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2022-08-28 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0863
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.4%
in alpha space · 72.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38863.9-11.13%5.3063+20.91%0.3326✗1.00147k2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.00e-7-9.96%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1749✓0.85542k2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.189889-9.66%0.2491+18.51%0.2917✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.9642-8.67%7.27+33.76%0.3875✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.7163-8.60%5.2+0.78%0.1085✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.1586-8.52%5.733+1.67%0.1268✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.234.2392-7.96%15.57-58.15%0.7705✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38211.3973-7.95%19.147+54.64%0.5311✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.05749-7.71%0.06045-2.95%0.0776✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001244-7.55%0.001031-23.39%0.1682✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.4799-7.54%8.66+7.05%0.1583✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.079893-7.51%0.072-16.65%0.1025✓0.06598k2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.597328-7.39%0.59-8.53%0.0089✓0.86242k2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.337375-7.29%0.35615-2.13%0.0774✗0.94321k2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000116052-7.23%0.00027842+122.56%0.8942✗0.77352k2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.5966-7.21%3.006-22.45%0.1646✓0.60650k2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.8113-7.18%3.782-7.89%0.0170✓1.00245k2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.1568-7.15%6.0413+8.78%0.1632✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.091179-7.05%0.0835-14.88%0.0692✓0.76247k2022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1082-7.03%1.209+1.43%0.1166✗1.20491k2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.4574-7.03%6.11+4.09%0.1239✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.4053-7.00%1.336-11.58%0.0210✓1.2088k2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.117-6.99%1.1857-1.27%0.0819✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.980368-6.99%0.92-12.71%0.0209✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.037-6.98%4.55+4.84%0.1318✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.73001-6.91%0.8472+8.03%0.1854✗1.48161k2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.013759-6.91%0.0108-26.93%0.2252✓0.69165k2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.454386-6.89%0.461-5.53%0.0427✓1.1486k2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.007898-6.87%0.00679-19.93%0.1323✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5514-6.85%1.1492-31.00%0.2757✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.782506-6.84%0.866+3.10%0.1114✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9328.8311-6.79%28.13-9.05%0.0121✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.5773-6.78%1.656-2.13%0.0817✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.112148-6.70%0.1135-5.57%0.0255✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.7354-6.57%3.933-1.63%0.0611✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.021457-6.56%0.024971+8.74%0.1543✗0.11262k2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.299328-6.46%0.292-8.75%0.0039✓1.16146k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.857492-6.39%0.919+0.33%0.0999✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.491536-6.37%0.461-12.19%0.0379✓1.0678k2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000043801-6.33%0.00004062-13.13%0.0543✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1527-6.28%1.16-5.69%0.0297✓0.95154k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6715.6252-6.27%14.91-10.56%0.0290✓0.72952k2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1757.4114-6.14%57.07-6.70%0.0219✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.7838-6.14%2.263-23.70%0.1704✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.726883-6.14%0.744-3.93%0.0490✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.3533-6.13%12.37-6.00%0.0292✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6111-6.07%1.7097-0.32%0.0862✗1.0931k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.3671-6.06%5.412+16.41%0.2476✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.8486-6.04%3.918-4.35%0.0217✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.256846-5.95%0.3066+12.27%0.2008✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.03341-5.94%0.03021-14.95%0.0758✓1.0131k2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6814-5.94%6.63+9.77%0.1652✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.00631-5.93%0.00614-8.47%0.0168✓0.4358k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.470212-5.88%0.4143-17.07%0.1062✓0.83625k2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.245754-5.84%0.1169-55.21%0.7428✓0.0191k2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.093474-5.77%0.0991-0.10%0.0852✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.4449-5.76%3.9539+8.16%0.1524✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.320432-5.76%0.294-13.53%0.0596✓1.07170k2022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.154577-5.75%0.14453-11.87%0.0409✓1.07399k2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2627.5841-5.73%23.74-18.87%0.1037✓1.88304k2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.046477-5.73%0.0403-18.26%0.1181✓1.00249k2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,992.48-5.68%8,301.22-2.03%0.0715✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.3799-5.66%10.547-12.56%0.0522✓0.9735k2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.4816-5.64%5.627-3.13%0.0366✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003709-5.63%0.00349-11.20%0.0363✓0.99158k2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.309628-5.62%0.29745-9.33%0.0159✓0.9850k2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007787-5.61%0.00694-15.88%0.0875✓1.12477k2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8351-5.60%1.693-12.91%0.0523✓1.1547k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2755.9289-5.52%6.109-2.65%0.0520✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5121-5.49%1.591-0.56%0.0739✗0.94623k2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002824-5.47%0.002037-31.80%0.3040✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.7136-5.44%15.33+35.30%0.3844✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.043031-5.43%0.0385-15.38%0.0870✓0.98843k2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.61127-5.42%0.6935+7.30%0.1611✗1.41242k2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03840.982364-5.40%0.976767-5.94%0.0151✓0.8550k2022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59106.5372-5.38%114.29+1.51%0.0985✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.111888-5.34%0.1241+4.99%0.1272✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.8233-5.34%2.8649-3.94%0.0395✓1.0126k2022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1754.8995-5.32%4.1377-20.04%0.1658✓0.13119k2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7308-5.32%1.576-13.79%0.0524✓1.6890k2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6414-5.29%1.419-18.12%0.1223✓0.94137k2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.0012-5.28%13.486+27.72%0.3268✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.347996-5.26%0.3504-4.60%0.0346✓1.1289k2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.065349-5.25%0.06055-12.21%0.0470✓1.1927k2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.692028-5.20%0.64-12.33%0.0699✓0.3384k2022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.598531-5.15%0.608-3.65%0.0387✓0.93235k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.276311-5.14%0.266297-8.58%0.0102✓1.08593k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.277931-5.12%0.23778-18.83%0.1303✓1.0412k2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.407118-5.12%0.4412+2.82%0.1047✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.126855-5.12%0.1392+4.11%0.1179✗1.02553k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.289025-5.05%0.2725-10.48%0.0322✓1.08112k2022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5317.597-5.04%17.29-6.69%0.0149✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.132573-5.03%0.1281-8.24%0.0094✓1.01149k2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3543-5.03%1.4449+1.33%0.0922✗1.11319k2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2919-5.01%1.34-1.47%0.0655✗1.17128k2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,355.94-4.95%1,327.92-6.92%0.0125✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.125251-4.91%0.12298-6.64%0.0121✓1.23210k2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.8471-4.90%6.45-10.42%0.0322✓1.12534k2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9796-4.83%1.99-4.33%0.0248✓0.79384k2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.503037-4.76%0.4891-7.40%0.0066✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.0023-4.75%32.68+7.32%0.1486✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.5355-4.74%6.368-7.19%0.0002✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.057557-4.71%0.0569-5.79%0.0195✓1.26908k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.020609-4.68%0.02234+3.33%0.1020✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.443.2792-4.67%42.54-6.30%0.0068✓0.98560k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.055503-4.63%0.0467-19.76%0.1441✓1.16252k2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.203539-4.62%0.1721-19.35%0.1356✓1.30133k2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.393008-4.61%0.391-5.10%0.0199✓1.018,1172022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.615415-4.59%0.558-13.49%0.0678✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.0741-4.58%8.89-6.52%0.0092✓1.20386k2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3850.9337-4.58%52.67-1.33%0.0578✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8541.8412-4.58%62.04+41.48%0.4243✗1.2312k2022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.8609-4.57%1.77-9.23%0.0200✓1.22255k2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.058995-4.46%0.060554-1.94%0.0520✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012427-4.42%0.011651-10.39%0.0487✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.13e-7-4.41%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0345✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.416219-4.30%0.4494+3.33%0.1043✗1.12364k2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.337803-4.28%0.3301-6.46%0.0057✓1.17410k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001439-4.25%0.001442-4.06%0.0193✓0.709,7092022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.2771-4.22%41.55-5.87%0.0065✓0.97466k2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4971-4.21%2.357-9.59%0.0365✓0.86734k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.894324-4.19%0.903-3.26%0.0227✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.1879-4.14%14.09-4.80%0.0199✓1.09119k2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2515.9938-4.11%8.054+28.84%0.3216✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.042571-4.11%0.036288-18.26%0.1468✓0.5228k2022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.059357-4.11%0.0526-15.02%0.0984✓0.91107k2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002772-4.09%0.00325+12.46%0.1843✗1.02508k2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.827292-4.08%0.760511-11.82%0.0643✓0.8177k2022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.300868-4.07%0.43112+37.46%0.3818✗0.90378k2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006159-4.06%0.00484-24.61%0.2254✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.095573-4.04%0.0887-10.94%0.0566✓0.733,2112022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.132524-4.04%0.1365-1.16%0.0553✗1.041,7802022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79349.7102-4.02%49.802-3.84%0.0200✓0.74328k2022-09-27
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5775.4179-4.01%76.6-2.51%0.0525✗1.506.5M2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.064438-4.00%0.06124-8.76%0.0307✓0.829142022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.253387-3.95%0.1576-40.26%0.4519✓0.9394k2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021269-3.94%0.01892-14.54%0.0971✓0.81419k2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.264204-3.93%0.248-9.82%0.0453✓0.73710k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.097367-3.88%0.0992-2.07%0.0402✗0.87200k2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3188.7413-3.87%133.5+44.62%0.4290✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.719453-3.86%0.69457-7.18%0.0131✓0.89509k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.04248-3.85%0.0402-9.01%0.0393✓0.6416k2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.6357-3.82%4.71-2.28%0.0370✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.271569-3.80%0.3524+24.83%0.2828✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019616-3.78%0.019414-4.77%0.0098✓0.8213k2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.18311-3.78%0.1568-17.60%0.1304✓1.00146k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011328-3.75%0.00001112-5.52%0.0049✓0.95886k2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0867-3.75%1.049-7.09%0.0110✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.076239-3.74%0.0807+1.89%0.0804✗0.9614k2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.03438-3.70%0.0413+15.69%0.2029✗0.7911k2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.957188-3.65%0.9137-8.02%0.0093✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.350272-3.52%0.3775+3.98%0.0987✗0.9745k2022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.30e-7-3.47%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0296✓0.8116k2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.082444-3.46%0.104+21.78%0.2559✗0.96409k2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.970244-3.39%1.0698+6.52%0.1283✗1.24973k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.036055-3.39%0.03407-8.71%0.0367✓0.812,7072022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.5182-3.28%23.63-6.79%0.0131✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.228531-3.25%0.2646+12.02%0.1700✗0.9579k2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.040555-3.21%0.0413-1.43%0.0421✗0.97175k2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001538-3.06%0.001575-0.76%0.0472✗0.96538k2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.9426-3.04%1.7779-11.26%0.0590✓1.2013k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.820994-2.99%0.78247-7.54%0.0238✓0.9814k2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2608-2.97%2.85+22.32%0.2444✗0.5293k2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.099709-2.95%0.110129+7.20%0.1200✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.5591-2.91%9.026+2.38%0.0769✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005359-2.89%0.004977-9.82%0.0574✓0.672,5882022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.906573-2.85%0.8448-9.47%0.0406✓1.22972k2022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033517-2.85%0.0336-2.61%0.0255✓0.9386k2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.041772-2.85%0.040084-6.77%0.0204✓0.8529k2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.196828-2.75%0.1944-3.95%0.0127✓1.0261k2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.053898-2.71%0.0523-5.60%0.0072✓0.9399k2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023562-2.64%0.02148-11.24%0.0610✓1.283,4352022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.155013-2.63%0.1477-7.22%0.0142✓1.382,2552022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.317624-2.60%0.318-2.48%0.0323✗1.26176k2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.155667-2.57%0.16684+4.43%0.1204✗2.076362022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3554-2.49%1.43+2.88%0.0518✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.115461-2.48%0.1299+9.71%0.1431✗1.0230k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.6037-2.36%6.366+10.93%0.1597✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.512389-2.28%0.46109-12.07%0.0735✓1.3041k2022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.213406-2.24%0.2234+2.34%0.0681✗0.90528k2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.060041-2.20%0.059413-3.22%0.0043✓0.60142k2022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.2302-2.14%4.2532-1.61%0.0244✗0.77775k2022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,242.59-2.06%19,015.60-3.21%0.0113✓0.9411k2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,161.04-2.01%19,077.57-2.44%0.0203✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4143.4895-1.99%144.38-1.38%0.0304✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.48123-1.59%0.355-27.40%0.2733✓1.252,6092022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.