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2021-12-19 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1216
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.267105-3.50%0.219-20.88%0.2048✓1.223.7M2021-12-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.037842-1.70%0.035847-6.88%0.0594✓1.0215.0M2021-12-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5131,514.05-1.51%36,818.43+15.07%0.1526✗0.575.5M2021-12-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.020085-1.30%0.01925-5.41%0.0453✓0.5661k2021-12-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.016734-0.92%0.01809+7.10%0.0728✗1.0033.0M2021-12-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.425763-0.75%0.5372+25.22%0.2233✗1.8010.2M2021-12-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.6106.9785-0.58%113.55+5.53%0.0538✗1.13164.3M2021-12-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.6941-0.45%5.76+0.70%0.0064✗1.0011.5M2021-12-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.1812-0.45%4.79+14.05%0.1308✗1.001.7M2021-12-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1651-0.41%1.19+1.71%0.0160✗1.002.4M2021-12-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.4829-0.38%4.28-4.89%0.0514✓1.003.1M2021-12-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.2835-0.37%10.241-0.78%0.0075✓0.67374k2021-12-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.616-0.33%3.801+4.77%0.0448✗1.003.8M2021-12-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.1564-0.33%4.11-1.44%0.0180✓1.3328.7M2021-12-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.1276-0.32%1.1076-2.09%0.0270✓1.781.6M2021-12-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.136116-0.28%0.1303-4.54%0.0493✓1.10648k2021-12-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.364792-0.28%0.3532-3.44%0.0390✓1.317.0M2021-12-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.3171-0.27%8.69+4.20%0.0398✗0.79824k2021-12-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6803-0.26%1.6264-3.46%0.0359✓0.651.4M2021-12-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017564-0.26%0.01728-1.87%0.0227✓1.263.6M2021-12-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.9206-0.26%4.901-0.66%0.0079✓0.7831k2021-12-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25673.2485-0.25%3.1901-2.04%0.0226✓0.8812.2M2021-12-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.751-0.23%1.671-4.79%0.0534✓1.307.6M2021-12-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.047894-0.22%0.04664-2.83%0.0314✓0.9615.8M2021-12-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.08442-0.21%0.0836-1.18%0.0154✓1.1124k2021-12-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.855-0.21%12.14+2.19%0.0255✗-0.335.9M2021-12-20
XEMNEMnative0.12880.128556-0.19%0.1249-3.03%0.0345✓1.11191k2021-12-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2532.1898-0.19%31.99-0.81%0.0096✓0.66754k2021-12-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000030706-0.17%0.00003122+1.50%0.0115✗1.001.8M2021-12-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05192.0484-0.17%2.0189-1.61%0.0246✓1.972.3M2021-12-20
QNTQuantEthereum182.22181.9107-0.17%174.01-4.51%0.0490✓0.9012.3M2021-12-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023133-0.17%0.022282-3.84%0.0438✓1.241.9M2021-12-20
ZECZcashZcash157.78157.5173-0.17%157.02-0.48%0.0102✓1.3915.2M2021-12-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2799.2639-0.16%8.955-3.49%0.0328✓-0.21119k2021-12-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.29.1858-0.15%9.01-2.07%0.0185✓-0.163.7M2021-12-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4721-0.15%3.5742+2.78%0.0295✗-0.10372k2021-12-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.2321.1982-0.15%21.103-0.60%0.0133✓1.7324.3M2021-12-20
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2425-0.14%1.2381-0.50%0.0088✓1.03131.8M2021-12-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.4681-0.14%1.3895-5.48%0.0601✓1.017.8M2021-12-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,920.51-0.13%3,946.16+0.52%0.0010✓1.08768.5M2021-12-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.3319-0.13%2.312-0.99%0.0133✓0.923.4M2021-12-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8340.7774-0.13%40.37-1.13%0.0200✓1.9413.8M2021-12-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.253564-0.13%0.25839+1.77%0.0138✗0.9939.3M2021-12-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.8877-0.12%9.53-3.74%0.0418✓0.971.9M2021-12-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.2162-0.12%3.23+0.31%0.0008✓0.991.3M2021-12-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02333.0197-0.12%3.1667+4.74%0.0413✗1.214.7M2021-12-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.015352-0.12%0.01493-2.86%0.0326✓0.922.1M2021-12-20
HIVEHivenative1.46421.4625-0.12%1.4-4.38%0.0505✓1.3312.4M2021-12-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.100365-0.11%0.09914-1.33%0.0150✓0.53143k2021-12-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1822.1553-0.11%21.53-2.93%0.0329✓0.8342.5M2021-12-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.169353-0.10%0.167179-1.39%0.0186✓1.125.3M2021-12-20
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.257476-0.09%0.2405-6.67%0.0706✓0.47434k2021-12-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.7323-0.08%4.888+3.21%0.0254✗1.375.2M2021-12-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.5731-0.08%9.65+12.47%0.1148✗0.701.9M2021-12-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.95179.8064-0.08%174.06-3.27%0.0377✓1.02281.0M2021-12-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.201051-0.07%0.2037+1.24%0.0086✗0.88776k2021-12-20
BANDBandEthereum5.125.1166-0.07%5.06-1.17%0.0172✓1.182.8M2021-12-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3555-0.07%1.2978-4.32%0.0489✓1.0638.2M2021-12-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.647778-0.07%0.6222-4.01%0.0466✓1.2414.9M2021-12-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1435.1187-0.06%34.09-2.99%0.0387✓1.766.8M2021-12-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2778-0.06%1.239-3.09%0.0364✓1.091.6M2021-12-20
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44195.3262-0.06%188.43-3.59%0.0414✓1.07228k2021-12-20
KSMKusamaHydration274.31274.1571-0.06%263.85-3.81%0.0440✓1.111.5M2021-12-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.645463-0.05%0.6286-2.66%0.0328✓1.238.7M2021-12-20
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079468-0.05%0.07761-2.38%0.0287✓0.99735k2021-12-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.690606-0.04%0.6692-3.14%0.0376✓1.218.2M2021-12-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.8733-0.04%18.78-0.53%0.0115✓1.2969.7M2021-12-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.7227-0.03%23.75-3.96%0.0456✓1.073.0M2021-12-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.055627-0.02%0.05406-2.84%0.0344✓1.1422k2021-12-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.7928-0.02%34.86-2.63%0.0317✓1.0320.8M2021-12-20
ZENHorizenBase65.5265.507-0.02%61.49-6.15%0.0712✓1.552.2M2021-12-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.610.598-0.02%10.45-1.42%0.0166✓0.504.2M2021-12-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0639-0.02%1.0799+1.48%0.0100✗0.9523.6M2021-12-20
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.733-0.02%40.57+2.09%0.0154✗1.0726.1M2021-12-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.825865-0.02%0.811-1.82%0.0257✓1.4712.1M2021-12-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.111022-0.02%0.10877-2.04%0.0262✓1.1231k2021-12-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.435033-0.02%0.4213-3.17%0.0372✓1.001.8M2021-12-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4528-0.01%1.409-3.03%0.0374✓1.335.6M2021-12-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02123.0059-0.01%121.71-1.06%0.0157✓1.002.3M2021-12-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31153.2953-0.01%152.71-0.39%0.0111✓1.4463.2M2021-12-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,683.71-0.01%46,926.07+0.51%0.0001✓1.00744.5M2021-12-20
UMAUMAEthereum9.099.0893-0.01%8.75-3.74%0.0437✓1.114.1M2021-12-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.131-0.00%2.04-4.27%0.0493✓1.123.4M2021-12-20
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3555-0.00%3.2888-1.99%0.0254✓1.04781k2021-12-20
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.1384+0.00%4.1064-0.77%0.0145✗1.324.2M2021-12-20
XMRMoneroMonero183.97183.9745+0.00%188.84+2.65%0.0211✓0.982.9M2021-12-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.55+0.00%1.51-2.58%0.0348✗1.692.1M2021-12-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.8412+0.00%30.38-4.59%0.0547✗1.521.6M2021-12-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.3319+0.01%2.2563-3.23%0.0390✗1.19191k2021-12-20
DASHDashDash129.18129.1967+0.01%127.33-1.43%0.0209✗1.252.2M2021-12-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6411+0.02%7.94+19.58%0.1754✓0.641.1M2021-12-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.1806+0.02%3.16-0.63%0.0115✗0.98821k2021-12-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2995.3071+0.02%92.63-2.79%0.0334✗0.9610.9M2021-12-20
XVGVergenative0.016740.016743+0.02%0.01664-0.60%0.0122✗1.183.6M2021-12-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9617+0.02%8.46+6.28%0.0573✓0.661.1M2021-12-20
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7996+0.02%5.8354+0.64%0.0020✓0.825.2M2021-12-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2193+0.03%1.195-1.97%0.0252✗1.005.1M2021-12-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.08399.0863+0.03%8.9718-1.23%0.0202✗1.48356k2021-12-20
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000108703+0.03%0.00010638-2.11%0.0267✗1.0014.3M2021-12-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.9021+0.03%34.54-1.00%0.0158✗1.066.9M2021-12-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4209+0.04%2.39-1.24%0.0177✗0.964.9M2021-12-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.092094+0.04%0.08901-3.31%0.0415✗1.467.0M2021-12-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5516+0.04%3.711+4.54%0.0405✓0.67532k2021-12-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.4565+0.05%15.3+13.75%0.1249✓0.671.6M2021-12-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.891+0.05%3.939+1.29%0.0081✓0.82780k2021-12-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.9591+0.05%5.8629-1.56%0.0223✗1.19876k2021-12-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.192312+0.06%0.1991+3.59%0.0285✓1.218.9M2021-12-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94433.1919+0.06%430.28-0.61%0.0121✗1.0514.2M2021-12-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.9133+0.07%7.411-6.28%0.0725✗1.36640k2021-12-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.325428+0.07%0.3175-2.37%0.0292✗0.88775k2021-12-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.4911+0.07%14.84-4.13%0.0488✗1.166.6M2021-12-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.604481+0.08%0.607+0.50%0.0022✗1.243.4M2021-12-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.203837+0.08%0.19466-4.42%0.0545✗1.6537k2021-12-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0778+0.08%1.0483-2.66%0.0355✗1.523.6M2021-12-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.7123+0.09%2.77+2.21%0.0145✓1.282.9M2021-12-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3347+0.09%5.48+2.81%0.0202✓1.3012.7M2021-12-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7261+0.09%5.033+6.59%0.0597✓0.63961k2021-12-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.306576+0.09%0.3017-1.50%0.0236✗1.474.9M2021-12-20
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44183.6073+0.09%181.01-1.32%0.0192✗0.9810.9M2021-12-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.060952+0.09%0.057981-4.79%0.0577✗1.5113.9M2021-12-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.363348+0.10%0.349-3.86%0.0441✗0.7554k2021-12-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.771114+0.10%0.755084-1.98%0.0265✗1.084.8M2021-12-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809183.5814+0.11%176.9138-3.53%0.0429✗1.151.2M2021-12-20
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.9866+0.11%14.52-3.01%0.0382✗1.2914.2M2021-12-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0047,216.17+0.12%46,868.20-0.62%0.0125✗0.9915k2021-12-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.217+0.13%5.11-1.92%0.0262✗1.085.5M2021-12-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9883+0.14%2.838-4.89%0.0560✗0.86105k2021-12-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.094836+0.14%0.095+0.32%0.0052✗1.363.6M2021-12-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.7073+0.16%21.75-4.06%0.0499✗1.3320.5M2021-12-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.070827+0.18%0.0652-7.78%0.0898✗1.383.5M2021-12-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.263578+0.18%0.2674+1.63%0.0079✓1.277.4M2021-12-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.8364+0.23%24.08-2.82%0.0373✗1.2575.1M2021-12-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.5389+0.25%3.2-9.35%0.1058✗1.0012.1M2021-12-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.6616+0.60%1.5221-7.85%0.0902✗0.489.0M2021-12-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.071327+0.60%0.06558-7.50%0.0891✗1.0123.2M2021-12-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.