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2022-08-24 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1056
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.218127-0.72%0.1977-10.01%0.0040✓1.0067k2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.167978-1.77%0.157-8.19%0.0710✗1.352,1742022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.4505-1.87%8.985-6.71%0.0472✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.230426-2.07%0.2263-3.82%0.0740✗0.90510k2022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.359509-2.29%0.31522-14.33%0.0329✓0.9687k2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.365225-2.29%0.3197-14.47%0.0060✓1.24215k2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.35696-2.39%0.41152+12.53%0.2431✗0.98435k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.168341-2.41%0.1415-17.97%0.0641✓1.071,7802022-09-23
TRXTRONTron0.064820.063231-2.45%0.060491-6.68%0.0152✓0.58164k2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.106708-2.53%0.123119+12.46%0.2309✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.00561-2.62%0.005038-12.56%0.0393✓0.672,6422022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.2372-2.76%4.2279-21.50%0.1988✓0.15169k2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.121395-2.81%0.132+5.68%0.1871✗1.0135k2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.719102-2.82%0.63-14.86%0.0934✓0.38105k2022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,763.06-2.83%19,286.01-9.74%0.0287✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.398796-2.90%0.369-10.15%0.0362✗1.1189k2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,789.35-2.94%19,121.60-10.72%0.0140✓0.9511k2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003115-2.96%0.00331+3.12%0.1663✗1.03537k2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.04516-3.01%0.04111-11.71%0.0236✓0.6916k2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.00677-3.01%0.00501-28.22%0.2351✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.570136-3.04%0.408-30.61%0.2093✓1.221,8732022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.8417-3.08%2.361-19.47%0.0994✓0.84749k2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.80703-3.08%0.72024-13.51%0.0198✓0.92507k2022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.065511-3.09%0.0596-11.83%0.0011✓0.91113k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0816-3.19%0.957295-14.32%0.0348✓0.8553k2022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.568805-3.20%0.46747-20.45%0.0648✓1.2845k2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.29242-3.27%0.3992+32.05%0.4054✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.8077-3.37%5.913-16.07%0.0083✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3334-3.37%1.44+4.35%0.0709✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1977-3.42%1.104-10.97%0.0192✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.43645-3.44%0.403-10.84%0.0221✓0.998,8922022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.107878-3.51%0.0927-17.08%0.0796✓0.703,6712022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.468851-3.55%0.4363-10.24%0.0420✗1.11400k2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.246497-3.60%0.2785+8.92%0.2191✗0.9584k2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.827214-3.60%0.7708-10.17%0.0392✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1817-3.64%1.774-21.64%0.0895✓1.1560k2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.087675-3.65%0.0859-5.60%0.0793✗0.9713k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.160722-3.69%0.16406-1.69%0.2376✗2.126042022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1749.2703-3.71%63.56+24.21%0.3803✗1.2315k2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49553.4256-3.73%49.795-10.27%0.0054✓0.74332k2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.136465-3.80%0.12632-10.95%0.0487✗1.23223k2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0047-3.80%0.9226-11.66%0.0388✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058289-3.81%0.0538-11.22%0.0133✓0.91120k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.910499-3.82%0.79781-15.73%0.0331✓0.9713k2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.371844-3.84%0.3371-12.83%0.0202✓1.15487k2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.067357-3.90%0.06346-9.46%0.0239✓0.818802022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038628-3.91%0.0398-1.00%0.1168✗0.8511k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1502-3.92%1.0827-9.56%0.0665✗1.24981k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.0906-3.92%1.654-23.99%0.0568✓1.73114k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.095085-3.95%0.1073+8.38%0.2170✗0.94430k2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.6592-4.00%1.93-30.32%0.2693✓0.5093k2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.142164-4.01%0.1314-11.28%0.0235✓1.00149k2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.025836-4.03%0.02202-18.20%0.0299✓1.273,2032022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.044363-4.03%0.041508-10.21%0.0196✓0.8432k2022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038513-4.05%0.03513-12.48%0.0079✓0.822,7072022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003923-4.09%0.00359-12.22%0.0126✓0.99152k2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.753735-4.12%0.6373-18.93%0.0241✓1.40267k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.178159-4.22%0.15984-14.06%0.0006✓1.06519k2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.272909-4.24%0.253-11.23%0.0024✓0.72826k2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.248856-4.25%0.12-53.83%0.7284✓0.0187k2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000037095-4.27%0.00003923+1.24%0.1465✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036077-4.31%0.0337-10.61%0.0268✓0.9381k2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.89486-4.31%0.8-14.45%0.0309✓0.7977k2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008707-4.32%0.00719-20.99%0.1148✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.4728-4.32%4.61-19.41%0.0853✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3579-4.37%1.2-15.49%0.0262✓0.95182k2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9946.8457-4.38%42.17-13.92%0.0038✓0.99606k2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5305-4.38%1.5171-5.22%0.1026✗1.09388k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.046136-4.40%0.038148-20.95%0.1353✓0.5330k2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.105517-4.42%0.1008-8.70%0.0437✓0.87255k2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.022759-4.45%0.02356-1.09%0.1236✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.7453-4.47%1.424-22.06%0.1053✓0.96147k2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.064787-4.50%0.063375-6.58%0.0825✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8632-4.56%2.966-1.13%0.1000✗0.63693k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.2295-4.59%14.19-16.58%0.0213✓1.10130k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013641-4.62%0.011863-17.05%0.0748✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.209896-4.64%0.1731-21.35%0.0903✓1.00152k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.77e-7-4.64%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0083✓0.8217k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.982169-4.65%0.917-10.98%0.0126✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.38427-4.68%0.38048-5.62%0.0863✗0.9462k2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.14382-4.69%0.1397-7.42%0.0699✗0.97614k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.294347-4.69%0.279195-9.60%0.0576✗1.08778k2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55143.4588-4.71%141.47-6.03%0.0880✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2996-4.72%1.172-14.08%0.0223✓1.23534k2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.9775-4.73%5.695-9.23%0.0383✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.435967-4.75%0.4617+0.87%0.1641✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4738-4.79%1.367-11.69%0.0451✓1.17138k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022452-4.82%0.01977-16.19%0.0437✓0.81444k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2935-4.83%1.86-22.82%0.0854✓1.21299k2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.133972-4.85%0.1288-8.52%0.0599✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1346.7418-4.86%42.1-14.31%0.0054✓0.97504k2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.212971-4.88%0.1776-20.68%0.0431✓1.35124k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.1902-4.88%10.7456-22.51%0.1070✓0.9640k2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044132-4.89%0.0424-8.62%0.0601✗0.98184k2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.1951-4.89%6.433-14.96%0.0074✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.2255-4.89%1.97-15.81%0.0389✓0.81636k2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.00001241-4.90%0.00001108-15.10%0.0199✓0.91864k2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.283605-4.93%0.2841-4.76%0.0986✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.367921-4.95%0.3065-20.82%0.0703✓1.10174k2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.049224-4.97%0.0388-25.10%0.1400✓0.96827k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8392-5.00%1.627-15.96%0.0297✓0.91782k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.060888-5.01%0.0481-24.96%0.1175✓1.15266k2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.533607-5.05%0.485-13.70%0.0201✓1.1388k2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.021131-5.08%0.019843-10.86%0.0204✓0.8113k2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.3017-5.12%2.913-16.29%0.0237✓0.9934k2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.7542-5.16%7.446+4.55%0.2066✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4183.843-5.17%77.03-12.87%0.0731✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.2584-5.20%4.233-5.77%0.0735✗0.78827k2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.00632-5.39%0.00634-5.09%0.0485✓0.4457k2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.281775-5.41%0.24767-16.86%0.0220✓1.0412k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8832.9819-5.44%33.66-3.50%0.1386✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.0433-5.47%23.88-13.32%0.0110✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6963.9418-5.54%56.05-17.20%0.0173✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.7111-5.65%17.97-21.90%0.0569✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.526212-5.65%0.5079-8.93%0.0555✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.680268-5.65%0.608-15.67%0.0186✓0.91322k2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.254484-5.75%0.1633-39.52%0.3431✓0.98112k2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.8582-5.80%2.471-18.56%0.0158✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.5734-5.80%6.75-16.04%0.0006✓1.12638k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.107946-5.81%0.103-10.12%0.0626✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.565098-5.82%0.467-22.17%0.0795✓1.09102k2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001505-5.91%0.001487-7.06%0.0597✓0.709,9742022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.0227-5.98%6.21-3.06%0.1253✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.062897-5.98%0.0569-14.95%0.0246✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.478343-6.00%0.4301-15.48%0.0237✓0.81625k2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.00322-6.02%0.002176-36.49%0.3039✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.4189-6.05%9.52-14.16%0.0305✓1.18439k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4653.0362-6.06%55.23-2.18%0.1421✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.320006-6.10%0.39482+15.86%0.3046✗0.92321k2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016282-6.10%0.01061-38.81%0.3592✓0.67167k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.051536-6.13%0.042-23.50%0.1028✓0.99256k2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34122.1781-6.26%120.12-7.84%0.0973✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.8406-6.35%1.7684-10.02%0.0686✗1.0633k2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.680822-6.35%0.576-20.77%0.0297✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.52e-7-6.40%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0191✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.069473-6.47%0.06183-16.76%0.0053✓1.1929k2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.124088-6.56%0.116-12.65%0.0109✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.5899-6.60%13.17-9.48%0.0943✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.0988-6.61%0.9427-19.88%0.0008✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3124.9595-6.64%5.681+6.95%0.2746✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108100.8173-6.65%110.81+2.60%0.1811✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000093247-6.67%0.00025656+156.79%1.0940✗0.80329k2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,544.95-6.75%1,326.82-19.91%0.0158✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001609-6.94%0.001612-6.77%0.0929✗0.89653k2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.824471-6.94%0.894+0.90%0.1245✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.675298-7.11%0.595-18.16%0.0367✓0.88253k2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.5511-7.12%4.117-15.98%0.0916✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007611-7.19%0.00707-13.78%0.0432✓1.14513k2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.88694-7.22%0.969+1.36%0.2136✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.2629-7.27%1.8779-23.05%0.0632✓1.2013k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.4265-7.40%6.74-2.88%0.0865✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.753875-7.51%0.8521+4.54%0.2728✗1.47205k2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,634.54-7.64%8,416.07-9.98%0.1134✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.6308-7.66%1.283-27.35%0.1177✓1.19114k2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.021637-7.69%0.025913+10.56%0.1918✗0.11239k2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.291-7.70%5.77-15.35%0.0559✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1471.98-7.78%1.708-20.45%0.0140✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8312.7539-7.78%13.99+1.16%0.2077✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.096996-7.80%0.092-12.55%0.0182✓0.69247k2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.036996-7.88%0.03075-23.43%0.0842✓0.9825k2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.781-7.88%4.69-9.63%0.0221✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.065287-8.06%0.06473-8.84%0.1053✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.7447-8.70%15.28-16.68%0.0198✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1186-8.76%0.949-22.59%0.0127✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3334.0256-8.85%15.34-58.91%0.7062✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.076733-8.92%0.07819-7.19%0.0281✓0.09737k2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.4425-9.12%8.65-6.89%0.0681✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.372269-9.16%0.3044-25.72%0.0709✓1.27152k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.6753-9.46%1.2188-34.13%0.2089✓1.07862k2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01911.786-9.47%14.215+9.19%0.3008✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.2002-9.49%6.37-7.01%0.0644✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7632.3273-9.60%24.57-31.29%0.0825✓1.87365k2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4531.99-9.76%28.88-18.53%0.0437✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.3969-9.83%4.236-13.13%0.0043✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001382-9.95%0.001069-30.38%0.1778✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.4907-9.99%5.7-6.56%0.0745✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.0886-10.49%6.0773+33.04%0.4988✗1.00173k2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.332043-11.15%0.2839-24.03%0.0391✓1.15111k2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.344-12.63%1.2661-17.69%0.0359✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.0999-13.22%6.3531+8.10%0.2361✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34223.7598-13.41%3.8939-10.32%0.0898✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.208967-13.79%0.2705+11.59%0.3420✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61724.8077-14.41%7.2387+28.87%0.4279✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-76.76e-7-15.93%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2043✓0.77180k2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7243.9385-16.63%4.075-13.74%0.1325✓0.96172k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33911.8585-17.30%19.032+32.73%0.5170✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.003087-97.18%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.