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2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2070
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.8%
in alpha space · 78.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.6373-14.63%1.195-37.70%0.0555✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.830.4585-12.48%32.23-7.39%0.2413✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6219.0317-11.97%17.13-20.77%0.0058✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0140.5455-11.88%30.98-32.67%0.0295✓1.82266k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.3002-11.53%1.951-24.96%0.0012✓1.26448k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18542.8611-10.18%2.2636-28.94%0.0287✓1.5612k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4376.7009-9.90%4.756-36.05%0.1150✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.920072-9.73%0.8416-17.43%0.1363✗1.71241k2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.0489-9.58%7.3234+117.18%0.9934✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9925.3169-9.55%19.02-32.05%0.1075✓1.36946k2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.4223-9.39%2.941-22.13%0.0776✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05050.956631-8.93%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.829,696.97-8.92%9,785.94-8.09%0.1965✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.0927-8.90%5.78+3.40%0.2071✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.073929-8.62%0.06279-22.39%0.0322✓1.49871k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.078745-8.60%0.07135-17.18%0.0808✓1.3629k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8614.5351-8.35%14.03-11.54%0.1495✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.529786-8.28%0.3093-46.45%0.3573✓1.38234k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.4338-8.20%4.96+2.69%0.2043✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.4598-8.05%7.65-16.85%0.0817✓1.39334k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14162.8917-7.95%7.5278+139.62%1.0572✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.133218-7.94%0.2171+50.03%0.6308✗1.08907k2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2265-7.69%1.0729-19.25%0.0627✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.278975-7.62%0.2308-23.58%0.0430✓1.11300k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.0854-7.60%9.31+6.40%0.2051✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.728294-7.34%0.519-33.97%0.1473✓1.463,1392022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.1388-7.24%6.85+23.65%0.3652✗0.59873k2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1262-7.23%1.014-16.47%0.0195✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8252-7.21%1.482-24.66%0.0226✓1.41266k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.785263-7.18%0.669-20.92%0.0686✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7496.4869-6.99%93.83-9.55%0.1022✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.4245-6.96%6.499-18.56%0.0274✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.5284-6.92%0.4418-22.18%0.0324✓1.1146k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3086-6.91%2.26-8.87%0.1203✗1.08507k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.337821-6.89%0.29127-19.72%0.0233✓1.3013k2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.032568-6.87%0.02059-41.12%0.2689✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.7095-6.84%2.976-25.26%0.1077✓0.86922k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.8063-6.78%6.609+28.18%0.3877✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.426619-6.66%0.3754-17.87%0.0275✓0.7668k2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.307093-6.66%0.3208-2.49%0.1918✗1.1377k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000092653-6.65%0.00026115+163.12%1.3046✗2.04516k2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.5773-6.60%4.492+17.28%0.3190✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008432-6.31%0.00798-11.33%0.1132✗1.28387k2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1126-6.19%1.543-31.48%0.1316✓1.39172k2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1135-6.06%0.9676-18.37%0.0260✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.050457-6.04%0.0443-17.50%0.0382✓1.28284k2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.162461-6.04%0.1258-27.24%0.0950✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.7444-5.93%4.8007+64.55%0.6882✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.154496-5.91%0.1379-16.02%0.0497✓1.24518k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.547055-5.89%0.5434-6.52%0.1491✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.4181-5.89%10.12-8.58%0.1289✗1.20263k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7516.7105-5.86%15.21-14.31%0.0778✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.6217-5.81%6.507-19.59%0.0207✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.3098-5.77%6.305-28.51%0.0929✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03390.97471-5.72%1.1337+9.65%0.3022✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9419-5.71%2.25-27.88%0.0685✓1.52211k2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.178091-5.71%0.15784-16.43%0.1835✗2.311,1512022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.647437-5.62%0.52-24.20%0.0354✓1.4088k2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.526843-5.58%0.412-26.16%0.0953✓1.1414k2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019404-5.46%0.026685+30.01%0.3739✗0.42167k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.6378-5.36%4.797+24.79%0.3534✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1046-5.33%1.68-24.43%0.0583✓1.27626k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.0682-5.25%0.8243-26.88%0.0790✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3599.8177-5.23%12.627+21.89%0.4299✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.1653-5.16%18.9-19.13%0.0485✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3491.4841-5.04%87.18-9.51%0.1695✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.039981-5.03%0.0354-15.91%0.0395✓1.2376k2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.1126-4.94%4.84-24.73%0.0506✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.5937-4.92%2.045-25.04%0.0496✓1.4349k2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021344-4.92%0.020633-8.09%0.0929✗0.9611k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.207045-4.81%0.1524-29.93%0.1345✓1.311,5612022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.081337-4.77%0.07801-8.66%0.0061✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0604-4.72%0.86852-21.96%0.0543✓1.1111k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.0872-4.69%1.7905-18.24%0.0045✓1.2032k2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.761647-4.67%0.688-13.89%0.0325✓1.02377k2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.092.9458-4.67%1.93-37.54%0.3579✓0.49109k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.060075-4.64%0.0485-23.02%0.0453✓1.28802k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.568916-4.62%0.5007-16.06%0.0225✓1.14690k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.635298-4.60%0.54122-18.72%0.0385✓1.5188k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002091-4.48%0.001655-24.39%0.1022✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.868536-4.45%0.678-25.41%0.0157✓1.76496k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,536.57-4.45%1,557.70-3.14%0.1815✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.5611-4.45%6.87+18.04%0.3004✗0.68746k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.6774-4.42%1.319-24.84%0.0523✓1.43341k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.747493-4.41%0.671-14.19%0.0505✗1.20225k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8237.1742-4.24%31.12-19.84%0.0019✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.014934-4.24%0.013081-16.12%0.0151✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2421-4.23%0.9295-28.33%0.1266✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.048122-4.16%0.043496-13.37%0.0564✗1.2035k2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.052066-4.05%0.042307-22.03%0.1313✓0.5825k2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.047119-4.04%0.04477-8.82%0.0654✗0.8915k2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4417-4.02%1.7051+13.52%0.3517✗1.40594k2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8025-3.96%3.1511-20.41%0.0452✓1.0945k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.31782-3.87%0.2804-15.18%0.0280✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.115591-3.83%0.1018-15.31%0.0533✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4137-3.83%1.1328-22.94%0.0362✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.0898-3.72%6.861-6.83%0.1317✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1258.9046-3.62%48.81-20.14%0.0336✓1.17379k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.064299-3.60%0.0578-13.34%0.0170✓0.94183k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.134264-3.55%0.1363-2.08%0.1398✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.321271-3.52%0.269-19.22%0.0410✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6557.5551-3.51%60.19+0.91%0.1966✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.505-3.50%1.881-27.54%0.0560✓1.75109k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.761-3.50%1.5227-16.56%0.0214✓1.27530k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.4561-3.46%13.804+199.05%1.2047✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26958.1916-3.45%52.516-12.86%0.0070✓0.83321k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.482521-3.44%0.4804-3.86%0.1538✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.0795-3.43%47.89-14.48%0.0614✗1.3935k2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001052-3.41%0.001326+21.79%0.3949✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3514-3.40%1.159-17.16%0.0142✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.11287-3.36%0.1012-13.36%0.0323✓1.08370k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.070857-3.33%0.0608-17.05%0.0075✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.042413-3.30%0.03762-14.23%0.0037✓0.942,0262022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5298-3.18%1.49-5.70%0.0128✓0.30242k2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.074527-3.12%0.06648-13.58%0.0179✓0.739772022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.4251-3.12%0.3659-16.61%0.0445✗1.48278k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.45e-7-3.08%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0810✗0.99164k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009491-3.06%0.00869-11.24%0.0278✓0.885.1M2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.2548-3.04%26.2-10.09%0.0493✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.403774-2.99%0.354-14.94%0.0414✗1.31127k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6495-2.97%1.29-24.12%0.0724✓1.32122k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.32e-7-2.88%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0524✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017087-2.80%0.01336-24.00%0.1380✓0.82193k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.10653-2.80%0.0949-13.41%0.0493✗1.25505k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.083032-2.77%0.0572-33.02%0.2215✓1.15126k2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000041792-2.67%0.00004471+4.12%0.2196✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.002988-2.65%0.002948-3.94%0.1170✗0.991.0M2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031465-2.61%0.03443+6.56%0.2520✗1.2314k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7669-2.60%1.771-2.37%0.0854✗0.63206k2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.33141-2.59%0.292785-13.94%0.0430✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.046969-2.55%0.0358-25.73%0.1004✓1.307,5232022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004425-2.53%0.00397-12.56%0.0634✗1.31112k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.254052-2.51%0.2386-8.44%0.0837✗1.1165k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.2717-2.49%12.6808-13.36%0.0328✗1.1558k2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.990694-2.41%0.885648-12.76%0.0117✓0.9460k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02063-2.37%0.02203+4.26%0.1992✗1.02159k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25155.5265-2.34%154.44-3.02%0.1387✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.96985-2.28%0.78775-20.63%0.0372✓1.30532k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.124138-2.18%0.102-19.62%0.0654✓1.004,7012022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.02975-2.07%0.02472-18.63%0.0139✓1.301,4012022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.411096-2.01%0.36179-13.77%0.0536✗1.38583k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34131.6848-1.98%117.83-12.29%0.0464✗1.204.6M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.368-1.95%4.026+66.71%0.6480✗0.89110k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9351-1.94%7.29-9.91%0.0757✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.156924-1.92%0.13707-14.33%0.0664✗1.53212k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.247378-1.91%0.2228-11.66%0.0481✗1.16768k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.132128-1.91%0.1211-10.10%0.0799✗1.2761k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.222221-1.80%0.212-6.32%0.1458✗1.4787k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.36e-7-1.43%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0580✗1.0025k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.4876-1.37%4.2494-6.61%0.0437✗0.75920k2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.331845-1.27%0.303-9.85%0.0579✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001636-1.26%0.001499-9.54%0.0483✗1.039,0682022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058569-1.23%0.05-15.68%0.0252✗1.39172k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.215438-1.18%0.17-22.02%0.0380✓1.51782k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060879-1.17%0.0556-9.74%0.0973✗1.43350k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003728-1.12%0.00311-17.51%0.0108✓1.30551k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1372-1.06%15.52-10.39%0.0829✗1.38116k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011727-1.04%0.0000123+3.80%0.2118✗1.25951k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,282.97-0.94%19,875.80-11.64%0.0146✗0.9813k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9542-0.93%2.744-7.98%0.0733✗1.12591k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.197705-0.90%0.1738-12.88%0.0549✗1.401,2762022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.310712-0.85%0.35+11.69%0.2669✗1.12396k2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.721748-0.72%0.527-27.51%0.1209✓1.47121k2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.25925-0.71%0.1834-29.76%0.3446✓0.0129k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.9508-0.67%62.7-2.61%0.1446✗1.251.6M2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006661-0.58%0.006407-4.37%0.0287✗0.5140k2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,495.62-0.57%19,835.47-12.33%0.0057✗1.00427.9M2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.402107-0.55%0.33497-17.15%0.0261✓1.19107k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072745-0.49%0.119+62.79%0.5881✗0.73159k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.734669-0.45%1.037+40.51%0.5043✗1.21968k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.449.1971-0.41%46.77-5.32%0.0936✗1.10574k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068774-0.30%0.06311-8.51%0.0054✗0.69345k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155834-0.17%0.1418-9.16%0.0674✗1.23107k2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097448-0.05%0.0824-15.49%0.0094✓1.207,1482022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.249065+0.23%0.2102-15.41%0.0090✗1.22101k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.476209+0.53%0.361-23.79%0.1140✗1.24808k2022-09-03
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.025122+0.89%0.0264+6.02%0.1225✓0.5540k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006206+0.97%0.005893-4.11%0.0598✓0.857,1222022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.1537+1.18%9.192-8.40%0.0457✓1.102.0M2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.115294+1.20%0.105238-7.62%0.0391✓0.996.9M2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.552202+1.25%0.4583-15.97%0.0369✗1.14333k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008331+1.35%0.00602-26.76%0.2061✗0.901.6M2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.751939+1.61%0.73-1.35%0.0491✓0.6079k2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1698+1.71%1.0572-8.08%0.0370✓1.0543k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.069182+2.72%0.062675-6.94%0.0553✓1.171.7M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.1779+3.56%5.1775+3.55%0.0229✓0.17219k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.