8=======>

2022-07-14 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1573
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.0%
in alpha space · 25.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.689426-12.61%1.0121+28.29%0.1063✓1.61180k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.577682-10.71%0.792+22.41%0.0561✓1.503,6872022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.0472-10.57%21.34+46.26%0.3219✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.157613-9.86%0.20197+15.51%0.2298✓2.778962022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000083282-9.57%0.00009674+5.04%0.1811✓1.92682k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5488.5163-9.25%126.57+29.76%0.1819✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.623-8.96%40.15+133.97%0.6555✗1.67427k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.228712-8.52%0.3084+23.36%0.1262✗1.00503k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.719822-7.83%0.912+16.77%0.0838✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.8885-7.24%2.328+14.34%0.0492✓1.50112k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.37896-6.90%0.53395+31.18%0.2119✗0.7654k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.08881-6.87%0.08755-8.19%0.1870✓1.00379k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.0892-6.74%1.4348+22.84%0.0261✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.5264-6.74%3.972+46.62%0.1502✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.868506-6.70%1.419+52.43%0.2756✗1.25794k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2504-6.00%6.38+84.50%0.5817✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.461789-5.95%1.542+214.05%0.9116✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.1271-5.94%3.2141+42.13%0.1331✗1.624,8022022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4017-5.93%1.55+4.03%0.0574✓0.25512k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.366209-5.88%0.5216+34.05%0.1810✗1.00180k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.745917-5.88%1.243+56.84%0.3590✗0.883222022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.889936-5.53%0.974+3.40%0.2211✓1.80528k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.053828-5.45%0.09127+60.32%0.2894✗1.3824k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.615503-5.37%0.72052+10.77%0.1248✓1.63130k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.065305-5.36%0.0716+3.77%0.0814✓1.00145k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.6462-5.23%8.987+28.15%0.0613✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.070369-5.21%0.08281+11.54%0.0195✓0.831,9362022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.7411-5.19%4.099+41.78%0.2943✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9608-5.10%3.03-2.88%0.0541✓0.4582k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044132-5.09%0.0554+19.14%0.0128✓1.24257k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.016494-5.09%0.020481+17.85%0.1263✗0.52199k2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.921057-5.06%1.2311+26.90%0.0936✗1.143,5002022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.5166-4.62%8.197+19.98%0.0005✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.768336-4.54%1.1627+44.45%0.2376✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7349-4.52%2.408+32.53%0.1022✗1.31864k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.178232-4.48%0.2265+21.38%0.0007✓1.392,2342022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.0009-4.43%4.96+57.96%0.3792✗0.71572k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.019617-4.43%0.025853+25.95%0.1024✗1.019372022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9752.5585-4.39%65.44+19.05%0.0193✓1.3828k2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2287.2328-4.37%110.5+21.14%0.0550✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.034636-4.32%0.0442+22.10%0.0264✓1.2699k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.141434-4.31%0.1759+19.01%0.0083✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.14511-4.22%0.1908+25.94%0.0424✓1.34349k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3321.4028-4.15%47.76+113.88%0.6299✗1.00126k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.4897-4.13%5.4+48.35%0.3282✗0.63672k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.276923-3.86%0.37115+28.86%0.0588✗1.353,2762022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.5045-3.85%6.66+42.16%0.0878✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1588-3.84%1.326+10.04%0.0682✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.392554-3.79%0.558+36.76%0.1593✗1.119,6592022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.6562-3.62%11.906+32.57%0.0847✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025098-3.51%0.03326+27.87%0.0278✓1.471,9122022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.44637-3.49%0.5584+20.74%0.0336✓1.1053k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.252514-3.47%0.261-0.23%0.1397✓1.0045k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.39068-3.46%0.462+14.16%0.1045✓1.58197k2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022841-3.38%0.03126+32.23%0.0293✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.8578-3.31%6.12+53.38%0.3528✗0.63555k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.049226-3.29%0.056988+11.96%0.0391✗0.6214k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.410571-3.26%0.6334+49.25%0.2158✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043579-3.20%0.05467+21.43%0.0678✗0.925,7282022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.0271-3.14%6.65+28.13%0.0267✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.774261-3.10%0.991+24.03%0.1103✗0.791.3M2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.0995-3.05%31.33+21.01%0.0600✗0.9411.0M2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.436373-3.03%0.41477-7.83%0.3123✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.36237-2.98%0.3736+0.03%0.1422✓1.004752022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6018-2.92%2.66+61.21%0.3150✗1.11117k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3499-2.89%1.54+10.79%0.1334✓1.54768k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.169867-2.88%0.2195+25.50%0.0016✓1.482,7942022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1236.0791-2.80%46.63+25.62%0.0273✓1.3384.4M2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.376737-2.79%0.46097+18.94%0.0140✓1.25130k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.083878-2.69%0.0916+6.26%0.1305✓1.27171k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.892802-2.58%1.138+24.18%0.0093✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4219-2.47%2.107+44.51%0.2205✗1.00178k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.1614-2.47%4.135+86.60%0.4921✗0.9198k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7272-2.44%2.4159+36.46%0.1208✗1.2436k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.652124-2.38%0.917+37.28%0.1218✗1.27127k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.064578-2.30%0.0784+18.61%0.0524✓1.43299k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.188.972-2.27%15.39+67.65%0.2875✗1.461.1M2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.102694-2.20%0.1616+53.90%0.2625✗1.10549k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.111517-2.18%0.1717+50.61%0.2575✗1.013.9M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6247-2.17%4.065+51.51%0.2434✗1.12534k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20451.0839-2.15%63.346+21.34%0.0701✗0.84414k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009278-2.13%0.01031+8.76%0.0733✓1.035.1M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017505-2.10%0.01788+0.00%0.1122✓0.77381k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.432162-2.09%0.5598+26.82%0.0393✗1.2746.2M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.081-2.07%3.4228+61.07%0.3598✗0.80922k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.039094-2.03%0.054466+36.50%0.1328✗1.1515k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3250.3222-1.94%63.86+24.43%0.0357✗1.1715.5M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.3564-1.94%29.19+47.87%0.1437✗1.5525.2M2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.491303-1.94%0.702+40.12%0.1161✗1.3985k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.252106-1.87%0.4375+70.30%0.3523✗1.1533k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.104757-1.82%0.1296+21.46%0.0226✗1.10388k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7543-1.75%3.4312+92.16%0.5220✗0.86845k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.2957-1.72%2.999+28.39%0.0951✗1.001.1M2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.2981-1.66%1.7029+29.00%0.0263✗1.42651k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.207498-1.66%0.235+11.37%0.1472✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2057-1.65%1.485+21.13%0.0182✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4186-1.62%1.994+38.28%0.0828✗1.49182k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7506-1.59%4.086+46.19%0.2653✗0.76488k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.499168-1.56%0.6271+23.66%0.0189✗1.21536k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.1734-1.54%9.149+45.92%0.1762✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.106076-1.51%0.1341+24.51%0.0657✗0.986,6852022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.48e-7-1.45%0.00000102+18.60%0.0391✗0.855.8M2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.1118-1.42%8.81+42.10%0.2815✗0.49657k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.7685-1.37%19.24+37.82%0.0996✗1.361.3M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.6454-1.30%10.46+82.87%0.3803✗1.37256k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5398-1.30%1.9104+22.45%0.0052✓1.28582k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019484-1.29%0.02741+38.86%0.1582✗1.0699k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2034-1.28%2.902+30.02%0.0181✓1.7084k2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.3353-1.20%4.8922-9.40%0.1190✓0.19335k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.265613-1.19%0.3595+33.74%0.0965✗1.193.0M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.232273-1.16%0.2886+22.81%0.0271✗1.1060k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.011919-1.11%0.01624+34.75%0.1682✗0.821.3M2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3391-1.10%1.823+34.64%0.0566✗1.46387k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006683-1.09%0.006824+0.99%0.0781✓0.5784k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.236-1.06%3.24+43.36%0.1023✗1.56216k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5455-1.06%2.923+87.13%0.4271✗1.22287k2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00913.968-1.02%5.1095+27.45%0.1292✗0.721.1M2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.3854-1.01%6.06+36.79%0.2094✗0.66609k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038656-0.86%0.0000474+21.57%0.0053✓1.211.9M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.124548-0.84%0.1512+20.38%0.0372✓1.3435k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.6676-0.82%4.814+30.18%0.1644✗0.621.6M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.2675-0.75%12.18+46.22%0.1824✗1.19288k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,969.19-0.69%11,424.48+90.06%0.4177✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000948345-0.64%0.001473+54.30%0.2187✗1.281.9M2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.165-0.60%2.867+31.63%0.0348✗1.4252k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.68e-7-0.58%3.22e-7-13.15%0.3235✓1.09441k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.327798-0.58%0.3686+11.80%0.0874✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.3215-0.57%20.82+35.11%0.0623✗1.4177k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.066559-0.56%0.069903+4.44%0.0924✓0.82453k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.880238-0.56%1.0828+22.32%0.0308✗1.0274k2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.612032-0.48%0.872+41.79%0.1910✗0.94391k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010549-0.48%0.00001262+19.06%0.0356✓1.241.2M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.831093-0.47%1.0614+27.10%0.0133✗1.34411k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.381954-0.45%0.4939+28.72%0.0257✗1.3494k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.091501-0.43%0.1229+33.73%0.0601✗1.36547k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.008964-0.29%0.00828-7.90%0.2385✓0.921.2M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042188-0.26%0.0501+18.44%0.0627✓1.368,3162022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.28874-0.23%0.3817+31.89%0.0626✗1.25421k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,446.25-0.23%24,547.20+19.78%0.0124✗0.9945k2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5151.4064-0.20%61.18+18.77%0.0289✓1.17235k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002744-0.19%0.004633+68.53%0.3443✗1.041.2M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.428-0.14%1.85+29.37%0.0054✗1.47155k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.136722-0.06%0.1743+27.41%0.0263✗1.2593k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5762+0.01%3.746+45.42%0.1800✓1.13895k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6243.6566+0.08%57.07+30.83%0.0757✓1.11628k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006421+0.17%0.00886+38.22%0.1506✓0.99392k2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027135+0.17%0.04514+66.63%0.2877✓1.2819k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.096377+0.29%0.1441+49.95%0.1695✓1.352.5M2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62134.2399+0.46%168.13+25.83%0.0296✓1.131.3M2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.823983+0.49%0.82+0.00%0.1335✗0.74114k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.203584+0.54%0.2759+36.25%0.0964✓1.20705k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.4214+0.55%17.0389+37.93%0.1098✓1.19265k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003904+0.61%0.00504+29.90%0.0217✓1.35141k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.230011+0.62%0.2745+20.08%0.0407✗1.26172k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049964+0.73%0.0672+35.48%0.0408✓1.48106k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.7722+0.75%9.31+38.50%0.1055✓1.239.7M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.04995+0.79%0.09698+95.68%0.4096✓1.47778k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.286363+0.83%0.333+17.25%0.0278✗1.03575k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7567+0.87%4.2917+57.03%0.2530✓1.1027k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003528+1.10%0.00389+11.46%0.1369✗1.36664k2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.052493+1.14%0.0823+58.57%0.3149✓0.78204k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0220,814.68+1.15%24,456.49+18.85%0.0115✗1.00453.1M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.089854+1.19%0.1176+32.43%0.1289✓0.81145k2022-08-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.02582+1.26%0.029+13.73%0.0336✓0.4862k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,207.92+1.28%1,984.75+66.41%0.2905✓1.19326.5M2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.294654+1.36%0.387693+33.36%0.0561✓1.261.7M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.4324+1.46%8.374+56.41%0.2361✓1.141.9M2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0415+1.57%1.2916+25.97%0.0271✓1.0952k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.063388+1.60%0.072906+16.85%0.0702✗1.222.0M2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.9757+1.60%43.58+195.66%0.8648✓1.181.3M2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.109095+1.83%0.126836+18.39%0.0235✗1.017.8M2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.620497+1.89%0.733+20.36%0.0977✗1.53118k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.132171+1.95%0.18116+39.74%0.0356✓1.62155k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.045313+2.29%0.0714+61.17%0.2223✓1.35837k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.193474+2.31%0.2699+42.73%0.0805✓1.46127k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5959.0738+2.58%76.21+32.33%0.0258✓1.331.6M2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99106.0053+2.93%144.43+40.24%0.1161✓1.124.5M2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.005871+3.23%0.006994+22.98%0.0161✓0.923,1492022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.393488+3.49%0.5095+34.01%0.0396✓1.27405k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.637457+4.33%1.038+69.89%0.2777✓1.21867k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.5057+4.46%10.697+17.55%0.0742✗1.112.5M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.080485+4.66%0.1028+33.68%0.0314✓1.246,9262022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.497504+6.53%0.6153+31.76%0.0182✓1.13311k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.