QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s3

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0705

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0240

actual -0.0218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.859917	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.86165	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.842484	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.84124	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.853435	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.873587	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.881014	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.874053	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.893029	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.863395	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.927408	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.933819	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.883103	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.855249	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.860994	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.898593	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.916414	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.919645	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.91735	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.923991	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.924963	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.935007	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.910674	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.922676	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	0.968507	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	0.975581	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	0.991254	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.950485	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.910958	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	0.964057	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.947677	-4.92%	0.88041	-11.67%	0.0298	✓	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.888785	-6.49%	0.877405	-7.69%	0.0342	✓	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.891413	-6.77%	0.86037	-10.02%	0.0427	✓	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.887268	-6.92%	0.858515	-9.93%	0.0467	✓	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.814732	-6.58%	0.87857	+0.74%	0.0156	✓	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.817196	-6.63%	0.90303	+3.18%	0.0363	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.807976	-6.26%	0.914685	+6.12%	0.0449	✓	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.861979	-6.81%	0.92235	-0.28%	0.0300	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.89311	-7.45%	0.947825	-1.78%	0.0129	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.869645	-6.46%	0.927235	-0.27%	0.0118	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.829427	-5.48%	0.998795	+13.82%	0.1113	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.814358	-4.85%	1.0168	+18.79%	0.1478	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.84726	-4.65%	0.95631	+7.62%	0.0726	✗	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.852024	-4.25%	0.929655	+4.47%	0.0494	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.851739	-3.16%	0.936105	+6.43%	0.0459	✗	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.86178	-2.37%	0.97452	+10.41%	0.0637	✗	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.865528	-0.66%	0.996535	+14.38%	0.0736	✗	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.867085	+0.57%	0.99453	+15.35%	0.0596	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.886476	+3.06%	0.992245	+15.36%	0.0726	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.847747	+3.76%	0.99396	+21.65%	0.0676	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.858068	+4.01%	0.987135	+19.65%	0.0449	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.866322	+5.32%	1.0022	+21.84%	0.0850	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.845545	+6.17%	0.97227	+22.09%	0.0672	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.870863	+5.78%	0.98568	+19.72%	0.0619	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.863599	+5.70%	1.028	+25.83%	0.0962	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.914365	+7.24%	1.0319	+21.03%	0.0733	✓	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.941263	+5.17%	1.0511	+17.45%	0.0501	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.914809	+8.08%	1.0005	+18.21%	0.0204	✓	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.942416	+7.77%	0.956945	+9.44%	0.0478	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.954367	+8.25%	1.0114	+14.72%	0.0420	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.917081	+8.94%	0.99676	+18.40%	0.0287	✓	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.954085	+10.15%	0.95048	+9.73%	0.0376	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.843101	+5.99%	0.95615	+20.21%	0.0277	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.739754	+3.16%	0.953185	+32.93%	0.1256	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.677199	-0.86%	0.872145	+27.68%	0.1123	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.672044	-1.39%	0.8752	+28.42%	0.1226	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.66093	-2.31%	0.861965	+27.40%	0.1059	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.661031	-2.05%	0.92496	+37.05%	0.1502	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.66935	-2.24%	0.96504	+40.95%	0.1937	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.655246	-1.60%	0.929715	+39.62%	0.1768	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.642611	-1.55%	0.877485	+34.43%	0.1342	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.623871	-1.43%	0.85591	+35.23%	0.1516	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.637411	-1.42%	0.88856	+37.43%	0.1507	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.659047	-1.18%	0.88987	+33.44%	0.1324	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.658177	-1.20%	0.879515	+32.02%	0.1155	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.645694	-1.38%	0.882675	+34.82%	0.1150	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.635779	-1.87%	0.871245	+34.47%	0.1149	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.633337	-1.59%	0.86216	+33.97%	0.1130	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.637428	-2.07%	0.86012	+32.15%	0.0785	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.633159	-2.55%	0.81706	+25.75%	0.0698	✗	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.633471	-2.86%	0.82502	+26.52%	0.0770	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.624164	-3.40%	0.822535	+27.31%	0.0651	✗	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.619227	-3.48%	0.79638	+24.13%	0.0526	✗	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.627564	-2.38%	0.823295	+28.07%	0.0885	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.624602	-3.15%	0.816995	+26.68%	0.0782	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.635202	-3.29%	0.85261	+29.81%	0.0747	✗	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.628452	-3.14%	0.894995	+37.94%	0.1468	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.664755	-2.55%	0.84638	+24.07%	0.0695	✗	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.662853	-2.80%	0.87443	+28.23%	0.0825	✗	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.664393	-2.59%	0.881595	+29.26%	0.1000	✗	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.701155	-2.21%	0.841845	+17.41%	0.0253	✗	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.699701	-2.03%	0.86618	+21.28%	0.0542	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.703225	-0.98%	0.79543	+12.01%	0.0356	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.703561	-1.48%	0.717075	+0.41%	0.0375	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.707232	-1.80%	0.683095	-5.15%	0.0347	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.690434	-1.61%	0.681495	-2.88%	0.0084	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.669668	-1.25%	0.676565	-0.24%	0.0259	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.661401	-1.41%	0.674895	+0.60%	0.0315	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.681827	-0.83%	0.684685	-0.41%	0.0304	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.682244	-0.55%	0.6659	-2.93%	0.0007	✓	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.658842	-1.77%	0.65275	-2.68%	0.0274	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.668413	-2.18%	0.632945	-7.37%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.67142	-2.42%	0.646575	-6.03%	0.0399	✓	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.676466	-2.37%	0.666885	-3.75%	0.0254	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.674615	-2.67%	0.666195	-3.89%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.682219	-2.99%	0.654705	-6.90%	0.0832	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.669065	-2.58%	0.647925	-5.65%	0.0473	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.69031	-2.77%	0.64355	-9.35%	0.0798	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.692768	-2.91%	0.650875	-8.78%	0.0698	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.693379	-3.32%	0.64975	-9.41%	0.0711	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.69192	-3.43%	0.652095	-8.98%	0.0751	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.673219	-3.36%	0.646105	-7.26%	0.0619	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.662571	-3.34%	0.641585	-6.40%	0.0797	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.655105	-3.36%	0.642835	-5.17%	0.1246	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.667463	-3.45%	0.64495	-6.70%	0.0980	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.667099	-3.35%	0.65683	-4.84%	0.0944	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.655606	-2.89%	0.64881	-3.90%	0.0793	✓	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.660477	-2.69%	0.682155	+0.50%	0.0647	✓	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.639854	-2.27%	0.681935	+4.16%	0.0202	✓	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.665038	-2.22%	0.68205	+0.28%	0.0303	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.675791	-2.13%	0.717005	+3.84%	0.0156	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.693369	-2.08%	0.714225	+0.86%	0.0080	✓	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.694504	-2.07%	0.71017	+0.14%	0.0355	✓	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.719325	-2.39%	0.714125	-3.10%	0.0249	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.70957	-2.22%	0.7202	-0.76%	0.0069	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.710315	-2.26%	0.701725	-3.45%	0.0473	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.74313	-2.59%	0.67816	-11.10%	0.0815	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.7307	-2.09%	0.670865	-10.11%	0.0519	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.738793	-1.83%	0.68752	-8.64%	0.0436	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.732745	-1.59%	0.686005	-7.87%	0.0529	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.721802	-1.92%	0.670695	-8.86%	0.0331	✓	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.702561	-1.93%	0.683295	-4.62%	0.0316	✓	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.703058	-2.12%	0.688075	-4.21%	0.0255	✓	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.673087	-1.55%	0.69289	+1.35%	0.0218	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.68748	-1.86%	0.693145	-1.06%	0.0201	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.694719	-2.23%	0.70322	-1.03%	0.0279	✗	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.693957	-2.36%	0.686755	-3.38%	0.0108	✓	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.671924	-1.92%	0.709955	+3.63%	0.0043	✓	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.674501	-2.30%	0.713515	+3.35%	0.0083	✓	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.733417	-3.77%	0.71721	-5.90%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.77241	-4.70%	0.71646	-11.60%	0.0484	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.764916	-4.88%	0.69666	-13.36%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.812843	-5.43%	0.685435	-20.25%	0.0228	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.829688	-4.77%	0.677905	-22.19%	0.0584	✗	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.823275	-4.64%	0.69129	-19.92%	0.0556	✗	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.81849	-4.86%	0.690225	-19.77%	0.0665	✗	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.827402	-4.57%	0.675145	-22.13%	0.0259	✓	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.835976	-4.05%	0.67875	-22.10%	0.0310	✓	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.851966	-3.53%	0.6547	-25.87%	0.0066	✓	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.876297	-3.36%	0.680135	-25.00%	0.0225	✓	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.867717	-3.22%	0.690495	-22.99%	0.0119	✓	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.894899	-3.78%	0.7081	-23.86%	0.0256	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.868893	-3.65%	0.709205	-21.35%	0.0002	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.897722	-2.89%	0.73695	-20.28%	0.0206	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.871938	-2.57%	0.72568	-18.91%	0.0476	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.859592	-2.64%	0.726765	-17.69%	0.0630	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.875861	-2.49%	0.762855	-15.07%	0.0666	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.868078	-2.03%	0.74631	-15.78%	0.0400	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.89132	-1.97%	0.75257	-17.23%	0.0202	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.91271	-1.86%	0.744585	-19.94%	0.0110	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.967425	-1.69%	0.73593	-25.21%	0.0094	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.961238	-2.42%	0.71637	-27.28%	0.0365	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0086	-2.18%	0.71831	-30.34%	0.0719	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0236	-0.83%	0.683675	-33.77%	0.0875	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0416	-0.34%	0.70054	-32.97%	0.0775	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.965219	-0.28%	0.71057	-26.59%	0.0384	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.967574	-0.01%	0.71076	-26.55%	0.0535	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.931169	+0.99%	0.6851	-25.70%	0.0133	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.939938	+2.01%	0.69036	-25.07%	0.0161	✓	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.912692	+1.96%	0.76215	-14.86%	0.0696	✓	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.887494	+1.54%	0.81049	-7.27%	0.1400	✓	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.876462	+0.69%	0.80413	-7.62%	0.0848	✓	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.884871	+0.53%	0.85952	-2.35%	0.0736	✓	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.875458	+0.22%	0.871225	-0.26%	0.0588	✓	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.853555	-0.94%	0.86329	+0.19%	0.0465	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.862899	-1.29%	0.86026	-1.59%	0.0303	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.876333	-1.17%	0.86704	-2.21%	0.0287	✗	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.887305	-0.45%	0.87128	-2.24%	0.0241	✗	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.911492	+0.33%	0.883135	-2.79%	0.0073	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.899726	+0.46%	0.906795	+1.25%	0.0133	✓	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.907333	+0.37%	0.89659	-0.82%	0.0052	✗	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.921916	+1.65%	0.930025	+2.54%	0.0311	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.912821	+1.07%	0.90177	-0.15%	0.0260	✓	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.90298	-0.87%	0.924435	+1.49%	0.0068	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.905619	-1.10%	0.89491	-2.27%	0.0344	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.867535	-1.98%	0.882935	-0.24%	0.0241	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.907264	-1.23%	0.89824	-2.22%	0.0269	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.950062	-0.93%	0.88611	-7.60%	0.0740	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.905426	-1.71%	0.909195	-1.31%	0.0366	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.894538	-1.60%	0.930055	+2.31%	0.0193	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.883607	-1.97%	0.984055	+9.18%	0.0124	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.902014	-2.32%	0.98506	+6.68%	0.0199	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.84794	-3.91%	1.0312	+16.85%	0.0551	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.887935	-3.34%	1.0322	+12.37%	0.0290	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.88965	-2.95%	1.0451	+14.01%	0.0323	✗	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.891905	-3.29%	0.96792	+4.95%	0.0449	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.87581	-3.67%	0.96765	+6.43%	0.0313	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.918242	-3.86%	0.922025	-3.46%	0.1115	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.884068	-4.57%	0.921375	-0.54%	0.1422	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.919762	-5.11%	0.89518	-7.65%	0.2013	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.910039	-5.23%	0.87405	-8.98%	0.2298	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.915454	-5.59%	0.87045	-10.23%	0.2276	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.84297	-4.23%	0.8802	-0.00%	0.1358	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.893852	-4.72%	0.87351	-6.89%	0.1753	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.852187	-4.26%	0.86168	-3.19%	0.1116	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.781299	-3.50%	0.8742	+7.98%	0.0232	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.747713	-3.21%	0.88667	+14.78%	0.0161	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.788668	-3.59%	0.89128	+8.96%	0.0401	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.79057	-3.47%	0.90848	+10.93%	0.0404	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.823249	-3.12%	0.8956	+5.39%	0.0448	✓	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.883675	-2.71%	0.90403	-0.47%	0.0643	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.904092	-2.75%	0.906965	-2.44%	0.1070	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.865361	-2.05%	0.90316	+2.23%	0.0614	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.812924	-1.73%	0.910885	+10.12%	0.0094	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.833052	-1.65%	0.915695	+8.10%	0.0056	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.871822	-1.55%	0.88507	-0.05%	0.0326	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.866748	-1.31%	0.918605	+4.60%	0.0246	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.883661	-1.18%	0.95899	+7.24%	0.0009	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.936914	-1.12%	0.921225	-2.78%	0.0341	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.946527	-0.60%	0.90905	-4.53%	0.0397	✓	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.928358	-0.88%	0.90133	-3.77%	0.0489	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.877152	-0.47%	0.92342	+4.78%	0.0054	✗	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.900508	-1.03%	0.882435	-3.02%	0.0175	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.870833	-0.56%	0.918595	+4.89%	0.0159	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.884648	-1.06%	0.916705	+2.53%	0.0056	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.869448	-1.10%	0.922265	+4.91%	0.0317	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.858677	-1.05%	0.90918	+4.77%	0.0170	✗	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.840179	-1.08%	0.95507	+12.45%	0.0360	✗	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.853479	-1.12%	0.92641	+7.33%	0.0569	✗	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.882051	-1.22%	0.969285	+8.55%	0.0804	✗	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.919321	-1.49%	0.96028	+2.90%	0.0991	✗	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.926827	-1.60%	0.96962	+2.95%	0.1332	✗	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.898659	-1.58%	0.88023	-3.60%	0.0029	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.915626	-1.76%	0.93812	+0.65%	0.0359	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.88029	-1.51%	0.89006	-0.41%	0.0301	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.900203	-1.35%	0.80961	-11.28%	0.1021	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.893861	-1.67%	0.77248	-15.03%	0.1476	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.909595	-1.82%	0.818	-11.70%	0.0861	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.931523	-2.27%	0.81898	-14.07%	0.1008	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.85698	-1.38%	0.84978	-2.20%	0.0880	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.865372	-1.67%	0.90831	+3.20%	0.0599	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.893812	-2.24%	0.92962	+1.67%	0.0074	✓	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.918158	-2.41%	0.88349	-6.10%	0.0851	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.937439	-2.50%	0.82721	-13.96%	0.1228	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.916495	-2.23%	0.84707	-9.64%	0.1101	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.925781	-2.09%	0.885555	-6.34%	0.1101	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.941101	-2.38%	0.87821	-8.90%	0.1083	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.959018	-2.67%	0.89425	-9.25%	0.1073	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.959845	-2.41%	0.94753	-3.66%	0.0922	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	0.997245	-2.77%	0.95221	-7.16%	0.1231	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.970576	-2.45%	0.9366	-5.86%	0.0974	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.935367	-1.72%	0.88128	-7.41%	0.1390	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.904273	-1.23%	0.90989	-0.62%	0.0548	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.888855	-1.08%	0.87576	-2.53%	0.0419	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.912187	-1.54%	0.8941	-3.49%	0.0217	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.914105	-1.10%	0.87908	-4.89%	0.0341	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.934046	-0.94%	0.86781	-7.96%	0.0606	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.943368	-1.02%	0.84932	-10.89%	0.0320	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.874707	+0.38%	0.86311	-0.95%	0.0931	✗	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0172	-2.11%	0.89296	-14.07%	0.0454	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0482	-2.15%	0.93319	-12.88%	0.0363	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.0764	-2.39%	0.94185	-14.59%	0.0340	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0441	-1.91%	0.91313	-14.21%	0.0083	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0435	-1.78%	0.93206	-12.26%	0.0558	✗	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1211	-2.00%	0.89376	-21.87%	0.0893	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1386	-2.41%	0.91254	-21.79%	0.0788	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2323	-1.74%	0.90907	-27.51%	0.0861	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2588	-1.78%	0.926435	-27.72%	0.0575	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2298	-2.17%	0.95313	-24.18%	0.0804	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.1914	-2.43%	0.86893	-28.84%	0.0707	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2471	-2.24%	0.880105	-31.01%	0.0625	✗	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2574	-1.79%	0.91432	-28.59%	0.0392	✗	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2661	-2.01%	0.940855	-27.18%	0.0542	✗	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.2942	-2.36%	0.961455	-27.47%	0.0527	✗	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2708	-2.45%	0.937415	-28.05%	0.0508	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.346	-1.61%	0.94552	-30.88%	0.0790	✗	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3763	-1.69%	0.964055	-31.14%	0.0699	✗	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4487	-1.87%	0.98535	-33.25%	0.0294	✗	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4293	-1.72%	0.98353	-32.37%	0.0476	✗	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.414	-1.35%	1.0256	-28.45%	0.0841	✗	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5516	-1.20%	0.994905	-36.65%	0.0114	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4323	-2.41%	0.951765	-35.15%	0.0426	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.335	-3.94%	0.915535	-34.12%	0.0057	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.3761	-4.22%	0.89853	-37.46%	0.0782	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4137	-4.84%	0.92647	-37.64%	0.1014	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4145	-5.02%	0.924285	-37.94%	0.0893	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.414	-4.45%	0.942885	-36.29%	0.0454	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4057	-3.97%	0.953125	-34.88%	0.0236	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.4705	-2.94%	0.871405	-42.49%	0.1140	✗	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4185	-2.94%	1.0391	-28.90%	0.0983	✗	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3426	-3.64%	1.0712	-23.12%	0.0848	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3317	-3.14%	1.1027	-19.80%	0.0425	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3394	-3.10%	1.0644	-22.99%	0.0267	✓	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.299	-2.86%	1.0623	-20.56%	0.0047	✓	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3039	-2.51%	1.1439	-14.47%	0.0665	✓	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2529	-1.88%	1.1667	-8.63%	0.0021	✓	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2697	-1.85%	1.2541	-3.06%	0.0506	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2488	-1.61%	1.2817	+0.98%	0.0029	✓	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2815	-1.48%	1.2571	-3.36%	0.0275	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1857	-1.16%	1.2211	+1.79%	0.0430	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.1928	-1.58%	1.2757	+5.26%	0.0324	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2328	-1.74%	1.2804	+2.05%	0.0038	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2381	-1.75%	1.2921	+2.53%	0.0051	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2296	-1.86%	1.3255	+5.80%	0.0602	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2256	-1.92%	1.3028	+4.27%	0.0672	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2644	-2.22%	1.368	+5.79%	0.0008	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2806	-2.16%	1.4	+6.97%	0.0125	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2083	-1.73%	1.4762	+20.05%	0.0230	✗	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2562	-1.78%	1.4544	+13.71%	0.0231	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3319	-2.39%	1.4334	+5.06%	0.0652	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3381	-2.66%	1.5706	+14.24%	0.0308	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.3871	-2.54%	1.4677	+3.13%	0.0734	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4791	-3.00%	1.3898	-8.86%	0.0791	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3734	-1.97%	1.4367	+2.55%	0.0343	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4165	-1.92%	1.4856	+2.86%	0.0865	✗	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4472	-2.33%	1.4893	+0.51%	0.0561	✗	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.47	-2.52%	1.4799	-1.87%	0.0364	✗	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4157	-2.24%	1.4637	+1.07%	0.0223	✓	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3829	-1.99%	1.5151	+7.38%	0.0331	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4039	-2.11%	1.4615	+1.91%	0.0414	✓	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4044	-2.06%	1.3934	-2.82%	0.0464	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4616	-2.16%	1.3749	-7.96%	0.0345	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5317	-2.31%	1.3822	-11.85%	0.0408	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.4936	-1.96%	1.3373	-12.22%	0.0644	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.3925	-1.47%	1.3375	-5.36%	0.0632	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5095	-1.96%	1.2769	-17.07%	0.1315	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5644	-2.01%	1.2937	-18.97%	0.1229	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.5878	-1.61%	1.2693	-21.35%	0.1693	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5811	-1.55%	1.3008	-19.00%	0.1313	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5761	-1.53%	1.1997	-25.05%	0.2154	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5781	-1.78%	1.2119	-24.57%	0.2611	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.551	-1.58%	1.2547	-20.39%	0.1997	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5094	-1.58%	1.2602	-17.83%	0.1920	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5143	-1.58%	1.2528	-18.57%	0.2615	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.517	-1.50%	1.2495	-18.87%	0.2569	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.5717	-2.00%	1.2931	-19.37%	0.2258	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6477	-2.56%	1.3088	-22.60%	0.1738	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.689	-2.95%	1.2297	-29.35%	0.1951	✓	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6519	-3.02%	1.279	-24.92%	0.1580	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6586	-3.21%	1.3645	-20.37%	0.0907	✓	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.6939	-3.44%	1.3748	-21.63%	0.0575	✓	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.6657	-3.33%	1.4232	-17.40%	0.0530	✓	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7096	-3.56%	1.5249	-13.97%	0.0418	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.771	-3.73%	1.401	-23.85%	0.0471	✓	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.7825	-3.78%	1.4442	-22.04%	0.0388	✓	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.873	-4.08%	1.4817	-24.11%	0.0109	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8465	-4.20%	1.508	-21.76%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.8505	-4.57%	1.4482	-25.32%	0.0474	✓	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.885	-4.81%	1.411	-28.75%	0.0776	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.6741	-3.80%	1.4341	-17.59%	0.0389	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7005	-3.75%	1.4338	-18.84%	0.0619	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6211	-3.60%	1.4938	-11.16%	0.0660	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6493	-3.70%	1.568	-8.45%	0.1611	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8241	-4.31%	1.5234	-20.08%	0.1186	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8318	-4.64%	1.4132	-26.43%	0.1231	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.7662	-4.75%	1.5396	-16.96%	0.1645	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7328	-4.93%	1.5966	-12.41%	0.1942	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.8553	-5.64%	1.6139	-17.92%	0.1550	✗	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.861	-5.42%	1.606	-18.38%	0.1877	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9006	-5.66%	1.6006	-20.55%	0.1940	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	1.9351	-5.89%	1.6068	-21.85%	0.2415	✗	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.8715	-6.54%	1.5759	-21.30%	0.2054	✗	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.8647	-6.87%	1.5337	-23.40%	0.1986	✗	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.8413	-7.09%	1.5386	-22.36%	0.2414	✗	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.7777	-6.94%	1.5401	-19.38%	0.2323	✗	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.806	-7.57%	1.6038	-17.92%	0.2410	✗	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.8407	-8.22%	1.691	-15.68%	0.2231	✗	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.8088	-8.43%	1.7404	-11.90%	0.2117	✗	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.7819	-8.67%	1.7034	-12.69%	0.1982	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.7388	-8.67%	1.7135	-10.00%	0.1805	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.7721	-8.98%	1.7541	-9.90%	0.1881	✗	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.8318	-8.26%	1.723	-13.71%	0.1929	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	1.9299	-7.36%	1.7726	-14.92%	0.1164	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.0081	-6.30%	1.8397	-14.16%	0.1129	✗	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	1.9494	-5.99%	1.8526	-10.66%	0.1216	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.7358	-6.89%	1.9526	+4.74%	0.1833	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.7461	-5.94%	1.9274	+3.82%	0.2138	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3283	-3.73%	1.9391	-19.82%	0.0139	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3089	-2.21%	1.9803	-16.13%	0.0223	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0669	-2.13%	1.7402	-17.60%	0.0034	✓	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2282	-0.80%	1.7668	-21.34%	0.0645	✓	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1751	-1.19%	1.6816	-23.61%	0.0771	✓	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1823	-1.65%	1.7127	-22.82%	0.1137	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2575	-1.43%	1.9062	-16.77%	0.0753	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2258	-2.19%	1.9209	-15.59%	0.0620	✓	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.1788	-3.21%	1.8542	-17.64%	0.0848	✓	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0308	-4.45%	1.8227	-14.24%	0.0603	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.077	-4.27%	1.9662	-9.38%	0.0168	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.0785	-4.65%	1.9677	-9.73%	0.0612	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.0403	-4.90%	2.0146	-6.10%	0.0540	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.0845	-4.84%	2.0561	-6.14%	0.0596	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	1.9642	-4.35%	2.0024	-2.49%	0.0057	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.1451	-4.10%	2.0022	-10.49%	0.0494	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.0659	-4.24%	1.9817	-8.14%	0.0255	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.0864	-3.93%	1.9103	-12.04%	0.0449	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.2564	-3.71%	1.9539	-16.62%	0.0908	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.2997	-3.79%	2.0054	-16.10%	0.0922	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3105	-3.78%	1.9754	-17.74%	0.0952	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.3931	-3.69%	1.951	-21.48%	0.1171	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.3802	-4.04%	1.9039	-23.24%	0.1333	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.