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2022-07-20 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0876
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.7%
in alpha space · 51.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.861533-12.18%0.8698-11.34%0.1834✗1.60214k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.000092764-7.97%0.00008591-14.77%0.1328✗1.93715k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.744903-5.83%0.574-27.43%0.0932✓1.545,0122022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.281429-5.31%0.2715-8.65%0.1045✗1.29409k2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.651286-5.06%1.222+78.13%0.8232✗1.781.1M2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.5579-4.51%6.927+85.91%0.7272✗0.562.2M2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.165525-4.16%0.16055-7.04%0.2370✗2.461,0532022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.940262-3.96%0.776-20.74%0.0039✓1.80574k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.06881.0279-3.83%0.94175-11.89%0.0345✓1.125,8422022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3813.831-3.82%17.46+21.42%0.3360✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.954144-3.53%1.1177+13.01%0.2621✗0.961,6652022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.3416-3.42%2.75-20.52%0.1421✓0.4986k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum96.6493.4964-3.25%99.28+2.73%0.1689✗1.002.7M2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2814.831-2.94%41.75+173.23%1.2030✗1.55431k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.158188-2.89%0.1513-7.12%0.0945✗1.28354k2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.3608-2.81%1.661-31.62%0.1961✓1.43128k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.7146-2.71%5.106-13.07%0.0758✗1.7311.7M2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.649346-2.64%0.5697-14.58%0.0382✗1.56104k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.741561-2.55%0.676-11.17%0.0988✗1.766.3M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.90885-2.46%1.2326+32.28%0.4354✗1.201.2M2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.79022-2.30%1.0221+26.37%0.3652✗0.993.5M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.145199-2.29%0.1293-12.99%0.0240✗1.292.9M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.472368-2.20%0.429-11.18%0.0314✗1.1811k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.8033-2.02%2.801-2.10%0.1821✗1.683.8M2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.021512-2.01%0.021066-4.04%0.0860✗0.981,5692022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.1353-2.01%1.0504-9.33%0.0811✗1.464.7M2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.6041-1.92%6.409-4.81%0.1078✗1.275.5M2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.435842-1.88%0.3796-14.54%0.0295✓1.00258k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.060602-1.83%0.07429+20.35%0.3465✗1.3125k2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.1061-1.80%3-5.15%0.0825✗1.08555k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3029.4688-1.77%32.4+8.00%0.2035✗1.00130k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5129-1.76%1.38-10.39%0.0659✓0.24426k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.017068-1.72%0.025967+49.52%0.4716✗0.48171k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.204267-1.70%0.1722-17.13%0.0173✓1.412,6032022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.076682-1.69%0.0657-15.77%0.0426✓1.03209k2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.7372-1.65%5.39+41.84%0.4491✗0.76597k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.416537-1.60%0.38673-8.64%0.0052✓0.7352k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.394861-1.56%0.36-10.25%0.0734✗1.53208k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.070495-1.54%0.0635-11.31%0.0466✗1.39312k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.386308-1.52%0.36149-7.84%0.0670✗1.23128k2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.089211-1.46%0.08741-3.45%0.0883✗1.00589k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9022-1.44%2.29+18.65%0.3051✗1.10150k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.118816-1.40%0.1065-11.62%0.0032✓0.985,8712022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.017119-1.38%0.01381-20.44%0.1145✓0.921.2M2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.069904-1.27%0.0562-20.62%0.1114✓0.98229k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62654.9387-1.24%51.302-7.77%0.0221✗0.83387k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.305021-1.23%0.29333-5.02%0.1065✗1.345,5012022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.549-1.21%1.506-3.95%0.1295✗1.45203k2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.200936-1.21%0.1767-13.13%0.0234✗1.402,1172022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.588826-1.20%0.562-5.70%0.1076✗1.4284k2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.4837-1.20%2.3044-8.33%0.0947✗1.567,1792022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.7744-1.19%6.23+63.09%0.5693✗0.63715k2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.130931-1.18%0.1279-3.47%0.0875✗1.023.5M2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.7805-1.14%1.914+6.27%0.2103✗1.27637k2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.089277-1.13%0.1096+21.37%0.2916✗0.80150k2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3423.0867-1.09%32.98+41.30%0.4949✗1.271.2M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3455.736-1.07%49.91-11.41%0.0381✗1.3733k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.3491-1.02%22.44-4.87%0.1302✗1.5627.0M2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.486121-1.01%0.4497-8.43%0.0599✗1.2743.9M2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration60.359.6969-1.00%48.63-19.35%0.0743✓1.20235k2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.0812-0.93%4.972+59.87%0.5464✗0.621.7M2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.446654-0.91%0.33831-24.95%0.1188✓1.46791k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.67e-7-0.91%6.08e-7+63.93%0.6126✗1.00268k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.04623-0.88%0.04452-4.55%0.0613✗0.918,1912022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.1858-0.88%4.701+46.27%0.4722✗0.77488k2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0768-0.86%6.7571+222.55%1.2775✗0.90890k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.5268-0.86%1.206-21.69%0.0945✓1.302.8M2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.6911-0.85%35.82-14.82%0.0070✓1.3381.1M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.2135-0.77%12.8+13.27%0.2921✗1.471.1M2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8890.235-0.71%83.37-8.26%0.0981✗1.6311.3M2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.070938-0.62%0.06643-6.93%0.0140✗0.731,5492022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.6294-0.53%10.759+11.14%0.2575✗1.3512.9M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.024505-0.51%0.0224-9.05%0.0850✗1.6114.6M2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011847-0.44%0.00001317+10.67%0.2415✗1.251.3M2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4023,232.23-0.37%21,334.30-8.51%0.0210✗0.9829k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037065-0.36%0.0347-6.72%0.0679✗1.2395k2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,516.61-0.36%1,608.72+5.69%0.1923✗1.23326.5M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8528-0.33%2.121+14.09%0.2703✗1.24332k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.352-0.33%5.8+8.01%0.2330✗1.401.2M2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.4285-0.31%1.7825+24.39%0.3754✗1.42684k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.724766-0.31%0.708-2.61%0.1141✗1.26139k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.088332-0.30%0.0618-30.25%0.2224✓1.24188k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6555-0.28%2.82+5.90%0.1800✗1.10673k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.053053-0.28%0.051-4.14%0.1050✗1.33817k2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.2391-0.27%5.0422+124.59%0.8985✗0.80947k2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3265-0.26%1.18-11.28%0.0433✗1.47910k2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.498438-0.23%0.4043-19.08%0.0898✓1.1049k2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.366324-0.18%0.3599-1.93%0.0910✗1.004752022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.019249-0.11%0.01707-11.42%0.0387✓0.75354k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.8481-0.10%13.488+250.16%1.3220✗0.621.4M2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.771271-0.09%0.847+9.72%0.1775✗0.771.1M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094613.0832-0.09%12.9755-0.91%0.1210✗1.19194k2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.048784-0.03%0.0447-8.40%0.0428✗1.20282k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.919828-0.02%0.84451-8.21%0.0608✗1.35423k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.344736-0.02%0.303-12.12%0.0026✓1.168.2M2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111498-0.00%0.1085-2.69%0.0903✗1.08398k2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048110.048131+0.04%0.045265-5.91%0.0689✓1.2017k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6188+0.04%1.5782-2.47%0.1115✓1.26499k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.2453+0.07%5.2071-0.65%0.0140✓0.20335k2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261767+0.10%0.2612-0.11%0.1065✓1.0046k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009243+0.14%0.00905-1.95%0.0850✓0.984.9M2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.9+0.19%1.8825-0.73%0.1236✓1.2227k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.6368+0.23%1.87+14.51%0.2419✓1.00181k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003055+0.27%0.003321+8.99%0.1970✓1.051.1M2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.5634+0.28%14.23-8.31%0.0586✓1.361.3M2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4529+0.28%2.151-12.06%0.0211✓1.4043k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.255157+0.34%0.2304-9.40%0.0255✓1.17703k2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.8944+0.37%6.899+0.44%0.1377✓1.2617.9M2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.05473+0.37%0.04825-11.51%0.0585✗0.6214k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.9936+0.39%7.67+28.48%0.3895✓1.31256k2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.6171+0.41%9.57+45.22%0.4218✓0.49670k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.00108+0.52%0.001441+34.05%0.4276✓1.291.7M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.15e-7+0.53%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0393✓0.825.8M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.45370.456221+0.56%0.5569+22.75%0.3351✓1.251.3M2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.351131+0.56%0.29551-15.37%0.0379✗1.24411k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.5094+0.56%1.325-11.73%0.0258✓1.44385k2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.7728.9386+0.59%26.41-8.20%0.0116✓0.9511.0M2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.5566+0.59%54.02-5.59%0.0597✓1.1314.8M2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.509+0.60%1.32-12.00%0.0221✓1.43142k2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.056252+0.61%0.07173+28.30%0.4021✓1.46773k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.810.815096+0.63%0.74-8.64%0.0200✗0.71111k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.109714+0.65%0.1961+79.91%0.7005✓1.10560k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003670.003698+0.76%0.0032-12.81%0.0008✓1.34649k2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.9106+0.78%6.895+0.55%0.1445✓1.355.7M2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.006894+0.79%0.00743+8.63%0.1843✓1.01387k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3367+0.81%1.045-21.19%0.1134✗1.221.7M2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.29482+0.83%0.2828-3.28%0.0872✓1.192.9M2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.247734+0.83%0.2516+2.40%0.1333✓1.0861k2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4801+0.87%3.7255+51.52%0.5155✓1.001.1M2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.18e-7+0.89%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0549✓1.0028k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.429621+0.90%0.3724-12.54%0.0021✓1.3396k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009435+0.91%0.00703-24.81%0.1945✗0.921.3M2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.007038+0.92%0.006691-4.06%0.0129✓0.5851k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.106311+0.96%0.0975-7.41%0.0567✓1.32526k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash47.1247.5837+0.98%44.86-4.80%0.0594✓1.09616k2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.6566+1.05%2.112-19.67%0.0405✗1.7484k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.927638+1.09%0.884025-3.66%0.0614✓1.0163k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.24517+1.14%0.2209-8.87%0.0311✓1.24147k2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.7943+1.14%7.02+48.10%0.4537✓0.67574k2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.987141+1.17%0.879-9.91%0.0387✓1.421.4M2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.068422+1.25%0.063977-5.32%0.0193✓0.80373k2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2836+1.27%6.87+62.41%0.5413✓0.63579k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash62.0662.869+1.30%62.23+0.27%0.1310✓1.301.5M2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.235555+1.31%0.2125-8.60%0.0573✓1.47117k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5993+1.34%3.13+22.03%0.2835✓0.9098k2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.215971+1.39%0.186-12.68%0.0188✓1.55881k2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,584.95+1.41%8,613.21+32.64%0.4130✓1.334.4M2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.106206+1.44%0.1055+0.76%0.1412✓1.362.5M2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.019.1406+1.45%9.77+8.44%0.1933✓1.17288k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.684188+1.51%0.678+0.59%0.0960✓0.97443k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.00448+1.59%0.00412-6.58%0.0613✓1.33127k2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82123.8097+1.63%114.49-6.02%0.0448✓1.134.0M2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.1046+1.64%3.3477+9.60%0.1933✓1.0827k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.021186+1.71%0.02251+8.07%0.1752✓1.05134k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.289297+1.79%0.3103+9.18%0.1921✓1.1242k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.071288+1.80%0.067937-2.99%0.0823✓1.202.0M2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.4140.42148+1.81%0.3909-5.58%0.0621✓1.26414k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase16.7717.0776+1.83%16.17-3.58%0.0960✓1.3996k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.0306+1.87%0.0386+28.50%0.3702✓1.2723k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.615+1.95%7.303-2.22%0.0917✓1.239.0M2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.027787+1.97%0.02581-5.28%0.0744✓1.361,4722022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.043239+1.98%0.0398-6.13%0.0633✓1.347,6872022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1489+2.05%1.068-5.13%0.0434✓1.0745k2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9923,731.64+2.17%20,834.94-10.30%0.0215✓1.00398.7M2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.5556+2.22%2.3-8.00%0.0583✓1.51216k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero151.47154.926+2.28%142.31-6.05%0.0363✓1.121.3M2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.15454.2501+2.30%4.373+5.26%0.1048✓0.70930k2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.149224+2.35%0.1502+3.02%0.1413✓1.2487k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.724346+2.45%0.609-13.86%0.0080✓1.52108k2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.138076+2.51%0.1221-9.35%0.0199✓1.3144k2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.05505+2.51%0.0532-0.93%0.1255✓1.47115k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.321766+2.53%0.302298-3.67%0.0718✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.728+2.58%6.466+15.80%0.2406✓1.101.9M2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000040810.000041871+2.60%0.00003843-5.83%0.0431✓1.191.9M2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.115289+2.88%0.108067-3.56%0.0441✓1.007.2M2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.006041+2.93%0.005861-0.14%0.0690✓0.912,9222022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.539421+3.00%0.4967-5.16%0.0482✓1.20491k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.6149+3.29%9.359-8.93%0.0052✓1.112.2M2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.707797+3.33%0.834+21.75%0.2981✓1.23858k2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.087507+3.44%0.0848+0.24%0.1019✓1.236,8122022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.139379+3.54%0.13844+2.84%0.1666✓1.60158k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.310831+3.96%0.272-9.03%0.0191✓1.05664k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.526731+4.14%0.4754-6.01%0.0208✓1.14333k2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.