8=======>

2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0980
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 82.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2226-0.78%2.43+8.48%0.1112✗0.5097k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.208481-0.82%0.1934-7.99%0.0302✓1.0260k2022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.345643-1.22%0.3165-9.55%0.0322✓1.27176k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.330207-1.68%0.4236+26.12%0.2890✗0.91366k2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.221715-1.77%0.2194-2.79%0.0293✗0.90501k2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.16937-1.81%0.1496-13.28%0.0627✓1.392,2552022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.1827-2.47%6.555+3.41%0.1165✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.103163-2.60%0.108139+2.10%0.0837✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.511291-2.61%0.364-30.67%0.2843✓1.262,6092022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,748.30-2.66%19,412.07-4.31%0.0269✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.773897-2.70%0.70596-11.24%0.0520✓0.90509k2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.159318-2.85%0.1368-16.59%0.1042✓1.091,7282022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,705.73-2.95%19,450.40-4.20%0.0284✓0.9413k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.8263-3.01%9.227+1.40%0.0868✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0688-3.03%1.0731-2.63%0.0592✗1.25973k2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.848207-3.11%0.78271-10.59%0.0370✓0.9815k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.061452-3.13%0.059562-6.11%0.0046✓0.60129k2022-09-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.024195-3.22%0.0193-22.80%0.1997✓0.6049k2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002912-3.25%0.00332+10.30%0.1762✗1.02498k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.535796-3.29%0.45604-17.68%0.1039✓1.3039k2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.09765-3.32%0.0897-11.19%0.0529✓0.732,9872022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089309-3.35%0.105+13.64%0.2044✗0.97404k2022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035248-3.43%0.0335-8.22%0.0094✓0.9486k2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1475-3.49%1.048-11.86%0.0472✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.152861-3.49%0.16792+6.02%0.1838✗2.046362022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.71405-3.51%0.64-13.51%0.0948✓0.3384k2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.7556-3.52%2.327-18.52%0.1302✓0.88734k2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.0967-3.54%4.127-21.89%0.2051✓0.14117k2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0149-3.55%1.709-18.19%0.1136✓1.1646k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.042976-3.56%0.040173-9.86%0.0301✓0.8530k2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.239423-3.61%0.2644+6.44%0.1414✗0.9679k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.061382-3.64%0.0534-16.17%0.0991✓0.91105k2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.055496-3.65%0.0458-20.49%0.1419✓1.14258k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.656336-3.66%0.6707-1.56%0.0841✗1.42226k2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.6158-3.69%17.25-10.76%0.0181✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.00625-3.70%0.00481-25.89%0.2341✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.118446-3.70%0.1275+3.66%0.1188✗1.0227k2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.08113-3.76%0.0852+1.07%0.0915✗0.9614k2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058306-3.78%0.0521-14.03%0.0709✓0.9598k2022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19452.1382-3.79%49.86-8.00%0.0119✓0.74322k2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.286518-3.89%0.3495+17.24%0.2388✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.035846-3.90%0.0394+5.63%0.1298✗0.8010k2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.948174-3.93%0.847-14.18%0.0591✓1.22963k2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.42363-3.94%0.395-10.43%0.0248✓1.028,3142022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036423-3.95%0.03471-8.47%0.0128✓0.802,7072022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5746.6512-3.95%61.83+27.30%0.3368✗1.2511k2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024531-3.95%0.02221-13.04%0.0429✓1.283,3752022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3829-3.96%1.41-2.08%0.0169✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.9165-3.97%4.86-5.08%0.0265✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.00564-3.98%0.005054-13.96%0.0796✓0.682,4852022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011981-4.00%0.00001109-11.14%0.0350✓0.96828k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042667-4.00%0.036375-18.16%0.1368✓0.5228k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.100219-4.10%0.0983-5.93%0.0191✓0.87196k2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.193609-4.11%0.1572-22.14%0.1642✓1.00133k2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0608-4.15%1.77-17.67%0.0981✓1.23238k2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8735-4.17%1.574-19.49%0.1001✓1.6890k2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0174-4.21%0.967566-8.90%0.0130✓0.8448k2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0396-4.24%2.01-5.63%0.0202✓0.79368k2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021702-4.27%0.02383+5.12%0.1319✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.332716-4.28%0.3019-13.15%0.0536✓0.9947k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.292172-4.30%0.266964-12.55%0.0424✓1.08560k2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.250173-4.33%0.1182-54.80%0.7494✓0.0191k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.064444-4.41%0.06144-8.87%0.0121✓0.819142022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.125284-4.44%0.1246-4.96%0.0380✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013092-4.44%0.012544-8.44%0.0141✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.922531-4.46%0.9053-6.24%0.0047✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4655-4.57%1.4415-6.13%0.0330✓1.12308k2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.429809-4.59%0.4362-3.17%0.0582✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.133136-4.60%0.12406-11.11%0.0163✓1.23210k2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.046831-4.62%0.0389-20.77%0.1416✓1.00814k2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7681.7772-4.64%76.78-10.47%0.0035✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.0682-4.68%10.6211-16.11%0.0849✓0.9733k2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.141013-4.72%0.1275-13.85%0.0558✓1.02149k2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1247.7203-4.79%44.04-12.13%0.0364✓1.00560k2022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.87471-4.79%0.765787-16.65%0.0970✓0.8270k2022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6459-4.81%1.609-6.94%0.0192✓0.95604k2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.211189-4.83%0.1721-22.44%0.1474✓1.30133k2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6826-4.83%1.398-20.93%0.1442✓0.93121k2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.060744-4.83%0.060552-5.13%0.0432✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.438411-4.84%0.4454-3.32%0.0656✗1.13364k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.137648-4.87%0.1396-3.52%0.0593✗1.03535k2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.3731-4.88%7.79+16.27%0.2478✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.366676-4.88%0.37714-2.17%0.0712✗0.9845k2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.269157-4.89%0.247-12.72%0.0537✓0.73686k2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.351987-4.89%0.3247-12.27%0.0292✓1.17398k2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.019966-4.90%0.019339-7.88%0.0041✓0.8213k2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71145.1954-4.92%147.27-3.56%0.0576✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.00847-4.94%0.00663-25.59%0.2110✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022206-4.94%0.01892-19.01%0.1242✓0.82419k2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.16539-4.95%0.14439-17.02%0.0895✓1.05363k2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4130.7952-4.98%33.24+2.56%0.1288✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014332-5.09%0.01054-30.20%0.2769✓0.69165k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1977-5.17%1.218-3.56%0.0697✗1.20471k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0343-5.18%1.7586-18.03%0.0929✓1.2013k2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.041812-5.19%0.0415-5.90%0.0353✓0.97166k2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4644.9911-5.20%41.26-13.06%0.0435✓0.98458k2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0235-5.22%0.9397-12.98%0.0187✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.5771-5.25%13.98-14.96%0.0592✓1.11107k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.275675-5.27%0.2952+1.44%0.1112✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.8859-5.36%6.389-12.19%0.0286✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.7243-5.41%8.87-13.72%0.0383✓1.22339k2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7560.294-5.42%55.45-13.02%0.0337✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.242681-5.42%0.1541-39.95%0.4141✓0.9185k2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.635509-5.43%0.586-12.80%0.0395✓0.94217k2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.646835-5.43%0.558-18.42%0.0932✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61113.0718-5.47%114.17-4.55%0.0603✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1695.6241-5.47%136.04+34.48%0.3903✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.0066-5.52%2.8623-10.05%0.0042✓1.0226k2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.045501-5.52%0.04028-16.36%0.0925✓0.6716k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.100349-5.60%0.0988-7.06%0.0326✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.497312-5.63%0.464-11.95%0.0185✓1.1583k2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.1491-5.64%4.2574-3.17%0.0596✗0.77765k2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.30e-7-5.66%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0140✓0.8116k2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.058186-5.70%0.0574-6.97%0.0414✓1.25851k2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2542-5.70%1.14-14.29%0.0532✓0.96142k2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.0212-5.74%3.851-9.73%0.0358✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.399416-5.75%0.3496-17.51%0.0821✓1.1689k2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.2673-5.80%4.78+5.52%0.1356✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006307-5.81%0.006299-5.93%0.0174✓0.4258k2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.513988-5.88%0.4862-10.97%0.0174✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003047-5.89%0.002004-38.11%0.3783✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003828-5.95%0.00347-14.74%0.0542✓1.00158k2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.7365-5.99%5.376-11.90%0.0459✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3425.6865-6.05%24.09-11.89%0.0211✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.282788-6.07%0.23749-21.12%0.1286✓1.0412k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.344125-6.08%0.3014-17.74%0.0846✓1.09155k2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001436-6.08%0.001413-7.59%0.0148✓0.709,4152022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.068393-6.11%0.06189-15.03%0.0476✓1.1927k2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.04928-6.13%0.0402-23.43%0.1593✓1.00248k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.6767-6.15%5.375+7.87%0.1988✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.518984-6.15%0.453-18.08%0.0889✓1.0777k2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,455.91-6.17%1,336.93-13.84%0.0251✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.2579-6.23%6.48-16.28%0.0638✓1.13504k2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7952.2985-6.26%53.28-4.50%0.0621✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.034463-6.28%0.03038-17.38%0.0817✓1.0140k2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.724-6.37%1.7033-7.49%0.0363✓1.1031k2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.9711-6.41%6.53+2.35%0.1094✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.6285-6.43%5.856-2.64%0.0780✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.813196-6.45%0.744-14.41%0.0417✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001529-6.52%0.001552-5.13%0.0574✓0.97484k2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.3975-6.52%1.361-8.96%0.0259✓1.19128k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.2388-6.63%6.046-9.52%0.0084✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.29e-7-6.89%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0259✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.611.7199-6.98%15.88+26.03%0.3515✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.121411-7.04%0.1145-12.33%0.0336✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.334989-7.17%0.3548-1.68%0.0982✗0.92339k2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.8376-7.18%12.49-9.69%0.0225✓1.13959k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.6017-7.31%12.988+13.55%0.2533✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.8375-7.36%8.39-0.83%0.0896✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3532.4216-7.37%16.32-53.37%0.6562✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.0342-7.38%2.971-9.31%0.0025✓0.53650k2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.915418-7.44%0.919-7.08%0.0591✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.8659-7.45%3.863-7.52%0.0167✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.314.9143-7.45%5.09-4.14%0.0548✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.723369-7.54%0.8512+8.79%0.2271✗1.46161k2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7726-7.63%1.639-14.59%0.0182✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.644753-7.63%0.594-14.90%0.0432✓0.88234k2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021323-7.63%0.023761+2.93%0.1129✗0.11262k2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.482888-7.67%0.4167-20.33%0.1112✓0.82586k2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,381.76-7.71%8,208.22-9.62%0.0394✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.310683-7.73%0.2942-12.62%0.0030✓1.17146k2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.095004-7.94%0.0818-20.74%0.1158✓0.77235k2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.5716-8.09%1.1359-33.57%0.2811✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.774-8.20%6-4.61%0.0587✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4824-8.21%1.284-20.50%0.0908✓1.2085k2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007819-8.33%0.00704-17.47%0.0557✓1.12477k2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001282-8.50%0.001026-26.79%0.1876✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.060683-8.76%0.06091-8.42%0.0527✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5530.5866-8.83%27.63-17.65%0.0356✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.6956-8.85%14.88-13.59%0.0215✓0.72921k2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0689-8.95%0.908-22.66%0.0863✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.292293-9.31%0.2673-17.06%0.0415✓1.09112k2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1461-9.33%2.45-29.39%0.1828✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4929.3762-9.58%24.14-25.70%0.1126✓1.90288k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.1416-9.59%1.1856-6.11%0.0777✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.2302-9.61%5.4772+17.03%0.3024✗1.00150k2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.076126-9.69%0.07407-12.12%0.0255✓0.04535k2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.852811-9.85%0.857-9.41%0.0242✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000044997-9.88%0.0000413-17.28%0.0475✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000118158-10.28%0.00027466+108.55%0.8781✗0.79366k2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.4461-11.21%4.0247+3.70%0.1819✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.189916-12.04%0.2407+11.49%0.2731✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.0823-12.04%5.7785+0.01%0.1376✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.6127-14.05%3.749-10.80%0.0808✓0.99245k2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77710.8905-14.76%18.227+42.65%0.5373✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.1793-14.78%6.8966+13.48%0.2985✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.35e-7-15.02%5.90e-7-31.81%0.1817✓0.87930k2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.