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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1197
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.4444-15.16%5.133-20.01%0.0721✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056276-13.70%0.05586-14.34%0.1626✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9827.9653-12.55%24.24-24.20%0.0885✓1.70168k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4534-11.81%1.424-13.59%0.1482✗1.2443k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.8754-11.37%1.581-25.28%0.0230✓1.43967k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.60936-11.17%0.555-19.10%0.0530✓1.08111k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2165-11.14%1.115-18.55%0.0855✓1.27343k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.079-10.77%1.67-28.33%0.0438✓1.29227k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008428-10.72%0.00556-41.10%0.2849✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.0845-10.52%4.693-17.41%0.1114✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.262479-10.39%0.2043-30.25%0.1039✓1.0883k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.778407-10.15%0.6867-20.73%0.0349✓1.18946k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3145-9.96%1.09-25.34%0.0419✓1.0779k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.7923-9.93%1.515-23.87%0.0655✓1.7260k2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.58e-7-9.82%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1702✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.10531-9.76%0.0886-24.08%0.0047✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.139517-9.70%0.1354-12.36%0.1082✗1.02336k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.0956-9.69%14.03-25.88%0.1234✓0.55384k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2021.9888-9.68%1.57-28.70%0.0623✓1.2832k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5634.9296-9.41%23.73-38.46%0.1712✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.539413-9.34%0.454-23.70%0.0150✓1.1664k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.301964-9.27%0.2783-16.38%0.0607✓1.0575k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.2117-9.26%11.52-20.88%0.0248✓1.19925k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.121282-9.02%0.118-11.48%0.1338✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.9356-8.85%5.0794-33.25%0.2773✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2788-8.79%0.738-47.36%0.3152✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.153364-8.71%0.1567-6.73%0.2015✗1.321,0012022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047487-8.68%0.0393-24.42%0.0304✓1.17190k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.021306-8.64%0.0222-4.80%0.1855✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.936243-8.57%0.853-16.70%0.0379✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002656-8.54%0.002081-28.34%0.1218✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4384-8.43%3.9604-18.29%0.0944✗1.53129k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.3771-8.43%16.63+5.92%0.2834✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2758.8828-8.38%51.54-19.81%0.0271✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.1149-8.37%0.0677-46.01%0.4446✓0.62191k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.3904-8.35%1.432-5.60%0.1821✗1.1271k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000395877-8.23%0.00028097-34.87%0.2924✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.675143-8.16%0.6398-12.96%0.1548✗1.53226k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.267736-8.14%0.21515-26.18%0.0968✓0.9015k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.0228-7.96%5.83-23.59%0.0362✓1.10230k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.500548-7.82%0.426-21.55%0.0050✓1.2274k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.1276-7.73%1.6843-26.95%0.0792✓1.1413k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.025-7.72%2.858-12.81%0.0058✓0.38720k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.04624-7.71%0.0362-27.74%0.0865✓1.17536k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7348-7.70%2.062-30.41%0.0696✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.127327-7.60%0.1203-12.70%0.0954✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.6386-7.59%14.164+12.47%0.2474✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0611-7.43%2.6817-18.90%0.0097✓1.0419k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.117572-7.42%0.1155-9.06%0.0171✓0.0183k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.335454-7.31%0.2662-26.44%0.0707✓1.1872k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.14075-7.28%0.122-19.63%0.0066✓1.00110k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2191-7.26%1.105-15.94%0.0474✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.825336-7.11%0.8294-6.65%0.2180✗1.5794k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.2291-7.06%15.96-22.86%0.0000✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.29165-7.05%0.252068-19.67%0.0119✓0.99471k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,476.41-7.05%7,823.46-23.26%0.0040✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.0469-6.84%5.992-7.69%0.1810✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.194063-6.83%0.1946-6.58%0.1388✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006159-6.82%0.00472-28.59%0.1792✓0.64911k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.363755-6.80%0.3122-20.01%0.0064✓1.08324k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017039-6.79%0.014339-21.56%0.0366✓1.008742022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003553-6.75%0.00325-14.70%0.0484✓1.01481k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.6656-6.73%4.4242-38.10%0.3957✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.794471-6.73%0.75273-11.63%0.0534✓0.7913k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.481015-6.73%0.3748-27.32%0.1334✓0.85418k2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.7948-6.72%1.6014-16.77%0.0381✓1.1223k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.5739-6.62%1.3396-20.52%0.0167✓1.06241k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.606227-6.59%0.562-13.41%0.0641✓1.03178k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35121.7621-6.59%111.17-14.71%0.0701✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.1957-6.57%6.18-19.76%0.0065✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.5062-6.52%7.132-11.18%0.1023✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7197-6.44%1.592-13.38%0.0621✓1.02627k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.273558-6.41%0.2614-10.57%0.0925✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.7734-6.40%4.82-5.49%0.1272✗0.86859k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.416244-6.36%0.355-20.13%0.0001✓1.1781k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.412-6.33%7.02-21.83%0.0994✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7204-6.31%5.226-27.14%0.1143✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.0861-6.21%10.4764-18.70%0.0040✓1.0222k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.166845-6.21%0.14363-19.26%0.0050✓1.07268k2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.244993-6.17%0.1306-49.98%0.5199✓0.8024k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.8528-6.15%55.84+1.07%0.2491✗1.298,9662022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.481951-6.05%0.383-25.34%0.0854✓1.067,7812022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.948.7639-6.04%40.86-21.27%0.0388✓1.02395k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.676867-5.99%0.56-22.22%0.1580✓0.2346k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1083-5.92%4.18-23.02%0.1107✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.06975-5.92%0.07114-4.05%0.0381✓0.14378k2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.135326-5.91%0.12111-15.79%0.0538✓1.21151k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2268-5.84%1.2564-3.57%0.1801✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001288-5.84%0.000927-32.21%0.2142✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,560.60-5.81%1,240.98-25.10%0.0933✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0234-5.79%0.922593-15.07%0.0009✓0.7734k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.039874-5.78%0.036015-14.90%0.0301✓0.5323k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.5227-5.75%12.5-24.10%0.0464✓1.2584k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.331589-5.72%0.2823-19.73%0.0144✓1.0834k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.043996-5.67%0.03846-17.54%0.0469✓0.6414k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.0348-5.64%30.8-12.03%0.0940✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.268984-5.62%0.233-18.25%0.0374✓0.78563k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.062485-5.61%0.0548-17.22%0.0356✓1.23555k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.2486-5.61%3.85-14.46%0.0300✓0.95286k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.658-5.56%14.48-12.67%0.0285✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5633-5.54%1.496-9.61%0.0574✗0.7536k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.638926-5.48%0.553-18.20%0.0112✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.09708-5.47%0.0794-22.69%0.0966✓0.772,6892022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043131-5.46%0.000038-16.70%0.0066✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.431904-5.45%0.30021-34.28%0.2271✓1.01379k2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.035177-5.44%0.0355-4.57%0.1280✗0.877,8252022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.003963-5.41%0.00336-19.81%0.0366✓0.95103k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.8556-5.37%12.174-22.45%0.0229✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.760752-5.35%0.64753-19.44%0.0065✓1.14584k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060318-5.31%0.060216-5.47%0.1356✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.639-5.25%3.171-35.23%0.2446✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.071534-5.20%0.06085-19.36%0.0240✓1.0124k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.313869-5.12%0.255-22.91%0.1041✓0.7684k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010737-5.10%0.009663-14.59%0.0305✓1.006302022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.020774-5.09%0.018475-15.59%0.0330✓0.6212k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4963-5.08%1.94-26.24%0.1677✓0.62262k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.880855-5.06%0.762754-17.79%0.0257✓0.8749k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022763-5.05%0.025016+4.35%0.1043✗0.07455k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.97589-5.02%0.9454-7.99%0.0459✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.484525-5.01%0.3906-23.43%0.0785✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061278-5.00%0.0631-2.17%0.1695✗1.0379k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6444-4.95%2.134-23.29%0.1077✓0.79586k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.66e-7-4.88%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0288✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.0125-4.83%41.25-14.68%0.0372✓1.08321k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.927706-4.83%0.7788-20.11%0.0023✓1.27899k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4177-4.79%3.71-20.04%0.0906✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.310857-4.76%0.3177-2.67%0.1559✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008038-4.76%0.00619-26.66%0.1010✓1.18406k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.333449-4.76%0.3202-8.54%0.1023✗1.057782022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1955-4.76%3.254-26.13%0.1807✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1917-4.74%1.022-18.31%0.0267✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.4618-4.64%3.1333-33.03%0.2712✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.7123-4.61%8.81-21.55%0.0104✓1.36298k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.089769-4.60%0.0796-15.41%0.0142✓0.9914k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.11033-4.56%0.0922-20.24%0.0604✓0.88169k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095158-4.56%0.105+5.32%0.2353✗1.01336k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.386825-4.55%0.38304-5.48%0.1280✗1.0132k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048514-4.50%0.0515+1.38%0.1879✗0.94234k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1303-4.45%0.8192-30.75%0.1100✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.8657-4.45%4.3-29.96%0.2208✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1859.4382-4.41%52.01-16.36%0.0083✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.931477-4.37%0.833-14.48%0.0514✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.553968-4.36%0.5306-8.39%0.0414✓0.62826k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.407024-4.34%0.313-26.44%0.1122✓1.11202k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.489798-4.34%0.4268-16.64%0.0225✓1.18384k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9212-4.31%1.0218-49.11%0.5158✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012628-4.29%0.010365-21.44%0.0826✓0.85920k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047589-4.25%0.0383-22.94%0.1016✓0.85138k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006041-4.25%0.006021-4.56%0.0489✗0.3830k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001493-4.18%0.001486-4.62%0.0998✗0.77353k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,695.98-4.02%1,279.94-27.56%0.0951✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.3073-4.00%4.92-25.11%0.1746✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8243-3.99%2.27+19.47%0.2835✗0.4861k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.202343-3.92%0.1451-31.10%0.1758✓1.15108k2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006283-3.88%0.005604-14.27%0.0233✓0.672,0442022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1927-3.71%3.34-23.29%0.1768✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45452.4655-3.65%47.915-12.01%0.0270✓0.87275k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.319384-3.62%0.33684+1.64%0.1486✗0.70326k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045139-3.52%0.039437-15.71%0.0136✓0.8928k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036518-3.42%0.02814-25.58%0.1153✓1.0745k2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.9428-3.40%23.25-16.64%0.0089✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.5043-3.35%5.78-14.12%0.0498✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.070644-3.32%0.05605-23.29%0.0992✓0.977022022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.222686-3.31%0.1864-19.06%0.0563✓0.8957k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4337-3.29%8.744-10.36%0.0415✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.207149-3.25%0.1798-16.02%0.0064✓1.09138k2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9073-3.07%4.1004-19.01%0.1712✓0.06117k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.5377-3.02%153.96+41.48%0.5071✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001588-2.96%0.001366-16.50%0.0577✓0.686,5532022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.224372-2.95%0.1522-34.17%0.2839✓0.7766k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038145-2.94%0.0324-17.56%0.0245✓1.0288k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012618-2.87%0.00001023-21.25%0.0715✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.11142-2.59%0.116096+1.49%0.1614✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6389.2548-2.59%71.42-22.06%0.0145✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020794-2.37%0.0178-16.43%0.0740✓0.60206k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.17902-2.17%0.148-19.13%0.0315✓1.171,7442022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.503846-2.17%0.336-34.76%0.2381✓1.234,2692022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,401.92-1.97%19,058.11-12.70%0.0199✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.01268-1.93%0.0104-19.57%0.1086✓0.66233k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.230704-1.83%0.2305-1.91%0.1172✗0.87503k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038888-1.80%0.03308-16.46%0.0680✓0.692,1832022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.95e-7-1.65%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0485✓0.7515k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.171347-1.60%0.15473-11.15%0.0044✓0.783512022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2621-1.57%4.365+0.81%0.1235✗0.73690k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.02511-1.53%0.02204-13.57%0.0231✗1.132,9142022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060207-1.46%0.0499-18.33%0.0714✓0.8682k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,356.68-1.42%19,028.40-12.16%0.0092✓0.9213k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4013-1.32%1.52+7.04%0.0620✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.063362-1.29%0.06166-3.94%0.0394✗0.49123k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.54891-1.11%0.42218-23.94%0.0803✓1.3439k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22157.793-0.90%144.57-9.20%0.0459✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.