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2022-08-12 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0144
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.2%
in alpha space · 83.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3836.1099-8.30%16.58-57.90%0.6465✓1.181.5M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3526.9655-8.12%20.69-29.51%0.1082✓1.4030.7M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.5221-7.81%1.402-15.08%0.1324✗1.923.6M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.4909-7.73%5.682-19.23%0.0209✓1.3811.9M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.946106-7.68%0.8885-13.30%0.1162✗1.60296k2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.161463-7.47%0.1378-21.03%0.0802✓0.704.4M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1519.5825-7.41%18.93-10.50%0.0459✓0.712.4M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.153.8434-7.39%2.963-28.60%0.0792✓1.625.3M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.364138-7.29%0.45678+16.29%0.3273✗0.90439k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.117739-7.29%0.1254-1.26%0.1578✗0.85209k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum49.0745.5183-7.24%31.98-34.83%0.1379✓1.92385k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4140.2682-7.24%38.56-11.17%0.1109✗1.3816.2M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.093336-7.10%0.06521-35.10%0.2164✓1.272.0M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001404-6.98%0.001367-9.40%0.0709✓0.871.4M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.045077-6.92%0.03781-21.93%0.0613✓1.0219k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.414346-6.87%0.2929-34.16%0.2212✓1.1295k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.1613-6.67%5.43-1.81%0.0854✗0.312.1M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5710,745.94-6.63%10,194.93-11.41%0.0965✗1.336.2M2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79107.2219-6.59%91.63-20.18%0.0185✓1.577.9M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.3323-6.57%1.3145-7.81%0.0993✗1.01907k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0314.9825-6.53%15.7-2.06%0.1819✗1.212.6M2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum128.24119.9377-6.47%108.82-15.14%0.0009✓0.884.0M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000092038-6.17%0.00043138+339.78%1.6321✗0.78353k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.169784-6.15%0.1333-26.31%0.1257✓1.042.7M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3357-6.14%1.183-16.87%0.0399✓1.446.7M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.1903-6.12%6.139-6.90%0.0083✓0.153.5M2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.154082-6.05%0.2083+27.01%0.4014✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.0918-6.03%12.8866-24.75%0.1069✓1.0359k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.9452.7733-5.83%2.116-28.15%0.1280✓1.27711k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.069027-5.83%0.0501-31.65%0.1954✓1.12877k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004263-5.75%0.002904-35.79%0.2870✓0.87994k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.8213-5.67%4.501+11.11%0.2598✗0.86102k2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.3688-5.54%8.98+1.35%0.0884✗0.161.8M2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.831611-5.50%0.649-26.25%0.1428✓0.94377k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,852.90-5.46%1,766.95-9.85%0.1000✗1.32522.8M2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.449-5.44%2.63+1.54%0.1756✗0.93636k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.1321-5.40%7.6094+129.83%0.9268✗0.351.5M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.0751.9632-5.39%1.655-20.24%0.0599✓0.99261k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.9249-5.36%1.517-25.42%0.1067✓1.18220k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.8081-5.35%4.64-8.66%0.0100✓0.411.3M2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.2617-5.30%7.1468+107.50%0.8379✗0.481.9M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.4298-5.23%15.699+30.16%0.4536✗1.2214.4M2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3947.9587-5.19%7.173-14.55%0.0149✓1.065.5M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.524651-5.14%0.3328-39.83%0.3073✓1.32232k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.139639-5.14%0.1167-20.72%0.0517✓1.143.8M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.664345-5.09%0.543-22.43%0.0657✓1.22100k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.891041-5.01%0.686-26.87%0.1509✓0.99280k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.1681-4.97%7.63-28.69%0.1638✓1.10638k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.3264-4.85%6.417-26.67%0.1614✓0.896.2M2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3338.8832-4.82%8.03-13.96%0.0254✓1.1319.3M2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana45.543.3431-4.74%35.01-23.05%0.0744✓1.2481.1M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.899481-4.72%0.676-28.39%0.1215✓1.474.4M2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.042406-4.71%0.0393-11.69%0.0405✓1.0476k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.294859-4.70%0.2312-25.27%0.1220✓1.08203k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6617.7833-4.70%14.56-21.97%0.0629✓1.231.4M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.087341-4.65%0.07546-17.62%0.0214✓1.1229k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash77.3473.7545-4.64%64.27-16.90%0.0067✓1.172.2M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1028-4.63%1.0275-11.15%0.0098✓0.723.9M2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.031111-4.63%0.02332-28.51%0.1742✓1.0213.8M2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.411.84-4.52%11.23-9.44%0.0759✗1.15313k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.516289-4.51%0.5101-5.66%0.1096✗1.0942.0M2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.070597-4.47%0.0508-31.26%0.1929✓1.22367k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.173.9862-4.41%3.278-21.39%0.1130✓0.741.3M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.371585-4.32%0.313787-19.20%0.0459✓1.10916k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1763.9985-4.25%4.354+4.26%0.1138✗0.262.3M2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1262.3638-4.23%55.25-15.16%0.0223✓1.2838k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.530618-4.22%0.513-7.40%0.0777✗1.0015k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.63480.608019-4.22%0.5792-8.76%0.0638✗1.002.4M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.759346-4.12%0.515-34.97%0.2471✓1.262,9182022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.903211-4.12%0.974+3.40%0.2092✗1.201.1M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.0655-4.03%6.57+3.96%0.1194✗0.351.2M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1513.9843-4.02%4.405+6.12%0.1383✗0.341.7M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.944049-3.96%0.7351-25.22%0.0852✓1.48440k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.4984-3.95%1.3029-16.48%0.0065✓1.311.2M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1014-3.95%0.8663-24.45%0.1007✓1.252.3M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.079476-3.90%0.0662-19.95%0.0565✓1.131.4M2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.118937-3.85%0.0997-19.40%0.0557✓1.08529k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.080108-3.84%0.07307-12.29%0.0059✓0.779772022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1137.6031-3.84%130.35-8.91%0.0715✗1.125.1M2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8343-3.83%2.202-25.28%0.1177✓1.2059k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.349372-3.78%0.2923-19.50%0.0634✓1.033.6M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.01568-3.69%0.013193-18.96%0.0939✓0.702.1M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.8587-3.55%1.99-32.86%0.1668✓1.75143k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.2581-3.54%1.648-29.60%0.1865✓1.15172k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.3402-3.54%1.838-24.24%0.1321✓0.98588k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019382-3.52%0.023973+19.33%0.2326✗0.18223k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.412139-3.47%0.33139-22.39%0.1017✓1.04502k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.189247-3.45%0.1545-21.17%0.0801✓1.10570k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008614-3.43%0.00844-5.38%0.1057✗1.13463k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.859-3.43%1.6855-12.44%0.0295✓1.14467k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002116-3.41%0.001558-28.89%0.1944✓1.001.0M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010036-3.41%0.00944-9.14%0.0209✓0.735.5M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6288-3.34%2.0077+19.14%0.3514✗1.27540k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.292411-3.30%0.2106-30.36%0.2164✓1.00108k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9560.8835-3.28%62.18-1.22%0.1386✗1.0513.7M2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.1531-3.25%3.3066-22.97%0.1149✓1.0153k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.7179-3.22%12.594+158.34%1.0093✗0.251.1M2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.321-3.22%1.9241-19.77%0.0663✓1.0838k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.1918-3.08%7.702-18.79%0.0556✓1.0813.2M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.236009-3.04%0.168-30.98%0.2165✓1.101,7402022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase21.3520.7097-3.00%16.47-22.86%0.0959✓1.19118k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.135.9468-2.99%6.73+9.79%0.1630✗0.351.0M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.462262-2.97%0.4255-10.68%0.0673✗1.34242k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.070589-2.90%0.0611-15.96%0.0540✓0.81128k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.1567-2.87%2.33-28.31%0.1621✓1.27269k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1459.4052-2.84%51.9-15.11%0.0160✓1.06551k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.473-2.81%5.1-23.42%0.1168✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4543-2.78%1.251-16.38%0.0301✓1.082.6M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7516-2.74%1.369-23.99%0.0966✓1.34432k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.463066-2.72%0.3619-23.97%0.1169✓1.16174k2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0396-2.71%0.80376-24.78%0.1435✓1.02543k2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.542366-2.70%0.4445-20.25%0.0722✓1.1358k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.469667-2.65%0.40526-16.00%0.0911✓0.5070k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.127008-2.60%0.1156-11.35%0.0024✓0.86350k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.135397-2.59%0.1027-26.12%0.1791✓0.874,5542022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53661.8934-2.59%54.454-14.29%0.0473✓0.72344k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.356153-2.58%0.3264-10.72%0.0223✓0.988.4M2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.178277-2.58%0.14382-21.41%0.0673✓1.32236k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001004-2.54%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0113✓0.785.9M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8521-2.52%1.46-23.16%0.1206✓1.05190k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.247315-2.52%0.2141-15.61%0.0093✓1.37116k2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.722377-2.51%0.595-19.70%0.0453✓1.33135k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012389-2.45%0.00001299+2.28%0.1572✗0.98744k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.272067-2.38%0.2303-17.37%0.0539✓1.0191k2022-09-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2002-2.37%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.9927-2.36%6.491-29.52%0.1783✓1.3210.0M2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.362425-2.30%0.29146-21.43%0.0959✓1.0913k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9483-2.27%4.6789+55.09%0.5224✗0.541.3M2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.710083-2.27%0.55506-23.60%0.0943✓1.3659k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.05562-2.25%0.0497-12.65%0.0026✓1.03254k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash56.1654.9027-2.24%48.35-13.91%0.0161✓0.99544k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.45601-2.22%0.35169-24.59%0.1447✓1.03107k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.629889-2.19%0.5157-19.92%0.1077✓0.83755k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.101723-2.19%0.0941-9.52%0.0356✗1.019,1182022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.085396-2.14%0.07414-15.04%0.1154✓0.231.1M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003920.003839-2.07%0.00381-2.81%0.1167✗1.11534k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005007-2.01%0.00419-18.00%0.0549✓1.10112k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000046885-2.00%0.00004562-4.64%0.0678✗0.852.0M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.308-1.95%0.9748-26.93%0.1560✓1.231.1M2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.1605-1.94%2.782-13.68%0.0308✓0.86587k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.064721-1.94%0.052-21.21%0.0964✓1.09207k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8023,685.95-1.94%21,663.60-10.31%0.0189✓0.9711k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.0871-1.91%0.927788-16.28%0.0706✓0.7963k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.048598-1.88%0.0396-20.05%0.1125✓0.822,5822022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.14e-7-1.83%7.30e-7+128.03%0.9185✗0.68150k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017487-1.81%0.01293-27.40%0.2228✓0.71159k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5613-1.81%1.42-10.69%0.0903✓0.04143k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.1779-1.78%2.3057-28.74%0.1726✓1.3313k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0130.995184-1.76%1.024+1.09%0.0899✗0.554.2M2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.948-1.73%1.9-36.67%0.3808✓0.5296k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.272948-1.71%0.235-15.38%0.0491✓0.90629k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.50990.501876-1.57%0.3903-23.46%0.1211✓1.17808k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2124-1.57%0.8518-30.85%0.2446✓0.9714k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.090468-1.56%0.0645-29.82%0.2452✓0.83127k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.7436-1.53%27.89-10.67%0.0062✓0.9310.8M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.598287-1.50%0.512-15.71%0.0296✓1.13332k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,056.72-1.47%21,831.72-10.58%0.0148✓1.00472.7M2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026249-1.47%0.0213-20.05%0.1188✓0.81186k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.219261-1.41%0.183-17.72%0.0215✓1.421,3132022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.033176-1.35%0.0255-24.17%0.1184✓1.292,7512022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001684-1.30%0.001636-4.10%0.0602✗0.809,0932022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.195985-1.27%0.17414-12.28%0.1316✗2.238742022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055021-1.22%0.046785-16.00%0.0496✓1.0144k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.292653-1.00%0.3308+11.91%0.2290✗0.9570k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.233739-0.96%0.17789-24.62%0.1357✓1.23657k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.5552-0.93%9.755-8.44%0.0331✗1.002.0M2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.125343-0.85%0.114387-9.51%0.0111✗0.927.2M2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.069922-0.80%0.06419-8.93%0.0178✓0.61182k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025288-0.70%0.021887-14.05%0.0509✓0.8413k2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2789-0.69%1.0863-15.65%0.0586✓0.9456k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.174078-0.64%0.1518-13.36%0.0216✓1.03131k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049879-0.64%0.0372-25.90%0.1847✓0.9711k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.92165.9205-0.60%159.22-4.61%0.0732✗1.021.1M2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0195-0.49%4.3301-14.15%0.0676✓0.72911k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006861-0.47%0.006537-5.17%0.0326✗0.723,4592022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.327921-0.33%0.285-13.37%0.0453✓0.851.1M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.153307-0.13%0.2611+70.10%0.6535✗1.0850k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.05646+0.09%0.042322-24.98%0.2304✗0.5233k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.054013+0.10%0.04664-13.57%0.0630✗0.7516k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.262296+0.34%0.127-51.42%0.7238✗0.0144k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072619+0.41%0.063703-11.92%0.0154✗1.031.7M2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006862+0.44%0.006309-7.66%0.0282✗0.5053k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008435+0.66%0.00661-21.12%0.1715✗0.651.6M2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001039+0.86%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0461✗0.7721k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.830.83846+1.02%0.72-13.25%0.1022✗0.4591k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.9046+2.24%5.0627+5.53%0.0464✓0.13307k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.