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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1375
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.4%
in alpha space · 66.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0402-8.74%0.9023-20.84%0.1036✗1.65205k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3846-8.43%1.129-25.33%0.0918✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3537-6.97%2.959-17.92%0.1328✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.1929-6.79%4.761-28.34%0.0047✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,865.62-6.42%9,021.07-22.31%0.0224✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.1459-5.88%5.61-14.09%0.0011✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.7836-5.82%19.03-33.09%0.1340✓1.39641k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.729683-5.79%0.5573-28.04%0.0956✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000098801-5.72%0.00022156+111.43%1.0975✗1.94592k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.1229-5.61%17.27-10.05%0.0804✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.785223-5.51%0.475-42.84%0.2808✓1.493,6872022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.512948-5.03%0.3203-40.70%0.2602✓1.41234k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.4724-4.99%12.5-11.85%0.1352✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.080083-4.88%0.07274-13.60%0.1043✗1.3429k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.893534-4.82%0.9535+1.57%0.1986✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2459-4.62%1.1463-12.24%0.1413✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.3967-4.60%8.84-10.25%0.0171✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035175-4.42%0.02026-44.95%0.3244✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8481-4.38%4.79-5.52%0.0938✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.913464-4.35%0.6723-29.60%0.0421✓1.77513k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7105-4.24%6.047+22.93%0.3321✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.5481-4.20%32.41-7.45%0.1760✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8257-4.12%2.012-31.73%0.1269✓1.4349k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.293447-4.07%0.2325-23.99%0.0651✓1.12300k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.148015-3.95%0.1324-14.08%0.0361✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019254-3.72%0.030314+51.59%0.5307✗0.51165k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4699.617-3.71%96.47-6.76%0.1192✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.169-3.54%6.6294+101.80%0.8713✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3057-3.53%2.13-10.88%0.0803✗1.07301k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144165-3.50%0.2179+45.85%0.5781✗1.11698k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077688-3.49%0.06211-22.84%0.0000✓1.50773k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.171536-3.41%0.1276-28.15%0.1085✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.6245-3.37%12.38-18.20%0.0089✓1.1868k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.0616-3.34%6.25-25.06%0.0688✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.022857-3.23%0.02152-8.89%0.0854✗0.989,6292022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.688569-3.23%0.55118-22.54%0.0031✓1.5188k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.625534-3.17%0.515-20.28%0.0149✓1.4088k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.203993-3.14%0.1531-27.30%0.0843✓1.361,6972022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8541-3.09%7.8611+166.92%1.1287✗0.77978k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.5962-3.05%31.03-7.70%0.2408✗1.94229k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.456949-2.98%0.3462-26.50%0.0583✓1.47273k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.8875-2.98%19.13-18.91%0.0588✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.3522-2.95%14.14-20.92%0.0036✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.472828-2.94%0.3717-23.70%0.1236✓0.7863k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,582.98-2.93%1,554.00-4.71%0.1689✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3453-2.93%1.522-37.00%0.2217✓1.41177k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67658.9344-2.87%51.915-14.44%0.0007✓0.85345k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.504194-2.85%0.418-19.46%0.0166✓1.1513k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8363-2.84%1.43-24.34%0.0376✓1.42234k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1657-2.78%0.89656-25.23%0.0986✓1.1010k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.076818-2.74%0.06618-16.21%0.0400✓0.731,1722022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5395-2.69%5.746-34.53%0.2375✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.5773-2.62%31.5-24.41%0.0504✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7482-2.62%4.449+15.59%0.2601✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.21e-7-2.57%9.25e-7+181.07%1.2026✗0.96178k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5894.1062-2.56%84.85-12.15%0.1444✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8377-2.45%4.337+10.24%0.2295✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.4772-2.42%47.14-19.97%0.0094✓1.3932k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.696-2.39%47.42-26.17%0.1025✓1.18354k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.1508-2.39%11.825+13.71%0.3576✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059743-2.38%0.0484-20.92%0.0160✓1.30799k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002372-2.36%0.001503-38.12%0.3069✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87134.6579-2.33%115.16-16.47%0.0213✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0075-2.33%1.1394+10.46%0.2972✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7868-2.33%2.922-24.63%0.1273✓0.88754k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5381-2.32%1.7276+9.71%0.3304✗1.44589k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7548-2.24%1.818+1.28%0.1307✗0.64189k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.337755-2.24%0.31172-9.77%0.1160✗1.3112k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.501346-2.23%0.4458-13.07%0.0690✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065903-2.22%0.0574-14.84%0.0048✓0.96229k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0541-2.21%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009177-2.17%0.00799-14.82%0.0498✗1.26359k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8311-2.11%7.66-4.25%0.1819✗1.37263k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,688.43-2.09%19,990.40-13.73%0.0197✓0.9814k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9732-2.08%6.7+9.84%0.2137✗0.66623k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6915-2.04%6.4+10.15%0.2084✗0.61732k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.18873-1.96%0.15568-19.13%0.1528✗2.311,2222022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.756915-1.95%0.663-14.12%0.0147✓0.99377k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.01755-1.95%0.01358-24.13%0.1398✓0.78229k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9868-1.89%2.072+2.32%0.2318✗1.27415k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2682-1.86%2.03-39.04%0.4030✓0.4994k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.121332-1.83%0.1026-16.99%0.0383✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.845389-1.81%0.673-21.84%0.0294✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.1689-1.80%0.1395-18.90%0.0049✓1.25491k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2275-1.79%1.7939-20.91%0.0323✓1.2329k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.20341-1.73%0.1824-11.88%0.0993✗1.401,1792022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050563-1.72%0.043941-14.59%0.0366✗1.1938k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2911-1.67%13.005+198.01%1.1957✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.779804-1.66%0.663-16.39%0.0217✗1.23218k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3964-1.66%1.0347-27.13%0.0851✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090857-1.63%0.08149-11.77%0.0724✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5346-1.63%1.52-2.56%0.0227✗0.22268k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.12355-1.55%0.1003-20.08%0.0608✓0.994,9522022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.411-1.52%4.86-25.35%0.0681✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0013-1.48%0.77191-24.05%0.0628✓1.32525k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.720303-1.46%0.528-27.77%0.0882✓1.4980k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040701-1.45%0.0349-15.50%0.0294✗1.2371k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9929-1.44%1.65-18.40%0.0019✓1.28637k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.331328-1.39%0.2809-16.40%0.0114✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0961-1.37%10.1-10.22%0.0872✗1.21243k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8226-1.27%2.1594-24.47%0.0344✓1.5612k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6962-1.27%1.275-25.79%0.0691✓1.45327k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0937-1.26%3.149-24.05%0.0992✓1.0939k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2604-1.25%6.142-26.58%0.0872✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084732-1.24%0.0595-30.65%0.1779✓1.18137k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001084-1.12%0.001342+22.42%0.4053✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011836-1.12%0.00001208+0.92%0.2044✗1.23986k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.01485-1.11%0.013176-12.26%0.0120✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0683-1.09%0.91-15.74%0.0558✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051133-1.08%0.04593-11.14%0.0273✗0.9015k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.8316-1.07%53.84-9.47%0.0838✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9284-1.07%2.728-7.84%0.0959✗1.12619k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052649-1.04%0.044-17.29%0.0071✓1.25269k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010104-1.03%0.00858-15.96%0.0195✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119452-1.03%0.1033-14.42%0.0145✗1.07352k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003223-1.02%0.002994-8.05%0.0783✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115029-1.01%0.0899-22.63%0.0526✓1.30472k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045717-1.00%0.03845-16.74%0.0298✓0.962,3002022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.415214-0.99%0.33416-20.32%0.0364✓1.21118k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.228464-0.97%0.2184-5.33%0.1762✗1.4897k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.491879-0.95%0.439-11.60%0.0534✗1.1247k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8035-0.90%1.5108-16.98%0.0113✗1.26492k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0694-0.88%0.8327-22.82%0.0393✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4107-0.86%1.205-15.32%0.0320✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5136-0.80%6.628-12.49%0.0632✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.25987-0.74%0.247-5.65%0.0491✓0.0128k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031813-0.71%0.03519+9.83%0.2859✗1.2414k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.541-0.68%26.73-13.07%0.0087✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.778-0.67%4.0516+44.87%0.5231✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.275231-0.64%0.2447-11.66%0.0430✗1.0867k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.36049-0.63%0.29809-17.83%0.0036✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056951-0.49%0.043128-24.65%0.1887✓0.6022k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.063798-0.47%0.1161+81.12%0.7198✗0.81155k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.411277-0.37%0.31794-22.98%0.0493✓1.39583k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3184-0.35%0.9427-28.75%0.1502✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5568-0.32%1.915-25.34%0.0273✓1.7595k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021496-0.30%0.02304+6.86%0.2234✗1.03159k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6253-0.29%1.31-19.63%0.0111✓1.37114k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265209-0.18%0.2291-13.77%0.0220✗1.13768k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1664-0.17%7.033-14.02%0.0356✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004772-0.16%0.00404-15.48%0.0297✗1.32112k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060146-0.09%0.0577-4.15%0.1678✗1.40339k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070462-0.05%0.0622-11.77%0.0358✗1.08567k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342236-0.05%0.2885-15.74%0.0008✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.263174+0.03%0.2112-19.73%0.0367✗1.23101k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048322+0.05%0.0357-26.09%0.1021✗1.347,6872022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.8088+0.07%149.22-7.14%0.0910✓1.111.3M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7549.8743+0.25%44.55-10.45%0.0522✓1.11574k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165825+0.25%0.13698-17.19%0.0391✓1.54212k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.07019+0.31%0.063428-9.35%0.0147✓0.78373k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.621752+0.35%0.5054-18.43%0.0348✗1.16642k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003765+0.40%0.00335-10.67%0.0783✓1.31559k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.425649+0.41%0.3513-17.13%0.0062✓1.33127k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006678+0.42%0.006495-2.33%0.0527✓0.5438k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0232+0.46%0.894603-12.16%0.0088✓0.9660k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.325686+0.58%0.3041-6.08%0.1023✓1.1576k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,423.14+0.64%20,048.26-13.86%0.0064✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.31111+0.64%0.35+13.22%0.2922✓1.17398k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065223+0.65%0.0503-22.38%0.0453✗1.44154k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.731901+0.67%1.078+48.28%0.5683✓1.21806k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8798+0.69%2.15-24.83%0.0657✗1.52192k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.67e-7+0.77%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0431✓1.0025k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045487+0.77%0.00004452-1.37%0.1516✓1.161.9M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.79e-7+0.97%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0170✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.4863+0.98%59.88-4.76%0.1282✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030325+1.05%0.02455-18.19%0.0164✗1.311,2932022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.223601+1.18%0.168-23.98%0.0599✗1.51821k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.166642+1.18%0.1445-12.26%0.0428✓1.2494k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4646+1.22%3.743+53.72%0.5550✓0.92105k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.0844+1.22%9.001-9.66%0.0481✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.145607+1.26%0.1236-14.05%0.0277✓1.2859k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.2563+1.28%5.8014+11.78%0.1298✓0.21210k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001719+1.30%0.00156-8.07%0.0554✓1.0211k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2625+1.32%1.0708-14.06%0.0060✓1.0643k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.339908+1.47%0.282-15.82%0.0329✗1.03959k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.4424+1.55%15.53-14.48%0.0326✓1.37116k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.120344+1.72%0.104365-11.78%0.0060✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4973+1.83%4.3008-2.62%0.0641✓0.73916k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.069993+1.85%0.061277-10.83%0.0383✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008582+1.92%0.00619-26.48%0.1903✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.096958+1.95%0.0821-13.67%0.0135✓1.216,7862022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.470437+1.98%0.365-20.88%0.0679✗1.25778k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.796628+2.13%0.73-6.41%0.0029✓0.6179k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006477+2.48%0.005668-10.32%0.0008✓0.909,1592022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.572051+2.63%0.4594-17.58%0.0492✗1.14341k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.