8=======>

2022-07-22 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1135
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 53.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96980.845014-12.87%0.8569-11.64%0.0982✓1.59241k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100250.000092499-7.73%0.00009038-9.85%0.0792✓1.94735k2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism0.8370.787741-5.89%1.176+40.50%0.4942✗1.771.1M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7880.742966-5.72%0.611-22.46%0.1133✓1.555,0122022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.28030.264844-5.51%0.2705-3.50%0.0897✗1.30365k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4816.6188-4.93%18.97+8.52%0.1831✗0.962.1M2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.683.5104-4.61%6.594+79.18%0.6603✗0.562.2M2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9450.901834-4.57%0.804-14.92%0.0194✓1.80594k2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1915.9154-4.45%5.19-16.17%0.0385✓1.7411.7M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43361.3755-4.05%1.0248-28.52%0.2164✓1.474.7M2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.07871.036-3.96%0.96387-10.64%0.0128✓1.127,2992022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7716.1116-3.93%44.36+164.52%1.0947✗1.55431k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum100.7696.8923-3.84%110.77+9.93%0.1870✗1.003.2M2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01740.978548-3.82%1.0512+3.32%0.1224✗0.963,1532022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0742-3.33%2.76-13.21%0.0822✓0.4886k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.182290.176235-3.32%0.16409-9.98%0.0585✗2.451,0922022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2542.1804-3.27%1.724-23.51%0.1587✓1.44132k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.154845-3.22%0.1556-2.75%0.0727✗1.28356k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44390.429903-3.15%0.3841-13.47%0.0598✓1.00257k2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5080.491982-3.15%0.47-7.48%0.0170✓1.1911k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.649230.629119-3.10%0.58884-9.30%0.0162✓1.5699k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration66.5364.4885-3.07%50.64-23.88%0.1786✓1.19231k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072670.070482-3.01%0.07522+3.51%0.1339✗1.3027k2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0142.9245-2.97%3.111+3.22%0.1511✗1.693.8M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90760.881987-2.82%1.3019+43.44%0.4533✗1.211.2M2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.18870.183406-2.81%0.1768-6.31%0.0381✗1.411,8912022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87420.849735-2.80%1.0779+23.30%0.2900✗0.993.5M2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6322.9764-2.77%22.97-2.79%0.0827✗1.5728.4M2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7420.721655-2.74%0.722-2.70%0.0938✗1.765.8M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.15340.149318-2.66%0.1393-9.19%0.0014✓1.292.8M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13680.13339-2.49%0.1381+0.95%0.0888✗1.023.3M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.924.3167-2.34%33.76+35.58%0.3959✗1.281.2M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum30.4429.738-2.31%34.76+14.19%0.2089✗1.00133k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0175660.01717-2.25%0.023427+33.37%0.3363✗0.48165k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.3323-2.25%6.459-0.29%0.0873✗1.275.0M2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4957-2.24%1.38-9.80%0.0681✓0.24398k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0733.0043-2.24%3.174+3.29%0.1124✗1.09562k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40070.391912-2.19%0.3918-2.22%0.0805✗1.53208k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.580021-2.19%0.572-3.54%0.0613✗1.4285k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1811.9205-2.13%13.18+8.21%0.1785✗1.481.1M2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218160.021357-2.10%0.02191+0.43%0.0778✗0.991,7072022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089660.087783-2.09%0.09106+1.56%0.0896✗1.00664k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.7112-2.08%5.04+32.98%0.3467✗0.77597k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.8656.6623-2.07%54.958-5.02%0.0134✓0.83387k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4287.6233-2.01%85.89-3.95%0.0667✗1.6410.2M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.422140.413763-1.98%0.41334-2.08%0.0378✗0.7351k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6410.4336-1.94%10.644+0.04%0.0916✗1.3513.0M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06950.068153-1.94%0.0597-14.10%0.0805✓0.98164k2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana40.5539.7806-1.90%36.48-10.04%0.0159✓1.3481.1M2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18910.185543-1.88%0.1759-6.98%0.0214✗1.411,8832022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9054-1.88%5.94+49.25%0.4525✗0.63713k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071940.070601-1.86%0.07057-1.90%0.0384✗0.731,5492022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.313850.308047-1.85%0.30199-3.78%0.0511✗1.347,0062022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.7771.7461-1.74%1.914+7.71%0.1590✗1.27619k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.386540.379899-1.72%0.37086-4.06%0.0409✗1.23123k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4830.474951-1.67%0.4624-4.27%0.0405✗1.2743.2M2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,535.841,510.26-1.67%1,617.84+5.34%0.1338✗1.23339.7M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5511.527-1.55%1.562+0.71%0.0997✗1.46203k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum55.955.04-1.54%50.91-8.93%0.0055✓1.3734k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28932.255-1.50%5.9198+158.59%1.0124✗0.89890k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1293.0826-1.48%5.101+63.02%0.5369✗0.631.7M2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.116913-1.42%0.109-8.09%0.0179✓0.996,5322022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026010.025641-1.42%0.02263-13.00%0.0397✓1.6114.2M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.51e-7-1.42%7.12e-7+99.85%0.7594✗1.00239k2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163550.016128-1.39%0.014659-10.37%0.0470✓0.921.2M2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.06333-1.36%0.0654+1.87%0.1060✗1.40322k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.40852.376-1.35%2.478+2.89%0.1247✗1.568,0962022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.81.7758-1.34%2.38+32.22%0.3511✗1.10150k2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07360.072631-1.32%0.0675-8.29%0.0185✓1.03209k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.716213.5407-1.28%14.1071+2.85%0.1043✗1.20126k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046910.046316-1.27%0.04674-0.36%0.0574✗0.9111k2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05390.053241-1.22%0.0514-4.64%0.0354✗1.33802k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.71168-1.16%0.728+1.11%0.0897✗1.27139k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.445260.440141-1.15%0.37078-16.73%0.0939✓1.47673k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02542.0024-1.13%1.9484-3.80%0.0371✗1.2226k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36910.365145-1.07%0.3715+0.65%0.0808✗1.203902022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3061-1.05%1.21-8.33%0.0021✓1.48910k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011598-1.04%0.00001348+15.02%0.2165✗1.251.2M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2653.2323-1.00%4.479+37.18%0.3668✗0.77488k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.3164-1.00%5.91+10.06%0.1805✗1.411.0M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0880.087186-0.92%0.1006+14.32%0.1846✗0.78153k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3951.3826-0.89%1.243-10.90%0.0376✓1.302.8M2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.30972.2923-0.75%4.9686+115.12%0.8157✗0.80947k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08470.084065-0.75%0.0696-17.83%0.1229✓1.25202k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.259533-0.71%0.2611-0.11%0.0067✓0.0145k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.933860.927782-0.65%0.85255-8.71%0.0133✓1.35423k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3615.2614-0.64%14.47-5.79%0.0191✗1.371.3M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.048788-0.63%0.0473-3.67%0.0326✗1.20282k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.6233-0.63%2.914+10.38%0.1635✗1.10621k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4031.3942-0.63%1.7908+27.64%0.3256✗1.42647k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.6381.628-0.61%1.6327-0.32%0.0698✗1.26492k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative1.8421.8307-0.61%2.163+17.43%0.2325✗1.24345k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.76745-0.59%0.876+13.47%0.1733✗0.781.2M2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11750.116827-0.57%0.1115-5.11%0.0106✗1.08417k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0473750.047115-0.55%0.046233-2.41%0.0446✗1.2018k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.4991.4912-0.52%1.352-9.81%0.0218✓1.44374k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.338870.337148-0.51%0.32001-5.57%0.0132✗1.24404k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018840.018748-0.49%0.01736-7.86%0.0374✓0.75354k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40735.3816-0.48%5.1185-5.34%0.0398✓0.19226k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33780.336202-0.47%0.3062-9.35%0.0318✓1.177.8M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6811.6738-0.43%1.876+11.60%0.1476✗0.63190k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.676-0.41%2.17-19.24%0.1172✓1.7587k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.866-0.36%12.738+228.30%1.2252✗0.621.4M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3212-0.36%1.072-19.16%0.1442✓1.231.6M2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.086.0582-0.36%8.2+34.87%0.3722✗1.31263k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.896.8664-0.34%7.211+4.66%0.1207✗1.365.7M2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.362.352-0.34%2.229-5.55%0.0208✗1.4143k2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7866.7631-0.34%7.08+4.33%0.1127✗1.2617.9M2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008970.00894-0.33%0.00945+5.35%0.1074✗0.984.9M2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.035794-0.29%0.0377+5.01%0.1171✗1.2385k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,716.1022,655.61-0.27%21,631.30-4.78%0.0054✗0.9824k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.9128.835-0.26%27.72-4.12%0.0107✗0.9511.0M2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.0955.947-0.26%55.68-0.73%0.0552✗1.1314.3M2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010730.00107-0.24%0.001518+41.48%0.4178✗1.291.7M2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030520.003045-0.23%0.003742+22.61%0.2614✗1.041.0M2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10410.103889-0.20%0.1011-2.88%0.0425✗1.32513k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.5785-0.18%8.93+35.51%0.3316✗0.49670k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4750.474238-0.16%0.4286-9.77%0.0429✓1.1049k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30080.300489-0.10%0.2949-1.96%0.0440✗1.192.8M2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0540820.054036-0.08%0.051048-5.61%0.0241✓0.6215k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.20e-7-0.05%9.00e-7-2.17%0.0221✗0.825.8M2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4595-0.03%1.39-4.79%0.0273✗1.44131k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.45740.457393-0.00%0.5638+23.26%0.2753✗1.251.4M2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.00367+0.00%0.00326-11.17%0.0476✗1.34586k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.24380.243928+0.05%0.2375-2.58%0.0354✓1.17703k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49832.4996+0.05%3.6812+47.35%0.4392✓0.981.0M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.105876+0.07%0.1872+76.94%0.6284✓1.11591k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.51e-7+0.12%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0304✓1.0028k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.24843.2524+0.12%3.4692+6.80%0.1217✓1.0826k2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053760.053832+0.13%0.06849+27.40%0.3182✓1.46749k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.8067+0.14%6.56+36.67%0.3463✓0.67554k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash48.3948.4629+0.15%46.8-3.29%0.0227✓1.09606k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9651780.966803+0.17%0.927762-3.88%0.0121✓1.0159k2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,573.616,586.43+0.19%8,749.39+33.10%0.3544✓1.334.2M2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2250.225466+0.21%0.2298+2.13%0.0971✓1.48115k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25560.256285+0.27%0.2628+2.82%0.0824✓1.0861k2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.790.792511+0.32%0.73-7.59%0.0450✗0.70100k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.274.29+0.47%6.35+48.71%0.4259✓0.64555k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.29123.9843+0.56%119.67-2.94%0.0246✓1.134.0M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067040.006744+0.60%0.006771+1.00%0.0350✓0.5950k2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.00663+0.60%0.00947+43.70%0.4098✓1.01365k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028760.028944+0.64%0.03818+32.75%0.3443✓1.2720k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92870.934855+0.66%0.8737-5.92%0.0078✓1.431.4M2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008980.009042+0.69%0.00718-20.04%0.1823✗0.911.4M2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.167120.168303+0.71%0.14385-13.92%0.0736✗1.58156k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40430.407275+0.74%0.3848-4.82%0.0143✓1.3496k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.067070.067574+0.75%0.065924-1.71%0.0171✓0.79364k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23990.241838+0.81%0.224-6.63%0.0107✗1.25119k2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.939.0055+0.85%10.41+16.57%0.2068✓1.17265k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7170.723218+0.87%0.636-11.30%0.0481✗1.52108k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6610.666801+0.88%0.7+5.90%0.0999✓0.97419k2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004288+0.89%0.00421-0.94%0.0524✓1.34122k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10380.104738+0.90%0.108+4.05%0.1028✓1.362.5M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash59.960.4922+0.99%64.62+7.88%0.1348✓1.301.5M2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2957.3728+1.07%7.434+1.91%0.0734✓1.238.7M2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0675960.068356+1.12%0.069279+2.49%0.0771✓1.201.9M2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.212426+1.16%0.187-10.95%0.0457✗1.55881k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4892.5187+1.19%5.094+104.66%0.7521✓0.9093k2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027150.0275+1.29%0.0271-0.18%0.0573✓1.361,3482022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58360.591303+1.32%0.5133-12.05%0.0784✗1.19559k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041660.042237+1.38%0.0402-3.50%0.0017✓0.973,2692022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase16.9317.1665+1.40%16.73-1.18%0.0476✓1.39105k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.1091.1246+1.41%1.0912-1.61%0.0271✓1.0845k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.42730.433314+1.41%0.395-7.56%0.0257✗1.26414k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020130.020415+1.42%0.02257+12.12%0.1564✓1.06123k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3107570.315322+1.47%0.308829-0.62%0.0443✓1.231.3M2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.42.4369+1.54%2.48+3.33%0.0974✓1.51216k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149151.3475+1.58%154.56+3.73%0.0799✓1.111.3M2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,687.6823,053.69+1.61%21,518.62-5.15%0.0160✗1.00398.7M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13070.132841+1.64%0.1243-4.90%0.0033✓1.3244k2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04310.043827+1.69%0.0412-4.41%0.0094✓1.357,6872022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000041720.000042493+1.85%0.00003955-5.20%0.0092✓1.181.9M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.264764+1.87%0.3366+29.51%0.2998✓1.1347k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14030.142934+1.88%0.1499+6.84%0.1134✓1.2487k2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7010.71421+1.88%0.919+31.10%0.3173✓1.23807k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05210.053177+2.07%0.054+3.65%0.0934✓1.47135k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4855.6009+2.11%6.413+16.92%0.1938✓1.101.9M2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120290.114606+2.30%0.110977-0.94%0.0208✓1.007.1M2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.10524.2016+2.35%4.5693+11.31%0.1211✓0.70930k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059630.006111+2.48%0.005915-0.81%0.0156✓0.913,1552022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.15310.4148+2.58%9.628-5.17%0.0199✓1.112.3M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015220.001564+2.77%0.001501-1.38%0.0136✓1.0317k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08220.08489+3.27%0.0898+9.25%0.1212✓1.237,1912022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2920.301891+3.39%0.288-1.37%0.0087✓1.05725k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49760.515341+3.57%0.4896-1.61%0.0090✓1.14333k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.