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2022-07-25 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1722
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.5%
in alpha space · 41.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.499899+2.27%0.4861-0.55%0.0309✗1.15350k2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.6372+1.87%9.631+1.81%0.0034✓1.112.1M2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.079882+1.76%0.091+15.92%0.1272✓1.236,7862022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96964.0349+1.65%4.4922+13.17%0.1056✓0.72919k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.3043+1.27%6.274+19.78%0.1651✓1.111.9M2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.284451+1.23%0.285+1.42%0.0007✓1.05673k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.107275+1.21%0.109482+3.30%0.0178✓1.016.7M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038749+1.20%0.00003875+1.20%0.0030✓1.191.9M2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005696+1.20%0.005761+2.36%0.0091✓0.912,9222022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.120829+1.20%0.1249+4.61%0.0298✓1.3447k2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.14166+1.06%0.14186+1.21%0.0026✓1.58176k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.132826+0.93%0.1481+12.54%0.1057✓1.2681k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.048035+0.91%0.0549+15.34%0.1299✓1.48119k2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.530259+0.89%0.5089-3.18%0.0441✗1.20642k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.254.6695+0.87%67.69+24.89%0.2104✓1.281.4M2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.404076+0.84%0.3867-3.49%0.0472✗1.28606k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2673+0.77%2.41+7.11%0.0572✓1.52205k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.283433+0.71%0.308844+9.73%0.0826✓1.301.1M2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,454.43+0.66%21,367.12+0.25%0.0066✓1.00374.5M2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.194172+0.61%0.186-3.63%0.0469✗1.55881k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019484+0.59%0.02359+21.79%0.1886✓1.06129k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.062239+0.50%0.067837+9.54%0.0832✓1.151.8M2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.3142+0.42%17.01+11.54%0.1015✓1.3997k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12144.7031+0.40%150.55+4.46%0.0368✓1.111.1M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.27679+0.40%0.3737+35.55%0.2973✓1.1465k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7751+0.27%7.565+11.96%0.1072✓1.248.6M2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041506+0.26%0.0402-2.90%0.0354✗1.357,5232022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.055+0.23%1.1172+6.14%0.0545✓1.1045k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.4534+0.16%11.09+31.40%0.2686✓1.16243k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222417+0.14%0.2197-1.08%0.0155✗1.26119k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.68178+0.11%0.956+40.38%0.3350✓1.21758k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.02572+0.04%0.02692+4.71%0.0422✓1.351,3002022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.82501+0.01%0.8581+4.02%0.0357✓1.441.4M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.232087-0.01%0.2557+10.17%0.0941✗1.1161k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063658-0.01%0.06482+1.82%0.0161✗0.80373k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.362303-0.03%0.3871+6.82%0.0628✗1.3670k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095632-0.07%0.1146+19.75%0.1775✗1.372.4M2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006541-0.14%0.0082+25.19%0.2236✗1.01355k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001477-0.15%0.0016+8.18%0.0775✗1.0620k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.788817-0.15%0.74-6.33%0.0656✓0.6983k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4123-0.19%4.724+95.45%0.6698✗0.92105k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2922-0.25%4.3422+88.96%0.6363✗1.00863k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008428-0.26%0.00698-17.40%0.1909✓0.931.3M2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003957-0.32%0.00409+3.02%0.0296✗1.34106k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047781-0.33%0.07101+48.12%0.3925✗1.46712k2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.43393-0.34%0.4107-5.67%0.0578✓1.1241k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003438-0.35%0.00321-6.96%0.0720✓1.34566k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.364-0.44%1.42+3.65%0.0366✗1.44127k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.76e-7-0.50%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0365✗0.845.9M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026596-0.58%0.04016+50.13%0.4089✗1.2718k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084992-0.59%0.1052+23.04%0.2112✗0.84148k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2318-0.66%6.85+60.80%0.4801✗0.62504k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03117.2399-0.67%130.34+10.43%0.1030✗1.164.2M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.618827-0.67%0.721+15.73%0.1504✗0.97387k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8844.5739-0.68%49.13+9.47%0.0945✗1.11498k2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7528-0.75%14.339+279.24%1.3389✗0.621.2M2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.4966-0.78%1.6006+6.11%0.0639✗1.28492k2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092035-0.82%0.099+6.68%0.0696✗1.34502k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008359-0.84%0.0091+7.95%0.0825✗0.994.5M2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033409-0.86%0.0377+11.87%0.1177✗1.2472k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006631-0.86%0.00668-0.13%0.0059✓0.5546k2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,218.59-0.88%9,349.19+49.02%0.4043✗1.354.0M2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.00307-0.93%0.003426+10.55%0.1071✗1.011.0M2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.308658-0.94%0.3023-2.98%0.0238✓1.187.5M2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.228697-0.95%0.2353+1.91%0.0254✗1.21701k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.90496-0.96%0.935146+2.35%0.0303✗0.9851k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.272134-0.97%0.2983+8.55%0.0888✗1.202.7M2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.3575-0.99%7.122+10.92%0.1103✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3857-1.02%1.364-2.57%0.0194✓1.45317k2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7084-1.08%6.94+45.80%0.3863✗0.66514k2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2475-1.10%3.4798+5.98%0.0664✗1.0725k2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100269-1.12%0.2424+139.05%0.8799✗1.11617k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017718-1.12%0.01734-3.24%0.0235✓0.77354k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6085-1.14%2.147+31.96%0.2856✗1.26332k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1873-1.14%1.0444-13.04%0.1314✓1.241.3M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.5988-1.15%2.932+11.53%0.1178✗1.12619k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3384-1.17%2.176-8.03%0.0764✓1.7587k2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0254-1.20%5.386+5.89%0.0688✗0.19214k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.6775-1.23%27.55+2.00%0.0298✗0.9510.6M2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039504-1.24%0.04014+0.35%0.0135✗0.992,0302022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2933-1.25%1.8503+41.29%0.3545✗1.46561k2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.052678-1.36%0.048259-9.64%0.0892✓0.6218k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04695-1.36%0.0518+8.82%0.0949✗1.34787k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044084-1.38%0.046228+3.41%0.0445✗1.2021k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.063306-1.39%0.0669+4.21%0.0525✗1.08239k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8433-1.39%9.29+33.86%0.3045✗0.48670k2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9486-1.40%7.045-0.03%0.0104✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5346-1.44%1.827+17.34%0.1728✗0.64223k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.78644-1.45%0.886+11.03%0.1173✗0.751.1M2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1454-1.45%2.264+4.00%0.0502✗1.4237k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000975668-1.46%0.001535+55.01%0.4497✗1.311.7M2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.106214-1.47%0.1104+2.41%0.0359✗1.09380k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.400726-1.47%0.36571-10.08%0.0951✓1.47602k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.2208-1.48%56.46+4.52%0.0562✗1.1513.6M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.212506-1.48%0.2239+3.80%0.0485✗1.4999k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.8709-1.50%8.04+34.90%0.3111✗1.31248k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047372-1.51%0.0464-3.53%0.0238✓1.22263k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1773-1.57%4.876+51.05%0.4263✗0.77488k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2282-1.58%1.24-0.64%0.0062✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.859548-1.59%0.8327-4.67%0.0351✓1.36423k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058035-1.64%0.0641+8.64%0.0958✗1.43328k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2267-1.67%2.4403+7.76%0.0877✗1.579,0562022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.51e-7-1.70%8.05e-7+125.15%0.8262✗0.99234k2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8064-1.75%1.9654+6.89%0.0813✗1.2324k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.080168-1.76%0.0676-17.16%0.1736✓1.22172k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.662062-1.77%0.727+7.86%0.0904✗1.25149k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.01321-1.79%0.014302+6.33%0.0772✗0.911.2M2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.084.9887-1.80%5.72+12.60%0.1332✗1.43947k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2031-1.82%5.6172+150.33%0.9340✗0.79895k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043216-1.85%0.04656+5.75%0.0722✗0.9315k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.650713-1.85%0.6-9.50%0.0849✓1.5179k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010484-1.93%0.00001305+22.08%0.2158✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.514-2.00%1.548+0.19%0.0185✓1.45212k2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.82e-7-2.01%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0397✗1.0025k2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.04-2.02%14.55-5.21%0.0366✓1.381.3M2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.395834-2.04%0.40312-0.24%0.0163✓0.7551k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,166.50-2.09%21,418.40-0.93%0.0094✓0.9820k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.508091-2.10%0.5577+7.46%0.0902✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0256-2.12%4.9+58.52%0.4806✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.25515-2.24%0.2599-0.42%0.0184✓0.0135k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3774-2.31%1.38-2.13%0.0013✓0.23319k2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8361-2.33%2.34+24.47%0.2398✗1.08157k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.361512-2.35%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023903-2.36%0.02382-2.70%0.0075✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.0798-2.40%5.8769+175.78%1.0365✗0.90971k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.285977-2.42%0.2979+1.65%0.0375✗1.349,2162022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.069268-2.44%0.07009-1.28%0.0100✓0.731,6422022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5562-2.50%1.936+21.30%0.2152✗1.29606k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.0476-2.51%6.406+3.27%0.0544✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.01996-2.53%0.022261+8.70%0.1066✗1.006,1832022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.7452-2.54%13.019+45.09%0.3945✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.165577-2.54%0.16688-1.78%0.0017✓2.451,1272022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.111577-2.55%0.1118-2.36%0.0005✓1.015,8712022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.058933-2.59%0.0606+0.17%0.0254✓0.98156k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.349523-2.64%0.36794+2.49%0.0483✗1.23113k2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.335326-2.64%0.34078-1.06%0.0131✓1.20400k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.179316-2.65%0.171-7.17%0.0510✓1.411,0652022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3235-2.68%1.1971-11.98%0.1040✓1.45856k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2448.8883-2.69%51.17+1.85%0.0421✗1.3832k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.461851-2.75%0.4577-3.62%0.0122✓1.2741.4M2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,400.88-2.77%1,656.74+14.99%0.1646✗1.24344.6M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.3196-2.82%13.8671+9.39%0.1153✗1.2078k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.5999-2.83%55.495+2.52%0.0515✗0.84369k2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1189-2.84%2.77-13.71%0.1200✓0.5382k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.479.0821-2.85%88.41+8.61%0.1073✗1.668.1M2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.672875-2.90%0.727+4.91%0.0729✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.41582-3.03%0.3738-12.83%0.1103✓1.50208k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6435.5273-3.04%34.88-4.80%0.0218✓1.3680.3M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.513456-3.12%0.562+6.04%0.0867✗1.4384k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.954147-3.17%0.94669-3.93%0.0107✓1.138,4242022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.119271-3.19%0.1328+7.79%0.1049✗1.013.1M2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.137109-3.24%0.1408-0.64%0.0233✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9471-3.26%5.19+27.21%0.2719✗0.75597k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.090232-3.28%0.08425-9.69%0.0711✓1.00706k2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018111-3.28%0.023439+25.17%0.2567✗0.48163k2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.4613-3.32%35.76+30.65%0.2986✗1.00151k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.4526-3.43%35.45+52.47%0.4535✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.1916-3.44%23.01+10.04%0.1266✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.809946-3.53%1.5383+83.22%0.6384✗1.211.2M2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.1719-3.65%6.1+40.88%0.3784✗0.60694k2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.917663-3.77%0.06201-93.50%2.6970✓0.998,9622022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.141603-3.80%0.1509+2.51%0.0604✗1.28379k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.866517-3.90%1.0301+14.24%0.1706✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.574538-3.92%0.58763-1.73%0.0186✓1.5686k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.167033-4.00%0.1725-0.86%0.0286✓1.431,7562022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.065086-4.03%0.07428+9.53%0.1289✗1.2928k2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.5551-4.05%6.816+83.97%0.6495✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.855-4.09%1.766-8.69%0.0528✓1.45132k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5111.9868-4.18%13.83+10.55%0.1394✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4956.0368-4.19%48.99-16.24%0.1374✓1.20227k2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.482789-4.21%0.452-10.32%0.0689✓1.1811k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.875019-4.37%0.7861-14.09%0.1117✓1.79591k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.401456-4.42%0.4098-2.43%0.0181✓1.00234k2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.8315-4.60%3.034+2.22%0.0648✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.7686-4.91%3-40.18%0.4658✓0.96584k2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8783.4709-5.01%108+22.91%0.2551✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.259565-5.30%0.27-1.50%0.0364✓1.21335k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5519.4368-5.42%37.33+81.65%0.6488✗1.53440k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1078-5.83%1.1766+0.03%0.0566✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.6977-6.09%18.34+3.15%0.0916✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.737609-6.51%0.588-25.48%0.2306✓1.544,1662022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000085979-6.76%0.00009991+8.35%0.1454✗1.90735k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.5874-6.81%5.312-11.41%0.0549✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.732973-7.69%1.226+54.41%0.5099✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.702389-14.94%0.8151-1.30%0.1448✓1.61214k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.