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2022-07-18 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1567
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.9%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.823005-12.22%0.9842+4.97%0.1158✓1.58214k2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.72052-11.81%1.321+61.69%0.5305✗1.891.1M2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.088779-10.60%0.0778-21.65%0.1755✓1.09209k2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.261858-9.92%0.294+1.14%0.0638✓1.30435k2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7513.3169-9.72%19.42+31.66%0.3390✗0.961.8M2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.170646-9.65%0.1794-5.02%0.0508✓2.538962022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.624449-9.63%0.654-5.35%0.0133✓1.493,6872022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.322.9189-9.41%40.29+59.25%0.5126✗1.291.2M2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.000096307-9.37%0.0000951-10.50%0.0884✓1.90692k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.885415-8.27%1.2042+24.75%0.2695✗0.954662022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.563-8.17%4.94+27.32%0.2963✗0.76597k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.750805-8.10%0.804-1.59%0.0030✓1.796.5M2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum103.9995.5714-8.10%109.91+5.69%0.0996✗1.012.7M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.237-7.78%1.1821-11.87%0.1056✓1.514.3M2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.4833-7.63%2.9261+8.85%0.1009✗1.585,9882022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8516.5454-7.31%40.09+124.59%0.8215✗1.59427k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.415525-7.30%0.46051+2.73%0.0732✓0.7453k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.494075-6.78%0.515-2.83%0.0062✓1.1911k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.7579-6.48%3.505+18.85%0.1712✗1.723.8M2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.0564-6.43%0.967-14.35%0.1623✓1.85574k2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.6139-6.18%5.616+45.79%0.4183✗0.572.2M2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.059242-6.16%0.0871+37.97%0.3321✗1.3325k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.083327-6.14%0.0832-6.29%0.0415✓1.00456k2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0941.9661-6.11%1.899-9.31%0.0926✓1.45123k2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.6154-6.09%2.92-24.16%0.2340✓0.5182k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.071079-5.98%0.0662-12.43%0.1109✓1.00229k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.634-5.98%6.107+1.92%0.0099✓1.7711.7M2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.924179-5.84%1.4107+43.73%0.3746✗1.211.1M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.133.9062-5.42%5.52+33.66%0.3203✗0.64694k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5149-5.32%1.4-12.50%0.0887✓0.25485k2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.427398-5.15%0.4371-3.00%0.0175✓1.00257k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.04630.992861-5.10%1.1115+6.23%0.0681✗1.124,7592022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.162318-5.02%0.1697-0.70%0.0069✓1.29349k2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.048159-5.01%0.0509+0.39%0.0071✓1.21276k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.0305-4.97%3.89+21.98%0.2244✗0.631.9M2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.1594-4.96%7.38-2.03%0.0213✓1.295.5M2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.426222-4.92%0.4142-7.61%0.0685✓1.004752022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.154901-4.85%0.159-2.33%0.0258✓1.302.8M2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.66491-4.82%0.65284-6.55%0.0812✓1.57104k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.3275-4.43%1.218-12.31%0.1354✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.1297-4.29%3.413+4.37%0.0428✓1.10552k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.021204-4.29%0.023935+8.04%0.0818✗0.991,5692022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9722.9437-4.28%25.56+6.63%0.0451✗1.5725.2M2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.291897-4.26%0.34491+13.13%0.1135✗1.343,2792022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.5541.7874-4.05%40.55-6.89%0.0836✓1.3481.1M2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.037635-3.99%0.0439+11.99%0.1042✗1.2595k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum29.6828.5188-3.91%38.79+30.69%0.2677✗1.00128k2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.502805-3.77%0.4701-10.03%0.1110✓1.0949k2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3910.9633-3.75%15.74+38.19%0.3017✗1.501.1M2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.1925-3.72%4.144+24.97%0.2301✗0.77488k2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.2657-3.71%6.3+42.21%0.3644✗0.64579k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.877-3.69%2.266+16.26%0.1367✗1.29668k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2392.6802-3.69%100.14+4.06%0.0111✓1.6610.8M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.8628.7632-3.67%30.11+0.84%0.0071✓0.9710.7M2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.016775-3.66%0.021964+26.14%0.2499✗0.49175k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.0618-3.62%7.961+8.65%0.0651✗1.375.7M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.193913-3.57%0.1975-1.79%0.0376✓1.402,2022022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6655.6268-3.53%58.31+1.13%0.0077✓1.3732k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.2441-3.50%11.75+22.66%0.1865✗1.3412.5M2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7474-3.46%2.37+30.94%0.2604✗1.11133k2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.6001-3.43%1.854+11.89%0.0888✗1.46194k2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.47060.454607-3.40%0.5961+26.67%0.2210✗1.251.2M2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.074473-3.27%0.07755+0.73%0.0106✓0.751,9712022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.045964-3.25%0.05073+6.78%0.0622✗0.916,5622022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.10e-7-3.20%9.70e-7+3.19%0.0241✓1.0025k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.0805-3.20%3.8114+77.33%0.5692✗0.91857k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.025537-3.16%0.02575-2.35%0.0572✓1.6414.6M2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.800544-3.06%1.092+32.24%0.2704✗1.003.5M2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.413949-3.06%0.4188-1.92%0.0504✓1.55191k2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.051576-3.01%0.053519+0.64%0.0120✓0.6214k2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4584-2.77%1.37-8.67%0.1229✓1.51856k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.5877-2.76%2.476-6.95%0.1138✓1.7484k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.114259-2.68%0.1214+3.41%0.0171✓1.09380k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.071343-2.67%0.0708-3.41%0.0638✓1.41312k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.3284-2.59%6+9.69%0.0619✗1.421.2M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.043773-2.57%0.050295+11.95%0.0924✗1.1616k2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5857.077-2.57%60.52+3.31%0.0125✓1.1514.8M2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.12882-2.56%0.1453+9.91%0.0793✗1.033.3M2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02871.0026-2.54%0.9651-6.18%0.0958✓1.441.4M2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.111706-2.52%0.2222+93.89%0.6434✗1.11560k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.5303-2.48%3.0983+19.41%0.1630✗0.991.1M2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.466109-2.45%0.38327-19.79%0.2550✓1.49808k2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.8811-2.44%2.2016+14.19%0.1085✗1.2227k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4115-2.44%1.7066+17.97%0.1336✗1.41684k2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.809954-2.42%0.909+9.52%0.0841✗0.781.1M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.558966-2.28%0.643+12.41%0.0837✗1.4184k2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration63.8262.4039-2.22%54.77-14.18%0.1794✓1.23235k2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.2611-2.18%3.4712+50.17%0.3968✗0.80947k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.35239-2.15%0.32972-8.44%0.1169✓1.26411k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana76.85-2.14%8.75+25.00%0.2252✗0.49670k2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,547.71-2.13%1,834.61+16.02%0.1201✗1.25326.5M2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.028354-2.09%0.0299+3.25%0.0026✓1.401,4722022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.201217-2.08%0.1954-4.91%0.0864✓1.432,7232022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.4841-2.05%3.682+45.19%0.3574✗0.9188k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.086421-2.02%0.0793-10.09%0.1351✓1.23176k2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.705665-1.99%0.781+8.47%0.0514✗1.25127k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.490.480656-1.91%0.5386+9.92%0.0631✗1.2743.9M2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3516.0424-1.88%16.88+3.24%0.0038✓1.371.3M2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.019116-1.87%0.01808-7.19%0.0863✓0.77354k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0386.9123-1.79%8.061+14.54%0.1031✗1.2717.9M2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.257049-1.78%0.2613-0.15%0.0235✓1.0045k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7028-1.77%1.8847+8.72%0.0506✗1.27519k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.020787-1.76%0.02486+17.49%0.1365✗1.06123k2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative1.6881.6591-1.71%2.565+51.95%0.3875✗1.21287k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.14e-7-1.71%9.60e-7+3.23%0.0156✓0.845.8M2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.407197-1.70%0.40986-1.06%0.0427✓1.23128k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.4506-1.66%11.36+18.21%0.1375✗1.16288k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.974.8937-1.54%6.22+25.15%0.2130✗0.67574k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.012783-1.53%0.015184+16.97%0.1392✗0.831.2M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase17.7417.4696-1.52%19.01+7.16%0.0286✗1.4081k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009395-1.52%0.01086+13.84%0.1058✗0.984.9M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3157-1.45%1.36+1.87%0.0191✓1.312.6M2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6625-1.39%2.92+8.15%0.0312✗1.53205k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.28544.2281-1.34%4.8449+13.06%0.1076✗0.72930k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55356.7859-1.33%59.922+4.12%0.0200✗0.84387k2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.545768-1.31%0.5653+2.22%0.0134✓1.22456k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.292491-1.29%0.3198+7.93%0.0419✗1.192.9M2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.355389-1.23%0.3408-5.28%0.0886✓1.178.2M2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.4944-1.16%1.563+3.37%0.0125✓1.44382k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.106219-1.10%0.1091+1.58%0.0262✓1.33526k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.712696-1.01%0.773+7.36%0.0424✗0.97443k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.250235-0.94%0.2913+15.32%0.1083✗1.0960k2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002976-0.93%0.003936+31.03%0.2381✗1.041.2M2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.5796-0.90%1.991+24.91%0.1915✗1.00178k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.26087-0.89%0.3741+42.14%0.3151✗1.1442k2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,553.76-0.88%11,164.62+68.86%0.4793✗1.344.4M2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.1891-0.66%9.4+50.88%0.3645✗1.34263k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000041896-0.63%0.00004333+2.78%0.0138✓1.191.9M2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.430636-0.59%0.4206-2.91%0.0771✓1.3482k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000011893-0.56%0.00001476+23.41%0.1657✗1.261.2M2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.2583-0.54%14.8272+3.43%0.0090✓1.20238k2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3624-0.53%2.525+6.32%0.0101✗1.4143k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.112506-0.53%0.1209+6.90%0.0334✗0.966,1432022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.001037-0.50%0.001546+48.32%0.3485✗1.271.7M2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9513.9323-0.47%5.966+51.00%0.3917✗0.631.5M2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.219083-0.42%0.217-1.36%0.0717✓1.56881k2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.917398-0.40%0.96777+5.07%0.0001✓1.34399k2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6143-0.35%1.61-0.62%0.0608✓1.46142k2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.4176-0.34%5.3011-2.48%0.0299✓0.20335k2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.006959-0.30%0.00814+16.62%0.1166✗1.01390k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.007053-0.24%0.00675-4.53%0.0669✓0.5765k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.132852-0.19%0.1381+3.76%0.0139✓1.3234k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero147.68147.489-0.13%168.3+13.96%0.0870✗1.131.3M2022-08-17
DASHDashDash48.8648.8076-0.11%52.87+8.21%0.0362✗1.10616k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9790620.978089-0.10%0.97823-0.08%0.0408✓1.0363k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.056795-0.10%0.08598+51.24%0.3563✗1.46773k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5021,646.69+0.02%23,298.30+7.66%0.0350✓0.9729k2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.110184+0.08%0.1226+11.35%0.0523✓1.362.4M2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009284+0.25%0.00794-14.25%0.1928✗0.911.2M2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.05488+0.33%0.0599+9.51%0.0339✓1.34817k2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.7472+0.37%3.263+19.22%0.1280✓1.10704k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.66e-7+0.51%6.87e-7+88.91%0.5912✓1.00316k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.069473+0.55%0.068126-1.40%0.0513✗0.79405k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.314743+0.56%0.303-3.19%0.0803✗1.06599k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.15209+0.59%0.1769+17.00%0.1013✓1.2587k2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.044377+0.63%0.0427-3.17%0.0921✗1.347,2812022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004311+0.72%0.00468+9.35%0.0287✓1.34127k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.249485+0.76%0.2535+2.38%0.0339✗1.25139k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.003859+0.77%0.00378-1.31%0.0749✗1.36635k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.7253+0.93%8.372+9.38%0.0309✓1.249.0M2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029544+0.97%0.04685+60.12%0.4108✓1.2623k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5622,687.34+1.16%23,341.17+4.07%0.0115✗1.00398.7M2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.2392+1.18%4.012+25.32%0.1702✓1.1026k2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.228308+1.25%0.241+6.87%0.0052✓1.49117k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.220.22278+1.26%0.2756+25.27%0.1656✓1.18705k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.148255+1.39%0.15873+8.55%0.0038✓1.62176k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash65.5766.4847+1.39%74.22+13.19%0.0576✓1.321.5M2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.056939+1.50%0.063+12.30%0.0423✓1.48108k2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.093403+1.53%0.0997+8.37%0.0338✓0.79144k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9396.0392+1.69%8.193+37.95%0.2609✓1.111.9M2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.326923+1.86%0.348082+8.46%0.0124✓1.261.4M2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.80.81537+1.92%0.78-2.50%0.0728✗0.71111k2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.705728+2.28%0.672-2.61%0.1092✗1.51108k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.069177+2.42%0.080115+18.62%0.0985✓1.212.0M2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.117162+2.61%0.121305+6.24%0.0053✓1.007.2M2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1483+2.66%1.2119+8.35%0.0110✓1.0848k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21124.7065+2.88%133.83+10.41%0.0255✓1.134.0M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.42560.442164+3.89%0.4567+7.31%0.0181✓1.26381k2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.00617+4.19%0.00652+10.09%0.0188✓0.912,9222022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.85410.3621+5.16%10.256+4.08%0.0547✗1.112.2M2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.69541+5.85%0.928+41.25%0.2404✓1.21858k2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.089232+6.10%0.1018+21.05%0.0829✓1.226,7832022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.574458+8.47%0.5401+1.98%0.1075✗1.15311k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.