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2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0673
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.0%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.4967-16.16%5.147-21.49%0.0859✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.055075-14.93%0.05596-13.56%0.2114✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9325.9485-13.30%24.34-18.68%0.1967✗1.66159k2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.3671-12.53%1.454-6.97%0.2534✗1.2343k2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.8455-12.20%1.558-25.88%0.0527✓1.42967k2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.191.9396-11.43%1.67-23.74%0.0499✓1.27227k2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.263727-11.38%0.2122-28.70%0.0483✓1.0874k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.59427-11.30%0.556-17.01%0.1002✓1.07111k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4924.8733-11.27%4.714-14.17%0.1857✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008071-10.82%0.0055-39.23%0.2358✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.206-10.80%1.105-18.27%0.1124✓1.28323k2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4534.3567-10.65%23.79-38.13%0.1209✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.772917-10.52%0.6656-22.95%0.0344✓1.17946k2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.3562-10.28%14.98-17.83%0.0044✓0.53396k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1711.9534-10.02%1.571-27.64%0.0185✓1.2732k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2702-9.91%1.1-21.99%0.0222✓1.0668k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1429-9.79%0.747-41.04%0.1600✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.116007-9.79%0.0876-31.88%0.0848✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.13978-9.64%0.1346-12.99%0.1206✗1.01336k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.7485-9.64%1.505-22.22%0.1182✗1.7160k2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000271091-9.64%0.00028659-4.47%0.0978✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002808-9.61%0.002075-33.19%0.1594✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.302504-9.59%0.28-16.32%0.0857✓1.0482k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2212.8628-9.54%11.54-18.85%0.0772✓1.19925k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1213.6918-9.45%17.14+13.36%0.3813✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.020648-9.44%0.02101-7.85%0.1842✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.78e-7-9.43%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1598✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.103685-9.37%0.067-41.43%0.3429✓0.60188k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.119608-9.32%0.1178-10.69%0.1692✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.3922-9.24%1.389-9.45%0.1739✗1.1371k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.516874-9.16%0.457-19.68%0.0562✓1.1466k2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.426.7663-8.81%5.66-23.72%0.0069✓1.10224k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.921217-8.79%0.873-13.56%0.0102✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.046858-8.66%0.0392-23.59%0.0037✓1.16178k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9257.5042-8.61%51.73-17.78%0.0767✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.150273-8.48%0.1486-9.50%0.1942✗1.319132022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.478,943.26-8.29%7,877.53-19.22%0.0950✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.0261-8.28%4.8842-36.24%0.3244✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2452.9771-8.25%2.859-11.90%0.0178✓0.37676k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.0254-8.14%2.7159-17.53%0.0547✓1.0419k2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.682122-8.06%0.628-15.35%0.1585✗1.54210k2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.7061-8.05%2.065-29.83%0.0276✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.4748-7.98%3.8083-21.69%0.0725✓1.49122k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.270959-7.93%0.21464-27.07%0.0916✓0.9015k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.04531-7.91%0.0357-27.44%0.0543✓1.18546k2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.500054-7.74%0.428-21.03%0.0354✓1.2277k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3719.7503-7.58%15.95-25.36%0.0018✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.296209-7.56%0.252468-21.21%0.0055✓0.99471k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.124666-7.45%0.1193-11.43%0.1257✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.177344-7.44%0.1135-40.76%0.4245✓0.1483k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.1659-7.40%6.054-9.09%0.2016✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.325418-7.39%0.2656-24.42%0.0198✓1.1772k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.140699-7.31%0.1213-20.09%0.0079✓1.00119k2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.44-7.29%13.627+10.43%0.2337✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14881.9928-7.26%1.672-22.19%0.0010✓1.1313k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.2964-7.24%1.0849-22.37%0.0087✓1.08922k2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.830697-7.16%0.8317-7.05%0.2465✗1.5789k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.36099-6.94%0.3107-19.90%0.0174✓1.07314k2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.2222-6.91%7.147-7.88%0.1670✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.4466-6.84%14.49-12.61%0.0584✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.603794-6.82%0.57-12.04%0.1025✗1.02178k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.796485-6.77%0.75156-12.02%0.0654✓0.7913k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.1464-6.75%6.173-19.45%0.0365✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.187878-6.71%0.1899-5.71%0.1648✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8306-6.70%1.5946-18.73%0.0378✓1.1223k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87120.2916-6.66%111.75-13.28%0.1105✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.6486-6.65%4.7-5.62%0.1465✗0.87839k2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.478966-6.62%0.3722-27.43%0.1181✓0.86396k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5492-6.48%1.3516-18.41%0.0294✓1.06241k2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.6875-6.41%1.584-12.15%0.0959✗1.02627k2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.273029-6.40%0.2577-11.66%0.1011✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.166101-6.32%0.14279-19.47%0.0180✓1.08271k2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.5647-6.28%4.2544-39.27%0.4181✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.3891-6.27%6.78-24.25%0.1207✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.4924-6.26%5.07-26.80%0.0909✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66511.8758-6.23%10.3905-17.96%0.0261✓1.0221k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017346-6.18%0.014341-22.43%0.0337✓1.009912022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.069434-6.17%0.06929-6.36%0.0190✓0.13378k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.416244-6.17%0.3394-23.49%0.0198✓1.1875k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.005829-6.13%0.0049-21.10%0.0744✓0.63911k2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.061396-6.12%0.0544-16.82%0.0695✗1.22563k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.384654-6.02%0.2554-37.60%0.2822✓0.8189k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.1336-5.99%0.12114-14.76%0.0915✗1.21151k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.5127-5.88%55.48+1.37%0.2733✗1.278,6412022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0188-5.84%4.06-23.83%0.1111✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4635.2782-5.82%31.16-16.82%0.0674✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.037594-5.78%0.0353-11.53%0.0761✗0.899,1922022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5286-5.76%1.463-9.80%0.0711✗0.7329k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001247-5.75%0.0009175-30.67%0.1775✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2149.2303-5.71%40.13-23.14%0.0434✓1.03363k2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,523.45-5.68%1,254.87-22.31%0.0374✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.5545-5.62%12.49-24.21%0.0233✓1.2579k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689168-5.59%0.54-26.03%0.2063✓0.2444k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.1985-5.59%1.1675-8.03%0.1525✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.259685-5.57%0.234-14.91%0.0166✓0.77563k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.334657-5.56%0.28328-20.06%0.0022✓1.0833k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04032-5.51%0.035794-16.12%0.0355✓0.5323k2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.635447-5.44%0.549-18.30%0.0319✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.949863-5.44%0.9569-4.74%0.0966✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0317-5.43%0.929799-14.78%0.0166✓0.7736k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011354-5.42%0.009569-20.28%0.0144✓1.006492022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.044909-5.39%0.03857-18.75%0.0505✓0.6514k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.751551-5.37%0.64761-18.46%0.0279✓1.13624k2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000043508-5.35%0.00003798-17.38%0.0020✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.060578-5.28%0.05987-6.39%0.1464✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003382-5.26%0.00312-12.61%0.0743✗0.99483k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.417244-5.23%0.30131-31.56%0.1718✓0.98379k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.7185-5.23%11.739-24.41%0.0256✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.003983-5.16%0.00336-20.00%0.0228✓0.94103k2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.2916-5.14%3.802-15.96%0.0264✓0.94273k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.068295-5.13%0.06138-14.74%0.0499✓1.0025k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.8331-5.10%3.153-38.09%0.2706✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3355-5.06%1.91-22.36%0.1059✓0.61261k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.09619-5.04%0.0774-23.59%0.0982✓0.762,7302022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6175-5.02%2.24-18.72%0.0257✓0.83523k2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2164-4.89%1.022-20.09%0.0280✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.869783-4.86%0.760819-16.78%0.0007✓0.8649k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.4847-4.86%8.85-19.69%0.0410✓1.34288k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.063469-4.84%0.0689+3.30%0.2462✗1.0579k2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.47713-4.84%0.3813-23.95%0.0668✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.457964-4.79%0.377-21.62%0.0312✓1.047,9852022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.913571-4.75%0.7783-18.85%0.0379✓1.27899k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001549-4.71%0.001688+3.81%0.2088✗0.79374k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.020982-4.71%0.018543-15.78%0.0266✓0.6212k2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.58e-7-4.70%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0077✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.553099-4.67%0.5112-11.89%0.0178✓0.62836k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.3516-4.63%3.0801-32.50%0.2495✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.308774-4.61%0.3135-3.15%0.1690✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1744.9966-4.61%41.74-11.51%0.0924✗1.07312k2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.3415-4.58%3.72-18.24%0.0593✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.007949-4.57%0.00592-28.93%0.1106✓1.18428k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.108979-4.49%0.0931-18.40%0.0198✓0.88188k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022957-4.49%0.024833+3.32%0.0925✗0.09465k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098115-4.46%0.1026-0.10%0.2035✗1.01336k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.049298-4.46%0.052+0.78%0.2036✗0.96234k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012568-4.46%0.010459-20.49%0.0528✓0.84882k2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.6838-4.44%4.066-31.64%0.2344✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0528-4.37%3.141-25.88%0.1732✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.0938-4.31%0.8202-28.24%0.0460✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.087589-4.27%0.0807-11.80%0.0721✗0.9814k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.196655-4.21%0.1515-26.21%0.0853✓1.12108k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.347554-4.18%0.3109-14.28%0.0539✗1.061,1592022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.383077-4.18%0.3906-2.29%0.1781✗1.0131k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.474719-4.06%0.4253-14.05%0.0712✗1.16384k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4158.9182-4.06%52.23-14.95%0.0429✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.207722-4.01%0.128-40.85%0.3670✓0.7526k2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.931371-3.98%0.833-14.12%0.0744✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7669-3.97%2.23+21.20%0.3063✗0.4758k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8373-3.92%1.0233-46.49%0.4528✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.047376-3.90%0.0378-23.33%0.0927✓0.85145k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,649.75-3.90%1,294.33-24.60%0.0302✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.392299-3.85%0.3171-22.28%0.0425✓1.09202k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006001-3.74%0.00603-3.27%0.0628✗0.3730k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.1468-3.66%4.67-26.80%0.1926✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.1312-3.59%3.305-22.87%0.1657✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60952.6725-3.55%48.073-11.97%0.0472✗0.88264k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006131-3.53%0.005602-11.86%0.0097✓0.641,9622022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.226571-3.42%0.1864-20.55%0.0547✓0.9057k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.305475-3.40%0.33712+6.61%0.2069✗0.69326k2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.5158-3.32%23.36-17.92%0.0047✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045183-3.27%0.039427-15.59%0.0035✓0.8928k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036138-3.12%0.02798-24.99%0.0899✓1.0635k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.4137-3.10%9.053-6.81%0.0960✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.51-2.98%5.67-15.50%0.0609✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65103.5557-2.90%153.65+44.07%0.5409✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.219233-2.87%0.1479-34.47%0.2747✓0.7667k2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.03858-2.82%0.0326-17.88%0.0091✓1.0289k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012526-2.75%0.00001016-21.12%0.0508✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.2008-2.67%0.1782-13.62%0.0510✗1.09135k2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001608-2.58%0.001361-17.57%0.0607✓0.685,8832022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9196-2.49%4.1434-17.87%0.1617✓0.06119k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.111123-2.40%0.116277+2.12%0.1844✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.06757-2.29%0.05545-19.81%0.0518✓0.938202022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020546-2.26%0.01798-14.46%0.0386✓0.61191k2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9988.9615-2.23%71.52-21.40%0.0212✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.180132-2.05%0.147-20.07%0.0232✓1.151,7442022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,990.44-1.84%19,155.92-14.49%0.0186✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.231553-1.68%0.2291-2.72%0.1259✗0.87527k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.475026-1.65%0.328-32.09%0.1808✓1.214,2692022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039399-1.50%0.03373-15.68%0.0462✓0.702,2982022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012751-1.46%0.01098-15.15%0.0470✓0.65233k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3205-1.45%4.405+0.48%0.1352✗0.74688k2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,042.61-1.25%19,167.20-14.13%0.0040✓0.9213k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.00e-7-1.13%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0264✓0.7415k2022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170649-1.11%0.1565-9.31%0.0327✗0.765152022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063232-1.02%0.061673-3.46%0.0480✗0.47123k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024648-0.93%0.02169-12.82%0.0415✗1.082,9582022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.417-0.91%1.52+6.29%0.0487✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.05948-0.87%0.0499-16.83%0.0429✓0.8590k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.559133-0.69%0.42113-25.20%0.0741✓1.3439k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77162.9468-0.50%144.74-11.62%0.0328✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.