8=======>

2021-12-21 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1668
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.0%
in alpha space · 38.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6922+0.33%1.7654+4.67%0.0456✓0.528.7M2021-12-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.2116+0.17%27.24+8.22%0.0852✓1.2475.1M2021-12-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.9108+0.13%2.973+2.27%0.0264✓0.84104k2021-12-22
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16186.3486+0.10%206.48+10.92%0.1087✓0.9711.0M2021-12-22
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0697+0.06%16.21+7.64%0.0809✓1.2714.2M2021-12-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.068841+0.06%0.0712+3.49%0.0423✓1.362.7M2021-12-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.363+0.06%5.53+3.17%0.0375✓1.085.5M2021-12-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2216+0.05%1.271+4.10%0.0458✓0.984.4M2021-12-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.5156+0.05%8.258+9.93%0.1025✓1.32635k2021-12-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357165+0.05%0.357+0.00%0.0042✓0.7454k2021-12-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.1169+0.03%23.34+1.00%0.0180✓1.3420.8M2021-12-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.313293+0.03%0.3293+5.14%0.0590✓1.454.9M2021-12-22
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2841+0.03%15.56+1.83%0.0251✓1.146.2M2021-12-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94438.0321+0.02%438.3+0.08%0.0071✓1.0314.2M2021-12-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.783185+0.01%0.824208+5.25%0.0578✓1.074.8M2021-12-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.3324+0.01%35.67+0.96%0.0161✓1.046.5M2021-12-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.1045+0.01%1.0889-1.40%0.0047✗1.523.3M2021-12-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4401+0.01%2.47+1.23%0.0181✓0.954.8M2021-12-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.280302+0.00%0.2856+1.89%0.0266✓1.267.0M2021-12-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1276-0.02%2.227+4.65%0.0527✗1.113.3M2021-12-22
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000109256-0.02%0.00011055+1.16%0.0180✗0.9912.6M2021-12-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.111814-0.02%0.11507+2.89%0.0356✗1.1030k2021-12-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.061648-0.03%0.060937-1.18%0.0022✓1.4913.0M2021-12-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.756-0.03%155.44+0.41%0.0132✗1.4060.7M2021-12-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9446-0.03%4.024+1.98%0.0250✗0.80734k2021-12-22
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964183.8999-0.03%181.9072-1.12%0.0037✓1.14853k2021-12-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.075-0.04%5.151+1.46%0.0188✗0.631.0M2021-12-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.2952-0.04%35.63+0.91%0.0158✗1.0121.2M2021-12-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.5871-0.04%123.67-0.78%0.0012✓0.982.5M2021-12-22
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.2142-0.05%9.4299+2.29%0.0322✗1.45349k2021-12-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.7282-0.05%24.51-0.93%0.0022✓1.062.8M2021-12-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.09915-0.05%0.1026+3.43%0.0427✗1.353.3M2021-12-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4812-0.05%1.569+5.87%0.0658✗1.325.6M2021-12-22
GTGateEthereum6.04466.0412-0.06%6.125+1.33%0.0189✗0.814.9M2021-12-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4277-0.06%19.92+2.47%0.0330✗1.2769.7M2021-12-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0332.0096-0.06%33.76+5.40%0.0627✗1.501.5M2021-12-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.209764-0.06%0.2078-1.00%0.0039✓0.87756k2021-12-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.1311-0.07%6.5402+6.60%0.0720✗1.19833k2021-12-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2797.2012-0.07%101.56+4.41%0.0499✗0.969.8M2021-12-22
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078792-0.07%0.079046+0.25%0.0093✗0.96787k2021-12-22
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.24292-0.07%0.2424-0.29%0.0007✓0.46428k2021-12-22
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.2324-0.08%4.5418+7.23%0.0787✗1.304.7M2021-12-22
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4194.2497-0.08%206.65+6.30%0.0685✗1.05228k2021-12-22
DASHDashDash133.6133.486-0.09%135.16+1.17%0.0203✗1.252.2M2021-12-22
SOLSolanaSolana179.75179.5932-0.09%178.45-0.72%0.0001✓1.01275.4M2021-12-22
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4278-0.09%3.4753+1.30%0.0203✗1.04819k2021-12-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,402.91-0.09%48,803.20+0.73%0.0144✗0.9915k2021-12-22
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8444-0.10%6.36+8.72%0.0928✗1.3213.8M2021-12-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.203697-0.10%0.2077+1.86%0.0270✗1.198.6M2021-12-22
KSMKusamaHydration267.01266.7376-0.10%273.22+2.33%0.0308✗1.081.5M2021-12-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4609-0.11%8.79+3.78%0.0423✗0.661.2M2021-12-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.448007-0.11%0.4511+0.58%0.0158✗1.421.8M2021-12-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,858.52-0.11%48,608.62-0.63%0.0011✓1.00754.4M2021-12-22
ZENHorizenBase64.3764.2956-0.12%68+5.64%0.0656✗1.521.9M2021-12-22
XMRMoneroMonero188.96188.7284-0.12%190.53+0.83%0.0155✗0.952.9M2021-12-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.623233-0.12%0.634+1.60%0.0248✗1.223.2M2021-12-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.356-0.12%1.3641+0.47%0.0125✗1.0535.7M2021-12-22
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.863908-0.13%0.898+3.82%0.0479✗1.479.9M2021-12-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2356-0.14%3.31+2.16%0.0288✗0.97807k2021-12-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.170668-0.14%0.173188+1.34%0.0216✗1.105.5M2021-12-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9359-0.14%3.07+4.42%0.0528✗1.293.1M2021-12-22
BANDBandEthereum5.325.3125-0.14%5.36+0.75%0.0163✗1.182.8M2021-12-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.4312-0.14%2.4567+0.90%0.0180✗1.20169k2021-12-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6276-0.14%1.6-1.84%0.0065✓1.701.8M2021-12-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3251-0.15%3.39+1.80%0.0255✗0.981.3M2021-12-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.718884-0.16%0.7367+2.32%0.0321✗1.227.7M2021-12-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2822-0.16%1.3628+6.12%0.0677✗1.081.6M2021-12-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.8933-0.16%41.33-1.50%0.0069✓1.0625.2M2021-12-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.114,010.61-0.16%3,981.12-0.90%0.0007✓1.06768.5M2021-12-22
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.7738-0.17%10.02+2.35%0.0308✗0.951.9M2021-12-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.056106-0.17%0.05685+1.16%0.0202✗1.1222k2021-12-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7926-0.17%3.862+1.66%0.0224✗0.68544k2021-12-22
XVGVergenative0.017350.017321-0.17%0.01724-0.63%0.0027✗1.183.1M2021-12-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.332215-0.18%0.3409+2.43%0.0314✗0.89544k2021-12-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022708-0.19%0.022989+1.05%0.0199✗1.211.9M2021-12-22
UMAUMAEthereum98.983-0.19%9.46+5.11%0.0586✗1.094.1M2021-12-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.205609-0.19%0.20351-1.21%0.0000✓1.6334k2021-12-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5941-0.19%3.5995-0.04%0.0009✓-0.09372k2021-12-22
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2775-0.20%1.3279+3.73%0.0451✗1.03131.8M2021-12-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.6025-0.20%27.39+15.81%0.1543✗0.8741.0M2021-12-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.267432-0.20%0.267724-0.09%0.0073✗0.9940.4M2021-12-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7724-0.20%1.801+1.41%0.0241✗1.296.8M2021-12-22
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127735-0.21%0.1305+1.95%0.0282✗1.09202k2021-12-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.102077-0.21%0.0942-7.91%0.0709✓1.516.8M2021-12-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.368908-0.21%0.3774+2.08%0.0309✗1.306.6M2021-12-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1633.0889-0.21%33.08-0.24%0.0039✗0.67744k2021-12-22
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.8566-0.22%182.5-2.02%0.0125✓0.9112.3M2021-12-22
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.827-0.22%21.435-2.01%0.0075✓1.6922.7M2021-12-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.6018-0.23%3.59-0.55%0.0030✗1.0012.1M2021-12-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5336.4437-0.24%41.49+13.58%0.1406✗1.745.5M2021-12-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9659-0.24%5.0079+0.60%0.0132✗0.7631k2021-12-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.104046-0.25%0.10602+1.64%0.0222✗0.54143k2021-12-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.018014-0.26%0.0179-0.89%0.0015✓1.263.6M2021-12-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.902-0.26%11.08+1.37%0.0194✗0.514.1M2021-12-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085876-0.26%0.0865+0.46%0.0142✗1.1024k2021-12-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.048249-0.27%0.05029+3.95%0.0474✗0.9515.8M2021-12-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.669384-0.27%0.6893+2.70%0.0371✗1.237.1M2021-12-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.8087-0.27%45.03+10.04%0.1101✗1.8513.1M2021-12-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1818-0.27%3.2372+1.46%0.0248✗1.214.7M2021-12-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.134629-0.27%0.1365+1.11%0.0206✗1.08559k2021-12-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9969-0.28%5.0655+1.09%0.0222✗1.375.2M2021-12-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.70765-0.29%0.6944-2.16%0.0108✓1.2915.1M2021-12-22
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4714-0.30%1.5055+2.01%0.0311✗1.3111.9M2021-12-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.2031-0.30%12.18-0.49%0.0039✓-0.315.7M2021-12-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.2259-0.31%10.14-1.15%0.0044✓0.64388k2021-12-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.4292-0.32%2.579+5.83%0.0656✗0.923.2M2021-12-22
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.01571-0.32%0.01601+1.59%0.0247✗0.921.6M2021-12-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0515.0012-0.32%15.79+4.92%0.0554✗0.671.6M2021-12-22
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.4302-0.35%10.58+11.80%0.1140✗-0.17119k2021-12-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4953-0.36%1.6078+7.14%0.0789✗1.017.8M2021-12-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.5043-0.37%10.62+11.32%0.1103✗-0.123.7M2021-12-22
ZECZcashZcash162.44161.8264-0.38%165.84+2.09%0.0331✗1.3613.6M2021-12-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6552-0.40%8.83+1.61%0.0248✗0.77934k2021-12-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032718-0.40%0.000035+6.54%0.0737✗1.001.8M2021-12-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1616-0.42%1.1865+1.72%0.0322✗1.751.5M2021-12-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.2733-0.42%3.2895+0.08%0.0103✗0.8510.1M2021-12-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5898-0.44%4.53-1.74%0.0068✓1.002.5M2021-12-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1841-0.50%1.21+1.68%0.0280✗1.002.4M2021-12-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.01961-0.51%0.0194-1.57%0.0073✓0.5561k2021-12-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.8134-0.51%3.759-1.93%0.0081✓1.003.6M2021-12-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.5959-0.52%5.05+9.31%0.1027✗1.3628.7M2021-12-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.6289-0.55%5.45-3.71%0.0260✓1.007.1M2021-12-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7991-0.57%1.9655+8.63%0.0928✗0.701.4M2021-12-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.1242-0.69%1.31+15.72%0.1592✗1.00215k2021-12-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.305-0.74%1.2709-3.33%0.0198✓1.0623.6M2021-12-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.9011-0.79%5.04+2.02%0.0342✗1.001.9M2021-12-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6359-0.83%7.93+2.99%0.0418✗0.631.1M2021-12-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037978-0.83%0.036887-3.68%0.0228✓1.0215.0M2021-12-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.8744-0.86%10.37+4.12%0.0536✗0.741.9M2021-12-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3772-1.01%2.1998-8.40%0.0650✓2.002.4M2021-12-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27121.9725-1.05%116.66-5.36%0.0373✓1.15164.3M2021-12-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.096609-1.19%0.0877-10.30%0.0890✓1.2422.6M2021-12-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.219208-1.44%0.2119-4.72%0.0267✓1.154.2M2021-12-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9934,104.83-1.71%31,630.71-8.84%0.0720✓0.536.8M2021-12-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.02248-2.01%0.02388+4.10%0.0667✗1.0033.0M2021-12-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.58944-2.09%0.6721+11.64%0.1428✗1.8412.4M2021-12-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.