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2022-08-27 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0968
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.7682-11.66%5.3321+25.01%0.3883✗1.00158k2022-09-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.85e-7-9.71%5.80e-7-23.56%0.1325✓0.82198k2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.198985-9.55%0.258+17.27%0.2934✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.6161-9.13%7.0111+38.01%0.4284✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.294.8125-9.03%5.18-2.08%0.0909✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.339-8.41%5.694-2.32%0.1000✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1735.0952-8.06%15.47-59.47%0.7840✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.1684-8.00%17.596+33.03%0.3887✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.47.7284-8.00%8.5+1.19%0.1140✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001261-7.90%0.001052-23.20%0.1489✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.059207-7.89%0.06182-3.83%0.0891✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.325517-7.84%0.2916-17.44%0.0634✓1.13152k2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.013998-7.79%0.01097-27.73%0.2161✓0.67165k2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000123641-7.66%0.0003091+130.84%0.9511✗0.85340k2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.8614-7.56%5.8779+11.77%0.1987✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.2467-7.48%4.37-4.79%0.0480✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.613444-7.47%0.591-10.86%0.0007✓0.89248k2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.5095-7.39%1.347-17.36%0.0643✓1.2093k2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.533512-7.26%0.4284-25.53%0.1858✓0.82625k2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.079287-7.23%0.07321-14.34%0.0770✓0.07613k2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.7717-7.21%5.99-3.70%0.0547✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.6917-7.20%1.662-8.83%0.0371✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3330.633-7.17%28.46-13.76%0.0143✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.951569-7.16%0.923-9.95%0.0413✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.094335-7.15%0.0831-18.21%0.0955✓0.76247k2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.733758-7.12%0.8476+7.29%0.2033✗1.43161k2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2751-7.12%1.2-12.59%0.0223✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.8402-7.11%3.71-10.26%0.0058✓0.98245k2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.114907-7.03%0.1132-8.41%0.0086✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.474188-7.02%0.467-8.43%0.0319✓1.1488k2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.316195-7.01%0.36544+7.47%0.1835✗0.94321k2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1371-6.87%1.212-0.74%0.1147✗1.24518k2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.782381-6.86%0.87+3.57%0.1230✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.9241-6.84%3.902-7.36%0.0097✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.6607-6.83%1.169-34.41%0.3080✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.513281-6.68%0.468-14.91%0.0473✓1.0984k2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.021699-6.62%0.025324+8.98%0.1596✗0.12258k2022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008124-6.62%0.00685-21.26%0.1391✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5416.3955-6.53%14.93-14.88%0.0645✓0.71965k2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.4479-6.50%5.514+15.91%0.2713✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.233.9612-6.35%3.87-8.51%0.0177✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.9239-6.35%12.5-9.42%0.0174✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2084-6.32%1.16-10.08%0.0015✓0.96170k2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.6749-6.32%1.7071-4.52%0.0633✓1.0733k2022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.87697-6.31%0.919-1.82%0.0971✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.033777-6.15%0.03052-15.20%0.0601✓1.0031k2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3657.598-6.13%58.95-3.93%0.0696✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.7142-6.11%2.327-19.51%0.0888✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.741318-6.11%0.7403-6.24%0.0430✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9044-6.09%1.702-16.07%0.0652✓1.1549k2022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.1754-6.09%14.86+24.87%0.3316✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.8051-6.07%6.72+8.74%0.1638✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.5101-6.03%3.8697+3.60%0.1218✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0528.2418-6.02%24.4-18.80%0.0685✓1.89327k2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,259.19-5.96%8,333.34-5.12%0.0652✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.26296-5.95%0.3116+11.44%0.2090✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.097193-5.91%0.1025-0.77%0.0982✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.160899-5.91%0.14586-14.70%0.0536✓1.08434k2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.335941-5.87%0.2991-16.20%0.0705✓1.11175k2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.446-5.84%5.677-1.85%0.0577✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539111.8087-5.82%10.8942-13.12%0.0410✓0.9635k2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006351-5.77%0.006497-3.61%0.0407✓0.4458k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.117413-5.77%0.1242-0.32%0.0946✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3035.9424-5.72%6.234-1.09%0.0864✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.002867-5.71%0.002048-32.65%0.3000✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.246321-5.70%0.1168-55.28%0.7458✓0.0191k2022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0418.9027-5.67%17.57-12.33%0.0201✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.048015-5.67%0.0407-20.04%0.1245✓0.99252k2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26108.7815-5.62%116.33+0.93%0.1137✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.5951-5.62%1.608-4.85%0.0469✓0.94704k2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.044751-5.59%0.0388-18.14%0.1026✓0.97843k2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12692.9532-5.56%2.8439-9.05%0.0038✓1.0127k2022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.5334-5.54%3.028+12.90%0.2056✗0.66650k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.29707-5.51%0.2826-10.11%0.0022✓1.16112k2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3269-5.49%1.342-4.42%0.0597✗1.18130k2022-09-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.063801-5.48%0.06071-10.06%0.0003✓1.2028k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.5616-5.47%13.903+24.43%0.3212✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04880.991577-5.46%1.0038-4.29%0.0474✓0.8551k2022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8535-5.43%1.585-19.13%0.0856✓1.7294k2022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.425921-5.35%0.4471-0.64%0.0913✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.710043-5.33%0.62-17.33%0.1216✓0.3486k2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.021805-5.32%0.02306+0.13%0.0912✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003683-5.31%0.00352-9.51%0.0043✓1.00152k2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.281133-5.31%0.26843-9.59%0.0013✓1.09620k2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.125219-5.28%0.12443-5.88%0.0435✓1.21210k2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.618079-5.20%0.625-4.14%0.0500✓0.94266k2022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,413.77-5.19%1,336.61-10.37%0.0006✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.133178-5.14%0.1394-0.71%0.0856✗0.97624k2022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.318959-5.13%0.29942-10.95%0.0228✓0.9852k2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16484.8997-5.13%4.0724-21.15%0.1792✓0.14138k2022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.65029-5.11%0.6407-6.51%0.0443✓1.44257k2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.0037-5.04%1.78-15.64%0.0677✓1.23281k2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.336.9616-5.03%6.46-11.87%0.0290✓1.11592k2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.506777-5.01%0.4933-7.54%0.0096✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.6709-4.95%1.39-20.93%0.1451✓0.94143k2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.134897-4.94%0.1286-9.37%0.0061✓1.01166k2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.057424-4.93%0.0467-22.68%0.1596✓1.14252k2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.268384-4.92%0.24056-14.78%0.0662✓1.0512k2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5429.9901-4.91%33.89+7.45%0.1699✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.0353-4.89%1.99-7.01%0.0101✓0.79407k2022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.357625-4.89%0.3614-3.88%0.0568✗1.1289k2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007201-4.87%0.00697-7.93%0.0137✓1.13477k2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.3971-4.80%1.475+0.50%0.0998✗1.11336k2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.627375-4.80%0.56-15.02%0.0645✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.5204-4.80%9.07-9.30%0.0003✓1.18439k2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0943.8835-4.79%62.82+36.30%0.4099✗1.2412k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8443.6499-4.78%42.14-8.07%0.0054✓0.99572k2022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.7076-4.78%6.559-6.89%0.0198✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.057906-4.76%0.0562-7.57%0.0206✓1.23984k2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0350.5537-4.67%53.45+0.79%0.0966✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.209828-4.67%0.1738-21.04%0.1332✓1.34133k2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.392772-4.67%0.394-4.37%0.0439✓0.998,1172022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012573-4.59%0.011701-11.21%0.0452✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.31e-7-4.47%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0177✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1178.4693-4.43%76.28-7.10%0.0357✓1.556.7M2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035253-4.41%0.00004071+10.39%0.1808✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.060626-4.41%0.061133-3.61%0.0512✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.2443-4.39%7.943+21.62%0.2847✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.43677-4.36%0.4441-2.76%0.0627✗1.12386k2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.5553-4.33%2.376-11.04%0.0374✓0.86749k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.09904-4.31%0.0897-13.33%0.0697✓0.713,4822022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.061156-4.29%0.0524-18.00%0.1176✓0.90111k2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001392-4.29%0.001452-0.14%0.0720✗0.729,7092022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.31578-4.24%0.48074+45.78%0.4612✗0.99391k2022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.256725-4.21%0.1587-40.78%0.4425✓0.94100k2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0042-4.17%0.9298-11.27%0.0155✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.922927-4.16%0.9069-5.83%0.0055✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1343.2567-4.15%41.71-7.58%0.0039✓0.98486k2022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.187578-4.15%0.1605-17.99%0.1147✓1.00149k2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3890.4795-4.13%120.63+27.81%0.3229✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.021676-4.13%0.01857-17.87%0.1235✓0.76444k2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.146118-4.12%0.1414-7.22%0.0120✓1.091,7802022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37450.218-4.12%51.331-1.99%0.0523✗0.74332k2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.6715-4.08%4.8-1.44%0.0624✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006331-4.07%0.0049-25.76%0.2296✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.065427-4.05%0.06223-8.74%0.0164✓0.829142022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.746913-4.05%0.70255-9.75%0.0235✓0.92512k2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.5901-4.01%14.07-7.43%0.0095✓1.11125k2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.268825-3.99%0.25-10.71%0.0428✓0.72772k2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.349354-3.97%0.327-10.12%0.0180✓1.17432k2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.043607-3.95%0.036747-19.06%0.1497✓0.5230k2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0196-3.92%1.0612+0.00%0.0916✗1.25981k2022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002806-3.90%0.00324+10.96%0.1864✗1.03520k2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011687-3.89%0.00001112-8.55%0.0111✓0.94895k2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.019872-3.87%0.019438-5.97%0.0121✓0.8313k2022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.848747-3.86%0.767713-13.04%0.0671✓0.8184k2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.097585-3.86%0.099-2.46%0.0502✗0.87212k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.081242-3.86%0.0821-2.84%0.0494✗0.9414k2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.035214-3.79%0.042+14.75%0.2110✗0.8411k2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.277966-3.78%0.3688+27.66%0.3208✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1026-3.78%1.073-6.37%0.0135✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.087439-3.70%0.1023+12.67%0.1960✗0.95414k2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.043547-3.62%0.0407-9.92%0.0391✓0.6916k2022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001549-3.53%0.00153-4.73%0.0276✓0.98538k2022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.042094-3.45%0.0418-4.13%0.0334✓0.98175k2022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.50e-7-3.39%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0400✓0.8117k2022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.036985-3.38%0.03398-11.23%0.0510✓0.822,8422022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.355317-3.38%0.38522+4.75%0.1205✗0.9651k2022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0163-3.34%1.7631-15.48%0.0839✓1.2213k2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.824.9436-3.32%24.21-6.16%0.0097✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.234462-3.27%0.2696+11.22%0.1791✗0.9681k2022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033681-3.21%0.0337-3.16%0.0379✗0.9186k2022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.3907-3.21%2.84+14.98%0.1932✗0.5189k2022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.836961-3.14%0.78146-9.56%0.0283✓0.9814k2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.043341-3.06%0.040163-10.17%0.0410✓0.8530k2022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.102384-3.04%0.113735+7.71%0.1401✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.338741-3.00%0.3272-6.30%0.0163✓1.24191k2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.8608-2.99%9.117-0.19%0.0673✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055207-2.97%0.0528-7.21%0.0075✓0.9099k2022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005452-2.95%0.004988-11.22%0.0614✓0.672,5882022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.20066-2.92%0.1967-4.84%0.0220✓1.0261k2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.164381-2.91%0.1515-10.51%0.0248✓1.382,1742022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.8827-2.86%5.924-2.18%0.0612✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.938657-2.84%0.8592-11.07%0.0383✓1.22999k2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024031-2.67%0.02222-10.00%0.0256✓1.283,4352022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.153638-2.53%0.17014+7.94%0.1878✗2.086362022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.215707-2.44%0.2204-0.32%0.0590✗0.91504k2022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.115774-2.38%0.1264+6.58%0.1299✗1.0232k2022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,480.24-2.27%19,140.50-3.98%0.0214✓0.9511k2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.061525-2.24%0.059595-5.31%0.0074✓0.59151k2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3785-2.23%1.43+1.42%0.0351✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.2801-2.19%4.2373-3.17%0.0216✓0.77798k2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.529697-2.19%0.45938-15.17%0.0896✓1.2843k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,611.46-2.12%19,228.00-4.04%0.0215✗1.00474.0M2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16142.2823-1.98%145.75+0.41%0.0652✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.500395-1.69%0.375-26.33%0.2376✓1.242,6092022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.