8=======>

2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2307
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.9%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012946+0.12%0.0104-19.57%0.1294✗0.66233k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.126146-0.67%0.1155-9.06%0.0875✓0.0183k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8867-0.70%2.27+19.47%0.2498✗0.4861k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.181527-0.80%0.148-19.13%0.0454✓1.171,7442022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.232799-0.94%0.2305-1.91%0.1081✗0.87503k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.228139-0.94%0.1864-19.06%0.0805✓0.8957k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.345264-1.38%0.3202-8.54%0.0675✗1.057782022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.326683-1.42%0.33684+1.64%0.1260✗0.70326k2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.063251-1.46%0.06166-3.94%0.0411✗0.49123k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.06019-1.49%0.0499-18.33%0.0711✓0.8682k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.5887-1.71%8.744-10.36%0.0252✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.542995-2.17%0.42218-23.94%0.0695✓1.3439k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.209355-2.22%0.1798-16.02%0.0042✓1.09138k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012695-2.27%0.00001023-21.25%0.0776✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.1999-2.30%47.915-12.01%0.0131✓0.87275k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.1934-2.33%14.48-12.67%0.0051✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,153.02-2.36%19,028.40-12.16%0.0188✓0.9213k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024887-2.41%0.02204-13.57%0.0320✗1.132,9142022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9375-2.47%4.1004-19.01%0.1773✓0.06117k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3836-2.57%1.52+7.04%0.0748✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020752-2.57%0.0178-16.43%0.0719✓0.60206k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7099-2.59%2.134-23.29%0.1322✓0.79586k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6389.2191-2.63%71.42-22.06%0.0141✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,202.32-2.88%19,058.11-12.70%0.0293✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.412727-3.00%0.313-26.44%0.1261✓1.11202k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.499263-3.06%0.336-34.76%0.2289✓1.234,2692022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.110801-3.13%0.116096+1.49%0.1670✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.203896-3.18%0.1451-31.10%0.1835✓1.15108k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.062398-3.26%0.0631-2.17%0.1514✗1.0379k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.07068-3.27%0.05605-23.29%0.0997✓0.977022022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.82365-3.30%0.75273-11.63%0.0174✓0.7913k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.037982-3.35%0.0324-17.56%0.0203✓1.0288k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.168243-3.39%0.15473-11.15%0.0227✓0.783512022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038222-3.48%0.03308-16.46%0.0507✓0.692,1832022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.099089-3.52%0.0794-22.69%0.1171✓0.772,6892022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006084-3.57%0.006021-4.56%0.0418✗0.3830k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012707-3.69%0.010365-21.44%0.0888✓0.85920k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045044-3.72%0.039437-15.71%0.0115✓0.8928k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.9244-3.81%40.86-21.27%0.0624✓1.02395k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.772727-3.86%0.64753-19.44%0.0221✓1.14584k2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006282-3.90%0.005604-14.27%0.0230✓0.672,0442022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.49182-3.94%0.4268-16.64%0.0184✓1.18384k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22152.943-3.94%144.57-9.20%0.0771✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82104.4261-4.04%153.96+41.48%0.5177✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001567-4.20%0.001366-16.50%0.0449✓0.686,5532022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010836-4.22%0.009663-14.59%0.0213✓1.006302022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048647-4.24%0.0515+1.38%0.1851✗0.94234k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060992-4.26%0.060216-5.47%0.1245✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.300232-4.32%0.252068-19.67%0.0409✓0.99471k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.983083-4.32%0.9454-7.99%0.0386✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.2081-4.36%5.992-7.69%0.1547✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0386-4.38%0.922593-15.07%0.0139✓0.7734k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.1395-4.40%4.365+0.81%0.1526✗0.73690k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.3187-4.41%10.4764-18.70%0.0231✓1.0222k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095275-4.44%0.105+5.32%0.2341✗1.01336k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.4302-4.46%5.78-14.12%0.0384✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.88629-4.47%0.762754-17.79%0.0318✓0.8749k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.089861-4.50%0.0796-15.41%0.0132✓0.9914k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1533-4.61%3.34-23.29%0.1674✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.035482-4.62%0.0355-4.57%0.1193✗0.877,8252022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1283-4.63%0.8192-30.75%0.1082✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044478-4.64%0.03846-17.54%0.0578✓0.6414k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.003995-4.65%0.00336-19.81%0.0446✓0.95103k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036026-4.72%0.02814-25.58%0.1017✓1.0745k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.67e-7-4.73%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0167✓0.7515k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.8453-4.78%4.3-29.96%0.2173✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4177-4.79%3.71-20.04%0.0906✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.126896-4.80%0.118-11.48%0.0885✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.020829-4.83%0.018475-15.59%0.0356✓0.6212k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2398-4.84%1.2564-3.57%0.1695✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.219943-4.87%0.1522-34.17%0.2639✓0.7766k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.927252-4.88%0.7788-20.11%0.0019✓1.27899k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.6566-4.89%3.171-35.23%0.2484✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1882-5.02%1.022-18.31%0.0237✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.744-5.11%1.592-13.38%0.0481✓1.02627k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.168773-5.13%0.14363-19.26%0.0165✓1.07268k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.00627-5.15%0.00472-28.59%0.1969✓0.64911k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.1593-5.18%0.1567-6.73%0.1636✗1.321,0012022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.682301-5.24%0.56-22.22%0.1660✓0.2346k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.922779-5.26%0.833-14.48%0.0608✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.48316-5.28%0.3906-23.43%0.0757✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.136063-5.39%0.12111-15.79%0.0483✓1.21151k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.420486-5.40%0.355-20.13%0.0103✓1.1781k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.332651-5.41%0.2823-19.73%0.0176✓1.0834k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3545.7278-5.42%41.25-14.68%0.0434✓1.08321k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.485144-5.43%0.383-25.34%0.0920✓1.067,7812022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.308576-5.46%0.3177-2.67%0.1633✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.276208-5.51%0.2614-10.57%0.0828✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8162-5.56%4.82-5.49%0.1182✗0.86859k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.638207-5.59%0.553-18.20%0.0123✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.3306-5.59%23.25-16.64%0.0140✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.546573-5.63%0.5306-8.39%0.0549✓0.62826k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1525-5.73%3.254-26.13%0.1704✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.611791-5.73%0.562-13.41%0.0549✓1.03178k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.071079-5.81%0.06085-19.36%0.0176✓1.0124k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,662.61-5.90%1,279.94-27.56%0.0752✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.039822-5.91%0.036015-14.90%0.0288✓0.5323k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.04714-5.91%0.0362-27.74%0.1057✓1.17536k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.02254-5.98%0.025016+4.35%0.1141✗0.07455k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.00273-5.99%0.002081-28.34%0.1494✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.007932-6.02%0.00619-26.66%0.0877✓1.18406k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.5833-6.06%1.3396-20.52%0.0227✓1.06241k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.510055-6.07%0.426-21.55%0.0138✓1.2274k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.5463-6.09%8.81-21.55%0.0052✓1.36298k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0661-6.17%1.57-28.70%0.1004✓1.2832k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35122.2998-6.18%111.17-14.71%0.0657✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001282-6.21%0.000927-32.21%0.2102✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.379977-6.24%0.38304-5.48%0.1458✗1.0132k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,553.31-6.25%1,240.98-25.10%0.0886✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.021857-6.27%0.0222-4.80%0.1599✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.00004275-6.29%0.000038-16.70%0.0023✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.4307-6.31%12.5-24.10%0.0404✓1.2584k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7192-6.33%5.226-27.14%0.1141✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.52e-7-6.35%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0133✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.108136-6.46%0.0922-20.24%0.0403✓0.88169k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.548-6.46%1.496-9.61%0.0673✗0.7536k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003559-6.58%0.00325-14.70%0.0466✓1.01481k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.0719-6.59%4.18-23.02%0.1036✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.686622-6.59%0.6398-12.96%0.1379✗1.53226k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001454-6.66%0.001486-4.62%0.1260✗0.77353k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0132.6747-6.67%30.8-12.03%0.1050✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.3047-6.70%15.96-22.86%0.0040✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.14163-6.70%0.122-19.63%0.0128✓1.00110k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1858.0028-6.72%52.01-16.36%0.0327✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.04636-6.72%0.0383-22.94%0.0754✓0.85138k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5212-6.72%3.9604-18.29%0.0759✗1.53129k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.3739-6.75%7.02-21.83%0.0948✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.1256-6.76%4.92-25.11%0.1454✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.1809-6.77%6.18-19.76%0.0086✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.308092-6.86%0.255-22.91%0.0855✓0.7684k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.411-6.99%1.432-5.60%0.1674✗1.1271k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8663-7.04%1.0218-49.11%0.4867✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.128079-7.05%0.1203-12.70%0.0895✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0695-7.17%2.6817-18.90%0.0069✓1.0419k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2759.6524-7.18%51.54-19.81%0.0141✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4371-7.33%1.94-26.24%0.1437✓0.62262k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7438-7.40%2.062-30.41%0.0729✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.7807-7.45%1.6014-16.77%0.0460✓1.1223k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.0589-7.49%5.83-23.59%0.0413✓1.10230k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.4235-7.55%7.132-11.18%0.1134✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.334348-7.61%0.2662-26.44%0.0674✓1.1872k2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.42176-7.67%0.30021-34.28%0.2033✓1.01379k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.475958-7.71%0.3748-27.32%0.1228✓0.85418k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008698-7.86%0.00556-41.10%0.3165✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.146-7.90%1.67-28.33%0.0755✓1.29227k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8328-7.90%1.515-23.87%0.0431✓1.7260k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.262362-7.94%0.233-18.25%0.0125✓0.78563k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.358735-8.09%0.3122-20.01%0.0075✓1.08324k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.107199-8.14%0.0886-24.08%0.0224✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2550.6843-8.26%55.84+1.07%0.2719✗1.298,9662022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.016761-8.31%0.014339-21.56%0.0202✓1.008742022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.255-8.33%1.115-18.55%0.0544✓1.27343k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0043-8.35%2.858-12.81%0.0010✓0.38720k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.3287-8.46%11.52-20.88%0.0160✓1.19925k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,311.09-8.67%7,823.46-23.26%0.0216✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.067693-8.70%0.07114-4.05%0.0681✓0.14378k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.3331-8.71%16.63+5.92%0.2865✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.265701-8.84%0.21515-26.18%0.0892✓0.9015k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.060339-8.85%0.0548-17.22%0.0705✓1.23555k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3306-8.87%1.09-25.34%0.0541✓1.0779k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.18983-8.87%0.1946-6.58%0.1608✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047386-8.87%0.0393-24.42%0.0283✓1.17190k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.282-9.03%12.174-22.45%0.0165✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.540686-9.13%0.454-23.70%0.0174✓1.1664k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.113794-9.26%0.0677-46.01%0.4350✓0.62191k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.785608-9.31%0.6867-20.73%0.0257✓1.18946k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.1895-9.51%1.105-15.94%0.0720✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.803977-9.51%0.8294-6.65%0.2442✗1.5794k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.300517-9.70%0.2783-16.38%0.0655✓1.0575k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.617517-9.98%0.555-19.10%0.0397✓1.08111k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.1129-10.02%4.693-17.41%0.1058✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.2932-10.33%14.164+12.47%0.2775✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.54e-7-10.36%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1642✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.91661-10.49%0.853-16.70%0.0167✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.137809-10.80%0.1354-12.36%0.1205✗1.02336k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.1723-10.83%3.1333-33.03%0.2042✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.3726-10.83%4.4242-38.10%0.3508✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9316.8728-10.87%14.03-25.88%0.1103✓0.55384k2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.25904-11.56%0.2043-30.25%0.0907✓1.0883k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5013.9663-11.88%3.85-14.46%0.0988✓0.95286k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.8631-11.95%1.581-25.28%0.0296✓1.43967k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4494-12.05%1.424-13.59%0.1510✗1.2443k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.0253-12.16%1.6843-26.95%0.0299✓1.1413k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9828.0498-12.29%24.24-24.20%0.0855✓1.70168k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.6569-12.52%5.0794-33.25%0.2362✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056934-12.69%0.05586-14.34%0.1510✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2213-12.89%0.738-47.36%0.2692✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.5631-13.31%5.133-20.01%0.0506✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5633.1457-14.04%23.73-38.46%0.1188✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.22205-14.96%0.1306-49.98%0.4216✓0.8024k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000356214-17.42%0.00028097-34.87%0.1868✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.