2021-12-22 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1730

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.6%

in alpha space · 73.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.7764	+0.62%	2.2356	+26.63%	0.2064	✓	0.52	8.5M	2021-12-23
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.359069	+0.58%	0.372	+4.20%	0.0020	✓	0.74	49k	2021-12-23
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.6085	+0.53%	1.75	+9.37%	0.0081	✓	1.70	1.6M	2021-12-23
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	207.5108	+0.50%	247.2	+19.72%	0.1316	✓	0.97	11.4M	2021-12-23
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	207.5994	+0.46%	230.55	+11.57%	0.0576	✓	1.05	236k	2021-12-23
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.481	+0.44%	2.83	+14.57%	0.0891	✓	0.95	4.7M	2021-12-23
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.8571	+0.43%	16.85	+6.71%	0.0309	✓	0.66	1.5M	2021-12-23
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	191.3382	+0.42%	210.04	+10.24%	0.0505	✓	0.95	2.8M	2021-12-23
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	6.15	+0.41%	6.259	+2.19%	0.0190	✗	0.81	4.7M	2021-12-23
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.5518	+0.39%	6.07	+9.76%	0.0407	✓	1.08	5.3M	2021-12-23
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.173864	+0.39%	0.184934	+6.78%	0.0124	✓	1.10	5.5M	2021-12-23
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	5.0853	+0.39%	5.2309	+3.27%	0.0332	✗	1.37	5.0M	2021-12-23
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.9601	+0.38%	8.15	+2.77%	0.0048	✗	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-23
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.2354	+0.38%	2.334	+4.80%	0.0067	✗	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-23
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.8228	+0.37%	9.28	+5.57%	0.0211	✓	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-23
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	8.2881	+0.36%	8.852	+7.19%	0.0065	✓	1.32	635k	2021-12-23
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.876	+0.36%	4.157	+7.64%	0.0394	✓	0.68	487k	2021-12-23
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.2756	+0.36%	1.301	+2.36%	0.0243	✗	0.98	4.4M	2021-12-23
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.901204	+0.36%	0.955	+6.35%	0.0081	✗	1.47	9.7M	2021-12-23
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	23.4222	+0.35%	27.01	+15.72%	0.0825	✓	1.34	21.2M	2021-12-23
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	3.0807	+0.35%	3.28	+6.84%	0.0049	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-23
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.115471	+0.35%	0.12079	+4.97%	0.0044	✗	1.10	30k	2021-12-23
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.023066	+0.34%	0.024113	+4.89%	0.0100	✗	1.21	2.0M	2021-12-23
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.086783	+0.33%	0.0898	+3.82%	0.0153	✗	1.10	22k	2021-12-23
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.3774	+0.32%	5.73	+6.90%	0.0104	✓	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-23
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.208465	+0.32%	0.214	+2.98%	0.0131	✗	0.87	776k	2021-12-23
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.130914	+0.32%	0.1393	+6.74%	0.0133	✓	1.09	202k	2021-12-23
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.330324	+0.31%	0.3861	+17.25%	0.0908	✓	1.45	4.4M	2021-12-23
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.696528	+0.31%	0.7336	+5.65%	0.0059	✗	1.29	14.9M	2021-12-23
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	16.2595	+0.31%	18.18	+12.15%	0.0546	✓	1.27	14.1M	2021-12-23
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	33.8632	+0.31%	37.11	+9.92%	0.0241	✓	1.50	1.6M	2021-12-23
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	4.0361	+0.30%	4.331	+7.63%	0.0344	✓	0.80	714k	2021-12-23
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.6066	+0.30%	16.16	+3.86%	0.0165	✗	1.14	5.7M	2021-12-23
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.738899	+0.30%	0.8173	+10.94%	0.0461	✓	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-23
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	24.5829	+0.30%	25.85	+5.47%	0.0024	✓	1.06	2.7M	2021-12-23
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.4856	+0.30%	3.7505	+7.92%	0.0265	✓	1.04	819k	2021-12-23
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	48,752.79	+0.30%	50,842.20	+4.60%	0.0030	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-23
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	35.7723	+0.29%	37.56	+5.30%	0.0019	✓	1.04	6.2M	2021-12-23
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.017951	+0.28%	0.01858	+3.80%	0.0220	✗	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-23
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	135.5361	+0.28%	146.65	+8.50%	0.0228	✓	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-23
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	41.4436	+0.27%	43.08	+4.23%	0.0090	✗	1.06	23.4M	2021-12-23
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.10288	+0.27%	0.1116	+8.77%	0.0207	✓	1.35	3.3M	2021-12-23
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.07926	+0.27%	0.08261	+4.51%	0.0019	✓	0.96	787k	2021-12-23
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.9736	+0.27%	22.19	+11.40%	0.0481	✓	1.27	67.0M	2021-12-23
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.8535	+0.27%	9.17	+3.85%	0.0005	✓	0.77	934k	2021-12-23
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	182.9652	+0.25%	195.7	+7.23%	0.0262	✓	0.91	12.1M	2021-12-23
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.056991	+0.25%	0.05928	+4.27%	0.0111	✗	1.12	20k	2021-12-23
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.8054	+0.25%	1.983	+10.11%	0.0359	✓	1.29	6.8M	2021-12-23
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	439.3811	+0.25%	455.7	+3.97%	0.0099	✗	1.03	14.2M	2021-12-23
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.3674	+0.24%	1.4697	+7.74%	0.0250	✓	1.05	35.5M	2021-12-23
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.019447	+0.24%	0.02116	+9.07%	0.0597	✓	0.55	61k	2021-12-23
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	273.8744	+0.24%	291.44	+6.67%	0.0136	✓	1.08	1.5M	2021-12-23
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.3311	+0.24%	1.4743	+11.02%	0.0561	✓	1.03	128.9M	2021-12-23
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.1631	+0.24%	5.4	+4.83%	0.0164	✓	0.63	936k	2021-12-23
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.9798	+0.23%	3.111	+4.64%	0.0053	✓	0.84	103k	2021-12-23
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	48,909.83	+0.22%	50,984.80	+4.47%	0.0027	✗	0.98	12k	2021-12-23
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.017277	+0.21%	0.01843	+6.90%	0.0117	✓	1.18	2.9M	2021-12-23
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.286205	+0.21%	0.3131	+9.63%	0.0332	✓	1.26	6.6M	2021-12-23
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	123.9316	+0.21%	129.81	+4.96%	0.0021	✓	0.98	2.8M	2021-12-23
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	33.1464	+0.20%	34.18	+3.33%	0.0007	✓	0.67	711k	2021-12-23
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.07134	+0.20%	0.0701	-1.54%	0.0789	✗	1.37	2.7M	2021-12-23
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000110764	+0.19%	0.00011442	+3.50%	0.0121	✗	0.99	12.0M	2021-12-23
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.242857	+0.19%	0.2518	+3.88%	0.0156	✓	0.46	428k	2021-12-23
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	178.7853	+0.19%	190.07	+6.51%	0.0159	✓	1.01	265.5M	2021-12-23
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.4612	+0.18%	2.5126	+2.28%	0.0334	✗	1.20	147k	2021-12-23
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.268205	+0.18%	0.287776	+7.49%	0.0261	✓	0.99	39.0M	2021-12-23
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	5.0164	+0.17%	5.1126	+2.09%	0.0151	✗	0.76	31k	2021-12-23
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	155.7031	+0.17%	163.74	+5.34%	0.0125	✗	1.40	60.2M	2021-12-23
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	35.6894	+0.17%	37.35	+4.83%	0.0000	✓	1.01	22.5M	2021-12-23
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.061039	+0.17%	0.06319	+3.70%	0.0324	✗	1.49	11.0M	2021-12-23
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	6.5509	+0.16%	6.9038	+5.56%	0.0008	✓	1.19	833k	2021-12-23
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	1.0906	+0.16%	1.1094	+1.88%	0.0511	✗	1.52	3.0M	2021-12-23
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	9.4447	+0.16%	10.0476	+6.55%	0.0031	✗	1.45	349k	2021-12-23
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.3649	+0.15%	1.4381	+5.53%	0.0040	✓	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-23
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,987.24	+0.15%	4,113.08	+3.31%	0.0166	✗	1.06	768.5M	2021-12-23
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	182.1831	+0.15%	189.2792	+4.05%	0.0130	✗	1.14	748k	2021-12-23
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.3693	+0.15%	7.3	+14.78%	0.0773	✓	1.31	13.8M	2021-12-23
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.207996	+0.14%	0.2297	+10.59%	0.0456	✓	1.19	7.6M	2021-12-23
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3948	+0.14%	3.57	+5.31%	0.0062	✓	0.98	1.3M	2021-12-23
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	27.2764	+0.13%	29.17	+7.09%	0.0114	✓	1.24	75.5M	2021-12-23
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.2412	+0.12%	3.5141	+8.55%	0.0267	✓	1.21	4.0M	2021-12-23
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	3.3139	+0.12%	3.71	+12.08%	0.0693	✓	0.97	807k	2021-12-23
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.5941	+0.11%	3.94	+9.75%	0.0470	✓	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-23
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.825092	+0.11%	0.886127	+7.51%	0.0234	✓	1.07	4.7M	2021-12-23
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.5706	+0.10%	1.645	+4.84%	0.0128	✗	1.32	5.4M	2021-12-23
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.451522	+0.09%	0.4768	+5.70%	0.0093	✗	1.42	1.6M	2021-12-23
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	9.4679	+0.08%	9.83	+3.91%	0.0114	✗	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-23
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.094253	+0.06%	0.09675	+2.71%	0.0417	✗	1.51	6.4M	2021-12-23
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.087742	+0.05%	0.08995	+2.57%	0.0309	✗	1.24	22.6M	2021-12-23
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.050312	+0.04%	0.05048	+0.38%	0.0392	✗	0.95	16.3M	2021-12-23
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.6006	+0.03%	3.6067	+0.20%	0.0057	✓	-0.09	372k	2021-12-23
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	68.0171	+0.03%	72.45	+6.54%	0.0051	✗	1.52	1.7M	2021-12-23
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	27.3959	+0.02%	28.38	+3.61%	0.0036	✗	0.87	41.0M	2021-12-23
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	101.5814	+0.02%	107.4	+5.75%	0.0128	✓	0.96	9.8M	2021-12-23
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	10.0216	+0.02%	10.52	+4.99%	0.0059	✓	0.95	1.9M	2021-12-23
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.377418	+0.00%	0.389	+3.07%	0.0280	✗	1.30	6.6M	2021-12-23
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.106024	+0.00%	0.11374	+7.28%	0.0458	✓	0.54	143k	2021-12-23
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	165.8444	+0.00%	167.41	+0.95%	0.0518	✗	1.36	13.6M	2021-12-23
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.3699	-0.00%	10.97	+5.79%	0.0228	✗	0.74	1.6M	2021-12-23
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.136498	-0.00%	0.1394	+2.12%	0.0276	✓	1.08	508k	2021-12-23
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	10.139	-0.01%	10.269	+1.27%	0.0162	✓	0.64	455k	2021-12-23
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.2708	-0.01%	1.2952	+1.91%	0.0288	✓	1.07	23.6M	2021-12-23
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.68907	-0.03%	0.7834	+13.65%	0.0729	✗	1.23	6.5M	2021-12-23
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.5403	-0.03%	4.7731	+5.09%	0.0084	✓	1.30	5.1M	2021-12-23
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	12.173	-0.06%	12.52	+2.79%	0.0422	✗	-0.31	5.4M	2021-12-23
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.633618	-0.06%	0.689	+8.68%	0.0288	✗	1.22	3.2M	2021-12-23
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.03686	-0.07%	0.039008	+5.75%	0.0108	✗	1.02	13.9M	2021-12-23
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.015998	-0.07%	0.01705	+6.50%	0.0222	✗	0.92	1.5M	2021-12-23
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.340644	-0.08%	0.3628	+6.42%	0.0232	✗	0.89	401k	2021-12-23
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.577	-0.08%	2.972	+15.24%	0.1014	✗	0.92	2.8M	2021-12-23
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	21.4182	-0.08%	23.316	+8.78%	0.0090	✗	1.69	22.7M	2021-12-23
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.1855	-0.09%	1.3425	+13.15%	0.0460	✗	1.74	1.6M	2021-12-23
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.7555	-0.09%	3.838	+2.10%	0.0232	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-23
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000034966	-0.10%	0.00003868	+10.51%	0.0560	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-23
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.2088	-0.10%	1.27	+4.96%	0.0045	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-23
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.211626	-0.13%	0.2212	+4.39%	0.0073	✓	1.15	4.2M	2021-12-23
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.5231	-0.15%	4.77	+5.30%	0.0082	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-23
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	5.0403	-0.19%	5.19	+2.77%	0.0315	✓	1.35	28.7M	2021-12-23
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	5.0286	-0.23%	5.18	+2.78%	0.0153	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-23
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	11.0525	-0.25%	11.75	+6.05%	0.0383	✗	0.51	3.4M	2021-12-23
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.202937	-0.28%	0.21713	+6.69%	0.0056	✓	1.63	34k	2021-12-23
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	31,540.55	-0.29%	31,557.56	-0.23%	0.0236	✓	0.54	6.8M	2021-12-23
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	5.4336	-0.30%	5.92	+8.62%	0.0408	✗	1.00	6.8M	2021-12-23
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.9595	-0.30%	2.0846	+6.06%	0.0307	✗	0.69	1.3M	2021-12-23
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.5007	-0.32%	1.6503	+9.62%	0.0361	✗	1.31	11.9M	2021-12-23
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	2.1928	-0.32%	2.316	+5.28%	0.0353	✓	2.00	2.3M	2021-12-23
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	3.2782	-0.34%	3.6798	+11.87%	0.0774	✗	0.85	9.3M	2021-12-23
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	44.8568	-0.38%	49.54	+10.02%	0.0161	✗	1.85	10.6M	2021-12-23
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	116.1695	-0.42%	121.37	+4.04%	0.0081	✓	1.15	158.3M	2021-12-23
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	41.3034	-0.45%	44.43	+7.09%	0.0049	✓	1.73	5.2M	2021-12-23
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.3035	-0.49%	1.37	+4.58%	0.0048	✓	1.00	196k	2021-12-23
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	10.5252	-0.52%	11.764	+11.19%	0.1192	✗	-0.18	129k	2021-12-23
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.5982	-0.60%	1.6908	+5.16%	0.0112	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-23
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	10.5382	-0.77%	11.89	+11.96%	0.1260	✗	-0.12	4.2M	2021-12-23
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.023648	-0.97%	0.02368	-0.84%	0.0436	✓	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-23
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.657347	-2.19%	0.6665	-0.83%	0.0688	✓	1.84	12.6M	2021-12-23

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.