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2022-07-16 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1646
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.5%
in alpha space · 25.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.588753-13.16%0.519-23.45%0.2798✓1.2011k2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.728899-12.62%1.0012+20.02%0.1108✓1.61204k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.570503-10.44%0.718+12.72%0.0379✓1.493,6872022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7813.2406-10.42%20.58+39.24%0.3147✗0.981.7M2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.252614-10.39%0.2975+5.53%0.0210✓1.43439k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000095047-10.07%0.00009691-8.31%0.2342✓1.97682k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.165429-10.02%0.18875+2.67%0.2208✓2.748962022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum102.7493.2665-9.22%113.47+10.44%0.0653✓1.022.6M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7515.3957-8.09%40+138.81%0.7422✗1.65421k2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.725718-8.02%0.87+10.27%0.0556✓1.847.4M2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.131.9713-7.45%2.119-0.52%0.1199✓1.49112k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.395882-7.43%0.47474+11.01%0.0834✗0.7654k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.2516-7.01%3.3016+36.36%0.1743✗1.625,4022022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.6106-6.90%3.694+31.74%0.1223✗1.753.7M2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.087609-6.77%0.08417-10.43%0.1687✓1.00408k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism0.520.485518-6.63%1.569+201.73%0.9529✗1.711.1M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.4937-6.54%6.023+61.13%0.4747✗0.542.2M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.883803-6.33%1.4669+55.47%0.3470✗1.24933k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.0994-6.32%1.3341+13.68%0.0083✓1.444.2M2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.056715-6.15%0.0886+46.62%0.2683✗1.3824k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.3058-6.09%4.97+41.19%0.3147✗0.72572k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.4841-6.07%1.47-6.96%0.0435✓0.26447k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.155052-5.91%0.168+1.94%0.0895✓1.322.8M2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.650488-5.86%0.71526+3.51%0.1149✓1.63117k2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.067896-5.83%0.0692-4.02%0.1099✓1.00224k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.378736-5.74%0.4992+24.24%0.1476✗1.00224k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.711242-5.73%1.2127+60.74%0.4218✗0.873642022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.02570.967934-5.64%1.184+15.43%0.0548✓1.144,5462022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.0898-5.51%2.96-9.48%0.1027✓0.4778k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3756.9723-5.46%8.475+14.92%0.0162✓1.395.6M2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1122.9442-5.39%3.991+28.25%0.2232✗0.632.1M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.88289-5.27%1.053+12.98%0.0545✓1.79528k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.046346-5.22%0.0544+11.25%0.0001✓1.25264k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1166.7544-5.08%7.794+9.53%0.0276✓1.335.2M2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.150947-4.95%0.1799+13.29%0.0035✓1.34349k2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.7081-4.92%5.44+39.49%0.3019✗0.63672k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.2402-4.87%4.131+21.29%0.1432✗0.77488k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.67e-7-4.76%0.000001+9.89%0.0145✓1.0025k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.016553-4.72%0.020413+17.51%0.1426✗0.52177k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.0358-4.44%3.69+16.15%0.0478✗1.15539k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.020199-4.37%0.025193+19.27%0.0918✗1.001,2172022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.071147-4.35%0.08413+13.11%0.0622✗0.821,9712022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.0216-4.30%3.6239+71.55%0.4694✗0.89845k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.778699-4.25%1.1419+40.40%0.2508✗1.034.1M2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.76-4.19%2.455+33.64%0.1657✗1.30729k2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.281865-4.19%0.36134+22.83%0.0744✗1.353,2792022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.035277-4.14%0.0425+15.49%0.0249✓1.2595k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.2089-4.13%6.38+45.33%0.3341✗0.64555k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8389.0187-4.11%107.14+15.42%0.0310✓1.6810.8M2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2036-3.94%1.311+4.63%0.0656✓1.171.4M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.5822-3.92%6.215+30.32%0.0793✗1.7511.7M2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.179703-3.90%0.2205+17.91%0.0263✓1.392,2022022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum24.5923.6355-3.88%40.9+66.33%0.4198✗1.00128k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.152.969-3.87%62.03+12.58%0.0195✓1.3831k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7113-3.86%2.46+38.20%0.2190✗1.12125k2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2378.8858-3.80%11.408+23.50%0.0759✗1.3512.5M2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.0126.9713-3.71%30.85+10.14%0.0122✓0.9510.6M2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.45430.437549-3.69%0.6251+37.60%0.1942✗1.261.2M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.4608-3.65%3.896+52.55%0.3406✗0.9288k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.462827-3.52%0.5236+9.15%0.0183✓1.1052k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.070723-3.52%0.0707-3.55%0.1848✓1.43299k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.044645-3.51%0.05379+16.25%0.0681✗0.925,7282022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana39.638.2224-3.48%43.72+10.40%0.0369✓1.3381.1M2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.395574-3.45%0.4503+9.91%0.0725✓1.57191k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.050545-3.40%0.055866+6.77%0.0201✓0.6214k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4025-3.27%1.44-0.69%0.1708✓1.53843k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2420.5748-3.13%27.9+31.36%0.1048✗1.5525.2M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.025942-3.06%0.03112+16.29%0.0057✓1.461,5542022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.4769-3.01%3.0966+21.25%0.0941✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.088276-2.99%0.0835-8.24%0.2187✓1.27167k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.02314-2.93%0.02883+20.93%0.0092✓1.6415.8M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.451994-2.87%0.41114-11.65%0.2888✓1.51862k2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.254319-2.82%0.2613-0.15%0.1015✓1.0045k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.0348-2.80%6.3+21.62%0.0369✗1.461.2M2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.7804-2.80%2.3338+27.42%0.1111✗1.2431k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.4873-2.66%1.893+23.89%0.0501✗1.49182k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.766201-2.64%0.947+20.33%0.1115✗0.781.2M2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0953.6556-2.60%60.69+10.17%0.0281✓1.1815.0M2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.107788-2.54%0.1968+77.94%0.4597✗1.11558k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.457-2.51%15.12+55.88%0.2817✗1.461.1M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.2382-2.50%3.4246+49.19%0.3218✗0.80922k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.11685-2.46%0.1569+30.97%0.1648✗1.013.8M2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.388214-2.40%0.44286+11.34%0.0281✓1.24128k2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.332932-2.36%0.35764+4.88%0.0921✓1.27411k2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.670798-2.36%0.857+24.75%0.0823✗1.27120k2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.1748-2.35%0.2114+18.10%0.0020✓1.462,5392022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.6503-2.34%8.78+28.93%0.2137✗0.50657k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.3734-2.34%1.6772+19.26%0.0171✓1.42684k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.040828-2.31%0.053067+26.98%0.1141✗1.1516k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.106302-2.30%0.1261+15.90%0.0295✗1.10362k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.906963-2.25%1.0393+12.02%0.0502✓1.451.4M2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.447984-2.17%0.5501+20.14%0.0421✗1.2745.0M2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29953.1743-2.07%61.418+13.11%0.0361✗0.84398k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.017927-1.98%0.01742-4.76%0.1278✓0.77381k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009057-1.98%0.01073+16.13%0.0379✗1.024.9M2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.83e-7-1.94%9.90e-7+10.00%0.0056✓0.855.7M2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.4735-1.86%8.649+31.12%0.1278✗1.2618.8M2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5277-1.82%2.01+29.18%0.1457✗1.00183k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.2823-1.82%1.47+12.56%0.0357✓1.342.5M2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.020221-1.74%0.02686+30.52%0.1470✗1.06112k2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.504155-1.72%0.681+32.75%0.1219✗1.3984k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.012492-1.72%0.016006+25.92%0.1419✗0.821.2M2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.7479-1.70%6.12+26.71%0.1675✗0.67609k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.5751-1.60%1.8279+14.19%0.0149✓1.27535k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.274412-1.57%0.3448+23.67%0.0749✗1.192.9M2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.3987-1.57%1.711+20.41%0.0141✓1.46383k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.255647-1.56%0.4009+54.37%0.3021✗1.1536k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.4131-1.51%3.32+35.51%0.1186✗1.56205k2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.511825-1.46%0.5965+14.84%0.0027✓1.21491k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.12774.0679-1.45%4.9822+20.70%0.1104✗0.72954k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.109853-1.39%0.129+15.80%0.0346✗0.986,1432022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.1728-1.30%18.18+26.60%0.0741✗1.361.3M2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.238469-1.30%0.2853+18.09%0.0380✗1.1060k2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative1.6011.5804-1.29%2.71+69.27%0.3828✗1.22287k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.6952-1.27%20.11+18.92%0.0034✓1.4281k2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2383-1.27%2.725+20.20%0.0212✓1.6984k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001009-1.26%0.001637+60.25%0.3184✗1.291.8M2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.3332-1.24%5.3846-0.29%0.0145✓0.19335k2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.211371-1.23%0.226+5.61%0.1361✓1.58964k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.099867-1.22%0.1148+13.55%0.0361✓1.36526k2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.6646-1.20%11.94+36.15%0.1676✗1.19272k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006848-1.19%0.006721-3.02%0.0929✓0.5870k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.129482-1.16%0.1474+12.52%0.0423✓1.3434k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.3955.7548-1.13%57.71+2.34%0.1176✓1.18235k2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,194.09-1.08%11,093.56+77.16%0.4103✗1.344.2M2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.337037-0.99%0.3578+5.11%0.0925✓1.188.2M2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.660416-0.99%0.819+22.79%0.0929✗0.95405k2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000039893-0.99%0.00004601+14.20%0.0129✓1.211.9M2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056713.9305-0.90%15.8559+12.80%0.0256✓1.21242k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.9227-0.87%5.456+37.88%0.2489✗0.631.6M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.7632-0.80%9.92+70.74%0.3674✗1.37263k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002837-0.77%0.004238+48.23%0.2672✗1.041.2M2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.915346-0.76%1.0171+10.27%0.0260✓1.0264k2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.136-0.72%41.97+143.16%0.7419✗1.201.2M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000010971-0.63%0.00001525+38.13%0.1694✗1.241.1M2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.2161-0.63%2.73+22.42%0.0260✗1.4244k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.38489-0.60%0.4715+21.77%0.0316✗1.3382k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8020,952.19-0.57%23,840.30+13.13%0.0022✓0.9941k2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.862118-0.56%1.0534+21.51%0.0284✗1.34399k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.042673-0.53%0.045+4.90%0.1210✓1.357,6872022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4654-0.31%1.72+17.01%0.0283✓1.47150k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009025-0.28%0.00821-9.28%0.2128✓0.921.2M2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006673-0.26%0.0085+27.06%0.1138✗1.00387k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,352.20-0.26%1,899.39+40.10%0.1845✗1.21326.5M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.06876-0.22%0.068965+0.08%0.1020✓0.82433k2022-08-15
DASHDashDash44.8344.7592-0.16%53.17+18.60%0.0292✗1.11619k2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.6602-0.14%3.305+24.06%0.0723✗1.13772k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero139.03138.8683-0.12%163.5+17.60%0.0174✗1.131.3M2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.219227-0.08%0.2752+25.43%0.0716✗1.21705k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.56e-7-0.05%7.43e-7+108.39%0.5958✗1.08350k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.142063-0.03%0.1994+40.32%0.1781✗1.2588k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.101417+0.12%0.1342+32.48%0.1065✓1.352.5M2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.228351+0.20%0.2573+12.90%0.0718✗1.49117k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003720.003728+0.21%0.00403+8.33%0.0971✗1.36650k2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.052158+0.21%0.09505+82.61%0.4107✓1.47773k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.027825+0.38%0.04885+76.23%0.3986✓1.2820k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.239491+0.42%0.2726+14.30%0.0327✗1.26166k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.292353+0.47%0.324+11.34%0.0302✗1.03599k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004022+0.55%0.00488+22.00%0.0197✓1.35131k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.2339+0.58%8.787+22.18%0.0356✓1.249.6M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.9049+0.63%4.042+40.02%0.1891✓1.1025k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.051986+0.75%0.0659+27.71%0.0619✓1.36837k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.09686+0.79%0.1145+19.15%0.0615✓0.82144k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.054164+0.86%0.0788+46.74%0.2741✓0.78204k2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,374.64+0.87%24,097.82+13.72%0.0087✗1.00429.5M2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.051394+0.97%0.067+31.63%0.0753✓1.48102k2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.818166+1.01%0.82+1.23%0.0927✗0.74111k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.311189+1.08%0.371538+20.68%0.0145✓1.271.5M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.139815+1.43%0.1756+27.38%0.0194✓1.62168k2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash63.2464.2331+1.57%73.84+16.76%0.0321✗1.331.6M2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.065341+1.61%0.076696+19.26%0.0040✓1.222.0M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.4858+1.65%8.417+55.96%0.2828✓1.131.8M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.0947+1.74%1.2755+18.54%0.0125✓1.0948k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.111662+1.92%0.123528+12.75%0.0283✗1.017.3M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.630135+2.29%0.72+16.88%0.0625✗1.52112k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005947+2.54%0.006763+16.59%0.0103✓0.923,0112022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45112.4242+2.72%137.34+25.48%0.0558✓1.124.0M2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.3950.407715+3.22%0.4859+23.01%0.0126✓1.27405k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.7173+4.60%10.526+13.30%0.0629✗1.112.2M2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.622696+5.19%0.99+67.23%0.3083✓1.21858k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.086529+5.40%0.1007+22.66%0.0084✓1.246,9262022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.528236+6.84%0.5804+17.39%0.0515✓1.13311k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.