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2022-08-05 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2250
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.1%
in alpha space · 80.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.7531-10.41%1.762-42.66%0.2952✓0.99206k2022-09-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.890755-9.74%0.8485-14.02%0.2102✗1.69281k2022-09-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.7951-7.75%1.174-39.67%0.1253✓1.952.9M2022-09-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.0081-7.46%4.798-36.64%0.1151✓1.7211.9M2022-09-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3519.7761-7.37%17.39-18.55%0.0006✓0.832.4M2022-09-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.2886-7.06%5.8+1.93%0.1859✗0.611.5M2022-09-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.6897-6.58%4.88-2.79%0.1477✗0.701.3M2022-09-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3011,473.33-6.58%9,437.49-23.16%0.0267✓1.454.7M2022-09-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.7943-6.57%2.981-26.59%0.0259✓1.745.1M2022-09-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.033967-6.38%0.02157-40.55%0.2340✓1.4313.9M2022-09-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5930.5238-6.34%18.92-41.95%0.2672✓1.381.1M2022-09-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000094665-6.24%0.00025377+151.33%1.3029✗2.07498k2022-09-04
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.172936-6.22%0.13-29.50%0.0973✓1.233.4M2022-09-04
METISMetisEthereum47.6544.7596-6.07%30.11-36.81%0.1214✓1.79277k2022-09-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.2237-5.79%13.72-20.33%0.0493✓1.412.6M2022-09-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.3914-5.71%9.26+4.04%0.1733✗0.491.8M2022-09-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.0448-5.54%6.663+24.75%0.3588✗0.532.4M2022-09-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.538688-5.39%0.3125-45.12%0.3412✓1.33245k2022-09-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.779759-5.37%0.5-39.32%0.2219✓1.452,9182022-09-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.081973-5.34%0.07376-14.83%0.1021✗1.3530k2022-09-04
FLOWFlownative2.7322.5898-5.20%1.95-28.62%0.0900✓1.26456k2022-09-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.0706-5.17%7.4422+129.85%1.0018✗0.761.2M2022-09-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.9225-5.06%1.498-26.02%0.0337✓1.41266k2022-09-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3827.962-5.01%6.686-20.23%0.0127✓1.227.0M2022-09-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2736.3917-4.91%32.46-15.18%0.1024✗1.4112.8M2022-09-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.3714-4.88%1.0925-24.22%0.0028✓1.506.4M2022-09-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.2927-4.84%7.0178+102.81%0.8916✗0.881.5M2022-09-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3893-4.81%2.31-7.97%0.1302✗1.07507k2022-09-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.674215-4.77%0.534-24.58%0.0197✓1.3990k2022-09-04
QNTQuantEthereum107.26102.2907-4.63%95.29-11.16%0.0804✗0.994.2M2022-09-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.7148-4.58%2.121-25.45%0.0281✓1.4349k2022-09-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.220058-4.57%0.1523-33.95%0.1671✓1.311,5612022-09-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1352-4.57%0.9786-17.73%0.0165✓0.864.4M2022-09-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.079584-4.53%0.06473-22.35%0.0205✓1.481.0M2022-09-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.291646-4.50%0.2325-23.87%0.0561✓1.11300k2022-09-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.418342-4.47%0.3157-27.91%0.0991✓1.1979k2022-09-04
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316614.6367-4.44%13.1461-14.17%0.0687✗1.1553k2022-09-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.144022-4.43%0.1386-8.03%0.1082✗0.963.6M2022-09-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.1613-4.41%7.74-27.19%0.0564✓1.41338k2022-09-04
HIVEHivenative0.59080.565025-4.36%0.5439-7.94%0.1425✗1.182.1M2022-09-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.664861-4.36%0.55389-20.32%0.0485✗1.5188k2022-09-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.545193-4.35%0.424-25.61%0.0764✓1.1416k2022-09-04
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.457832-4.35%0.38677-19.20%0.0510✓0.7770k2022-09-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.57076-4.33%0.4349-27.10%0.1002✓1.1246k2022-09-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.7754-4.32%4.41+11.76%0.2624✗0.701.5M2022-09-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0285-4.31%1.1233+4.51%0.2637✗1.141.0M2022-09-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.0645-4.30%0.0506-24.93%0.0452✓1.29803k2022-09-04
AAVEAaveEthereum103.2798.8365-4.29%88.85-13.96%0.1476✗1.6610.2M2022-09-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019426-4.25%0.025674+26.55%0.3418✗0.41172k2022-09-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.899318-4.23%0.7071-24.70%0.0299✓1.76476k2022-09-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9723.9471-4.10%19.01-23.87%0.0121✓1.5826.1M2022-09-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.140107-3.97%0.2134+46.26%0.5856✗1.08986k2022-09-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0465-3.90%1.98-37.54%0.3541✓0.50116k2022-09-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.017486-3.87%0.01286-29.30%0.1808✓0.82182k2022-09-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.800775-3.87%0.671-19.45%0.0203✓1.02389k2022-09-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.075129-3.85%0.06708-14.15%0.0015✓0.739072022-09-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.2443-3.80%1.573-32.58%0.1427✓1.39169k2022-09-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1543.9975-3.77%3.038-26.87%0.1434✓0.85976k2022-09-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.7637-3.77%4.597+17.54%0.2892✗0.581.9M2022-09-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4317.7593-3.64%14.56-21.00%0.0019✓1.311.3M2022-09-04
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3159.087-3.63%48.47-20.94%0.0167✓1.4035k2022-09-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.043478-3.60%0.0365-19.07%0.0135✓1.2377k2022-09-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002151-3.41%0.001563-29.82%0.1659✓1.001.2M2022-09-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.443507-3.31%0.357-22.17%0.0100✓1.48263k2022-09-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5119-3.30%6.73+18.07%0.2906✗0.59878k2022-09-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.126721-3.27%0.1045-20.23%0.0193✓1.382.9M2022-09-04
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1235-3.26%1.729-21.23%0.0130✓1.26619k2022-09-04
KSMKusamaHydration63.561.4322-3.26%50.61-20.30%0.0142✓1.17379k2022-09-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0560.0421-3.24%53.273-14.15%0.0080✓0.83321k2022-09-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,681.31-3.19%1,579.04-9.08%0.1343✗1.28418.9M2022-09-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.6202-3.15%13.046+18.97%0.4135✗1.3513.0M2022-09-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.18985-3.15%0.15518-20.83%0.1509✗2.301,1512022-09-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0238-3.13%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.37e-7-3.13%9.24e-7+165.82%1.1589✗0.97157k2022-09-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.015815-3.12%0.013172-19.31%0.0451✓0.902.1M2022-09-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.82179-3.09%0.673-20.64%0.0138✓1.21233k2022-09-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.118-3.05%0.86904-24.64%0.0827✓1.1012k2022-09-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1503-3.05%0.8453-28.75%0.0982✓1.371.4M2022-09-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.664-3.04%10.54-12.39%0.0847✗1.21290k2022-09-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.009992-2.99%0.00892-13.40%0.0222✓0.885.2M2022-09-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.8794-2.98%6.81+12.38%0.2524✗0.69746k2022-09-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.03258-2.98%0.03585+6.76%0.2843✗1.2314k2022-09-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.502281-2.96%0.5035-2.72%0.1867✗1.2040.5M2022-09-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.083894-2.93%0.07814-9.59%0.0288✓0.281.1M2022-09-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.5819-2.93%13.539+186.84%1.1695✗0.561.4M2022-09-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.415544-2.90%0.36077-15.70%0.0695✗1.37545k2022-09-04
SOLSolanaSolana40.5439.3863-2.85%32.17-20.65%0.0071✓1.3780.8M2022-09-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5545-2.84%1.6865+5.41%0.2954✗1.39619k2022-09-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.35735-2.81%0.28914-21.37%0.0134✓1.2913k2022-09-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.1109-2.76%6.265-24.89%0.0984✓1.042.9M2022-09-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022406-2.74%0.020714-10.09%0.0692✗0.9612k2022-09-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.349025-2.74%0.299008-16.68%0.0403✗1.271.0M2022-09-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.851067-2.74%0.687-21.49%0.0512✗1.734.6M2022-09-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.173822-2.73%0.1462-18.19%0.0187✓1.25529k2022-09-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4696-2.68%1.1582-23.30%0.0230✓1.401.2M2022-09-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.331222-2.67%0.2908-14.55%0.0481✗1.163.6M2022-09-04
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7827-2.64%1.336-27.03%0.0696✓1.43354k2022-09-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.067088-2.63%0.0577-16.26%0.0059✓0.94170k2022-09-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.4807-2.55%4.91-26.17%0.0649✓1.391.4M2022-09-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001097-2.54%0.001339+19.00%0.3900✗1.241.3M2022-09-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008814-2.49%0.00793-12.28%0.0892✗1.27390k2022-09-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.2929-2.48%1.9099-18.77%0.0026✓1.2134k2022-09-04
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.380795-2.44%–pending––0.941722022-09-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93138.5812-2.36%118.36-16.61%0.0267✗1.204.6M2022-09-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0508-2.30%0.80657-25.01%0.0645✓1.30532k2022-09-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.126618-2.30%0.1029-20.60%0.0548✓1.004,9522022-09-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.049852-2.27%0.04481-12.15%0.0295✗0.8915k2022-09-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.0985-2.25%2.31-27.13%0.0623✓1.51234k2022-09-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.7711-2.24%6.488-27.69%0.0896✓1.389.9M2022-09-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.05469-2.16%0.0444-20.57%0.0124✓1.28284k2022-09-04
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8267-2.13%1.5561-16.63%0.0337✗1.26530k2022-09-04
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.051699-2.11%0.044132-16.44%0.0257✗1.2035k2022-09-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.111531-2.08%0.0958-15.89%0.0399✗1.25505k2022-09-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.7142-2.08%7.155-9.18%0.1172✗1.2517.9M2022-09-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.122895-2.08%0.1033-17.69%0.0074✓1.08380k2022-09-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4961.2109-2.05%60.93-2.50%0.1727✗1.1613.5M2022-09-04
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.079-2.02%2.3166-26.28%0.0474✓1.5513k2022-09-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.044419-2.01%0.03774-16.74%0.0189✓0.942,0262022-09-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.697-2.00%1.96-28.78%0.0508✓1.75118k2022-09-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.658906-1.92%0.5043-24.93%0.0899✓1.16690k2022-09-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000011889-1.91%0.00001284+5.94%0.2674✗1.24951k2022-09-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1369-1.91%0.982-15.27%0.0498✓0.631.9M2022-09-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.429703-1.89%0.3674-16.12%0.0451✗1.32147k2022-09-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048576-1.87%0.0364-26.46%0.0896✓1.309,0132022-09-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.073144-1.82%0.0625-16.11%0.0119✓1.101.1M2022-09-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0062-1.79%3.2367-20.66%0.0473✓1.0851k2022-09-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0472.9923-1.79%2.771-9.06%0.0941✗1.11587k2022-09-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.237566-1.79%0.2041-15.63%0.0741✗1.4789k2022-09-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4064-1.78%1.166-18.58%0.0070✓1.272.6M2022-09-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.089105-1.76%0.0562-38.04%0.2833✓1.16126k2022-09-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7392-1.74%1.35-23.73%0.0513✓1.32127k2022-09-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.744832-1.74%0.528-30.34%0.1185✓1.47121k2022-09-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.216363-1.70%0.1782-19.04%0.0231✗1.421,2802022-09-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003161-1.61%0.002943-8.40%0.0806✗0.991.0M2022-09-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3022,836.63-1.59%19,865.80-14.39%0.0110✓0.9813k2022-09-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.420044-1.57%0.34915-18.19%0.0020✓1.19118k2022-09-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.257146-1.55%0.211-19.22%0.0101✓1.2299k2022-09-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.6765-1.52%7.375-16.29%0.0261✗1.2311.0M2022-09-04
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.258426-1.48%0.2251-14.18%0.0406✗1.16768k2022-09-04
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.1961-1.38%63.8-7.74%0.1255✗1.251.7M2022-09-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.175351-1.36%0.13852-22.08%0.0013✓1.55222k2022-09-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5595-1.30%1.49-5.70%0.0001✓0.30242k2022-09-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004641-1.26%0.00402-14.47%0.0564✗1.30126k2022-09-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9723-1.24%4.6707+55.19%0.6029✗0.981.2M2022-09-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3334-1.23%0.9726-27.96%0.1251✓1.241.1M2022-09-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.054577-1.23%0.042185-23.66%0.1688✓0.5825k2022-09-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.354649-1.18%0.3127-12.87%0.0498✗1.158.3M2022-09-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.268144-1.16%0.2399-11.57%0.0591✗1.1165k2022-09-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.322447-0.99%0.35382+8.65%0.2651✗1.12383k2022-09-04
DASHDashDash52.451.8994-0.96%47.59-9.18%0.0821✗1.10574k2022-09-04
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045101-0.94%0.00004432-2.66%0.1606✗1.161.9M2022-09-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.0222-0.94%0.02226-0.67%0.1600✗1.03159k2022-09-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.073219-0.92%0.1213+64.14%0.6161✗0.73155k2022-09-04
XVGVergenative0.003850.003815-0.90%0.00311-19.22%0.0066✓1.29551k2022-09-04
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0436-0.86%0.900625-14.45%0.0022✓0.9560k2022-09-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.061965-0.70%0.057-8.65%0.1344✗1.42350k2022-09-04
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.74e-7-0.64%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0269✗0.846.4M2022-09-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.099884-0.61%0.0828-17.61%0.0028✓1.216,5342022-09-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.335421-0.47%0.269-20.18%0.0618✓1.041.1M2022-09-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.6194-0.46%26.4-14.17%0.0020✓0.9510.0M2022-09-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.00167-0.39%0.00152-9.36%0.0641✗1.039,0502022-09-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.260521-0.37%0.1803-31.05%0.3661✓0.0130k2022-09-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.137783-0.37%0.1229-11.14%0.0797✗1.2761k2022-09-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.227183-0.36%0.174-23.68%0.0352✓1.51755k2022-09-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006729-0.30%0.006455-4.36%0.0370✗0.5140k2022-09-04
STXStacksnative0.49180.490376-0.29%0.3678-25.21%0.0981✓1.24808k2022-09-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.163697-0.18%0.1437-12.38%0.0584✗1.23107k2022-09-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.4248-0.15%9.394-10.02%0.0655✗1.112.0M2022-09-04
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069749-0.13%0.063547-9.01%0.0128✗0.69345k2022-09-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.4274-0.01%16.45-10.74%0.0994✗1.39118k2022-09-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.031117+0.02%0.02502-19.58%0.0194✗1.301,4012022-09-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.90e-7+0.03%8.90e-7-10.10%0.0466✓1.0025k2022-09-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.061023+0.04%0.0516-15.41%0.0453✓1.39179k2022-09-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.753366+0.05%1.045+38.78%0.5131✓1.21968k2022-09-04
XMRMoneroMonero161.87162.1072+0.15%155.77-3.77%0.1287✓1.101.1M2022-09-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.585872+0.39%0.4695-19.55%0.0457✗1.15329k2022-09-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,440.75+0.51%20,004.73-14.22%0.0051✗1.00455.4M2022-09-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.203+0.59%1.0588-11.47%0.0335✓1.0542k2022-09-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.119298+0.64%0.106324-10.31%0.0371✓0.996.9M2022-09-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.744869+0.66%0.73-1.35%0.0709✓0.5978k2022-09-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008489+0.70%0.00608-27.88%0.1951✗0.901.6M2022-09-04
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7721+0.73%4.2121-11.09%0.0096✗0.75916k2022-09-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006391+0.90%0.005979-5.59%0.0636✓0.854,9752022-09-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4934+0.95%4.053+64.09%0.6225✓0.89110k2022-09-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.070814+1.45%0.063218-9.43%0.0664✓1.171.6M2022-09-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95195.0908+2.80%5.256+6.14%0.0580✓0.17225k2022-09-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.