8=======>

2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2817
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.214872-0.57%0.225+4.12%0.0810✗0.87527k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.1051-0.62%14.3-5.92%0.0232✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012405-0.91%0.01008-19.49%0.1827✓0.62233k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7923-0.98%2.79+54.14%0.4611✗0.4656k2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.206012-1.19%0.1796-13.86%0.1005✓0.9159k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.305754-1.26%0.327+5.60%0.0929✗0.64326k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.162676-1.41%0.1439-12.79%0.0773✓1.131,7442022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.134445-1.51%0.1133-17.00%0.1501✓0.5283k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.05623-1.70%0.0499-12.76%0.0870✓0.8090k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.93-1.72%6.15+1.92%0.0906✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059561-1.85%0.060975+0.48%0.0415✗0.45123k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.440303-1.94%0.319-28.95%0.2756✓1.164,5592022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9781.3606-1.94%70.96-14.48%0.0779✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0694-1.99%9.399+1.57%0.0689✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.497673-2.03%0.41049-19.19%0.1403✓1.3041k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.194666-2.18%0.1711-14.02%0.0883✓1.01132k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011817-2.26%0.00001039-14.06%0.0898✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,712.25-2.29%19,378.65-3.95%0.0232✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101907-2.62%0.1121+7.11%0.1304✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022557-2.64%0.02101-9.32%0.0301✓1.022,9582022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.711828-2.69%0.63573-13.09%0.0697✓1.08624k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.184683-2.70%0.141-25.71%0.2287✓1.02101k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005478-2.70%0.0048-14.74%0.1056✓0.66911k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,689.11-2.71%19,353.70-4.37%0.0198✓0.9215k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041-2.76%0.038379-8.97%0.0299✓0.9028k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.1367-2.77%50.036-2.97%0.0322✗0.85246k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.389649-2.78%0.3093-22.83%0.1909✓0.99202k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019491-2.88%0.01727-13.95%0.0973✓0.59173k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011801-2.89%0.010334-14.96%0.0993✓0.83882k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057669-2.91%0.0671+12.96%0.1938✗1.0578k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.800565-2.93%0.73564-10.80%0.0550✓0.7313k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8199-3.02%4.2295-14.90%0.1272✓0.09119k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.339146-3.10%0.319-8.86%0.0227✓0.961,1592022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0197-3.11%0.8006-23.93%0.1826✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3661-3.11%1.66+17.73%0.1906✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062641-3.15%0.05314-17.84%0.1288✓0.897802022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8794.7001-3.24%160.75+64.25%0.5664✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.093664-3.24%0.0743-23.24%0.2028✓0.722,9132022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5305-3.34%2.208-15.66%0.1040✓0.80523k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1302-3.42%1.2571+7.42%0.1504✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047893-3.44%0.0541+9.07%0.1566✗0.86234k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.12098-3.45%0.1164-7.10%0.0061✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.03484-3.49%0.0319-11.63%0.0477✓1.0190k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44140.3277-3.52%142.89-1.75%0.0580✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.202896-3.52%0.1528-27.34%0.2538✓0.7467k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.446127-3.54%0.4211-8.95%0.0127✓1.12366k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.848446-3.54%0.7636-13.19%0.0565✓1.21899k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035176-3.58%0.03232-11.40%0.0561✓0.712,2982022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.7122-3.60%40.69-12.27%0.0533✓1.02363k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089074-3.60%0.0998+8.01%0.1544✗1.01336k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.417895-3.71%0.38-12.44%0.0532✓1.047,9852022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.278376-3.80%0.246962-14.66%0.0805✓0.97487k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019648-3.83%0.0198-3.08%0.0491✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042405-3.84%0.0344-22.00%0.1625✓1.16546k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005671-3.87%0.005472-7.24%0.0099✓0.641,9622022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.160759-3.96%0.14863-11.20%0.0503✓0.703542022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032267-4.17%0.02754-18.21%0.1162✓1.0532k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.057103-4.25%0.059662+0.04%0.0825✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.4268-4.25%10.1346-15.08%0.0806✓0.9821k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1015-4.39%0.978-15.10%0.0813✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4545-4.41%4.61-1.07%0.0679✗0.83839k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.97661-4.47%0.9674-5.37%0.0101✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001462-4.48%0.001276-16.66%0.1093✓0.676,5532022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.442805-4.51%0.3769-18.72%0.1223✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14323.9558-4.52%4.3617+5.27%0.1269✗0.72696k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.283186-4.52%0.3194+7.69%0.1588✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.128661-4.53%0.12034-10.70%0.0209✓1.14151k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6022-4.63%1.553-7.56%0.0068✓0.94627k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,501.67-4.64%1,286.96-18.27%0.1016✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.956073-4.65%0.905877-9.66%0.0229✓0.7741k2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.255365-4.68%0.2551-4.78%0.0387✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.9869-4.68%15.65-17.06%0.0849✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.06472-4.68%0.06122-9.84%0.0171✓0.9625k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.7121-4.70%40.41-7.68%0.0098✓1.03312k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.00363-4.73%0.00324-14.96%0.0759✓0.9495k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.805914-4.77%0.761919-9.97%0.0223✓0.8446k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.0946-4.77%5.03-21.41%0.1530✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.869202-4.80%0.847-7.23%0.0195✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.566418-4.80%0.563-5.38%0.0340✓1.00178k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.28e-7-4.81%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0448✓0.6915k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.942-4.83%3.061-26.10%0.2382✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.305828-4.84%0.29812-7.24%0.0160✓1.0333k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.1184-4.86%12.53-15.57%0.0704✓1.2275k2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04065-4.87%0.03722-12.89%0.0606✓0.6814k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.08066-4.88%0.082-3.30%0.0553✗0.9711k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.6129-4.93%23.44-9.46%0.0086✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010454-4.94%0.009275-15.67%0.0794✓1.006682022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6111.7671-4.96%108.8-7.48%0.0193✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.591141-4.96%0.53-14.79%0.0652✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.154754-4.97%0.13775-15.41%0.0747✓1.04271k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.8211-5.10%3.961-35.43%0.3624✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9181-5.14%1.535-24.09%0.1747✓1.1930k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.2296-5.14%8.67-10.89%0.0090✓1.33288k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003196-5.15%0.00306-9.20%0.0059✓0.94483k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001441-5.16%0.001497-1.45%0.0683✗0.74353k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.037809-5.17%0.035845-10.10%0.0315✓0.5423k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.380542-5.20%0.3269-18.56%0.1059✓1.1467k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.2655-5.21%3.53-21.56%0.1665✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1328-5.21%5.61-13.29%0.0696✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.577-5.22%2.183-19.71%0.1065✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4718-5.23%1.479-4.76%0.0328✓0.6929k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.467193-5.23%0.426-13.59%0.0446✓1.1877k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.147744-5.35%0.153-1.99%0.0824✗1.189132022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6885-5.41%1.495-16.25%0.0566✓1.6265k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.520294-5.47%0.4902-10.94%0.0353✓0.60871k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002672-5.48%0.002098-25.79%0.2054✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.624332-5.49%0.5935-10.16%0.0094✓1.49210k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.330411-5.52%0.3005-14.07%0.0524✓1.06313k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019075-5.53%0.01784-11.64%0.0416✓0.6312k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1736-5.53%3.04-31.19%0.2767✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4494-5.56%1.3832-9.88%0.0055✓1.02246k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1904-5.59%1.85-20.26%0.1444✓0.61247k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6742-5.60%6.113-13.54%0.0433✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005868-5.60%0.00599-3.64%0.0340✓0.3330k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.101541-5.63%0.0911-15.33%0.0745✓0.84188k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3731-5.63%1.407-3.30%0.0675✗1.0771k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,388.18-5.65%1,248.14-15.17%0.0661✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.11e-7-5.67%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0236✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.1036-5.78%30.49-7.63%0.0283✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.042582-5.79%0.0333-26.33%0.2116✓0.85142k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.247591-5.86%0.23-12.55%0.0441✓0.74534k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.8416-5.89%3.097-24.13%0.1949✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007491-5.90%0.00571-28.27%0.2271✓1.10463k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.91-5.91%1.6-21.18%0.1283✓1.21227k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.358554-5.93%0.39142+2.69%0.1261✗0.9531k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.116927-5.93%0.1168-6.03%0.0413✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8435-5.95%2.6695-11.70%0.0224✓1.0120k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.667509-5.98%0.52-26.76%0.2399✓0.2442k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9255.3913-5.99%50.94-13.54%0.0393✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001162-6.00%0.0008937-27.71%0.2301✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.130811-6.03%0.1172-15.80%0.0705✓0.98128k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.8701-6.05%2.773-9.23%0.0187✓0.39759k2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.545-6.10%6.09-12.63%0.0297✓1.05224k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.5946-6.13%7.028+0.04%0.1081✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.037819-6.16%0.0342-15.14%0.0689✓0.799,5132022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.310174-6.24%0.2586-21.83%0.1375✓1.1072k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.055319-6.24%0.053-10.17%0.0054✓1.20568k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.155.3273-6.38%51.09-13.55%0.0407✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3075-6.42%3.7246-19.08%0.0922✓1.32118k2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.289618-6.73%0.277-10.79%0.0045✓0.9982k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000040945-6.84%0.00003711-15.56%0.0649✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.064377-6.88%0.071+2.71%0.1059✗0.20354k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.6976-6.90%4.46-27.12%0.2240✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.007922-6.92%0.00533-37.37%0.3599✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.2647-6.94%11.09-15.86%0.0554✓1.12925k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.452629-6.96%0.3679-24.38%0.1745✓0.81422k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,388.51-6.97%7,725.27-14.33%0.0281✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.022963-7.00%0.024977+1.15%0.0858✗0.04471k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1362-7.01%6.57-24.91%0.1913✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100582-7.04%0.0879-18.76%0.0831✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6607-7.05%1.5752-11.84%0.0088✓1.1025k2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1543-7.21%1.068-14.15%0.0287✓1.22323k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.747116-7.37%0.6504-19.37%0.0939✓1.11946k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.388769-7.44%0.35148-16.32%0.0632✓0.93392k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.246662-7.59%0.20766-22.20%0.1365✓0.8815k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.201-7.61%1.06-18.46%0.0839✓1.0258k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044236-7.65%0.0379-20.88%0.1102✓1.10177k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.31788-7.70%0.2499-27.44%0.2047✓0.8989k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.41-7.71%19.43+33.72%0.4082✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.478955-7.89%0.439-15.58%0.0425✓1.1166k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.8709-7.97%1.5924-21.67%0.1184✓1.0613k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.726-7.98%4.551-11.39%0.0149✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.2577-8.08%3.81-33.39%0.3011✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89712.7657-8.14%11.342-18.39%0.0680✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.015807-8.16%0.013771-19.99%0.0977✓1.001,0292022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2947-8.18%1.531+8.58%0.2157✗1.1943k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.7962-8.29%0.9616-50.90%0.5956✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.559416-8.29%0.536-12.13%0.0008✓1.04114k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.1012-8.33%0.0666-39.67%0.3957✓0.56182k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.775425-8.37%0.8267-2.32%0.1235✗1.4894k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.371-8.51%14.34-14.64%0.0467✓0.57396k2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8351.0738-8.52%54.83-1.79%0.1166✗1.138,6412022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.494-8.62%24.71-11.43%0.0306✓1.54159k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.840718-8.72%0.836-9.23%0.0129✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.176514-8.73%0.1844-4.65%0.0809✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.131766-8.75%0.1342-7.06%0.0575✓0.97336k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.699-8.85%1.511-18.94%0.0613✓1.39967k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1271-9.32%1.0884-12.43%0.0090✓1.09922k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.7403-9.48%2.9712-28.09%0.2038✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.0695-9.52%0.732-38.07%0.3147✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.585.9507-9.56%3.9876-39.40%0.3938✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.9027-9.84%13.225+9.37%0.2079✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.27e-7-9.90%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2067✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.05357-9.98%0.05517-7.29%0.0778✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.268031-10.06%0.2072-30.47%0.2185✓0.9774k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.2461-10.64%5.141-12.43%0.0188✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.173958-11.38%0.1351-31.18%0.2220✓0.7730k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.3736-11.90%4.5312-37.37%0.3296✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.6992-12.17%3.817-9.38%0.0684✓0.92245k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2930.9751-12.23%23.01-34.80%0.2367✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000298233-16.71%0.00027827-22.28%0.0654✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.