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2021-12-19 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2964
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 77.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.182059-10.61%0.19779-2.89%0.2428✗1.6537k2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.3184-9.95%1.2149-17.03%0.0477✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.9365-9.83%2.859-12.21%0.0588✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.386925-9.81%0.9154+113.38%1.0363✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.249818-9.75%0.1293-53.29%0.5406✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.5812-9.61%8.78-17.17%0.0389✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.697.5128-9.37%86.02-20.06%0.0154✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.035015-9.04%0.027164-29.43%0.1550✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3393-8.90%1.236-15.92%0.0174✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.298503-8.21%0.3128-3.81%0.1323✗0.88775k2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5516-7.90%1.5502-7.98%0.0625✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.2525-7.86%3.54+0.28%0.1817✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8337.6559-7.77%23.4-42.69%0.2873✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.8924-7.77%1.1612-43.41%0.2973✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.015593-7.68%0.01274-24.57%0.1050✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1432.5329-7.42%34.09-2.99%0.2173✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.5299-7.38%0.8648-47.64%0.5234✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.4674-6.85%7.94-12.65%0.0433✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.56289-6.81%0.499-17.38%0.0000✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.055-6.74%1.0043-11.22%0.1234✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014335-6.74%0.0133-13.47%0.0142✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5129,868.04-6.66%32,596.41+1.87%0.1432✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.3474-6.51%3.25-43.18%0.4009✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.3988-6.32%3.378-6.89%0.0909✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.6432-6.05%11.41+24.02%0.2623✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.019121-6.04%0.01679-17.49%0.0757✓0.5661k2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.949-5.98%4.64+10.48%0.2583✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.60728-5.96%0.6093-5.65%0.1227✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5261.9913-5.39%52.32-20.15%0.0197✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029107-5.37%0.00002811-8.62%0.0622✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.785-5.32%11.382+22.66%0.2382✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.212-5.27%2.277-2.48%0.1181✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.2647-5.23%3.72-17.33%0.0396✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78149.9803-4.94%131.97-16.36%0.0066✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1138-4.80%0.98-16.24%0.0310✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.9739-4.70%4.56+9.35%0.2662✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.3291-4.64%8.79-26.01%0.2862✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.045874-4.43%0.03887-19.02%0.0726✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.8891-4.19%7.355-28.74%0.2315✓0.67374k2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2320.3479-4.15%20.371-4.05%0.1688✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.4923-4.12%7.44-24.85%0.1500✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.131016-4.02%0.105-23.08%0.1146✓1.10648k2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.067876-3.99%0.0499-29.42%0.1735✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.351243-3.98%0.3129-14.46%0.0117✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809176.0989-3.97%126.385-31.08%0.2203✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.081359-3.83%0.0796-5.91%0.0863✗1.1124k2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.01612-3.71%0.01322-21.03%0.0834✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.418996-3.70%0.6027+38.52%0.4606✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2486-3.56%2.0816-10.73%0.0383✗1.19191k2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.7478-3.49%5.9429-0.22%0.1485✗1.19876k2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3096-3.45%1.3179-2.84%0.1088✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.091449-3.43%0.0808-14.68%0.0082✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.9209-3.39%3.2233+6.62%0.2162✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.0745-3.32%3.45+8.49%0.2106✗0.98821k2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017034-3.27%0.01425-19.08%0.0564✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.239-3.09%1.473+15.21%0.2787✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.053953-3.03%0.04814-13.48%0.0038✓1.1422k2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7023-3.00%1.348-23.19%0.1075✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.7856-3.00%4.0803-17.29%0.0842✓0.7831k2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.3756-2.93%3.6709+5.56%0.0741✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.255453-2.91%0.259-1.56%0.1366✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22177.3005-2.70%146.04-19.86%0.1069✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.097797-2.67%0.08843-11.99%0.0492✓0.53143k2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.125387-2.65%0.1142-11.34%0.0140✓1.11191k2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.672715-2.63%0.6816-1.35%0.1302✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5094-2.62%1.28-17.42%0.0006✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.124.9876-2.59%5.05-1.37%0.1272✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0373-2.52%1.1015+3.51%0.1526✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.247559-2.49%0.253995+0.04%0.1215✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.382-2.31%10.34+20.51%0.2778✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2993.1205-2.28%73.86-22.49%0.1389✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0526-2.26%0.9593-10.92%0.0551✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000106223-2.25%0.00009565-11.98%0.0075✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2531.5419-2.20%27.26-15.47%0.0817✓0.66754k2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.8868-2.17%7.8307-13.80%0.0167✓1.48356k2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.069393-2.13%0.06479-8.62%0.0289✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.6369-2.10%4.1197-13.02%0.0146✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2182-2.09%1.4589+17.25%0.2805✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18126.5286-2.05%130.54+1.05%0.1528✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.188375-1.99%0.1541-19.82%0.0838✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.2418-1.97%19.56-20.91%0.1111✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31268.9883-1.94%253.4-7.62%0.0482✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.810124-1.92%0.739-10.53%0.0509✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.7602-1.89%38.27+72.54%0.6454✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.755866-1.88%0.720057-6.53%0.0562✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.1863-1.84%7.81-6.35%0.0292✗0.79824k2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.059786-1.82%0.052076-14.48%0.0082✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,854.37-1.82%3,160.81-19.49%0.0932✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.253097-1.79%0.1864-27.67%0.2602✓0.47434k2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.2729-1.77%32.64-6.45%0.0540✗1.066.9M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95176.7735-1.77%141.35-21.45%0.1242✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.3021-1.69%27.84-12.56%0.0300✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9375-1.56%2.691-9.82%0.0043✓0.86105k2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.109312-1.56%0.10541-5.07%0.0724✗1.1231k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.71-1.52%7.0464+21.53%0.2897✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3059-1.48%2.9248-12.84%0.0211✓1.04781k2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.022829-1.48%0.019469-15.98%0.0391✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.167121-1.42%0.165155-2.58%0.0967✗1.125.3M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02121.4376-1.29%108.41-11.88%0.0166✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.0869-1.24%4.1162-0.53%0.1352✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,121.42-1.21%42,369.74-9.25%0.0122✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.3798-1.17%28.48-20.45%0.1165✓1.0320.8M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.107-1.13%1.794-15.81%0.0520✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.078627-1.10%0.068419-13.94%0.0434✓0.99735k2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.303191-1.01%0.4092+33.59%0.4428✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97182.1358-1.00%204.44+11.13%0.2102✗0.982.9M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1885-0.98%3.02-6.21%0.0419✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.199256-0.97%0.1749-13.07%0.0453✓0.88776k2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.8345-0.93%7-11.48%0.0191✗1.36640k2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.642425-0.89%0.5309-18.10%0.0708✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.3436-0.79%14.74+9.59%0.1650✗0.671.6M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4016-0.76%2.19-9.50%0.0009✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2115-0.62%1.008-17.31%0.0873✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4445-0.59%1.273-12.39%0.0022✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31152.6071-0.46%141.53-7.68%0.0639✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.565-0.44%44.97+13.16%0.2314✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,975.51-0.39%42,495.40-9.89%0.0039✓0.9915k2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.8146-0.35%22.98+21.72%0.3250✗1.2969.7M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.091794-0.29%0.07514-18.38%0.0586✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9424-0.22%7.79-2.14%0.0447✗0.661.1M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5425-0.21%3.727+4.99%0.1159✗0.67532k2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.719-0.06%4.936+4.53%0.1062✗0.63961k2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.7085-0.05%2.55-5.90%0.0639✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44195.928+0.25%178.35-8.74%0.0095✓1.07228k2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.364229+0.34%0.376+3.58%0.1044✓0.7554k2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.7517+0.36%29.38+29.60%0.3852✓1.3320.5M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6837+0.66%6.43-3.16%0.0235✓0.641.1M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3653+0.66%6.21+16.51%0.2725✓1.3012.7M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.9201+0.80%4.117+5.86%0.1286✓0.82780k2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7825.0933+1.26%25.15+1.49%0.1237✓1.2575.1M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.6934+1.38%13.04-15.76%0.0729✗1.166.6M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9715.1778+1.39%15.98+6.75%0.1764✓1.2914.2M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94440.7961+1.81%381.47-11.89%0.0426✗1.0514.2M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.3088+1.90%5.03-3.45%0.0508✓1.085.5M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44187.5521+2.24%232.45+26.72%0.3095✓0.9810.9M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.