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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2064
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.1822-11.73%5.141-12.43%0.0310✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1207-9.91%1.068-14.15%0.0009✓1.22323k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053613-9.91%0.05517-7.29%0.0770✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.007667-9.91%0.00533-37.37%0.3273✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.28e-7-9.70%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2089✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.5474-9.50%4.5312-37.37%0.3565✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1808-9.17%1.06-18.46%0.0669✓1.0258k2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000325738-9.03%0.00027827-22.28%0.1536✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.560327-8.14%0.536-12.13%0.0024✓1.04114k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2955-8.12%1.531+8.58%0.2150✗1.1943k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.741206-8.11%0.6504-19.37%0.0859✓1.11946k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7148-8.00%1.511-18.94%0.0705✓1.39967k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.132878-7.98%0.1342-7.06%0.0491✓0.97336k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.143747-7.91%0.153-1.99%0.1099✗1.189132022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8702-7.87%1.6-21.18%0.1072✓1.21227k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.2457-7.76%3.7246-19.08%0.0778✓1.32118k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.748-7.71%24.71-11.43%0.0207✓1.54159k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100004-7.58%0.0879-18.76%0.0773✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.1771-7.57%13.225+9.37%0.1831✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.102062-7.55%0.0666-39.67%0.4042✓0.56182k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.8694-7.55%1.535-24.09%0.1490✓1.1930k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.480776-7.54%0.439-15.58%0.0462✓1.1166k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.7527-7.46%4.551-11.39%0.0093✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.853668-7.31%0.836-9.23%0.0024✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.612593-7.27%0.5935-10.16%0.0284✓1.49210k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.5895-7.21%14.34-14.64%0.0608✓0.57396k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1534-7.20%1.0884-12.43%0.0141✓1.09922k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044504-7.09%0.0379-20.88%0.1162✓1.10177k2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.179872-6.99%0.1844-4.65%0.0620✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.2586-6.99%11.09-15.86%0.0549✓1.12925k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.1259-6.90%3.9876-39.40%0.4228✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.127233-6.79%0.1133-17.00%0.0949✓0.5283k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.8948-6.79%23.01-34.80%0.2969✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9254.9307-6.77%50.94-13.54%0.0310✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002638-6.70%0.002098-25.79%0.1924✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.5586-6.69%19.43+33.72%0.3972✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.460091-6.68%0.426-13.59%0.0293✓1.1877k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6659-6.67%1.495-16.25%0.0431✓1.6265k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.663602-6.53%0.52-26.76%0.2340✓0.2442k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.105-6.52%0.732-38.07%0.3473✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.278674-6.49%0.2072-30.47%0.2575✓0.9774k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.117287-6.39%0.1164-7.10%0.0371✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016111-6.39%0.013771-19.99%0.1167✓1.001,0292022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.0087-6.39%11.342-18.39%0.0868✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.13037-6.34%0.1172-15.80%0.0672✓0.98128k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.116421-6.34%0.1168-6.03%0.0457✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.291311-6.18%0.277-10.79%0.0103✓0.9982k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.394184-6.15%0.35148-16.32%0.0770✓0.93392k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1501-6.06%3.04-31.19%0.2710✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8352.4972-5.97%54.83-1.79%0.0891✗1.138,6412022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.5567-5.93%6.09-12.63%0.0315✓1.05224k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3809-5.93%3.81-33.39%0.3242✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.377645-5.92%0.3269-18.56%0.0982✓1.1467k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.272385-5.88%0.246962-14.66%0.0588✓0.97487k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4447-5.87%1.3832-9.88%0.0023✓1.02246k2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.2347-5.86%10.1346-15.08%0.0636✓0.9821k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.797006-5.82%0.8267-2.32%0.0960✗1.4894k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6831-5.79%1.5752-11.84%0.0222✓1.1025k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.311746-5.76%0.2586-21.83%0.1425✓1.1072k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.153504-5.73%0.13775-15.41%0.0666✓1.04271k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001166-5.71%0.0008937-27.71%0.2333✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2534-5.68%6.57-24.91%0.2056✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.0416-5.67%0.0344-22.00%0.1434✓1.16546k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005867-5.61%0.00599-3.64%0.0341✓0.3330k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,513.55-5.58%7,725.27-14.33%0.0428✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.45947-5.56%0.3679-24.38%0.1895✓0.81422k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.9788-5.54%3.817-9.38%0.0045✓0.92245k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.6369-5.52%7.028+0.04%0.1018✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.253208-5.48%0.2551-4.78%0.0472✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023341-5.47%0.024977+1.15%0.0695✗0.04471k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.9069-5.45%2.9712-28.09%0.2474✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041557-5.44%0.00003711-15.56%0.0797✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3762-5.42%1.407-3.30%0.0652✗1.0771k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.304017-5.41%0.29812-7.24%0.0219✓1.0333k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.038125-5.40%0.0342-15.14%0.0770✓0.799,5132022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.252517-5.40%0.20766-22.20%0.1600✓0.8815k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,391.99-5.39%1,248.14-15.17%0.0688✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.563031-5.37%0.563-5.38%0.0400✓1.00178k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003606-5.36%0.00324-14.96%0.0693✓0.9495k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019341-5.33%0.0198-3.08%0.0648✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4121-5.32%4.61-1.07%0.0775✗0.83839k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6949-5.31%6.113-13.54%0.0464✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003192-5.28%0.00306-9.20%0.0046✓0.94483k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.592-5.24%1.553-7.56%0.0132✓0.94627k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6111.483-5.20%108.8-7.48%0.0219✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.8967-5.18%2.773-9.23%0.0280✓0.39759k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.950998-5.16%0.905877-9.66%0.0176✓0.7741k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.07-5.16%5.03-21.41%0.1490✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8577-5.15%0.9616-50.90%0.6293✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8681-5.13%2.6695-11.70%0.0311✓1.0120k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.0445-5.04%40.69-12.27%0.0382✓1.02363k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.9305-4.98%15.65-17.06%0.0818✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.585-4.93%2.183-19.71%0.1096✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.440854-4.93%0.3769-18.72%0.1179✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.3846-4.92%30.49-7.63%0.0193✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.49-4.89%2.208-15.66%0.0879✓0.80523k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.056749-4.84%0.059662+0.04%0.0887✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.328117-4.73%0.2499-27.44%0.2364✓0.8989k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.806308-4.72%0.761919-9.97%0.0228✓0.8446k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.115-4.72%1.2571+7.42%0.1639✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.333483-4.72%0.319-8.86%0.0059✓0.961,1592022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040745-4.64%0.03722-12.89%0.0629✓0.6814k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.593124-4.64%0.53-14.79%0.0686✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.056645-4.64%0.0671+12.96%0.2118✗1.0578k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.333608-4.60%0.3005-14.07%0.0620✓1.06313k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9402-4.56%1.5924-21.67%0.1548✓1.0613k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.065996-4.53%0.071+2.71%0.0811✗0.20354k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.8587-4.49%3.961-35.43%0.3689✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.092464-4.48%0.0743-23.24%0.1899✓0.722,9132022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.156.4619-4.46%51.09-13.55%0.0610✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4838-4.45%1.479-4.76%0.0247✓0.6929k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.788716-4.37%0.73564-10.80%0.0401✓0.7313k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.9041-4.36%3.097-24.13%0.2111✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038136-4.35%0.035845-10.10%0.0401✓0.5423k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.1971-4.33%12.53-15.57%0.0759✓1.2275k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.283752-4.33%0.3194+7.69%0.1568✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081148-4.31%0.082-3.30%0.0493✗0.9711k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3068-4.29%3.53-21.56%0.1761✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.364865-4.28%0.39142+2.69%0.1086✗0.9531k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.315-4.27%8.67-10.89%0.0182✓1.33288k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.129023-4.26%0.12034-10.70%0.0237✓1.14151k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.9136-4.24%40.41-7.68%0.0049✓1.03312k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.7597-4.23%4.2295-14.90%0.1146✓0.09119k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1033-4.23%0.978-15.10%0.0830✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.188028-4.21%0.1351-31.18%0.2997✓0.7730k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.979251-4.21%0.9674-5.37%0.0074✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.24e-7-4.20%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0391✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.065083-4.15%0.06122-9.84%0.0227✓0.9625k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005397-4.15%0.0048-14.74%0.0906✓0.66911k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8666-4.14%4.46-27.12%0.2533✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.875405-4.12%0.847-7.23%0.0124✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019364-4.09%0.01784-11.64%0.0566✓0.6312k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010551-4.06%0.009275-15.67%0.0886✓1.006682022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.384511-4.06%0.3093-22.83%0.1776✓0.99202k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.701877-4.05%0.63573-13.09%0.0556✓1.08624k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.443926-4.02%0.4211-8.95%0.0077✓1.12366k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2274-3.99%1.85-20.26%0.1612✓0.61247k2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047635-3.96%0.0541+9.07%0.1620✗0.86234k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.103348-3.95%0.0911-15.33%0.0921✓0.84188k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9803-3.90%3.061-26.10%0.2478✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.297589-3.90%0.327+5.60%0.1200✗0.64326k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032372-3.86%0.02754-18.21%0.1194✓1.0532k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.529409-3.81%0.4902-10.94%0.0527✓0.60871k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.056772-3.78%0.053-10.17%0.0205✓1.20568k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088923-3.76%0.0998+8.01%0.1561✗1.01336k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007661-3.76%0.00571-28.27%0.2496✓1.10463k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,517.25-3.65%1,286.96-18.27%0.1119✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.2359-3.62%5.61-13.29%0.0863✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.847951-3.60%0.7636-13.19%0.0560✓1.21899k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005689-3.56%0.005472-7.24%0.0132✓0.641,9622022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.253646-3.56%0.23-12.55%0.0683✓0.74534k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.7421-3.54%50.036-2.97%0.0401✗0.85246k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.19204-3.50%0.1711-14.02%0.0747✓1.01132k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0164-3.43%0.8006-23.93%0.1794✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.8285-3.41%6.15+1.92%0.1079✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043683-3.36%0.0333-26.33%0.2371✓0.85142k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7507-3.28%2.79+54.14%0.4846✗0.4656k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.420132-3.20%0.38-12.44%0.0585✓1.047,9852022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.9707-3.06%9.399+1.57%0.0799✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035-3.05%0.0319-11.63%0.0523✓1.0190k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011729-2.98%0.00001039-14.06%0.0823✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011797-2.92%0.010334-14.96%0.0990✓0.83882k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001487-2.88%0.001276-16.66%0.1258✓0.676,5532022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.7656-2.86%14.3-5.92%0.0005✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062876-2.79%0.05314-17.84%0.1325✓0.897802022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.184528-2.78%0.141-25.71%0.2279✓1.02101k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.1716-2.77%23.44-9.46%0.0311✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8795.2236-2.70%160.75+64.25%0.5609✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.160544-2.70%0.1439-12.79%0.0641✓1.131,7442022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.202944-2.66%0.1796-13.86%0.0855✓0.9159k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012198-2.57%0.01008-19.49%0.1658✓0.62233k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019566-2.51%0.01727-13.95%0.1011✓0.59173k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.102043-2.50%0.1121+7.11%0.1290✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9780.9677-2.41%70.96-14.48%0.0730✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041194-2.30%0.038379-8.97%0.0346✓0.9028k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001486-2.16%0.001497-1.45%0.0372✗0.74353k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.53e-7-1.99%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0741✓0.6915k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.206132-1.98%0.1528-27.34%0.2696✓0.7467k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035762-1.97%0.03232-11.40%0.0726✓0.712,2982022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.164101-1.96%0.14863-11.20%0.0709✓0.703542022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022725-1.92%0.02101-9.32%0.0375✓1.022,9582022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,795.83-1.88%19,378.65-3.95%0.0190✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3851-1.77%1.66+17.73%0.1768✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,884.74-1.74%19,353.70-4.37%0.0100✓0.9215k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.441413-1.69%0.319-28.95%0.2781✓1.164,5592022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056312-1.55%0.0499-12.76%0.0885✓0.8090k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059793-1.46%0.060975+0.48%0.0376✗0.45123k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0829-1.46%4.3617+5.27%0.0952✗0.72696k2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.213091-1.39%0.225+4.12%0.0894✗0.87527k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.7789-1.14%142.89-1.75%0.0337✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.503292-0.92%0.41049-19.19%0.1515✓1.3041k2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.