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2022-08-24 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1314
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.029217-52.88%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56793.9588-13.33%6.0773+33.04%0.5311✗1.00173k2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.4994-9.85%5.7-6.56%0.0729✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.26e-7-9.76%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2752✓0.77180k2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.371238-9.41%0.3044-25.72%0.0681✓1.27152k2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.220208-9.16%0.2705+11.59%0.2896✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3333.9241-9.12%15.34-58.91%0.7032✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.477-8.75%8.65-6.89%0.0641✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.1321-8.64%7.2387+28.87%0.3627✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1205-8.60%0.949-22.59%0.0110✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001409-8.21%0.001069-30.38%0.1969✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.7731-8.03%4.69-9.63%0.0238✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33913.1911-8.01%19.032+32.73%0.4105✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.7719-8.00%5.695-9.23%0.0733✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.06535-7.97%0.06473-8.84%0.1044✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.122558-7.71%0.116-12.65%0.0015✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1471.9836-7.61%1.708-20.45%0.0159✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.4221-7.55%1.2661-17.69%0.0206✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.754821-7.40%0.8521+4.54%0.2716✗1.47205k2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.4423-7.39%6.3531+8.10%0.1711✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.31569-7.36%0.39482+15.86%0.3182✗0.92321k2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.9898-7.36%15.28-16.68%0.0343✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8312.8138-7.35%13.99+1.16%0.2030✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.3482-7.33%6.37-7.01%0.0408✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.037218-7.32%0.03075-23.43%0.0902✓0.9825k2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3124.9273-7.24%5.681+6.95%0.2811✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4532.8949-7.21%28.88-18.53%0.0158✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.675103-7.14%0.595-18.16%0.0364✓0.88253k2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016111-7.09%0.01061-38.81%0.3486✓0.67167k2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.6415-7.05%1.283-27.35%0.1242✓1.19114k2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7633.2407-7.05%24.57-31.29%0.1103✓1.87365k2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.522798-6.98%0.485-13.70%0.0406✓1.1388k2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.347681-6.96%0.2839-24.03%0.0851✓1.15111k2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.824726-6.92%0.894+0.90%0.1242✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.02182-6.91%0.025913+10.56%0.1834✗0.11239k2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.09799-6.85%0.092-12.55%0.0081✓0.69247k2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.5433-6.82%4.236-13.13%0.0371✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.559473-6.75%0.467-22.17%0.0695✓1.09102k2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.3576-6.73%5.77-15.35%0.0664✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.4079-6.69%4.075-13.74%0.0199✓0.96172k2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.8314-6.68%2.471-18.56%0.0252✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.4758-6.67%17.97-21.90%0.0460✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.078651-6.65%0.07819-7.19%0.0034✓0.09737k2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,728.05-6.64%8,416.07-9.98%0.1026✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.131506-6.60%0.1288-8.52%0.0785✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.8364-6.56%1.7684-10.02%0.0709✗1.0633k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.7291-6.55%1.2188-34.13%0.2405✓1.07862k2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2749-6.53%1.172-14.08%0.0415✓1.23534k2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008522-6.35%0.00719-20.99%0.0933✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.04854-6.29%0.0388-25.10%0.1260✓0.96827k2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.5921-6.28%4.117-15.98%0.1006✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.209-6.22%14.215+9.19%0.2656✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003214-6.18%0.002176-36.49%0.3022✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.6599-6.12%13.17-9.48%0.0891✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1282-6.00%1.774-21.64%0.0647✓1.1560k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.0363-5.99%10.7456-22.51%0.0953✓0.9640k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.107744-5.98%0.103-10.12%0.0645✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34122.5446-5.98%120.12-7.84%0.0943✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.898868-5.98%0.969+1.36%0.2002✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.069876-5.93%0.06183-16.76%0.0005✓1.1929k2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4569-5.89%1.367-11.69%0.0567✓1.17138k2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.280758-5.88%0.2841-4.76%0.1087✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.0311-5.85%6.21-3.06%0.1239✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.2768-5.83%2.913-16.29%0.0162✓0.9934k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.051698-5.83%0.042-23.50%0.1060✓0.99256k2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.43113-5.81%0.4617+0.87%0.1752✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6963.7653-5.80%56.05-17.20%0.0145✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.364673-5.79%0.3065-20.82%0.0614✓1.10174k2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.022449-5.76%0.02356-1.09%0.1373✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.00773-5.73%0.00707-13.78%0.0277✓1.14513k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.175348-5.73%0.15984-14.06%0.0165✓1.06519k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.545-5.69%6.74-2.88%0.0683✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.685729-5.68%0.576-20.77%0.0368✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,562.93-5.66%1,326.82-19.91%0.0274✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8305-5.65%2.966-1.13%0.1115✗0.63693k2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006311-5.53%0.00634-5.09%0.0499✓0.4457k2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.103-5.51%3.8939-10.32%0.0024✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.142596-5.50%0.1397-7.42%0.0784✗0.97614k2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.681585-5.47%0.608-15.67%0.0206✓0.91322k2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000094454-5.46%0.00025656+156.79%1.0811✗0.80329k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8305-5.45%1.627-15.96%0.0250✓0.91782k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.292015-5.45%0.279195-9.60%0.0655✗1.08778k2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4183.6442-5.39%77.03-12.87%0.0755✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9946.3548-5.38%42.17-13.92%0.0067✓0.99606k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2809-5.36%1.86-22.82%0.0799✓1.21299k2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.1139-5.33%0.9427-19.88%0.0145✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.744321-5.31%0.6373-18.93%0.0115✓1.40267k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.060699-5.31%0.0481-24.96%0.1144✓1.15266k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.034-5.29%33.66-3.50%0.1370✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.482147-5.26%0.4301-15.48%0.0317✓0.81625k2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.2188-5.18%1.97-15.81%0.0359✓0.81636k2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.6244-5.17%6.75-16.04%0.0073✓1.12638k2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.528892-5.17%0.5079-8.93%0.0504✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.134535-5.16%0.12632-10.95%0.0629✗1.23223k2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.282532-5.16%0.24767-16.86%0.0247✓1.0412k2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3468-5.15%1.2-15.49%0.0180✓0.95182k2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.81478-5.05%0.7708-10.17%0.0544✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5206-5.00%1.5171-5.22%0.1091✗1.09388k2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.246931-4.99%0.12-53.83%0.7206✓0.0187k2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.063569-4.98%0.0569-14.95%0.0140✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013594-4.95%0.011863-17.05%0.0714✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.5427-4.93%9.52-14.16%0.0187✓1.18439k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.0686-4.93%1.654-23.99%0.0463✓1.73114k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1383-4.91%1.0827-9.56%0.0768✗1.24981k2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.773-4.90%7.446+4.55%0.2038✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4653.7126-4.87%55.23-2.18%0.1295✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.209449-4.84%0.1731-21.35%0.0881✓1.00152k2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.430418-4.77%0.403-10.84%0.0360✓0.998,8922022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108102.951-4.68%110.81+2.60%0.1602✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.2116-4.67%6.433-14.96%0.0097✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001648-4.67%0.001612-6.77%0.0688✗0.89653k2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.141202-4.66%0.1314-11.28%0.0303✓1.00149k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1748.8248-4.58%63.56+24.21%0.3894✗1.2315k2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.744-4.54%1.424-22.06%0.1046✓0.96147k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.983371-4.54%0.917-10.98%0.0138✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003905-4.53%0.00359-12.22%0.0173✓0.99152k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0672-4.48%0.957295-14.32%0.0215✓0.8553k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.2586-4.42%14.19-16.58%0.0231✓1.10130k2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.349589-4.41%0.41152+12.53%0.2640✗0.98435k2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.214046-4.40%0.1776-20.68%0.0481✓1.35124k2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.70e-7-4.37%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0025✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.707758-4.36%0.63-14.86%0.0775✓0.38105k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.094702-4.34%0.1073+8.38%0.2211✗0.94430k2022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.3345-4.33%1.8779-23.05%0.0943✓1.2013k2022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.352096-4.31%0.31522-14.33%0.0121✓0.9687k2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012489-4.30%0.00001108-15.10%0.0262✓0.91864k2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.1548-4.29%4.2279-21.50%0.1830✓0.15169k2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.796972-4.29%0.72024-13.51%0.0073✓0.92507k2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.067111-4.25%0.06346-9.46%0.0276✓0.818802022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.107063-4.24%0.0927-17.08%0.0720✓0.703,6712022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.8087-4.21%2.361-19.47%0.0877✓0.84749k2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49553.1653-4.20%49.795-10.27%0.0103✓0.74332k2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001534-4.12%0.001487-7.06%0.0408✓0.709,9742022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.06483-4.10%0.0596-11.83%0.0093✓0.91113k2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.4867-4.08%4.61-19.41%0.0878✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.259057-4.05%0.1633-39.52%0.3609✓0.98112k2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.065098-4.04%0.063375-6.58%0.0777✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.105949-4.03%0.1008-8.70%0.0396✓0.87255k2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1347.1535-4.02%42.1-14.31%0.0141✓0.97504k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165619-3.99%0.1415-17.97%0.0478✓1.071,7802022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.6609-3.94%1.93-30.32%0.2700✓0.5093k2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.371504-3.93%0.3371-12.83%0.0211✓1.15487k2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000037237-3.90%0.00003923+1.24%0.1426✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.3948-3.87%0.369-10.15%0.0463✗1.1189k2022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.467396-3.85%0.4363-10.24%0.0451✗1.11400k2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1923-3.85%1.104-10.97%0.0237✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038608-3.82%0.03513-12.48%0.0104✓0.822,7072022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.021411-3.82%0.019843-10.86%0.0072✓0.8113k2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.7772-3.80%5.913-16.07%0.0038✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036272-3.79%0.0337-10.61%0.0215✓0.9381k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022701-3.77%0.01977-16.19%0.0548✓0.81444k2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038694-3.75%0.0398-1.00%0.1151✗0.8511k2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.900274-3.73%0.8-14.45%0.0370✓0.7977k2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.274379-3.73%0.253-11.23%0.0078✓0.72826k2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003091-3.70%0.00331+3.12%0.1740✗1.03537k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.046475-3.70%0.038148-20.95%0.1427✓0.5330k2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.087649-3.68%0.0859-5.60%0.0796✗0.9713k2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.291301-3.64%0.3992+32.05%0.4093✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.388569-3.61%0.38048-5.62%0.0752✗0.9462k2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.360585-3.54%0.3197-14.47%0.0068✓1.24215k2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006738-3.46%0.00501-28.22%0.2304✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.5983-3.45%23.88-13.32%0.0100✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.247291-3.29%0.2785+8.92%0.2159✗0.9584k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.915616-3.28%0.79781-15.73%0.0387✓0.9713k2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044902-3.23%0.0424-8.62%0.0427✗0.98184k2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058649-3.22%0.0538-11.22%0.0072✓0.91120k2022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.044749-3.20%0.041508-10.21%0.0109✓0.8432k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.93e-7-2.94%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0260✓0.8217k2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.165982-2.93%0.157-8.19%0.0829✗1.352,1742022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.106273-2.93%0.123119+12.46%0.2349✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.026133-2.92%0.02202-18.20%0.0414✓1.273,2032022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0148-2.83%0.9226-11.66%0.0288✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.213488-2.83%0.1977-10.01%0.0255✓1.0067k2022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.3716-2.69%8.985-6.71%0.0556✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.229014-2.67%0.2263-3.82%0.0801✗0.90510k2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005611-2.61%0.005038-12.56%0.0394✓0.672,6422022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.045387-2.52%0.04111-11.71%0.0286✓0.6916k2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.121765-2.51%0.132+5.68%0.1841✗1.0135k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.162819-2.43%0.16406-1.69%0.2246✗2.126042022-09-23
TRXTRONTron0.064820.063279-2.38%0.060491-6.68%0.0145✓0.58164k2022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,859.96-2.37%19,286.01-9.74%0.0240✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.574528-2.29%0.408-30.61%0.2170✓1.221,8732022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.574179-2.29%0.46747-20.45%0.0742✓1.2845k2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,928.67-2.29%19,121.60-10.72%0.0073✓0.9511k2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55147.1659-2.25%141.47-6.03%0.0625✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.3986-2.08%4.233-5.77%0.0411✗0.78827k2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3575-1.63%1.44+4.35%0.0530✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.