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2022-08-16 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0457
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 93.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.333-15.02%4.4233-13.25%0.2119✗1.00111k2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.63e-7-10.91%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0113✓0.65164k2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6136.6487-9.75%15.76-61.19%0.6361✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.190784-9.02%0.1909-8.97%0.1643✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1124.7355-8.76%18.2-32.87%0.0504✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8836.5405-8.37%35.67-10.56%0.2386✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.141758-8.31%0.1206-21.99%0.0440✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.093903-8.30%0.1102+7.62%0.3192✗0.83220k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001455-8.29%0.00116-26.91%0.0727✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.3342-8.24%1.131-22.21%0.2012✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.325339-7.95%0.40594+14.86%0.3889✗0.88402k2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3218.7314-7.82%16.28-19.88%0.0109✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.891764-7.78%0.8518-11.91%0.2519✗1.56244k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.3563-7.77%1.2148-17.39%0.0734✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79101.6927-7.38%78.51-28.49%0.0343✓1.536.4M2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.083325-7.38%0.05919-34.20%0.1240✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1975.7418-7.35%4.909-20.78%0.0979✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.936.0705-7.27%25.7-33.93%0.0399✓1.98408k2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003803-7.26%0.002756-32.80%0.1719✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.052-7.13%5.19-4.60%0.0970✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,231.40-7.07%8,520.47-22.61%0.0701✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.5955-7.02%5.586-7.18%0.0177✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000090536-6.76%0.00025952+167.27%1.2351✗0.95336k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.0804-6.62%11.3056-25.02%0.0365✓0.9658k2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.04775-6.61%0.03257-36.30%0.1976✓0.9721k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.156565-6.58%0.1202-28.28%0.0810✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.0145-6.57%14.21-5.27%0.2351✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.4388-6.55%2.583-29.81%0.0122✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.5091-6.55%1.753-34.71%0.1144✓1.28873k2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.2845-6.53%6.1741+75.70%0.6939✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.896661-6.50%0.883-7.92%0.2176✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,754.87-6.49%1,472.68-21.52%0.0769✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060056-6.45%0.0408-36.45%0.1886✓1.04877k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.37289-6.43%0.2861-28.21%0.0553✓1.10101k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11108.7255-6.36%103.96-10.46%0.1120✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2059-6.17%1.0528-18.09%0.1348✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.3431-6.15%8.14-8.44%0.0368✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.523668-6.00%0.466-16.35%0.0792✗1.0243.6M2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.42436-5.99%0.3538-21.62%0.0153✓0.871922022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.5918-5.87%6.64-34.84%0.1596✓1.09592k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.12253-5.82%0.1085-16.60%0.0857✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.085918-5.80%0.06499-28.75%0.0601✓1.1529k2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0940.5899-5.80%33.07-23.25%0.0204✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9571.5459-5.80%58.33-23.20%0.0060✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4267.9378-5.79%5.726-32.04%0.1688✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.8132-5.76%1.388-27.86%0.0523✓1.12170k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.069185-5.74%0.0505-31.20%0.0931✓1.16331k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.010882-5.71%0.00833-27.82%0.1239✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.792336-5.67%0.603-28.21%0.0956✓0.93280k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.6697-5.66%4.21-14.95%0.0207✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39610.7509-5.66%14.912+30.85%0.5451✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.634127-5.64%0.489-27.23%0.0367✓1.17115k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.5147-5.62%5.7604+54.69%0.5868✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.772567-5.55%0.591-27.75%0.0906✓0.93357k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.661-5.55%4.046+4.39%0.2621✗0.85124k2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0126-5.54%0.6666-37.82%0.1467✓1.42469k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4537.9852-5.53%7.563-10.53%0.1516✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.577955-5.49%0.5477-10.43%0.1257✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.448861-5.48%0.3195-32.72%0.0813✓1.35211k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.82237-5.47%0.593-31.84%0.0554✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.024251-5.41%0.025135-1.96%0.0715✗0.19232k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0611.9511-5.33%1.509-26.78%0.0677✓0.99181k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.3617-5.29%6.13-21.14%0.0040✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.7177-5.20%9.29-24.84%0.0183✓1.12313k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.343459-5.13%0.28088-22.42%0.0021✓1.04962k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.0327-5.11%12.71-29.19%0.0636✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015163-5.03%0.012048-24.54%0.1116✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.25042-5.00%0.1907-27.66%0.0811✓1.00111k2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.517905-4.97%0.453-16.88%0.0537✗0.9811k2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2435-4.94%2.24-5.08%0.1739✗0.92520k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.2905-4.92%1.578-34.50%0.1933✓0.94680k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.8162-4.90%2.9863-25.58%0.0591✓0.9750k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.675581-4.85%0.421-40.70%0.2457✓1.192,7912022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.0935-4.82%0.9834-14.41%0.0136✓0.633.9M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.6058-4.81%11.656+97.93%0.7844✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0958.159-4.80%56.91-6.84%0.2131✗1.2323k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.9893-4.78%5.59-11.13%0.0027✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.078637-4.78%0.06518-21.07%0.0407✓0.778802022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.8502-4.65%3.815-5.52%0.0373✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.026602-4.62%0.01964-29.58%0.1216✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.323573-4.61%0.2622-22.70%0.0256✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34130.1023-4.58%117.54-13.79%0.1088✗1.105.1M2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.074835-4.55%0.0585-25.38%0.0233✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001928-4.53%0.0022+8.91%0.3230✗1.00901k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015095-4.52%0.00001167-26.19%0.0772✓0.94827k2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.0067-4.38%3.752-10.45%0.0023✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008168-4.35%0.00782-8.43%0.1638✗1.08463k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.390831-4.34%0.3001-26.55%0.0903✓0.91446k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.1728-4.28%1.7321-23.70%0.0253✓1.0538k2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.4664-4.24%2.988-17.46%0.0168✓0.69976k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.040801-4.22%0.0355-16.67%0.0463✗0.9776k2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3358.7604-4.19%56.34-8.14%0.1526✗1.0213.5M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.2794-4.18%14.5-27.93%0.0683✓1.13121k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3515-4.15%1.1128-21.08%0.0462✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8107-4.13%1.5204-19.50%0.0372✓1.11488k2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.5679-4.11%2.0023+22.46%0.4875✗1.27598k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.172473-4.08%0.1496-16.80%0.0627✗1.07616k2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.1273-4.07%1.94-40.49%0.2438✓1.22269k2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.066788-4.04%0.0471-32.33%0.1520✓1.03253k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.082315-4.04%0.06724-21.61%0.1577✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02210.981221-4.00%0.7977-21.95%0.0202✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.28983-4.00%0.2059-31.80%0.1363✓1.07178k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.253945-3.99%0.2063-22.00%0.0163✓1.0091k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.109273-3.98%0.0903-20.65%0.0000✓1.00456k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6088-3.95%1.206-28.00%0.0404✓1.30520k2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.6446-3.90%1.962-28.71%0.0776✓1.1564k2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.672704-3.90%0.485-30.71%0.0961✓1.21135k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.245746-3.86%0.1903-25.55%0.0001✓1.34131k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9419-3.68%1.313-34.87%0.1658✓1.18157k2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.5153-3.66%6.934-21.55%0.0101✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.12204-3.53%0.1042-17.63%0.0073✓0.86317k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16859.0239-3.51%51.746-15.40%0.0012✓0.69365k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.5581-3.50%1.72-35.12%0.0660✓1.73144k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.691-3.37%1.27-27.43%0.0945✓1.00190k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.431359-3.37%0.3559-20.27%0.0476✗1.25255k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2228-3.33%2.546-23.64%0.0757✓0.84696k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.440815-3.31%0.3228-29.19%0.1003✓1.10190k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.179951-3.30%0.1336-28.21%0.1051✓1.01140k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.045264-3.30%0.03582-23.48%0.0822✓0.792,5822022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.003878-3.30%0.00326-18.70%0.0237✓1.03554k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3785-3.27%1.126-20.98%0.0109✓1.002.5M2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.066561-3.25%0.0557-19.04%0.0255✓0.80119k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.34118-3.24%0.295-16.34%0.0313✓0.928.3M2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.016966-3.21%0.01216-30.63%0.1810✓0.79153k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.9432-3.20%6.06-1.30%0.0972✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.456856-3.19%0.36772-22.08%0.0710✓0.7670k2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1501-3.15%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0754.3212-3.12%44.46-20.71%0.0058✓1.02645k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000043585-3.10%0.00004321-3.94%0.1582✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02990.997956-3.10%0.71924-30.16%0.1466✓0.95623k2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.40e-7-3.07%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0248✓0.785.4M2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.671927-2.97%0.48387-30.13%0.0821✓1.2951k2022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4650.9111-2.95%43.87-16.37%0.0367✗0.97595k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,158.34-2.95%19,833.10-16.88%0.0306✗0.977,5932022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.416584-2.94%0.31479-26.66%0.0921✓0.9896k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.103802-2.90%0.0912-14.69%0.0645✗1.0110k2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.939179-2.88%0.92-4.86%0.0715✗0.484.4M2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.164729-2.84%0.12968-23.52%0.0005✓1.25250k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.8016-2.83%24.08-21.49%0.0364✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004625-2.83%0.00375-21.22%0.0153✓1.02158k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.0348-2.77%3.7372+19.74%0.3080✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001713-2.70%0.001455-17.38%0.0216✓0.749,4152022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.8612-2.68%1.79-39.12%0.3689✓0.5296k2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.119798-2.60%0.0978-20.49%0.0580✓0.764,2082022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2215-2.55%0.977095-22.05%0.0575✓0.8756k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.2182-2.51%1.9299-41.54%0.2736✓1.2413k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.492024-2.51%0.3922-22.29%0.0094✓1.1460k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.346392-2.50%0.25784-27.42%0.0952✓1.0514k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050673-2.49%0.040879-21.34%0.0440✓0.8943k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.575161-2.47%0.4585-22.25%0.0701✓0.82784k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.052574-2.46%0.0441-18.18%0.0129✓0.99220k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02260.997822-2.43%0.788148-22.93%0.0943✓0.7477k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.263542-2.39%0.2141-20.70%0.0424✓0.86550k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.8178-2.39%4.47-25.00%0.0640✓1.041.5M2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.554338-2.35%0.4691-17.37%0.0454✗1.11388k2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.1512-2.33%5.884-29.50%0.0796✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,314.96-2.28%19,703.67-17.41%0.0230✓1.00482.6M2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.238561-2.23%0.15592-36.10%0.2066✓1.14696k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.085121-2.21%0.058603-32.67%0.1799✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.202438-2.20%0.1448-30.05%0.1322✓1.061,7402022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1316-2.12%0.80867-30.05%0.1577✓0.9312k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.466172-2.11%0.3436-27.85%0.0945✓1.10808k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030702-2.10%0.02264-27.81%0.0569✓1.293,2032022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.206953-2.06%0.1557-26.31%0.0123✓1.421,3972022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.293928-2.06%0.3312+10.36%0.2950✗0.9281k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2454-2.01%0.8579-32.50%0.1363✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4413-1.95%1.41-4.08%0.0248✓-0.01124k2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006803-1.94%0.006336-8.66%0.0161✓0.4655k2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.184668-1.93%0.15985-15.11%0.2830✗2.236712022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.2028-1.80%9.109-12.33%0.0734✗0.982.0M2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.119637-1.76%0.102273-16.02%0.0115✓0.887.8M2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006649-1.75%0.005941-12.21%0.0228✗0.713,2222022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.024966-1.67%0.02027-20.17%0.0446✓0.86271k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024203-1.63%0.020113-18.25%0.0307✓0.8113k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051243-1.55%0.04198-19.35%0.0648✓0.7016k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.053953-1.55%0.039421-28.07%0.2199✓0.4936k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61167.1137-1.47%145.86-14.00%0.0480✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8232-1.43%4.1854-14.46%0.0036✓0.72912k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.141702-1.39%0.1738+20.95%0.4039✗1.0443k2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.311797-1.33%0.259-18.04%0.0429✓0.751.0M2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.068847-1.31%0.061091-12.43%0.0028✓0.61182k2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257866-1.28%0.1245-52.34%0.7256✓0.0159k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.080089-1.25%0.0665-18.00%0.0283✓0.82134k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044028-1.06%0.0367-17.53%0.0076✓0.9111k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.00821-0.85%0.00541-34.66%0.2955✓0.641.6M2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.805209-0.59%0.7-13.58%0.0636✓0.40105k2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.96e-7-0.43%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0360✓0.7621k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2314-0.37%4.8786-7.09%0.0438✓0.14225k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.