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2021-12-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0534
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.4%
in alpha space · 28.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.672+1.22%1.5221-7.85%0.0964✗0.489.0M2021-12-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.071582+0.96%0.06558-7.50%0.0927✗1.0123.2M2021-12-20
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44184.7046+0.69%181.01-1.32%0.0252✗0.9810.9M2021-12-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6826+0.64%7.94+19.58%0.1691✓0.641.1M2021-12-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5598+0.63%1.51-2.58%0.0411✗1.692.1M2021-12-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.5517+0.62%3.2-9.35%0.1094✗1.0012.1M2021-12-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.365135+0.59%0.349-3.86%0.0490✗0.7554k2021-12-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.5262+0.57%15.3+13.75%0.1198✓0.671.6M2021-12-20
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44196.5145+0.55%188.43-3.59%0.0475✗1.07228k2021-12-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.830371+0.53%0.811-1.82%0.0311✗1.4712.1M2021-12-20
GTGateEthereum5.79835.8269+0.49%5.8354+0.64%0.0027✓0.825.2M2021-12-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.071047+0.49%0.0652-7.78%0.0929✗1.383.5M2021-12-20
XMRMoneroMonero183.97184.8593+0.48%188.84+2.65%0.0163✓0.982.9M2021-12-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4315+0.48%2.39-1.24%0.0221✗0.964.9M2021-12-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.7227+0.47%2.77+2.21%0.0107✓1.282.9M2021-12-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9971+0.47%8.46+6.28%0.0529✓0.661.1M2021-12-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.2342+0.47%5.11-1.92%0.0295✗1.085.5M2021-12-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5665+0.46%3.711+4.54%0.0363✓0.67532k2021-12-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2246+0.46%1.195-1.97%0.0295✗1.005.1M2021-12-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.7712+0.45%21.75-4.06%0.0527✗1.3320.5M2021-12-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.757+0.44%4.888+3.21%0.0202✓1.375.2M2021-12-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.9423+0.43%7.411-6.28%0.0762✗1.36640k2021-12-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.307622+0.43%0.3017-1.50%0.0270✗1.474.9M2021-12-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.170239+0.42%0.167179-1.39%0.0239✗1.125.3M2021-12-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.264168+0.41%0.2674+1.63%0.0057✓1.277.4M2021-12-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.693693+0.40%0.6692-3.14%0.0421✗1.218.2M2021-12-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1396+0.40%2.04-4.27%0.0534✗1.123.4M2021-12-20
BANDBandEthereum5.125.1405+0.40%5.06-1.17%0.0218✗1.182.8M2021-12-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.9667+0.40%30.38-4.59%0.0587✗1.521.6M2021-12-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.111482+0.40%0.10877-2.04%0.0303✗1.1231k2021-12-20
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9715.028+0.39%14.52-3.01%0.0410✗1.2914.2M2021-12-20
XEMNEMnative0.12880.129296+0.39%0.1249-3.03%0.0402✗1.11191k2021-12-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.095057+0.38%0.095+0.32%0.0075✗1.363.6M2021-12-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,858.09+0.37%46,926.07+0.51%0.0037✗1.00744.5M2021-12-20
DASHDashDash129.18129.6454+0.36%127.33-1.43%0.0244✗1.252.2M2021-12-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.34+0.36%2.2563-3.23%0.0425✗1.19191k2021-12-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.084901+0.36%0.0836-1.18%0.0211✗1.1124k2021-12-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.650501+0.36%0.6222-4.01%0.0508✗1.2414.9M2021-12-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.5346+0.35%14.84-4.13%0.0516✗1.166.6M2021-12-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3611+0.35%1.2978-4.32%0.0530✗1.0638.2M2021-12-20
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3672+0.35%3.2888-1.99%0.0289✗1.04781k2021-12-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8935.0099+0.34%34.54-1.00%0.0189✗1.066.9M2021-12-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.02325+0.34%0.022282-3.84%0.0488✗1.241.9M2021-12-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.201864+0.33%0.2037+1.24%0.0046✓0.88776k2021-12-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.9017+0.33%3.939+1.29%0.0053✓0.82780k2021-12-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017667+0.32%0.01728-1.87%0.0286✗1.263.6M2021-12-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2826+0.32%1.239-3.09%0.0401✗1.091.6M2021-12-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.9399+0.32%18.78-0.53%0.0151✗1.2969.7M2021-12-20
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2482+0.31%1.2381-0.50%0.0134✗1.03131.8M2021-12-20
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.8634+0.31%40.57+2.09%0.0121✓1.0726.1M2021-12-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.3652+0.30%8.69+4.20%0.0341✓0.79824k2021-12-20
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079739+0.30%0.07761-2.38%0.0321✗0.99735k2021-12-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.8032+0.30%23.75-3.96%0.0488✗1.073.0M2021-12-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7359+0.30%5.033+6.59%0.0576✓0.63961k2021-12-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.055802+0.29%0.05406-2.84%0.0375✗1.1422k2021-12-20
XVGVergenative0.016740.016788+0.28%0.01664-0.60%0.0149✗1.183.6M2021-12-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7599+0.28%1.671-4.79%0.0585✗1.307.6M2021-12-20
QNTQuantEthereum182.22182.7271+0.28%174.01-4.51%0.0535✗0.9012.3M2021-12-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9922+0.28%2.838-4.89%0.0573✗0.86105k2021-12-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3446+0.27%5.48+2.81%0.0184✓1.3012.7M2021-12-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94434.088+0.27%430.28-0.61%0.0142✗1.0514.2M2021-12-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.25453+0.25%0.25839+1.77%0.0100✓0.9939.3M2021-12-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.192687+0.25%0.1991+3.59%0.0266✓1.218.9M2021-12-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.6371+0.25%3.801+4.77%0.0390✓1.003.8M2021-12-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809183.8365+0.25%176.9138-3.53%0.0442✗1.151.2M2021-12-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.841+0.25%24.08-2.82%0.0375✗1.2575.1M2021-12-20
KSMKusamaHydration274.31274.9781+0.24%263.85-3.81%0.0470✗1.111.5M2021-12-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.061043+0.24%0.057981-4.79%0.0592✗1.5113.9M2021-12-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.9701+0.24%5.8629-1.56%0.0242✗1.19876k2021-12-20
UMAUMAEthereum9.099.1115+0.24%8.75-3.74%0.0461✗1.114.1M2021-12-20
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000108923+0.23%0.00010638-2.11%0.0287✗1.0014.3M2021-12-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1822.23+0.23%21.53-2.93%0.0362✗0.8342.5M2021-12-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02123.2949+0.22%121.71-1.06%0.0180✗1.002.3M2021-12-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0047,263.93+0.22%46,868.20-0.62%0.0135✗0.9915k2021-12-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.187+0.22%3.16-0.63%0.0135✗0.98821k2021-12-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.605315+0.22%0.607+0.50%0.0036✗1.243.4M2021-12-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02333.0296+0.21%3.1667+4.74%0.0381✓1.214.7M2021-12-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2532.3173+0.21%31.99-0.81%0.0136✗0.66754k2021-12-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.08399.1028+0.21%8.9718-1.23%0.0220✗1.48356k2021-12-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0791+0.21%1.0483-2.66%0.0368✗1.523.6M2021-12-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.771953+0.21%0.755084-1.98%0.0276✗1.084.8M2021-12-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0663+0.20%1.0799+1.48%0.0078✓0.9523.6M2021-12-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4559+0.20%1.409-3.03%0.0395✗1.335.6M2021-12-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.95180.2901+0.19%174.06-3.27%0.0404✗1.02281.0M2021-12-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.646995+0.19%0.6286-2.66%0.0351✗1.238.7M2021-12-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.9425+0.18%4.901-0.66%0.0124✗0.7831k2021-12-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.8656+0.18%34.86-2.63%0.0337✗1.0320.8M2021-12-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.2259+0.18%3.23+0.31%0.0038✗0.991.3M2021-12-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.325784+0.18%0.3175-2.37%0.0303✗0.88775k2021-12-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31153.5778+0.17%152.71-0.39%0.0130✗1.4463.2M2021-12-20
ZENHorizenBase65.5265.6322+0.17%61.49-6.15%0.0731✗1.552.2M2021-12-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.435837+0.17%0.4213-3.17%0.0390✗1.001.8M2021-12-20
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.258136+0.17%0.2405-6.67%0.0732✗0.47434k2021-12-20
ZECZcashZcash157.78158.0382+0.16%157.02-0.48%0.0135✗1.3915.2M2021-12-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,932.11+0.16%3,946.16+0.52%0.0020✗1.08768.5M2021-12-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.5914+0.13%9.65+12.47%0.1126✓0.701.9M2021-12-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2799.291+0.13%8.955-3.49%0.0357✗-0.21119k2021-12-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.610.6117+0.11%10.45-1.42%0.0179✗0.504.2M2021-12-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2995.3918+0.11%92.63-2.79%0.0343✗0.9610.9M2021-12-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000030793+0.11%0.00003122+1.50%0.0087✓1.001.8M2021-12-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.015386+0.10%0.01493-2.86%0.0348✗0.922.1M2021-12-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.048049+0.10%0.04664-2.83%0.0346✗0.9615.8M2021-12-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.203876+0.10%0.19466-4.42%0.0547✗1.6537k2021-12-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6863+0.10%1.6264-3.46%0.0395✗0.651.4M2021-12-20
HIVEHivenative1.46421.4655+0.09%1.4-4.38%0.0526✗1.3312.4M2021-12-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8340.8642+0.08%40.37-1.13%0.0221✗1.9413.8M2021-12-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.020367+0.08%0.01925-5.41%0.0593✗0.5661k2021-12-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.3368+0.08%2.312-0.99%0.0154✗0.923.4M2021-12-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1435.1674+0.08%34.09-2.99%0.0401✗1.766.8M2021-12-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.9074+0.07%9.53-3.74%0.0438✗0.971.9M2021-12-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.100551+0.07%0.09914-1.33%0.0168✗0.53143k2021-12-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.092114+0.06%0.08901-3.31%0.0417✗1.467.0M2021-12-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4787+0.04%3.5742+2.78%0.0276✓-0.10372k2021-12-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.365934+0.04%0.3532-3.44%0.0421✗1.317.0M2021-12-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.136524+0.02%0.1303-4.54%0.0523✗1.10648k2021-12-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.1707+0.02%4.11-1.44%0.0214✗1.3328.7M2021-12-20
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.1387+0.01%4.1064-0.77%0.0146✗1.324.2M2021-12-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.1312-0.00%1.1076-2.09%0.0302✓1.781.6M2021-12-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.8782-0.02%12.14+2.19%0.0235✗-0.335.9M2021-12-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.29.1977-0.02%9.01-2.07%0.0198✓-0.163.7M2021-12-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.3178-0.04%10.241-0.78%0.0109✓0.67374k2021-12-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.4974-0.06%4.28-4.89%0.0547✓1.003.1M2021-12-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.2321.2173-0.06%21.103-0.60%0.0142✓1.7324.3M2021-12-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1692-0.07%1.19+1.71%0.0125✗1.002.4M2021-12-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.1972-0.07%4.79+14.05%0.1270✗1.001.7M2021-12-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.4679-0.15%1.3895-5.48%0.0600✓1.017.8M2021-12-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25673.2513-0.17%3.1901-2.04%0.0235✓0.8812.2M2021-12-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05192.0482-0.18%2.0189-1.61%0.0245✓1.972.3M2021-12-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.7094-0.18%5.76+0.70%0.0037✗1.0011.5M2021-12-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.6107.3264-0.25%113.55+5.53%0.0506✗1.13164.3M2021-12-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.016823-0.40%0.01809+7.10%0.0675✗1.0033.0M2021-12-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5131,867.79-0.41%36,818.43+15.07%0.1415✗0.575.5M2021-12-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.038169-0.85%0.035847-6.88%0.0680✓1.0215.0M2021-12-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.424954-0.94%0.5372+25.22%0.2252✗1.8010.2M2021-12-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.269479-2.64%0.219-20.88%0.2136✓1.223.7M2021-12-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.