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2021-12-21 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3500
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.4%
in alpha space · 83.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.527347-12.40%0.757+25.75%0.7014✗1.8412.4M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.020102-12.37%0.01207-47.38%0.3255✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.180552-12.35%0.18914-8.18%0.3472✗1.6334k2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27109.0686-11.52%79.35-35.63%0.1054✓1.15164.3M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.9237-11.05%2.6385-19.73%0.0541✓0.8510.1M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.3136-10.99%1.0699-27.50%0.0367✓1.3111.9M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.939.7495-10.80%7.96-27.17%0.1086✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.2301-10.52%3.06-15.24%0.1305✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.1493-10.50%1.0653-55.64%0.3329✓2.002.4M2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.5163-10.10%0.6721-60.15%0.7169✓0.528.7M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.3494-10.08%1.1313-24.61%0.0097✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.29938-10.04%0.2825-15.11%0.1058✗0.89544k2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.634-9.69%1.3945-22.93%0.0300✓0.701.4M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.034678-9.45%0.026039-32.01%0.0985✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9237.2999-8.85%21.12-48.39%0.2267✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.01449-8.06%0.01217-22.78%0.0040✓0.921.6M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.57387-8.03%0.428-31.41%0.0673✓1.223.2M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5333.636-7.92%30.25-17.19%0.2146✗1.745.5M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9931,948.72-7.92%31,414.30-9.46%0.0818✓0.536.8M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.2899-7.89%7.75-13.89%0.1339✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.548.8457-7.28%9.52-0.21%0.0522✓-0.123.7M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.5608-7.10%3.095-19.25%0.0444✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.0839-7.07%0.90658-22.28%0.1435✗1.751.5M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.2632-7.01%2.79-50.71%0.4501✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.624989-6.88%0.5606-16.48%0.1190✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0567-6.65%1.0839-4.25%0.2100✗1.00215k2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.6187-6.50%4.19-15.18%0.0872✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4638.8498-6.48%9.432-0.33%0.0320✓-0.17119k2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3760.2427-6.41%47.6-26.05%0.0451✓1.521.9M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.2827-6.33%2.111-13.38%0.0915✗0.923.2M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000030882-5.99%0.00002648-19.39%0.0308✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44152.999-5.81%118.84-26.84%0.0011✓1.3613.6M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.3557-5.72%3.97-14.07%0.1575✗1.3628.7M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.092367-5.53%0.06785-30.60%0.0802✓1.2422.6M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.210566-5.32%0.1141-48.70%0.4010✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.375-5.10%3.36-27.11%0.0794✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.016471-5.07%0.01234-28.88%0.0714✓1.183.1M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.6466-4.85%7.97-34.89%0.4371✓-0.315.7M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.065544-4.73%0.0452-34.30%0.1198✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.018786-4.69%0.01551-21.31%0.0900✓0.5561k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.046155-4.60%0.03533-26.97%0.0923✓0.9515.8M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1355-4.58%0.89-25.21%0.0590✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.352967-4.53%0.2832-23.40%0.0193✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964175.6607-4.51%119.9355-34.80%0.1711✓1.14853k2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87520.922-4.36%19.429-11.18%0.2375✗1.6922.7M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.094938-4.30%0.0736-25.81%0.0051✓1.353.3M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.3741-4.25%6.89-29.62%0.1327✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13545.8773-4.21%5.2113-15.06%0.0992✗1.19833k2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3335-4.16%1.8707-23.17%0.0012✓1.20169k2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.082528-4.15%0.0723-16.03%0.0709✗1.1024k2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.430097-4.10%0.5776+28.78%0.5568✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.849-3.99%6.92-32.54%0.2343✓0.64388k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.129661-3.96%0.1002-25.78%0.0581✓1.08559k2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.054012-3.89%0.04537-19.27%0.0332✓1.1222k2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.5682-3.79%1.11-31.90%0.0325✓1.701.8M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2355-3.79%1.5815+23.15%0.4456✗1.081.6M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2653-3.76%1.0173-22.62%0.0218✓1.0623.6M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.270029-3.66%0.2346-16.30%0.0921✗1.267.0M2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017414-3.58%0.01227-32.06%0.1183✓1.263.6M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.100618-3.54%0.08157-21.80%0.1093✓0.54143k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3101-3.50%1.1614-14.46%0.0733✗1.0535.7M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1274-3.48%3.35+3.40%0.2479✗0.97807k2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.0819-3.41%3.1598-0.97%0.2475✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.4905-3.07%3.7088+2.99%0.0441✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.124077-3.06%0.1095-14.45%0.0756✗1.09202k2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.1601-3.01%4.68-12.03%0.1207✗1.182.8M2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.8327-2.92%3.8114-23.43%0.0971✓0.7631k2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7248-2.88%1.272-28.38%0.0665✓1.296.8M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26181.0405-2.80%132.32-28.96%0.1447✓0.9112.3M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.6827-2.78%10.09+1.31%0.1784✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.700028-2.77%0.6442-10.53%0.1418✗1.227.7M2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.260652-2.73%0.231498-13.61%0.0636✗0.9940.4M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.19841-2.69%0.1484-27.22%0.0699✓1.198.6M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000106598-2.45%0.00009053-17.16%0.0199✓0.9912.6M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2488-2.45%1.2589-1.66%0.1978✗1.03131.8M2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.843941-2.43%0.682-21.16%0.0587✗1.479.9M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2794.9491-2.39%69.09-28.97%0.1412✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.060196-2.38%0.050637-17.88%0.1026✗1.4913.0M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0782-2.37%0.8682-21.39%0.0635✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6130.4324-2.37%121.15-9.32%0.1566✗1.252.2M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.3871-2.33%25.43-23.31%0.1186✓0.67744k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.8963-2.29%3.9838-20.50%0.0462✗1.375.2M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.0085-2.28%7.057-23.45%0.0231✗1.45349k2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.1289-2.20%38.97+64.78%0.6826✗0.8741.0M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.766078-2.17%0.655547-16.29%0.0415✗1.074.8M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.3887-2.00%24.39-23.85%0.0255✗1.501.5M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3622-2.00%2.8203-17.79%0.0167✓1.04819k2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9292-1.91%7.0322+16.34%0.3210✗0.814.9M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.2822-1.85%18.34-25.87%0.0841✓1.062.8M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3334.7197-1.73%29.37-16.87%0.0255✗1.046.5M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.7916-1.72%14.59-3.06%0.1091✗0.671.6M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5445-1.67%7.4-14.84%0.0013✓0.77934k2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,950.31-1.66%3,000.94-25.30%0.0791✓1.06768.5M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.109989-1.66%0.0964-13.81%0.0716✗1.1030k2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.16814-1.62%0.155509-9.01%0.1248✗1.105.5M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.698399-1.59%0.5001-29.53%0.0968✓1.2915.1M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75176.9744-1.54%127.52-29.06%0.1415✓1.01275.4M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01262.889-1.54%239.61-10.26%0.1068✗1.081.5M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.0224-1.54%0.018378-19.22%0.0255✗1.211.9M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8625-1.53%2.539-12.66%0.0357✗0.84104k2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,180.55-1.50%40,670.97-16.85%0.0151✓1.00754.4M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64122.8648-1.42%104.32-16.30%0.0181✗0.982.5M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1763-1.40%3.715-12.29%0.1233✗1.304.7M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.206995-1.38%0.1666-20.63%0.0558✓0.87756k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.309633-1.14%0.3693+17.91%0.4447✗1.454.9M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96186.8588-1.11%188.73-0.12%0.1857✗0.952.9M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1046-1.10%1.679-21.10%0.0205✓1.113.3M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.240466-1.08%0.1782-26.70%0.2154✓0.46428k2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3134.9282-1.08%26.19-25.83%0.1009✓1.0121.2M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078023-1.05%0.067694-14.15%0.0359✗0.96787k2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2982-0.96%2.8-15.92%0.0178✗0.981.3M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.5914-0.88%45.17+7.65%0.2785✗1.0625.2M2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8153.4655-0.86%129.8-16.15%0.0908✗1.4060.7M2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4192-0.85%2.03-16.80%0.0004✓0.954.8M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4512-0.81%7.481-0.41%0.2485✗1.32635k2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9168-0.79%2.35-20.07%0.0215✗1.293.1M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4711-0.73%1.143-22.87%0.0092✓1.325.6M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.3021-0.71%20.18+3.81%0.2796✗1.2769.7M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101572-0.70%0.06885-32.69%0.1108✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2126-0.69%0.939-23.10%0.0746✓0.984.4M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4378-0.38%7.38-12.87%0.0126✓0.661.2M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,269.25-0.37%41,418.10-14.51%0.0287✗0.9915k2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.791-0.21%3.583-5.69%0.0693✗0.68544k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0808-0.13%24.98+8.09%0.3257✗1.3420.8M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0776+0.01%4.731-6.82%0.0462✓0.631.0M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.702+0.03%6.14-20.26%0.1096✗0.631.1M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4194.4976+0.05%162.17-16.58%0.0128✓1.05228k2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357638+0.18%0.328-8.12%0.0507✓0.7454k2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8648+0.25%5.81-0.68%0.2338✓1.3213.8M2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.4327+1.00%11.36-25.65%0.0954✗1.146.2M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.2247+1.09%14.49-3.78%0.1854✓1.2714.2M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.4578+1.14%23-8.62%0.1280✓1.2475.1M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.4235+1.18%4.78-10.82%0.0735✓1.085.5M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9973+1.30%3.861-2.15%0.1138✓0.80734k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94445.2297+1.66%357.74-18.31%0.0283✗1.0314.2M2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16189.5855+1.84%198.37+6.56%0.2243✓0.9711.0M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.