8=======>

2021-12-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2827
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.9%
in alpha space · 81.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.465009-13.44%0.8466+57.59%0.8169✗1.8310.2M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.173961-10.63%0.19913+2.30%0.3297✗1.6434k2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55101.9132-10.25%82.64-27.22%0.0744✓1.14164.3M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.41.2598-10.02%1.1386-18.67%0.0560✓1.3212.4M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.459.4148-9.91%8.43-19.33%0.0517✓0.504.2M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19012.8763-9.84%2.7346-14.28%0.0531✓0.8710.9M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4333,204.40-9.82%32,142.29-12.70%0.0382✓0.606.2M2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.2689-8.68%1.1693-15.85%0.0362✓0.997.8M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.2905-8.50%0.2983-6.05%0.1305✗0.88693k2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.016601-8.23%0.01172-35.21%0.2295✓1.0030.7M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.22.9437-8.01%3.33+4.06%0.2420✗1.0011.9M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3737.1657-7.94%22.14-45.16%0.2886✓1.9313.8M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.033047-7.81%0.026624-25.73%0.0967✓1.0115.0M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.8627-7.73%1.1835-41.38%0.2210✓1.962.3M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5028-7.60%1.462-10.11%0.0491✓0.651.4M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4097-7.39%0.7592-50.12%0.5630✓0.478.8M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0931.5832-7.35%32.43-4.87%0.2340✗1.756.0M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.564182-7.05%0.469-22.73%0.0374✓1.243.4M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.013903-6.88%0.0127-14.94%0.0179✓0.911.9M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0346-6.59%0.95676-13.61%0.1321✗1.771.5M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.5522-6.54%3.282-13.65%0.0396✓1.003.7M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.3843-6.52%3.1-46.18%0.4334✓1.009.3M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.1812-6.50%8.26-5.60%0.1404✗1.103.9M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.4945-6.17%4.35-9.19%0.0860✗1.001.8M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.590158-6.12%0.5784-7.99%0.1252✗1.227.7M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.46-6.10%10.21+13.32%0.1688✗-0.163.7M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.00002938-5.89%0.00002726-12.68%0.0438✓1.001.9M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.4719-5.40%10.274+14.73%0.1669✗-0.22119k2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase61.4958.2049-5.34%49.93-18.80%0.0287✓1.532.2M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.0537-5.29%3.56-16.82%0.0112✓1.002.8M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.207451-5.27%0.1191-45.62%0.4165✓1.173.9M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.1905-5.26%2.219-4.02%0.1216✗0.923.3M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash157.02149.1575-5.01%125.87-19.84%0.0055✓1.3813.6M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.5519-4.84%8.35-31.22%0.3638✓-0.335.9M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1336-4.74%0.93-21.85%0.0793✓1.002.3M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018347-4.69%0.01585-17.66%0.0810✓0.5567k2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.113.9208-4.60%4.19+1.95%0.2232✗1.3228.7M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.044662-4.24%0.03718-20.28%0.0703✓0.9515.8M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.8204-4.11%7.272-28.99%0.2217✓0.66388k2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.2414-4.08%19.951-5.46%0.1901✗1.7223.4M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138169.8788-3.98%120.5322-31.87%0.2076✓1.141.1M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.1567-3.92%7.01-26.44%0.1534✓0.962.0M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.1686-3.89%2.0509-9.10%0.0847✗1.18169k2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.016640.016006-3.81%0.01267-23.86%0.0934✓1.183.1M2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.125502-3.68%0.1012-22.33%0.0859✓1.09603k2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.080535-3.67%0.0761-8.97%0.0753✗1.1124k2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.062825-3.64%0.0486-25.46%0.0955✓1.362.9M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.340381-3.63%0.2982-15.57%0.0226✓1.306.8M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.091596-3.58%0.0774-18.53%0.0070✓1.363.4M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.406611-3.49%0.5701+35.32%0.5031✗1.391.8M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.0603-3.36%3.1421-0.78%0.1725✗1.234.7M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.6661-3.36%5.4486-7.07%0.1015✗1.18833k2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.0541-3.35%3.39+7.28%0.2208✗0.98821k2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2553-3.27%1.2659-2.46%0.1328✗1.0535.8M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.259081-3.11%0.2463-7.89%0.0998✗1.277.0M2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.4631-3.11%3.6546+2.25%0.0424✗-0.10372k2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2005-3.11%1.537+24.05%0.3757✗1.081.6M2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.01675-3.06%0.01394-19.33%0.0347✓1.263.6M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.052457-2.97%0.04692-13.21%0.0226✓1.1322k2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.7606-2.86%3.9939-18.51%0.0838✓0.7731k2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.3822-2.78%10.22+5.91%0.1728✗0.741.9M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4688-2.73%1.17-22.52%0.0271✓1.692.0M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.096475-2.69%0.0853-13.96%0.0606✓0.53143k2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0513-2.65%1.0492-2.84%0.1115✗0.9623.6M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6275-2.60%1.294-22.56%0.0765✓1.297.6M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.651817-2.60%0.6838+2.18%0.1904✗1.207.8M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.064.9292-2.58%4.91-2.96%0.1362✗1.182.8M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.251891-2.52%0.245567-4.96%0.0920✗0.9940.4M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.12490.121959-2.35%0.1126-9.85%0.0509✗1.10202k2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.194508-2.31%0.151-24.16%0.1095✓1.218.9M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum174.01170.0149-2.30%135.59-22.08%0.1206✓0.8912.3M2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.2933-2.18%26.81-16.19%0.0763✓0.66754k2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.7823-2.11%7.4032-17.48%0.0039✓1.47356k2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000104139-2.11%0.00009227-13.26%0.0023✓1.0013.4M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2122-2.10%1.3366+7.96%0.2202✗1.03131.8M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6390.6894-2.09%71.82-22.47%0.1204✓0.9510.6M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.7856-2.09%4-18.17%0.0159✓1.385.2M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.314.9844-2.06%14.85-2.94%0.0735✗0.691.6M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0273-2.01%0.9271-11.56%0.0777✗1.523.4M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5168-1.99%7.57-12.89%0.0238✓0.79838k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.795197-1.95%0.701-13.56%0.0481✗1.4710.9M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash127.33124.8869-1.92%126.8-0.42%0.1636✗1.252.2M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,875.89-1.78%3,085.27-21.82%0.0996✓1.08768.5M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.741701-1.77%0.684968-9.29%0.0480✗1.074.8M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.1634-1.70%37.07+72.18%0.6588✗0.8342.5M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.064474-1.69%0.07162+9.21%0.2227✗0.9922.6M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5433.9586-1.68%31.27-9.47%0.0431✗1.066.5M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.3726-1.59%19.03-19.87%0.0796✓1.062.9M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration263.85259.7244-1.56%243.71-7.63%0.0675✗1.101.5M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7454-1.54%7.1+21.67%0.3087✗0.825.1M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.057089-1.54%0.051115-11.84%0.0672✗1.5013.8M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3829.9148-1.53%26.13-13.99%0.0438✗1.511.6M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.164724-1.47%0.161705-3.27%0.1139✗1.125.3M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana174.06171.5826-1.42%135.33-22.25%0.1165✓1.02281.0M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.107248-1.40%0.10044-7.66%0.0669✗1.1231k2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2463-1.29%3.0555-7.09%0.0630✗1.04798k2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.8017-1.28%2.623-7.58%0.0350✗0.85104k2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,349.17-1.23%41,674.27-11.19%0.0124✗1.00750.8M2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022012-1.21%0.01895-14.95%0.0036✓1.231.9M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0592-1.15%3.8849-5.39%0.1125✗1.324.7M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.84186.7556-1.10%201.62+6.77%0.1928✗0.982.9M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71120.3678-1.10%109.45-10.07%0.0232✗1.002.5M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.201622-1.02%0.1712-15.95%0.0594✓0.88756k2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.521-0.97%27.59-20.85%0.1018✓1.0321.2M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1998-0.94%2.91-9.91%0.0227✗0.991.3M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.238341-0.90%0.1786-25.74%0.2339✓0.46434k2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.077610.076954-0.85%0.069192-10.85%0.0102✗0.98798k2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.299224-0.82%0.366+21.31%0.3759✗1.474.9M2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0254-0.72%1.709-16.23%0.0376✓1.113.4M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.3602-0.69%7.009-5.42%0.1110✗1.35635k2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3739-0.67%2.09-12.55%0.0137✓0.964.9M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.5740.3254-0.60%46.67+15.04%0.2729✗1.0725.2M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.618854-0.54%0.5244-15.72%0.0198✓1.2314.9M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1888-0.52%0.96-19.67%0.0960✓0.994.6M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.4021-0.49%1.222-13.27%0.0191✗1.325.6M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.4206-0.47%7.67-9.34%0.0138✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71152.0238-0.45%136.2-10.81%0.0602✗1.4360.7M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.9104-0.37%6.36-19.90%0.1386✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.7195-0.32%21.56+14.80%0.2939✗1.2969.7M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,727.38-0.30%41,724.00-10.98%0.0043✗0.9915k2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7642-0.21%2.47-10.83%0.0397✗1.283.0M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0335.0277-0.10%4.793-4.77%0.0283✗0.641.0M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.088983-0.03%0.07218-18.91%0.0369✓1.456.7M2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.7099-0.03%3.627-2.26%0.0580✗0.68544k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.350585+0.45%0.349+0.00%0.0836✓0.7454k2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.5055+0.47%6.05+10.40%0.2493✓1.3112.7M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43189.4907+0.56%172.8-8.29%0.0337✓1.06236k2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.8812+0.60%26.53+21.98%0.3503✓1.3320.8M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.9757+0.93%3.956+0.43%0.0927✓0.82780k2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0824.4338+1.47%24.06-0.08%0.1325✓1.2575.1M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.7478+1.57%15.12+4.13%0.1770✓1.2814.2M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.8415.0817+1.63%12.52-15.63%0.0495✗1.156.6M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28438.2554+1.85%369.1-14.22%0.0472✗1.0514.2M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.2056+1.87%4.9-4.11%0.0673✓1.085.5M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01185.196+2.31%210.15+16.10%0.2421✓0.9811.0M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.