2021-12-20 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0746

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

33.3%

in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.5419	+1.30%	1.6866	+10.81%	0.0702	✓	0.47	8.8M	2021-12-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.066259	+1.04%	0.09777	+49.09%	0.3479	✓	0.99	22.6M	2021-12-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.2238	+0.74%	3.61	+12.81%	0.0716	✓	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	182.2339	+0.68%	186.16	+2.85%	0.0192	✗	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.5194	+0.63%	1.63	+7.95%	0.0002	✓	1.69	2.0M	2021-12-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.351092	+0.60%	0.357	+2.29%	0.0141	✗	0.74	54k	2021-12-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.065579	+0.58%	0.0688	+5.52%	0.0084	✗	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	189.51	+0.57%	194.4	+3.17%	0.0185	✗	1.06	236k	2021-12-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.815201	+0.52%	0.865	+6.66%	0.0016	✓	1.47	10.9M	2021-12-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.8636	+0.48%	6.0446	+3.59%	0.0035	✓	0.82	5.1M	2021-12-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.4014	+0.48%	2.44	+2.09%	0.0238	✗	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.2006	+0.47%	1.221	+2.18%	0.0243	✗	0.99	4.6M	2021-12-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.1338	+0.47%	5.36	+4.89%	0.0016	✓	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.8506	+0.46%	23.11	+6.25%	0.0009	✓	1.33	20.8M	2021-12-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	189.7128	+0.46%	188.96	+0.06%	0.0446	✗	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.445	+0.46%	7.512	+1.36%	0.0470	✗	1.35	635k	2021-12-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7823	+0.44%	2.94	+6.14%	0.0019	✓	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.049	+0.44%	2.128	+4.31%	0.0084	✗	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.303013	+0.44%	0.3132	+3.81%	0.0279	✗	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.167894	+0.43%	0.170906	+2.23%	0.0285	✗	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.9089	+0.43%	5.0109	+2.51%	0.0366	✗	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.125428	+0.42%	0.128	+2.48%	0.0254	✗	1.10	202k	2021-12-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.3645	+0.42%	15.05	-1.63%	0.0495	✗	0.69	1.6M	2021-12-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7267	+0.42%	3.799	+2.37%	0.0090	✗	0.68	544k	2021-12-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.5079	+0.42%	32.03	+5.43%	0.0139	✗	1.51	1.6M	2021-12-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.672004	+0.42%	0.72	+7.59%	0.0191	✓	1.20	7.8M	2021-12-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.109222	+0.42%	0.11184	+2.82%	0.0226	✗	1.12	31k	2021-12-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.4947	+0.41%	8.47	+0.12%	0.0307	✗	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0804	+0.40%	5.32	+5.14%	0.0029	✓	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.624695	+0.40%	0.7097	+14.06%	0.0766	✓	1.23	14.9M	2021-12-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.5781	+0.40%	15.06	+3.72%	0.0207	✗	1.28	14.2M	2021-12-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.08392	+0.38%	0.0861	+2.99%	0.0205	✗	1.11	24k	2021-12-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.3027	+0.38%	1.3577	+4.62%	0.0021	✓	1.05	35.8M	2021-12-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.8958	+0.38%	15.28	+2.96%	0.0223	✗	1.15	6.6M	2021-12-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022364	+0.37%	0.02275	+2.10%	0.0340	✗	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.095346	+0.36%	0.0992	+4.42%	0.0168	✗	1.36	3.4M	2021-12-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	127.7888	+0.36%	133.6	+4.92%	0.0074	✗	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	47,093.25	+0.36%	48,914.70	+4.24%	0.0036	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.3004	+0.35%	3.4308	+4.32%	0.0044	✗	1.04	798k	2021-12-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.268337	+0.35%	0.2803	+4.82%	0.0090	✗	1.27	7.0M	2021-12-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2642	+0.35%	2.4347	+7.91%	0.0235	✓	1.18	169k	2021-12-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.054247	+0.35%	0.0562	+3.96%	0.0115	✗	1.13	22k	2021-12-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.6583	+0.34%	35.33	+2.29%	0.0247	✗	1.06	6.5M	2021-12-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017339	+0.34%	0.01806	+4.51%	0.0114	✗	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.952	+0.33%	3.946	+0.18%	0.0357	✗	0.82	780k	2021-12-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.8271	+0.32%	24.74	+4.17%	0.0064	✗	1.06	2.9M	2021-12-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.243	+0.32%	1.2842	+3.65%	0.0124	✗	1.08	1.6M	2021-12-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.204346	+0.32%	0.2099	+3.04%	0.0096	✗	0.88	756k	2021-12-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.847	+0.32%	2.907	+2.43%	0.0144	✗	0.85	104k	2021-12-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6763	+0.31%	1.776	+6.28%	0.0044	✓	1.29	7.6M	2021-12-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.8381	+0.31%	19.44	+3.51%	0.0219	✗	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.07785	+0.31%	0.07885	+1.60%	0.0280	✗	0.98	798k	2021-12-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	174.5451	+0.31%	186.26	+7.04%	0.0280	✓	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.2418	+0.30%	1.2801	+3.39%	0.0125	✗	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.058152	+0.29%	0.061664	+6.35%	0.0035	✗	1.50	13.8M	2021-12-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.688	+0.29%	41.96	+3.43%	0.0135	✗	1.07	25.2M	2021-12-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016686	+0.28%	0.01735	+4.27%	0.0101	✗	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.9618	+0.27%	7.7	-3.02%	0.0612	✗	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	264.5735	+0.27%	267.01	+1.20%	0.0367	✗	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.7138	+0.27%	8.69	+0.00%	0.0356	✗	0.79	838k	2021-12-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.7736	+0.27%	9	+2.86%	0.0203	✗	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	431.4319	+0.27%	437.94	+1.78%	0.0286	✗	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	24.1419	+0.26%	25.17	+4.53%	0.0100	✗	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	177.3662	+0.26%	183.964	+3.99%	0.0109	✗	1.14	1.1M	2021-12-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.0457	+0.25%	5.077	+0.87%	0.0204	✗	0.64	1.0M	2021-12-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.8777	+0.25%	6.1354	+4.65%	0.0063	✗	1.18	833k	2021-12-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.000106639	+0.24%	0.00010928	+2.73%	0.0171	✗	1.00	13.4M	2021-12-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.5818	+0.24%	23.65	+9.85%	0.0572	✓	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.019296	+0.24%	0.01971	+2.39%	0.0016	✓	0.55	67k	2021-12-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.493	+0.24%	5.85	+6.75%	0.0088	✓	1.31	12.7M	2021-12-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.9949	+0.23%	124.64	+2.41%	0.0199	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,977.23	+0.23%	48,448.30	+3.37%	0.0103	✗	0.99	15k	2021-12-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.258983	+0.23%	0.267972	+3.71%	0.0070	✗	0.99	40.4M	2021-12-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.241051	+0.23%	0.2431	+1.08%	0.0106	✗	0.46	434k	2021-12-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.0506	+0.22%	1.1044	+5.35%	0.0131	✗	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	174.4442	+0.22%	179.75	+3.27%	0.0123	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	8.9914	+0.22%	9.2185	+2.75%	0.0362	✗	1.47	356k	2021-12-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	61.6227	+0.22%	64.37	+4.68%	0.0200	✗	1.53	2.2M	2021-12-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1668	+0.21%	3.24	+2.53%	0.0179	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.756706	+0.21%	0.783071	+3.71%	0.0104	✗	1.07	4.8M	2021-12-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	32.0575	+0.21%	33.16	+3.66%	0.0064	✓	0.66	754k	2021-12-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4119	+0.21%	1.482	+5.18%	0.0063	✗	1.32	5.6M	2021-12-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.199512	+0.21%	0.2039	+2.41%	0.0285	✗	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.9107	+0.20%	4.9779	+1.57%	0.0185	✗	0.77	31k	2021-12-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.9288	+0.20%	35.31	+1.29%	0.0319	✗	1.03	21.2M	2021-12-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2359	+0.18%	3.33	+3.10%	0.0125	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.422065	+0.18%	0.4485	+6.46%	0.0030	✓	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.629738	+0.18%	0.6712	+6.78%	0.0129	✓	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	152.9798	+0.18%	154.8	+1.37%	0.0476	✗	1.43	60.7M	2021-12-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.0817	+0.17%	1.3147	+21.74%	0.1554	✓	0.96	23.6M	2021-12-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.318038	+0.17%	0.3328	+4.82%	0.0090	✓	0.88	693k	2021-12-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.172	+0.17%	3.1906	+0.75%	0.0452	✗	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.4023	+0.16%	1.4758	+5.41%	0.0039	✗	1.32	12.4M	2021-12-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,952.51	+0.16%	4,017.11	+1.80%	0.0287	✗	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	157.2594	+0.15%	162.44	+3.45%	0.0250	✗	1.38	13.6M	2021-12-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.607839	+0.14%	0.624	+2.80%	0.0253	✗	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	92.755	+0.13%	97.27	+5.01%	0.0081	✓	0.95	10.6M	2021-12-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.9667	+0.13%	9.463	+5.67%	0.0629	✓	-0.22	119k	2021-12-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6285	+0.13%	1.8094	+11.25%	0.0785	✓	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.046696	+0.12%	0.04838	+3.73%	0.0041	✗	0.95	15.8M	2021-12-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014947	+0.11%	0.01576	+5.56%	0.0151	✓	0.91	1.9M	2021-12-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.5409	+0.11%	9.79	+2.73%	0.0140	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.194845	+0.09%	0.206	+5.83%	0.0124	✗	1.64	34k	2021-12-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	34.1202	+0.09%	36.53	+7.16%	0.0043	✗	1.75	6.0M	2021-12-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.099224	+0.08%	0.10431	+5.21%	0.0281	✓	0.53	143k	2021-12-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.3139	+0.08%	2.437	+5.41%	0.0138	✓	0.92	3.3M	2021-12-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.089082	+0.08%	0.10229	+14.92%	0.0780	✓	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.4576	+0.07%	10.93	+4.59%	0.0236	✓	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.130389	+0.07%	0.135	+3.61%	0.0105	✗	1.09	603k	2021-12-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.353435	+0.07%	0.3697	+4.67%	0.0092	✗	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.1079	+0.03%	1.1664	+5.32%	0.0221	✗	1.77	1.5M	2021-12-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.1113	+0.03%	4.62	+12.41%	0.0618	✓	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.6531	+0.03%	9.96	+3.21%	0.0008	✓	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	40.3815	+0.03%	40.92	+1.36%	0.0670	✗	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.1074	+0.02%	4.2356	+3.15%	0.0239	✗	1.32	4.7M	2021-12-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.8019	+0.02%	3.833	+0.84%	0.0334	✗	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000031226	+0.02%	0.00003285	+5.22%	0.0092	✓	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5747	+0.01%	3.601	+0.75%	0.0114	✓	-0.10	372k	2021-12-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.2385	-0.02%	10.258	+0.17%	0.0256	✓	0.66	388k	2021-12-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	9.0066	-0.04%	9.54	+5.88%	0.0642	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.1346	-0.04%	12.24	+0.82%	0.0224	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	21.0915	-0.05%	21.875	+3.66%	0.0350	✓	1.72	23.4M	2021-12-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.3886	-0.06%	1.5007	+8.00%	0.0363	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1891	-0.08%	1.19	+0.00%	0.0407	✓	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2765	-0.08%	4.61	+7.71%	0.0336	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.1857	-0.14%	3.2869	+3.04%	0.0050	✓	0.87	10.9M	2021-12-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	2.0156	-0.16%	2.4015	+18.95%	0.0938	✗	1.96	2.3M	2021-12-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035787	-0.17%	0.038297	+6.83%	0.0260	✗	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7816	-0.17%	4.94	+3.13%	0.0089	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.7477	-0.21%	5.66	-1.74%	0.0569	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	113.1688	-0.34%	123.27	+8.56%	0.0382	✗	1.14	164.3M	2021-12-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.218094	-0.41%	0.2224	+1.55%	0.0289	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.018015	-0.42%	0.02294	+26.81%	0.2002	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	36,336.70	-1.31%	34,696.99	-5.76%	0.0709	✓	0.60	6.2M	2021-12-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.523339	-2.58%	0.602	+12.06%	0.0639	✗	1.83	10.2M	2021-12-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.