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2022-08-03 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1654
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.6%
in alpha space · 75.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.6784-15.79%1.234-38.08%0.0427✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0631.4464-12.79%32.45-10.01%0.2202✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9819.3006-12.19%17.08-22.29%0.0080✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.739.4839-11.61%7.59-29.26%0.0369✓1.38334k2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.435.7604-10.41%5.99-6.84%0.1211✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.908278-9.42%0.889-11.34%0.2092✗1.72211k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6425.0656-9.31%19.34-30.03%0.0769✓1.36773k2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03720.941032-9.27%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.049-9.19%7.5477+124.79%1.0259✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.5127-9.14%4.706-34.35%0.0918✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.3731-9.08%3.028-18.38%0.1260✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.079918-8.88%0.07182-18.12%0.0766✓1.3629k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4414.9837-8.86%13.76-16.30%0.1038✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.4972-8.80%2.2074-19.38%0.0869✓1.5612k2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.049,785.04-8.76%10,076.20-6.05%0.2208✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.6466-8.53%4.95-2.56%0.1575✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.074433-8.35%0.06497-20.00%0.0640✓1.49786k2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.558.7605-8.27%9.58+0.31%0.1548✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.0001-8.12%7.9584+143.72%1.0780✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.29352-7.79%0.2313-27.33%0.0889✓1.11294k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.2335-7.54%1.0939-18.00%0.0811✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.034686-7.48%0.02024-46.01%0.3452✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.72196-7.44%0.479-38.59%0.2147✓1.453,6872022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.3915-7.36%6.91+18.73%0.3276✗0.59873k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.8763-7.30%1.488-26.48%0.0422✓1.41255k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.1897.7809-7.03%92.78-11.79%0.0806✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.758829-7.01%0.668-18.14%0.1064✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.2975-6.98%2.25-8.91%0.1240✗1.08398k2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.503936-6.87%0.3186-41.12%0.2700✓1.40222k2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000093256-6.72%0.00024148+141.55%1.2253✗2.04536k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.6454-6.65%2.96-24.20%0.0931✓0.86922k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.7151-6.61%4.42+11.11%0.2670✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.326834-6.41%0.29376-15.88%0.0689✗1.3113k2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.436111-6.34%0.3771-19.01%0.0426✓0.7668k2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.3667-6.29%6.292-19.96%0.0065✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.333.0898-6.26%31.7-10.20%0.2151✗1.92251k2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.6732-6.18%6.365+27.79%0.3800✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.559965-6.05%0.5541-7.03%0.1485✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1117-5.98%1.534-31.70%0.1335✓1.38177k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.125806-5.97%0.2187+63.45%0.6989✗1.09779k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.051378-5.90%0.0438-19.78%0.0125✓1.28284k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.3949-5.75%6.406-28.08%0.0836✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0609-5.70%1.008-10.40%0.0365✓0.651.8M2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.177376-5.67%0.15905-15.42%0.2020✗2.311,1512022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.161289-5.57%0.1232-27.87%0.1053✓1.223.5M2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.149987-5.55%0.1381-13.04%0.0844✗1.24508k2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008212-5.39%0.00814-6.22%0.1631✗1.28375k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.662-5.26%5.831-27.90%0.1327✓1.042.4M2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.301509-5.25%0.3031-4.75%0.1570✗1.1377k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.2884-5.13%14.03-18.29%0.0265✓1.311.3M2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.6305-5.11%4.612+20.54%0.3182✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.2756-5.03%10.18-5.91%0.1518✗1.20259k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.021901-5.01%0.020785-9.85%0.0773✗0.9611k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.967422-4.95%1.1047+8.54%0.2870✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.018981-4.85%0.025779+29.22%0.3628✗0.42165k2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0522-4.83%0.87122-21.20%0.0400✓1.1111k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.712-4.79%5.1574+81.06%0.7747✗0.981.2M2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0421.9371-4.79%18.87-18.10%0.0620✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.681-4.76%12.614+24.09%0.4468✗1.3514.4M2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.492398-4.76%0.423-18.18%0.0024✓1.1513k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039356-4.71%0.035-15.25%0.0475✓1.2376k2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.1304-4.66%4.86-24.42%0.0455✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9790.6892-4.51%88.39-6.93%0.1969✗1.6610.2M2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0286-4.46%1.98-37.54%0.3587✓0.49102k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.7235-4.45%7.11+18.70%0.3081✗0.68725k2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.7589-4.41%1.965+6.79%0.2825✗1.28430k2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.865127-4.41%0.6722-25.72%0.0146✓1.77513k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.084155-4.38%0.0801-8.99%0.0142✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.5772-4.37%2.034-24.53%0.0446✓1.4349k2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03430.990268-4.26%0.9679-6.42%0.0950✗0.883.9M2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.053392-4.20%0.043204-22.48%0.1337✓0.5824k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,551.28-4.17%1,575.69-2.66%0.1872✗1.28404.0M2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002161-4.16%0.001603-28.91%0.1644✓1.001.5M2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.578552-4.15%0.4979-17.51%0.0032✓1.14690k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0385-4.14%0.829-23.48%0.0408✓1.371.4M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.45493-4.10%0.436-8.09%0.1082✗1.1246k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.757672-4.09%0.657-16.84%0.0189✓1.20225k2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.0883-4.03%1.788-17.83%0.0062✓1.2032k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.047342-3.95%0.044071-10.59%0.0893✗1.2035k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015164-3.93%0.01333-15.55%0.0086✓0.892.1M2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.0741-3.83%31.24-18.96%0.0126✓1.3781.8M2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.624406-3.79%0.53972-16.84%0.0574✗1.5188k2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.046516-3.77%0.04476-7.41%0.0807✗0.8915k2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9229-3.71%1.701-14.82%0.0483✗1.27626k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.139429-3.71%0.1352-6.63%0.0965✗0.953.6M2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.065685-3.69%0.0568-16.72%0.0191✓0.94229k2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.609766-3.67%0.508-19.75%0.0056✓1.4088k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.199407-3.67%0.1524-26.38%0.0934✓1.311,6972022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.739085-3.64%0.713-7.04%0.1008✗1.02377k2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7108-3.53%2.19-22.06%0.0093✓1.52198k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2158-3.43%0.93-26.13%0.1008✓1.241.2M2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.5805-3.42%1.899-28.93%0.0711✓1.75109k2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6316-3.40%1.31-22.44%0.0273✓1.43341k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.114101-3.30%0.103-12.71%0.0820✗1.372.9M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.074761-3.28%0.0619-19.92%0.0402✓1.11952k2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4707-3.25%1.48-2.63%0.0472✗0.30221k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.0493-3.23%6.93-4.87%0.1511✗1.2518.3M2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.412-3.21%1.798+23.24%0.4297✗1.40675k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3159.342-3.21%47.83-21.99%0.0580✓1.17379k2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.7739-3.20%3.1377-19.52%0.0387✓1.0945k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.321584-3.14%0.27-18.67%0.0354✓1.041.1M2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3858-3.09%1.1131-22.16%0.0296✓1.411.1M2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.056733-3.02%0.0486-16.92%0.0179✓1.28799k2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.310406-3.00%0.281-12.19%0.0572✗1.173.5M2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31158.5087-2.99%53.741-10.89%0.0271✓0.83330k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3184-2.99%1.181-13.10%0.0617✗1.282.5M2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.426796-2.98%0.3489-20.69%0.0029✓1.48278k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001055-2.94%0.001355+24.69%0.4171✗1.241.3M2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.486155-2.94%0.4544-9.28%0.0941✗1.2041.9M2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.1311-2.92%45.81-17.84%0.0200✓1.3934k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.112724-2.82%0.1007-13.19%0.0316✗1.07370k2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.07612-2.76%0.0671-14.28%0.0278✓0.731,0202022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042264-2.73%0.03809-12.34%0.0224✓0.942,3002022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003057-2.69%0.002989-4.84%0.1104✗0.991.0M2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.083799-2.67%0.057-33.80%0.2307✓1.15128k2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.3379-2.62%26.31-9.59%0.0533✗0.9510.8M2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3626-2.58%14.875+232.18%1.3025✗0.561.3M2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7856.3024-2.56%61.02+5.61%0.2357✗1.1513.7M2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.40e-7-2.53%8.64e-7+147.55%1.0648✗0.99170k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009525-2.40%0.00875-10.35%0.0335✗0.885.0M2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017257-2.40%0.01324-25.11%0.1541✓0.82207k2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020796-2.37%0.02248+5.54%0.2144✗1.02159k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.253864-2.28%0.2409-7.27%0.0977✗1.1265k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.108398-2.26%0.0931-16.05%0.0163✓1.25505k2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7595-2.20%1.76-2.17%0.0857✗0.64189k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.00446-2.18%0.00396-13.16%0.0567✗1.31112k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.40e-7-2.05%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0575✗0.846.4M2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0033-2.05%0.876412-14.44%0.0091✓0.9460k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.12616-2.05%0.1-22.36%0.0985✓1.004,9522022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.394376-1.95%0.3535-12.11%0.0675✗1.32127k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.159869-1.94%0.13722-15.84%0.0536✗1.53212k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6877-1.90%1.4907-13.35%0.0464✗1.27530k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041642-1.88%0.00004622+8.91%0.2597✗1.161.9M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030224-1.87%0.0246-20.13%0.0309✓1.301,3502022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11154.2243-1.84%153.67-2.19%0.1448✗1.101.2M2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.226937-1.80%0.2219-3.98%0.1752✗1.4789k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.329853-1.80%0.292616-12.88%0.0510✗1.271.1M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.3636-1.77%12.8342-12.23%0.0419✗1.1563k2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5718-1.76%1.31-18.13%0.0046✓1.32122k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030746-1.67%0.03437+9.91%0.2773✗1.2314k2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.400054-1.45%0.35346-12.92%0.0618✗1.38583k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.947039-1.35%0.77622-19.14%0.0243✓1.30532k2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.246258-1.30%0.2233-10.50%0.0588✗1.17768k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7132.1541-1.16%116.4-12.94%0.0341✗1.204.5M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4464-1.16%3.82+54.34%0.5655✗0.89110k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133379-1.13%0.1218-9.71%0.0799✗1.2761k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001686-1.07%0.001528-10.33%0.0405✗1.039,4962022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9329-0.88%7.3-8.78%0.0809✗1.2211.0M2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258999-0.84%0.1972-24.50%0.2711✓0.0129k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4746-0.77%4.2655-5.41%0.0525✗0.75920k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011742-0.75%0.00001218+2.96%0.2043✗1.25986k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,675.25-0.74%20,019.30-12.37%0.0072✓0.9814k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.198752-0.57%0.1768-11.56%0.0708✗1.401,1742022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.75e-7-0.48%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0429✗1.0025k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9514-0.42%2.743-7.46%0.0765✗1.11597k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.003715-0.41%0.00313-16.09%0.0027✓1.29551k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.325472-0.38%0.3024-7.44%0.0777✗1.138.1M2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045635-0.36%0.0367-19.87%0.0429✓1.309,0132022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.1176-0.19%15.53-9.45%0.0872✗1.37116k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212659-0.16%0.168-21.13%0.0323✓1.51786k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,792.71-0.14%19,953.74-12.58%0.0014✗1.00427.9M2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058702+0.00%0.0558-4.94%0.1412✓1.43350k2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.309463+0.05%0.34352+11.06%0.2559✓1.13398k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058405+0.18%0.0499-14.41%0.0297✓1.39167k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067939+0.21%0.062628-7.63%0.0107✓0.69364k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.395146+0.23%0.33413-15.24%0.0076✗1.19118k2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.06225+0.40%0.1196+92.90%0.7520✓0.74159k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.09769+0.50%0.0821-15.53%0.0120✗1.206,5342022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.74789+0.52%1.084+45.70%0.5347✓1.22895k2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.15632+0.72%0.141-9.15%0.0623✓1.23102k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006752+0.81%0.006468-3.43%0.0262✓0.5239k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7749.1793+0.84%45.69-6.32%0.0737✓1.10574k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.248487+0.97%0.2088-15.16%0.0097✗1.22110k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.8562.4819+1.02%60.36-2.41%0.1336✓1.251.5M2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.693673+1.12%0.538-21.57%0.0559✗1.47106k2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.0063+1.47%0.005767-7.11%0.0246✓0.848,9962022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.2234+1.95%9.161-8.65%0.0388✓1.102.0M2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.116452+1.99%0.104596-8.40%0.0257✓0.997.0M2022-09-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.025502+2.01%0.0274+9.60%0.1463✓0.5545k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.477033+2.30%0.3635-22.05%0.1050✗1.24892k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.558345+2.39%0.466-14.54%0.0282✗1.14335k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008398+2.54%0.00602-26.50%0.2116✗0.901.6M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.760507+2.77%0.72-2.70%0.0252✓0.5983k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1719+2.93%1.0393-8.71%0.0212✓1.0547k2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.211+3.91%5.402+7.71%0.0591✓0.17219k2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.06888+4.05%0.061662-6.86%0.0468✓1.171.7M2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.