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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1238
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 70.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STXStacksnative0.46130.485542+5.26%0.365-20.88%0.0995✗1.25778k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.585761+5.09%0.4594-17.58%0.0729✗1.14341k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.099363+4.48%0.0821-13.67%0.0110✓1.216,7862022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.81335+4.28%0.73-6.41%0.0178✓0.6179k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.071582+4.16%0.061277-10.83%0.0159✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006579+4.09%0.005668-10.32%0.0148✓0.909,1592022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.3154+3.54%9.001-9.66%0.0254✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008702+3.34%0.00619-26.48%0.2042✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2869+3.28%1.0708-14.06%0.0252✓1.0643k2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.025302+3.27%0.0257+4.90%0.0924✓0.5143k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.3543+3.17%5.8014+11.78%0.1113✓0.21210k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.121572+2.76%0.104365-11.78%0.0042✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8764.5418+2.66%59.88-4.76%0.1117✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.743969+2.33%1.078+48.28%0.5520✓1.21806k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7550.6865+1.88%44.55-10.45%0.0360✓1.11574k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.267687+1.74%0.2112-19.73%0.0537✗1.23101k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.743258+1.68%0.528-27.77%0.1196✗1.4980k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.313765+1.50%0.35+13.22%0.2837✓1.17398k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048928+1.30%0.0357-26.09%0.1146✗1.347,6872022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006731+1.22%0.006495-2.33%0.0447✓0.5438k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001717+1.19%0.00156-8.07%0.0564✓1.0211k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.166478+1.08%0.1445-12.26%0.0438✓1.2494k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060793+0.98%0.0577-4.15%0.1571✓1.40339k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003784+0.89%0.00335-10.67%0.0735✓1.31559k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064554+0.71%0.1161+81.12%0.7080✓0.81155k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.22254+0.70%0.168-23.98%0.0552✗1.51821k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.66e-7+0.66%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0442✓1.0025k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070432+0.66%0.063428-9.35%0.0112✓0.78373k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9753+0.52%2.728-7.84%0.0801✓1.12619k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4458+0.44%3.743+53.72%0.5626✓0.92105k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,370.74+0.42%20,048.26-13.86%0.0042✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4312+0.33%4.3008-2.62%0.0789✓0.73916k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070666+0.24%0.0622-11.77%0.0329✓1.08567k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.420365+0.23%0.33416-20.32%0.0487✗1.21118k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064948+0.23%0.0503-22.38%0.0410✗1.44154k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.343048+0.19%0.2885-15.74%0.0031✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1868+0.15%15.53-14.48%0.0465✓1.37116k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.181+0.01%7.033-14.02%0.0338✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.00001196-0.08%0.00001208+0.92%0.1940✗1.23986k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261211-0.23%0.247-5.65%0.0543✓0.0128k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0155-0.30%0.894603-12.16%0.0164✗0.9660k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125037-0.37%0.1003-20.08%0.0727✓0.994,9522022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.2878-0.42%115.16-16.47%0.0020✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6222-0.48%1.31-19.63%0.0092✓1.37114k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.229599-0.48%0.2184-5.33%0.1712✗1.4897k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143074-0.50%0.1236-14.05%0.0452✗1.2859k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,051.93-0.52%19,990.40-13.73%0.0038✓0.9814k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029843-0.56%0.02455-18.19%0.0004✓1.311,2932022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.421475-0.57%0.3513-17.13%0.0160✗1.33127k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.205792-0.58%0.1824-11.88%0.0876✗1.401,1792022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.26408-0.61%0.2291-13.77%0.0262✗1.13768k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.410279-0.61%0.31794-22.98%0.0469✓1.39583k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.61e-7-0.91%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0358✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.26e-7-0.93%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1859✗0.96178k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031733-0.96%0.03519+9.83%0.2884✗1.2414k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9791-1.03%12.38-18.20%0.0151✓1.1868k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.163516-1.14%0.13698-17.19%0.0531✗1.54212k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.358563-1.16%0.29809-17.83%0.0090✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0031-1.30%0.77191-24.05%0.0646✓1.32525k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077942-1.31%0.06618-16.21%0.0545✓0.731,1722022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7703-1.38%1.818+1.28%0.1219✗0.64189k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017646-1.42%0.01358-24.13%0.1452✓0.78229k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044435-1.56%0.00004452-1.37%0.1750✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7892-1.69%1.5108-16.98%0.0193✗1.26492k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2898-1.70%13.005+198.01%1.1960✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.329007-1.79%0.282-15.82%0.0003✓1.03959k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.3888-1.82%53.84-9.47%0.0914✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004693-1.82%0.00404-15.48%0.0464✗1.32112k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8069-1.86%2.15-24.83%0.0400✓1.52192k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69157.6659-1.88%149.22-7.14%0.1107✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5163-1.90%1.915-25.34%0.0113✓1.7595k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.4895-1.96%51.915-14.44%0.0101✓0.85345k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.271496-1.99%0.2447-11.66%0.0567✗1.0867k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010006-2.00%0.00858-15.96%0.0097✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.113868-2.01%0.0899-22.63%0.0424✓1.30472k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001074-2.02%0.001342+22.42%0.4144✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.502192-2.07%0.4458-13.07%0.0674✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.083964-2.14%0.0595-30.65%0.1688✓1.18137k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021098-2.14%0.02304+6.86%0.2420✗1.03159k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3917-2.20%1.205-15.32%0.0456✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3879-2.26%1.0347-27.13%0.0790✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045116-2.30%0.03845-16.74%0.0165✓0.962,3002022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6776-2.35%1.275-25.79%0.0581✓1.45327k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059716-2.42%0.0484-20.92%0.0155✓1.30799k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.752973-2.46%0.663-14.12%0.0200✓0.99377k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014644-2.48%0.013176-12.26%0.0259✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003175-2.50%0.002994-8.05%0.0934✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.117554-2.61%0.1033-14.42%0.0305✗1.07352k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.204665-2.82%0.1531-27.30%0.0876✓1.361,6972022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.326485-2.83%0.2809-16.40%0.0262✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.3586-2.84%6.628-12.49%0.0840✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0466-3.00%0.8327-22.82%0.0177✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.2947-3.01%47.42-26.17%0.0961✓1.18354k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.119849-3.03%0.1026-16.99%0.0506✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.0883-3.08%47.14-19.97%0.0162✓1.3932k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065298-3.12%0.0574-14.84%0.0140✓0.96229k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.768218-3.13%0.663-16.39%0.0367✗1.23218k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.456073-3.17%0.3462-26.50%0.0564✓1.47273k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002351-3.21%0.001503-38.12%0.2982✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2804-3.22%0.9427-28.75%0.1210✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.625158-3.23%0.515-20.28%0.0155✓1.4088k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.7567-3.23%26.73-13.07%0.0348✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.90779-3.30%0.9535+1.57%0.1828✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.1917-3.37%1.7939-20.91%0.0160✓1.2329k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9522-3.45%1.65-18.40%0.0225✓1.28637k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.686691-3.50%0.55118-22.54%0.0058✓1.5188k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0007-3.51%3.149-24.05%0.0762✓1.0939k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.089041-3.59%0.08149-11.77%0.0522✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,572.20-3.59%1,554.00-4.71%0.1757✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.478667-3.61%0.439-11.60%0.0806✗1.1247k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5171-3.66%1.7276+9.71%0.3442✗1.44589k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.049786-3.68%0.04593-11.14%0.0540✗0.9015k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.596743-3.69%0.5054-18.43%0.0062✓1.16642k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5021-3.71%1.52-2.56%0.0442✗0.22268k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.148256-3.79%0.1324-14.08%0.0344✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.6893-3.84%4.0516+44.87%0.5555✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2011-3.87%2.03-39.04%0.3822✓0.4994k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.054989-3.92%0.043128-24.65%0.1536✓0.6022k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8537-4.04%6.7+9.84%0.2339✗0.66623k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039614-4.08%0.0349-15.50%0.0565✗1.2371k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.049331-4.11%0.043941-14.59%0.0613✗1.1938k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.0196-4.13%6.142-26.58%0.0577✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5892.5814-4.14%84.85-12.15%0.1608✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6739.9199-4.20%31.5-24.41%0.0341✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019138-4.30%0.030314+51.59%0.5368✗0.51165k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.2281-4.33%4.86-25.35%0.0392✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.7467-4.47%10.1-10.22%0.1192✗1.21243k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.912195-4.48%0.6723-29.60%0.0407✓1.77513k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.985066-4.50%1.1394+10.46%0.3197✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.495592-4.51%0.418-19.46%0.0006✓1.1513k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6735-4.56%4.449+15.59%0.2802✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.9239-4.57%11.825+13.71%0.3802✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.309-4.57%0.3041-6.08%0.1549✗1.1576k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9319-4.60%2.072+2.32%0.2598✗1.27415k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8105-4.63%2.012-31.73%0.1215✓1.4349k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.4893-4.67%19.13-18.91%0.0764✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1431-4.67%0.89656-25.23%0.0790✓1.1010k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6167-4.79%7.66-4.25%0.2096✗1.37263k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.9837-4.87%31.03-7.70%0.2597✗1.94229k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.022471-4.87%0.02152-8.89%0.1025✗0.989,6292022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.027-4.91%0.91-15.74%0.0163✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8816.9944-4.95%14.14-20.92%0.0172✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.168617-5.06%0.1276-28.15%0.0913✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.163248-5.09%0.1395-18.90%0.0292✓1.25491k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.050419-5.23%0.044-17.29%0.0504✓1.25269k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.7899-5.29%1.43-24.34%0.0120✓1.42234k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.325903-5.67%0.31172-9.77%0.1517✗1.3112k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.181548-5.69%0.15568-19.13%0.1916✗2.311,2222022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.639-5.69%6.047+22.93%0.3474✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7062-5.79%4.337+10.24%0.2644✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.7694-5.96%7.8611+166.92%1.1588✗0.77978k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.507833-5.97%0.3203-40.70%0.2502✓1.41234k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008819-5.98%0.00799-14.82%0.0895✗1.26359k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2429-6.15%2.13-10.88%0.1080✗1.07301k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.8203-6.23%6.25-25.06%0.0384✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.456782-6.23%0.3717-23.70%0.0891✓0.7863k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2229-6.30%5.746-34.53%0.1998✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.6317-6.33%2.922-24.63%0.0855✓0.88754k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2576-6.56%1.522-37.00%0.1836✓1.41177k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4696.5771-6.65%96.47-6.76%0.1502✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.802859-6.75%0.673-21.84%0.0810✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.2192-6.78%12.5-11.85%0.1541✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2146-7.02%1.1463-12.24%0.1667✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000097353-7.10%0.00022156+111.43%1.1122✗1.94592k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.771979-7.10%0.475-42.84%0.2638✓1.493,6872022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034162-7.17%0.02026-44.95%0.2951✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.382-7.37%6.4+10.15%0.2643✗0.61732k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.283337-7.38%0.2325-23.99%0.0300✓1.12300k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.074449-7.52%0.06211-22.84%0.0426✓1.50773k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.1367-7.64%4.761-28.34%0.0045✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.137412-8.02%0.2179+45.85%0.6261✗1.11698k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.0489-8.13%8.84-10.25%0.0548✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.6418-8.45%4.79-5.52%0.1373✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.077061-8.47%0.07274-13.60%0.1428✗1.3429k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.2972-8.54%2.959-17.92%0.1498✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.6139-8.57%2.1594-24.47%0.0424✓1.5612k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4425.8178-9.22%19.03-33.09%0.0973✓1.39641k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28522.9796-9.30%6.6294+101.80%0.9329✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07790.973228-9.71%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,479.24-9.75%9,021.07-22.31%0.0586✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.694542-10.32%0.5573-28.04%0.0462✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.1542-10.65%17.27-10.05%0.1354✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.535.831-10.70%5.61-14.09%0.0537✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0161-10.85%0.9023-20.84%0.1270✗1.65205k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0230.6626-12.44%32.41-7.45%0.2659✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.32-12.70%1.129-25.33%0.1396✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.