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2022-07-28 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1662
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 54.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006828+10.51%0.005618-9.08%0.0406✓0.894,8812022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.598187+9.44%0.4567-16.45%0.0716✓1.14350k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.474625+9.26%0.3638-16.25%0.0467✓1.26606k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.092237+8.64%0.0845-0.47%0.1238✓1.216,3652022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.056549+6.29%0.0509-4.32%0.1487✓1.46109k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.849697+6.21%0.75-6.25%0.0179✓0.6179k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1968+5.39%1.0488-7.64%0.0552✓1.0743k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.76091+5.24%0.936+29.46%0.4172✓1.21806k2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.936.2371+5.18%5.829-1.70%0.1245✓1.102.0M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.122218+4.74%0.105594-9.51%0.0279✓1.006.8M2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.072354+4.70%0.063422-8.22%0.0690✓1.151.7M2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.8081+4.50%9.134-11.69%0.0222✓1.092.4M2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.15618+4.26%0.1419-5.27%0.1215✓1.2587k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6466.3027+4.18%61.36-3.58%0.1447✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.026176+3.87%0.0242-3.97%0.0101✓0.5145k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.253517+3.82%0.2067-15.36%0.0114✓1.24110k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001576+3.41%0.001454-4.59%0.0962✓1.0120k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003806+3.14%0.00292-20.87%0.0364✗1.31505k2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.7153+3.09%4.134+56.95%0.5816✓0.93105k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.771956+3.06%0.55-26.57%0.0766✗1.5180k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.045613+2.96%0.0366-17.38%0.0135✓1.347,1312022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.009212+2.93%0.0066-26.26%0.1735✗0.921.6M2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.34058+2.90%0.296889-10.30%0.0873✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.22171+2.64%0.171-20.83%0.0035✓1.51786k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.007079+2.59%0.00674-2.33%0.0444✓0.5440k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.4534+2.45%5.1648-2.97%0.0182✓0.21214k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.085549+2.33%0.1016+21.53%0.3158✓0.83155k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8568.031+2.23%7.044-10.34%0.0880✓1.269.4M2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.071649+2.21%0.0608-13.27%0.0216✓1.07299k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.071236+2.11%0.062935-9.79%0.0133✓0.79376k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.064177+2.03%0.0604-3.97%0.1842✓1.41337k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.332302+2.03%0.34004+4.41%0.2278✓1.18407k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,268.96+1.75%20,036.69-15.99%0.0173✗1.00429.5M2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3703+1.72%4.376+1.85%0.1273✓0.72968k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0136+1.71%0.882839-11.41%0.0323✓0.9857k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.5252+1.67%12.5391-12.23%0.0609✓1.1970k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.13271+1.62%0.1186-9.19%0.1134✓1.3049k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7356+1.56%1.758+2.87%0.1257✓0.65223k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.9074+1.52%2.671-6.74%0.1076✓1.10597k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.341385+1.51%0.2889-14.09%0.0330✓1.157.7M2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.254274+1.51%0.2211-11.74%0.0623✓1.16643k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.74e-7+1.49%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0725✓1.0024k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.030366+1.46%0.03599+20.25%0.3883✓1.2514k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4853.242+1.45%45.13-14.01%0.0301✓1.12594k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.43719+1.44%0.3569-17.19%0.0328✓1.35104k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.308006+1.32%0.28-7.89%0.0861✓1.04681k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.055363+1.21%0.0474-13.35%0.0731✓1.31765k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.123054+1.20%0.1035-14.88%0.0006✓1.005,8712022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.265117+1.19%0.2612-0.31%0.0130✗0.0131k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.243402+1.16%0.2201-8.52%0.1591✓1.4999k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.107211+1.14%0.0908-14.34%0.0631✓1.32491k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030911+1.12%0.02469-19.23%0.0032✓1.311,3002022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.655+1.06%15.2-17.66%0.0360✓1.38100k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.413092+1.03%0.33622-17.77%0.0071✓1.22118k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.734+1.01%1.4676-14.51%0.0525✓1.26492k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.962435+1.01%0.7896-17.13%0.0510✓1.431.4M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011968+1.00%0.00001216+2.62%0.2329✓1.25986k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004461+0.93%0.00389-11.99%0.0937✓1.32106k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9914.0255+0.87%13.227+231.42%1.2937✓0.601.1M2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6032+0.83%1.29-18.87%0.0239✓1.38114k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.20022+0.82%0.1524-23.26%0.0338✗1.371,5612022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044619+0.77%0.00003688-16.71%0.0144✓1.181.7M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3024,039.55+0.69%19,933.00-16.51%0.0167✗0.9819k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043456+0.62%0.03828-11.37%0.0420✓0.971,9372022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8876+0.61%2.11-26.48%0.0458✗1.54192k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.220292+0.50%0.1693-22.76%0.0207✗1.391,1792022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.427063+0.37%0.32976-22.50%0.0124✗1.41592k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.160549+0.34%0.1322-17.38%0.0752✓1.55205k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075591+0.33%0.06819-9.49%0.0252✓0.741,3772022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001101+0.30%0.00137+24.77%0.4445✓1.301.6M2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009251+0.22%0.0087-5.74%0.1074✓0.974.7M2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.981434+0.11%0.77842-20.60%0.0020✓1.34399k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.254868+0.07%0.2424-4.83%0.1391✓1.0963k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.64e-7+0.03%7.59e-7+108.75%0.9023✓0.96195k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.50e-7-0.02%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0581✗0.845.9M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018781-0.26%0.01518-19.38%0.0804✓0.76263k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.510775-0.41%0.45-12.26%0.0920✗1.2543.2M2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.135174-0.53%0.1236-9.05%0.0863✗1.013.2M2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114135-0.58%0.1033-10.02%0.1415✗1.382.5M2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.311519-0.66%0.2796-10.84%0.0998✗1.192.7M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1677-0.72%6.531-9.54%0.1279✗1.2716.2M2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7427-0.76%1.221-30.47%0.1020✓1.46316k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3187-0.77%6.18+15.30%0.2664✗0.67514k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51161.1411-0.84%145.16-10.68%0.0868✗1.101.3M2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.5497-0.92%52.374-17.04%0.0291✓0.85386k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4787-0.94%3.7353+49.29%0.5816✗0.98863k2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020791-0.95%0.02261+7.72%0.2635✗1.03136k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.875469-0.97%0.84-4.98%0.0830✗0.711.2M2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3606-0.98%1.146-16.59%0.0528✗1.292.4M2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5412-1.05%4.87-13.04%0.1169✗1.41959k2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083703-1.06%0.0639-24.47%0.0611✓1.20155k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003072-1.14%0.003041-2.12%0.1641✗1.001.0M2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.744382-1.14%0.663-11.95%0.1013✗1.25178k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.56882-1.32%0.5753-0.19%0.2152✗1.17624k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8037-1.33%1.69-7.55%0.1591✗1.29626k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.115359-1.40%0.1015-13.25%0.0590✗1.07357k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7437-1.41%2.028-27.13%0.0511✓1.4443k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69153.4461-1.44%115.26-25.97%0.0782✓1.193.9M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.428519-1.54%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4767-1.55%1.7824+18.83%0.4377✗1.43561k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.760823-1.58%0.652-15.65%0.0197✗1.00360k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.118793-1.58%0.22+82.27%0.8100✗1.11617k2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.391-1.58%5.0801+109.10%0.8899✗0.78884k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4362.3986-1.63%53.03-16.40%0.0395✗1.1613.5M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9756.9703-1.72%46.09-20.49%0.0306✗1.3932k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.601266-1.75%0.51-16.67%0.0814✗1.4184k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.659593-1.76%0.54155-19.34%0.0688✗1.5379k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8399-1.92%1.823-2.83%0.2128✗1.27413k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064175-2.02%0.0569-13.13%0.0468✗0.96183k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.092407-2.05%0.08547-9.40%0.0324✓0.26859k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.294962-2.14%0.3144+4.31%0.2634✗1.1575k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2429.5791-2.19%25.8-14.68%0.0295✗0.9510.8M2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5352-2.22%1.0612-32.41%0.1159✓1.451.0M2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.7939-2.24%1.96-31.42%0.0483✓1.7692k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.454833-2.27%0.3492-24.97%0.0069✓1.48220k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015076-2.29%0.013178-14.59%0.0212✓0.891.2M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.95545-2.31%0.963-1.53%0.1670✗0.913.9M2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.487577-2.37%0.376-24.71%0.0644✓1.1242k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2551-2.38%1.7879-22.60%0.0150✓1.2524k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037743-2.47%0.0348-10.08%0.1332✗1.2368k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4463.7849-2.53%45.84-29.95%0.1226✓1.19244k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026586-2.61%0.02303-15.64%0.1257✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.159389-2.69%0.1246-23.93%0.0229✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4032-2.71%4.212+20.41%0.3362✗0.71497k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.469701-2.73%0.3532-26.86%0.1108✓1.00224k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.0659-2.74%6.303-13.24%0.1062✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.2638-2.78%4.23+26.01%0.3642✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3192-2.79%0.9661-28.81%0.0953✓1.241.2M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.053487-2.82%0.0454-17.52%0.0571✓0.6120k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.914526-2.88%1.3728+45.79%0.6120✗1.181.2M2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5345-2.88%1.41-10.76%0.0390✓0.26283k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.6229-3.08%6.22+30.40%0.4049✗0.62587k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.159334-3.14%0.1404-14.65%0.0932✗1.26411k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,669.42-3.23%1,491.22-13.56%0.1065✗1.26383.0M2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.7924-3.27%1.404-24.23%0.0066✓1.44217k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020249-3.29%0.023238+10.98%0.2261✗0.51165k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9341.4711-3.40%31.54-26.53%0.0349✓1.3781.8M2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1578-3.43%2.47-24.46%0.1585✓0.5082k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.3298-3.45%3.1269-30.27%0.1335✓1.1028k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.045798-3.46%0.04518-4.76%0.1446✗0.9115k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.047571-3.49%0.044708-9.29%0.1443✗1.1832k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2393-3.49%5.259+126.66%1.0109✗0.90979k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.576-3.52%13.8-19.67%0.0556✗1.371.3M2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021086-3.61%0.020673-5.50%0.1517✗0.988,3682022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.006-3.64%0.86406-17.24%0.0411✗1.119,1202022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.48178-3.64%0.412-17.60%0.0431✗1.1413k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.429139-3.87%0.36774-17.62%0.0192✓0.7853k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.334.8939-3.87%30.05-17.22%0.1880✗1.94181k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.050326-3.96%0.0436-16.79%0.0659✗1.20263k2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1163.9526-3.97%5.784+40.52%0.4768✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4196.4152-3.98%82.11-18.23%0.1304✗1.679.0M2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.2611-4.00%20.04-17.29%0.1303✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.4055-4.17%11.173+2.90%0.3105✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.96939-4.21%0.6853-32.28%0.0383✓1.77551k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.529118-4.27%0.5335-3.47%0.2113✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.068968-4.36%0.06428-10.86%0.1942✗1.52768k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.303092-4.54%0.28228-11.10%0.1579✗1.3111k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.8278-4.82%6.056-34.71%0.1310✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.8189-4.88%7.33-10.83%0.1730✗1.36256k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,691.11-4.92%8,782.65-3.92%0.2512✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.5407-4.92%2.682-27.98%0.1245✓0.88754k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.4103-4.99%10-16.74%0.0805✗1.22241k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.5391-5.33%8.4-6.87%0.0767✗0.53918k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.2706-5.67%1.63-32.28%0.0819✓1.43160k2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5617.4888-5.77%38.17+105.66%1.0230✗1.39534k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.172714-5.91%0.15762-14.13%0.3129✗2.321,1272022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.7897.5495-6.00%94.38-9.06%0.1439✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.0393-6.06%4.59+6.74%0.2532✗0.72685k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.793323-6.12%0.659-22.01%0.1171✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.6662-6.24%2.0859-26.65%0.0308✓1.5810k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000093897-6.35%0.0001339+33.55%0.6947✗1.95662k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.0919-6.68%11.9-21.19%0.0778✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.274.9097-6.84%5.29+0.38%0.1832✗0.62786k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.273453-7.34%0.268-9.18%0.1777✗1.13323k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.406-7.48%4.757-31.30%0.0052✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.5811-7.49%2.14-23.30%0.0008✓1.08175k2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.777423-8.11%0.509-39.83%0.1621✓1.503,1392022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4123-8.57%1.0479-32.17%0.0352✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.07679-8.65%0.0675-19.70%0.1041✗1.3428k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.889875-8.86%0.79-19.09%0.1662✗1.64209k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.7603-9.06%2.891-30.08%0.0417✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0117-9.45%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.010327-9.89%0.00757-33.94%0.0893✓1.27352k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4315.6832-10.02%17.54+0.63%0.2644✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.2379-14.51%1.025-29.21%0.1545✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8334.5174-15.46%33-19.18%0.2032✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.