2021-12-21 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1140

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.74%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.1%

in alpha space · 68.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.63%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6866	1.7007	+0.84%	1.7654	+4.67%	0.0410	✓	0.59	8.7M	2021-12-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	186.16	187.301	+0.61%	206.48	+10.92%	0.1033	✓	0.92	11.0M	2021-12-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.359125	+0.60%	0.357	+0.00%	0.0014	✓	0.73	54k	2021-12-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	194.4	195.4157	+0.52%	206.65	+6.30%	0.0623	✓	1.02	228k	2021-12-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.63	1.6385	+0.52%	1.6	-1.84%	0.0134	✗	1.66	1.8M	2021-12-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.05	15.1228	+0.48%	15.79	+4.92%	0.0473	✓	0.65	1.6M	2021-12-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.44	2.4512	+0.46%	2.47	+1.23%	0.0133	✓	0.90	4.8M	2021-12-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.96	189.8231	+0.46%	190.53	+0.83%	0.0092	✓	0.87	2.9M	2021-12-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.512	7.5456	+0.45%	8.258	+9.93%	0.0982	✓	1.27	635k	2021-12-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.47	8.5063	+0.43%	8.79	+3.78%	0.0369	✓	0.64	1.2M	2021-12-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0109	5.032	+0.42%	5.0655	+1.09%	0.0152	✓	1.37	5.2M	2021-12-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0446	6.07	+0.42%	6.125	+1.33%	0.0137	✓	0.75	4.9M	2021-12-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.36	5.3823	+0.42%	5.53	+3.17%	0.0338	✓	1.07	5.5M	2021-12-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.128	2.1366	+0.41%	2.227	+4.65%	0.0483	✓	1.10	3.3M	2021-12-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170906	0.171598	+0.41%	0.173188	+1.34%	0.0160	✓	1.09	5.5M	2021-12-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.221	1.2259	+0.40%	1.271	+4.10%	0.0421	✓	0.96	4.4M	2021-12-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.865	0.86847	+0.40%	0.898	+3.82%	0.0424	✓	1.43	9.9M	2021-12-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.799	3.8142	+0.40%	3.862	+1.66%	0.0167	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.94	2.9515	+0.39%	3.07	+4.42%	0.0473	✓	1.27	3.1M	2021-12-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11184	0.112255	+0.37%	0.11507	+2.89%	0.0315	✓	1.08	30k	2021-12-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.06	15.1155	+0.37%	16.21	+7.64%	0.0777	✓	1.24	14.2M	2021-12-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.11	23.1951	+0.37%	23.34	+1.00%	0.0144	✓	1.31	20.8M	2021-12-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.7	7.7281	+0.37%	7.93	+2.99%	0.0297	✓	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.128	0.128462	+0.36%	0.1305	+1.95%	0.0223	✓	1.04	202k	2021-12-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3132	0.314325	+0.36%	0.3293	+5.14%	0.0552	✓	1.37	4.9M	2021-12-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	32.03	32.142	+0.35%	33.76	+5.40%	0.0581	✓	1.43	1.5M	2021-12-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02275	0.022829	+0.35%	0.022989	+1.05%	0.0147	✓	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.946	3.9592	+0.34%	4.024	+1.98%	0.0211	✓	0.78	734k	2021-12-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0861	0.086387	+0.33%	0.0865	+0.46%	0.0079	✓	1.06	24k	2021-12-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.28	15.3305	+0.33%	15.56	+1.83%	0.0219	✓	1.13	6.2M	2021-12-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.3376	+0.33%	5.36	+0.75%	0.0113	✓	1.14	2.8M	2021-12-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0688	0.069027	+0.33%	0.0712	+3.49%	0.0396	✓	1.36	2.7M	2021-12-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.72	0.722354	+0.33%	0.7367	+2.32%	0.0271	✓	1.19	7.7M	2021-12-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0992	0.099512	+0.31%	0.1026	+3.43%	0.0391	✓	1.36	3.3M	2021-12-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4308	3.4416	+0.31%	3.4753	+1.30%	0.0161	✓	1.02	819k	2021-12-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,914.70	49,067.18	+0.31%	48,608.62	-0.63%	0.0031	✗	1.00	754.4M	2021-12-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.74	24.8161	+0.31%	24.51	-0.93%	0.0081	✗	0.69	2.8M	2021-12-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.7164	+0.30%	8.83	+1.61%	0.0176	✓	0.73	934k	2021-12-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2099	0.210528	+0.30%	0.2078	-1.00%	0.0077	✗	0.85	756k	2021-12-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.33	35.4353	+0.30%	35.67	+0.96%	0.0129	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.6	133.9971	+0.30%	135.16	+1.17%	0.0162	✓	1.21	2.2M	2021-12-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01806	0.018112	+0.29%	0.0179	-0.89%	0.0040	✗	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.44	19.4952	+0.28%	19.92	+2.47%	0.0290	✓	1.19	69.7M	2021-12-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07885	0.079073	+0.28%	0.079046	+0.25%	0.0056	✓	0.95	787k	2021-12-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7097	0.711627	+0.27%	0.6944	-2.16%	0.0172	✗	1.17	15.1M	2021-12-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2801	1.2836	+0.27%	1.3279	+3.73%	0.0402	✓	1.00	131.8M	2021-12-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.96	42.0731	+0.27%	41.33	-1.50%	0.0115	✗	1.01	25.2M	2021-12-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	267.01	267.7293	+0.27%	273.22	+2.33%	0.0269	✓	1.05	1.5M	2021-12-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0562	0.056351	+0.27%	0.05685	+1.16%	0.0155	✓	1.06	22k	2021-12-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	437.94	439.0899	+0.26%	438.3	+0.08%	0.0045	✓	1.01	14.2M	2021-12-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.907	2.9145	+0.26%	2.973	+2.27%	0.0251	✓	0.83	104k	2021-12-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.077	5.0901	+0.26%	5.151	+1.46%	0.0158	✓	0.62	1.0M	2021-12-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	186.26	186.7372	+0.26%	182.5	-2.02%	0.0174	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3577	1.3611	+0.25%	1.3641	+0.47%	0.0085	✓	1.00	35.7M	2021-12-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.776	1.7805	+0.25%	1.801	+1.41%	0.0195	✓	1.28	6.8M	2021-12-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2803	0.280968	+0.24%	0.2856	+1.89%	0.0241	✓	1.24	7.0M	2021-12-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,448.30	48,555.65	+0.22%	48,803.20	+0.73%	0.0112	✓	0.98	15k	2021-12-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010928	0.000109515	+0.21%	0.00011055	+1.16%	0.0156	✓	0.98	12.6M	2021-12-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2842	1.2869	+0.21%	1.3628	+6.12%	0.0639	✓	1.06	1.6M	2021-12-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.85	5.8625	+0.21%	6.36	+8.72%	0.0896	✓	1.30	13.8M	2021-12-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01971	0.019751	+0.21%	0.0194	-1.57%	0.0150	✗	0.47	61k	2021-12-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.01735	0.017386	+0.21%	0.01724	-0.63%	0.0011	✓	1.17	3.1M	2021-12-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		124.64	124.8924	+0.20%	123.67	-0.78%	0.0038	✗	0.96	2.5M	2021-12-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.16	33.2271	+0.20%	33.08	-0.24%	0.0005	✓	0.63	744k	2021-12-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1354	6.1477	+0.20%	6.5402	+6.60%	0.0689	✓	1.12	833k	2021-12-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2431	0.243585	+0.20%	0.2424	-0.29%	0.0019	✓	0.47	428k	2021-12-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.17	25.219	+0.19%	27.24	+8.22%	0.0847	✓	1.21	75.1M	2021-12-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2185	9.2358	+0.19%	9.4299	+2.29%	0.0294	✓	1.37	349k	2021-12-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4347	2.4393	+0.19%	2.4567	+0.90%	0.0141	✓	1.11	169k	2021-12-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.75	180.0859	+0.19%	178.45	-0.72%	0.0035	✗	0.90	275.4M	2021-12-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267972	0.268467	+0.18%	0.267724	-0.09%	0.0034	✓	0.98	40.4M	2021-12-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.31	35.3744	+0.18%	35.63	+0.91%	0.0135	✓	1.00	21.2M	2021-12-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9	9.0164	+0.18%	9.46	+5.11%	0.0549	✓	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	154.8	155.0784	+0.18%	155.44	+0.41%	0.0110	✓	1.38	60.7M	2021-12-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9779	4.9868	+0.18%	5.0079	+0.60%	0.0086	✓	0.69	31k	2021-12-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.65	23.6908	+0.17%	27.39	+15.81%	0.1505	✓	0.87	41.0M	2021-12-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2039	0.204239	+0.17%	0.2077	+1.86%	0.0241	✓	1.15	8.6M	2021-12-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	183.964	184.2624	+0.16%	181.9072	-1.12%	0.0068	✗	0.97	853k	2021-12-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,017.11	4,023.48	+0.16%	3,981.12	-0.90%	0.0041	✗	1.03	768.5M	2021-12-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1044	1.1061	+0.16%	1.0889	-1.40%	0.0062	✗	1.52	3.3M	2021-12-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.33	3.3351	+0.15%	3.39	+1.80%	0.0223	✓	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061664	0.061758	+0.15%	0.060937	-1.18%	0.0043	✗	1.44	13.0M	2021-12-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.2449	+0.15%	3.31	+2.16%	0.0258	✓	0.94	807k	2021-12-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1906	3.1954	+0.15%	3.2372	+1.46%	0.0206	✓	1.21	4.7M	2021-12-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.783071	0.784219	+0.15%	0.824208	+5.25%	0.0561	✓	1.01	4.8M	2021-12-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.482	1.4841	+0.14%	1.569	+5.87%	0.0638	✓	1.31	5.6M	2021-12-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4485	0.448962	+0.10%	0.4511	+0.58%	0.0137	✓	1.42	1.8M	2021-12-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.61	3.6133	+0.09%	3.59	-0.55%	0.0002	✓	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.37	64.4261	+0.09%	68	+5.64%	0.0629	✓	1.42	1.9M	2021-12-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	97.27	97.343	+0.08%	101.56	+4.41%	0.0485	✓	0.96	9.8M	2021-12-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04838	0.048414	+0.07%	0.05029	+3.95%	0.0438	✓	0.92	15.8M	2021-12-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.79	9.7953	+0.05%	10.02	+2.35%	0.0286	✓	0.95	1.9M	2021-12-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.601	3.602	+0.03%	3.5995	-0.04%	0.0013	✗	-0.09	372k	2021-12-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	162.44	162.4773	+0.02%	165.84	+2.09%	0.0285	✓	1.28	13.6M	2021-12-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.135	0.135023	+0.02%	0.1365	+1.11%	0.0177	✓	1.08	559k	2021-12-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3697	0.369761	+0.02%	0.3774	+2.08%	0.0286	✓	1.30	6.6M	2021-12-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2356	4.2359	+0.01%	4.5418	+7.23%	0.0778	✓	1.28	4.7M	2021-12-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6712	0.67122	+0.00%	0.6893	+2.70%	0.0343	✓	1.23	7.1M	2021-12-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10431	0.104313	+0.00%	0.10602	+1.64%	0.0197	✓	0.56	143k	2021-12-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10229	0.102288	-0.00%	0.0942	-7.91%	0.0729	✓	1.51	6.8M	2021-12-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.624	0.623989	-0.00%	0.634	+1.60%	0.0235	✗	1.20	3.2M	2021-12-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.258	10.2565	-0.01%	10.14	-1.15%	0.0071	✓	0.68	388k	2021-12-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.96	9.9583	-0.02%	10.37	+4.12%	0.0452	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3328	0.332698	-0.03%	0.3409	+2.43%	0.0299	✗	0.89	544k	2021-12-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.437	2.4362	-0.03%	2.579	+5.83%	0.0626	✗	0.91	3.2M	2021-12-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003285	0.000032838	-0.04%	0.000035	+6.54%	0.0700	✗	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.463	9.4589	-0.04%	10.58	+11.80%	0.1112	✗	-0.13	119k	2021-12-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.24	12.233	-0.06%	12.18	-0.49%	0.0062	✓	-0.29	5.7M	2021-12-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01576	0.015751	-0.06%	0.01601	+1.59%	0.0221	✗	0.91	1.6M	2021-12-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1664	1.1655	-0.08%	1.1865	+1.72%	0.0285	✗	1.70	1.5M	2021-12-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.875	21.854	-0.10%	21.435	-2.01%	0.0089	✓	1.66	22.7M	2021-12-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1888	-0.10%	1.21	+1.68%	0.0239	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.62	4.6152	-0.10%	5.05	+9.31%	0.0983	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.833	3.8278	-0.14%	3.759	-1.93%	0.0119	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.92	40.8642	-0.14%	45.03	+10.04%	0.1087	✗	1.85	13.1M	2021-12-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3147	1.3129	-0.14%	1.2709	-3.33%	0.0260	✓	1.03	23.6M	2021-12-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.53	36.4731	-0.16%	41.49	+13.58%	0.1397	✗	1.73	5.5M	2021-12-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.61	4.6027	-0.16%	4.53	-1.74%	0.0096	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.54	9.5206	-0.20%	10.62	+11.32%	0.1089	✗	-0.07	3.7M	2021-12-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8094	1.8057	-0.21%	1.9655	+8.63%	0.0892	✗	0.71	1.4M	2021-12-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.93	10.9074	-0.21%	11.08	+1.37%	0.0189	✗	0.51	4.1M	2021-12-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038297	0.038216	-0.21%	0.036887	-3.68%	0.0290	✓	1.02	15.0M	2021-12-22
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4758	1.4724	-0.23%	1.5055	+2.01%	0.0303	✗	1.29	11.9M	2021-12-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.94	4.9277	-0.25%	5.04	+2.02%	0.0288	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2224	0.22182	-0.26%	0.2119	-4.72%	0.0386	✓	1.15	4.2M	2021-12-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.66	5.6431	-0.30%	5.45	-3.71%	0.0285	✓	1.00	7.1M	2021-12-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.206	0.205315	-0.33%	0.20351	-1.21%	0.0012	✓	1.60	34k	2021-12-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2869	3.2759	-0.34%	3.2895	+0.08%	0.0095	✗	0.86	10.1M	2021-12-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5007	1.4949	-0.38%	1.6078	+7.14%	0.0791	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.132	1.1269	-0.45%	1.31	+15.72%	0.1568	✗	1.00	215k	2021-12-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	123.27	122.6796	-0.48%	116.66	-5.36%	0.0435	✓	1.09	164.3M	2021-12-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	34,696.99	34,516.91	-0.52%	31,630.71	-8.84%	0.0839	✓	0.55	6.8M	2021-12-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.4015	2.3827	-0.78%	2.1998	-8.40%	0.0675	✓	1.97	2.4M	2021-12-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.09777	0.096848	-0.94%	0.0877	-10.30%	0.0916	✓	1.22	22.6M	2021-12-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02294	0.022684	-1.12%	0.02388	+4.10%	0.0577	✗	1.00	33.0M	2021-12-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.602	0.591133	-1.81%	0.6721	+11.64%	0.1397	✗	1.81	12.4M	2021-12-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.