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2021-12-21 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3294
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 45.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16198.5754+6.67%198.37+6.56%0.1779✓0.9711.0M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.37832+5.97%0.328-8.12%0.0055✓0.7454k2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.78.1235+5.50%6.14-20.26%0.1629✗0.631.1M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4204.9373+5.42%162.17-16.58%0.0395✓1.05228k2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.5645+5.10%2.03-16.80%0.0588✗0.954.8M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.8825+4.93%7.481-0.41%0.1922✓1.32635k2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.5899+4.29%4.78-10.82%0.0432✓1.085.5M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96196.5427+4.01%188.73-0.12%0.1351✓0.952.9M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.951+4.00%3.583-5.69%0.0280✓0.68544k2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.7928+3.81%7.38-12.87%0.0538✗0.661.2M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.2073+3.73%1.679-21.10%0.0682✗1.113.3M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6895+3.65%1.11-31.90%0.1070✗1.701.8M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0515.5948+3.62%14.59-3.06%0.0563✓0.671.6M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.176941+3.53%0.155509-9.01%0.0737✓1.105.5M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.5677+3.37%14.49-3.78%0.1631✓1.2714.2M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.943.0364+3.28%2.35-20.07%0.0186✓1.293.1M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2609+3.27%0.939-23.10%0.1136✗0.984.4M2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01095.1734+3.24%3.9838-20.50%0.0089✓1.375.2M2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.132119+3.22%0.1095-14.45%0.0128✓1.09202k2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9464.0675+3.08%3.861-2.15%0.0964✓0.80734k2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.216151+2.98%0.1666-20.63%0.0991✗0.87756k2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.115018+2.84%0.0964-13.81%0.0269✓1.1030k2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.8677+2.77%23-8.62%0.1120✓1.2475.1M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.9229+2.68%7.4-14.84%0.0446✗0.77934k2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0332.8818+2.66%24.39-23.85%0.0210✓1.501.5M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3049,730.05+2.65%41,418.10-14.51%0.0011✓0.9915k2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.2102+2.62%4.731-6.82%0.0204✓0.631.0M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.023334+2.57%0.018378-19.22%0.0153✓1.211.9M2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.321151+2.54%0.3693+17.91%0.4082✓1.454.9M2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.886804+2.52%0.682-21.16%0.0092✓1.479.9M2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94448.831+2.49%357.74-18.31%0.0363✗1.0314.2M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.9221+2.48%20.18+3.81%0.2479✓1.2769.7M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.5083+2.26%2.8203-17.79%0.0259✗1.04819k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.6206+2.23%11.36-25.65%0.1075✗1.146.2M2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.088017+2.23%0.0723-16.03%0.0065✓1.1024k2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04466.1665+2.02%7.0322+16.34%0.2817✓0.814.9M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1633.8224+2.00%25.43-23.31%0.1620✗0.67744k2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.9643+1.95%5.81-0.68%0.2170✓1.3213.8M2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.018406+1.92%0.01227-32.06%0.1737✗1.263.6M2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.5423+1.87%24.98+8.09%0.3059✓1.3420.8M2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.4188+1.86%4.68-12.03%0.0718✓1.182.8M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7049,822.47+1.86%40,670.97-16.85%0.0184✗1.00754.4M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.101021+1.84%0.0736-25.81%0.0672✗1.353.3M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7425.1826+1.79%18.34-25.87%0.1205✗1.062.8M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000111186+1.74%0.00009053-17.16%0.0222✗0.9912.6M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64126.8062+1.74%104.32-16.30%0.0135✓0.982.5M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26189.453+1.71%132.32-28.96%0.1902✗0.9112.3M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.721311+1.64%0.5001-29.53%0.1290✗1.2915.1M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6135.6867+1.56%121.15-9.32%0.1171✓1.252.2M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75182.5525+1.56%127.52-29.06%0.1725✗1.01275.4M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.8565+1.49%29.37-16.87%0.0067✓1.046.5M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.056974+1.38%0.04537-19.27%0.0202✗1.1222k2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.079914+1.35%0.067694-14.15%0.0119✓0.96787k2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9642.5073+1.30%45.17+7.65%0.2568✓1.0625.2M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.728983+1.25%0.6442-10.53%0.1013✓1.227.7M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.9401+1.23%38.97+64.78%0.6482✓0.8741.0M2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8156.6711+1.21%129.8-16.15%0.0701✓1.4060.7M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.9402+1.14%2.539-12.66%0.0089✓0.84104k2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7951+1.08%1.272-28.38%0.1064✗1.296.8M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2926+0.98%1.2589-1.66%0.1633✓1.03131.8M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.205879+0.97%0.1484-27.22%0.1069✗1.198.6M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.4566+0.90%1.8707-23.17%0.0502✗1.20169k2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01269.3265+0.87%239.61-10.26%0.0826✓1.081.5M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.2929+0.81%7.057-23.45%0.0079✓1.45349k2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.270037+0.77%0.231498-13.61%0.0282✓0.9940.4M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.244897+0.74%0.1782-26.70%0.2336✗0.46428k2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.5643+0.72%26.19-25.83%0.1190✗1.0121.2M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019845+0.68%0.01551-21.31%0.1449✗0.5561k2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4871+0.34%1.143-22.87%0.0200✗1.325.6M2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3614+0.28%1.1614-14.46%0.0348✓1.0535.7M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3378+0.24%2.8-15.92%0.0058✓0.981.3M2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9866+0.18%3.8114-23.43%0.1284✗0.7631k2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.1428+0.12%5.2113-15.06%0.0550✓1.19833k2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.783754+0.09%0.655547-16.29%0.0187✓1.074.8M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.280351+0.02%0.2346-16.30%0.0546✓1.267.0M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.282-0.17%1.5815+23.15%0.4086✗1.081.6M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.01729-0.35%0.01234-28.88%0.1199✓1.183.1M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.9175-0.43%10.09+1.31%0.1544✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.9605-0.44%7.75-13.89%0.0561✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,999.15-0.45%3,000.94-25.30%0.0914✓1.06768.5M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.2095-0.62%3.715-12.29%0.1153✗1.304.7M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101591-0.68%0.06885-32.69%0.1110✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1671-0.74%3.1598-0.97%0.2202✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964182.2115-0.95%119.9355-34.80%0.2077✓1.14853k2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.208-0.99%3.35+3.40%0.2225✗0.97807k2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0927-1.06%0.8682-21.39%0.0501✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.057-1.25%69.09-28.97%0.1528✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.442405-1.36%0.5776+28.78%0.5286✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.096388-1.41%0.06785-30.60%0.1228✓1.2422.6M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.364175-1.49%0.2832-23.40%0.0119✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2929-1.66%1.0173-22.62%0.0433✓1.0623.6M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5377-1.76%3.7088+2.99%0.0307✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.132554-1.81%0.1002-25.78%0.0802✓1.08559k2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.060491-1.90%0.050637-17.88%0.0977✗1.4913.0M2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.047435-1.95%0.03533-26.97%0.1197✓0.9515.8M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.067158-2.39%0.0452-34.30%0.1442✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.217078-2.39%0.1141-48.70%0.4315✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.9352-2.49%7.97-34.89%0.4616✓-0.315.7M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.5322-2.63%6.89-29.62%0.1494✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1574-2.74%0.89-25.21%0.0781✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44157.7324-2.90%118.84-26.84%0.0316✓1.3613.6M2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.9553-2.95%6.92-32.54%0.2450✓0.64388k2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3762.4465-2.99%47.6-26.05%0.0091✓1.521.9M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.101192-2.99%0.08157-21.80%0.1150✓0.54143k2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.4799-3.03%3.97-14.07%0.1294✗1.3628.7M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.647572-3.52%0.5606-16.48%0.0835✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1246-3.59%0.90658-22.28%0.1066✗1.751.5M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.01519-3.62%0.01217-22.78%0.0511✓0.921.6M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.0718-3.67%19.429-11.18%0.2304✗1.6922.7M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,386.24-3.78%31,414.30-9.46%0.0378✓0.536.8M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.600299-3.80%0.428-31.41%0.1123✓1.223.2M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3435-3.84%2.111-13.38%0.0653✗0.923.2M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.4295-3.91%3.36-27.11%0.0918✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000031503-4.10%0.00002648-19.39%0.0109✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.7344-4.16%4.19-15.18%0.0624✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.0208-4.67%9.432-0.33%0.0129✓-0.17119k2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6062-4.77%0.6721-60.15%0.7745✓0.528.7M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.036463-4.79%0.026039-32.01%0.1488✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.315148-5.30%0.2825-15.11%0.0545✗0.89544k2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7083-5.59%1.3945-22.93%0.0745✓0.701.4M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.548.9946-5.72%9.52-0.21%0.0355✓-0.123.7M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5334.3188-6.05%30.25-17.19%0.1945✗1.745.5M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0605-6.32%1.0839-4.25%0.2064✗1.00215k2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.2851-6.62%2.79-50.71%0.4543✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9237.9524-7.25%21.12-48.39%0.2440✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.3861-7.63%1.1313-24.61%0.0172✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27113.3518-8.05%79.35-35.63%0.1439✓1.15164.3M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.0324-8.21%7.96-27.17%0.1372✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.1949-8.60%1.0653-55.64%0.3539✓2.002.4M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.4934-8.86%3.095-19.25%0.0635✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.9711-9.61%2.6385-19.73%0.0380✓0.8510.1M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.3192-10.61%1.0699-27.50%0.0325✓1.3111.9M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.020355-11.27%0.01207-47.38%0.3380✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.181407-11.94%0.18914-8.18%0.3425✗1.6334k2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.1777-11.97%3.06-15.24%0.1468✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.504559-16.19%0.757+25.75%0.7456✗1.8412.4M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.