36%3.59-36.23%0.0128✓1.193.0M2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49144.2196-3.53%99.58-33.39%0.0575✗1.272.2M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.6849-3.57%8.96-19.13%0.0852✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.209268-3.61%0.1139-47.54%0.1942✓1.236.5M2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.195363-3.67%0.1069-47.29%0.2170✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.2813-3.75%2.7981-17.93%0.2636✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2353-3.86%0.8156-36.52%0.0637✓1.0422.8M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.130574-3.92%0.0976-28.18%0.0791✗1.10202k2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018003-4.03%0.01032-44.99%0.1348✓1.253.2M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.13224-4.10%0.0783-43.22%0.1669✓1.06445k2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1789-4.16%0.66-46.34%0.2425✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.601-4.21%6.129-38.85%0.2366✓0.63455k2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.085037-4.24%0.0613-30.97%0.0414✓1.0921k2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.105456-4.27%0.06514-40.87%0.2886✓0.57143k2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.38868-4.31%0.2697-33.60%0.1487✗1.524.4M2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2194.9932-4.33%2.9942-42.63%0.2583✓0.7529k2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5077-4.33%0.9895-37.21%0.0591✓1.0734.9M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3819-4.47%2.44-31.07%0.0171✓1.02807k2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.018835-4.49%0.01258-36.21%0.2041✓0.5960k2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.288056-4.49%0.1855-38.49%0.0078✓1.286.2M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.442043-4.51%0.5547+19.83%0.7091✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.079087-4.53%0.05184-37.42%0.0149✓1.2121.7M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3227-4.54%1.4593+5.32%0.4612✗1.081.4M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.7638-4.59%15.88-30.38%0.2531✗1.6821.0M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6215-4.62%0.85-50.00%0.0691✓1.711.5M2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.047138-4.66%0.02905-41.24%0.1753✓0.9112.1M2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4526-4.79%1.6289-36.76%0.0097✓1.18152k2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.7394-4.87%6.52-47.16%0.6834✓-0.284.9M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.3987-5.00%2.49-46.22%0.2314✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.36235-5.29%0.2414-36.91%0.0242✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.2745-5.30%5.21-51.98%0.3570✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748177.9489-5.43%84.9691-54.85%0.3555✓1.14720k2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.054791-5.50%0.0379-34.63%0.0083✓1.1217k2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.102412-5.70%0.0576-46.96%0.1144✓1.373.0M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.2545-6.38%4.4346-33.62%0.0584✓1.19876k2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.8506-6.54%3.02-41.81%0.0290✓1.3228.7M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6330,442.93-6.55%25,099.20-22.96%0.0175✓0.527.0M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.5134-6.55%4.37-9.52%0.3053✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.016789-6.62%0.00969-46.11%0.1491✓1.192.8M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18154.1223-6.69%97.58-40.93%0.0117✓1.3213.6M2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000033704-6.74%0.0000225-37.74%0.0665✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1071-6.89%0.8434-29.07%0.0655✓1.00190k2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.072646-6.98%0.0335-57.11%0.3314✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.1239-7.01%2.57-53.36%0.3524✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2127-7.70%0.76101-42.08%0.1295✗1.761.6M2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.4977-7.79%2.649-30.16%0.0596✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5364.9442-7.92%35.77-49.28%0.0861✓1.511.4M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.5638-8.21%1.611-42.32%0.1341✓0.982.2M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.696034-8.37%0.4546-40.15%0.0066✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.014968-9.34%0.00983-40.46%0.1046✓0.941.4M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1539.9885-9.43%24.37-44.80%0.0836✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.034448-9.93%0.022662-40.75%0.0740✓1.0212.1M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7241.1198-10.06%17.17-62.45%0.2497✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.568.5908-10.14%6.38-33.26%0.0667✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.60345-10.33%0.331-50.82%0.1812✓1.243.0M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.7353-10.87%1.0945-43.78%0.2239✓0.701.3M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.019523-10.90%0.00841-61.62%0.5046✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21291.9662-11.15%0.8591-61.18%0.1708✓1.952.1M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93101.7115-11.50%64.85-43.57%0.0680✓1.13142.8M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.4003-12.10%0.839-47.33%0.0667✓1.3210.4M2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.316629-12.32%0.2245-37.83%0.0373✓0.91388k2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.5353-12.32%0.90224-48.47%0.1950✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1110.5597-12.80%5.9-51.28%0.4019✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61113.6093-12.82%7.243-53.60%0.6578✓-0.08133k2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.2824-12.93%2.24-40.58%0.0445✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.0422-13.08%2.1145-39.59%0.0667✓0.889.0M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.661711-13.18%0.609-20.10%0.5105✗1.7614.6M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.184339-14.19%0.16077-25.16%0.4106✗1.6224k2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.6112-15.05%0.5018-73.54%0.9437✓0.668.1M2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.0369-16.96%7.33-53.31%0.5829✓-0.024.8M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.