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2022-07-13 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0800
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.5%
in alpha space · 28.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.489138+6.27%0.6074+31.96%0.0045✓1.12311k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.0776+4.72%0.104+40.35%0.0609✓1.236,9262022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9379.3375+4.48%10.654+19.21%0.0781✗1.112.8M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.632376+4.35%0.942+55.45%0.1693✓1.22874k2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.390392+3.44%0.5099+35.11%0.0284✓1.27405k2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.00573+3.27%0.006893+24.23%0.0116✓0.923,1492022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9256.663+3.17%77.34+40.82%0.0621✓1.321.7M2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54105.375+2.76%143.1+39.56%0.0948✓1.124.8M2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.043866+2.49%0.0733+71.26%0.2607✓1.34855k2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.186661+2.39%0.2537+39.17%0.0328✓1.45136k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.125076+2.12%0.18299+49.40%0.0764✓1.61155k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.615034+2.00%0.741+22.89%0.1040✗1.54129k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4114.6938+1.97%43.41+201.25%0.8617✓1.181.3M2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.107293+1.92%0.126413+20.08%0.0272✗1.018.4M2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,134.27+1.80%1,959.91+75.89%0.3239✓1.18326.5M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.287724+1.64%0.388363+37.19%0.0626✓1.261.8M2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.3813+1.63%8.751+65.27%0.2713✓1.142.0M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0283+1.41%1.2878+27.00%0.0198✓1.0954k2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003445+1.33%0.00392+15.29%0.1257✗1.35664k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11125.7096+1.29%166.92+34.49%0.0712✓1.131.3M2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.062621+1.27%0.072322+16.95%0.0855✗1.222.1M2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,465.64+1.21%24,415.18+20.75%0.0121✗1.00453.1M2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.091274+1.08%0.127+40.64%0.1762✓0.82150k2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.050831+1.06%0.0827+64.41%0.3403✓0.78204k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.5296+1.02%9.484+46.72%0.1414✓1.2310.3M2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.04927+0.96%0.066+35.25%0.0132✓1.48108k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.7497+0.94%4.2925+57.57%0.2378✓1.1030k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981412.0867+0.88%17.1241+42.92%0.1241✓1.19289k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.284237+0.79%0.329+16.67%0.0492✗1.04575k2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.049912+0.75%0.10047+102.81%0.4219✓1.47793k2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.228995+0.70%0.2787+22.56%0.0420✗1.26185k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003926+0.67%0.00511+31.03%0.0077✓1.36153k2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3942.6519+0.62%56.16+32.48%0.0653✓1.11632k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.094319+0.55%0.1472+56.93%0.1914✓1.352.5M2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006319+0.46%0.00892+41.81%0.1575✓0.99392k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0649.166+0.22%61.14+24.62%0.0030✗1.17247k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.205326+0.21%0.2777+35.53%0.0743✓1.21731k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.821684+0.21%0.83+1.22%0.1222✗0.70114k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3818+0.13%1.9+37.68%0.0419✓1.47160k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.02676+0.11%0.04843+81.18%0.3521✓1.2821k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.310044+0.11%0.3656+18.05%0.0573✗1.188.7M2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.5374+0.10%3.223+27.14%0.0270✓1.13929k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.135616+0.09%0.1752+29.30%0.0194✓1.2696k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.086857+0.07%0.1237+42.51%0.0988✓1.35576k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002747+0.03%0.004523+64.71%0.3032✓1.041.3M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9020,217.12-0.01%24,153.80+19.46%0.0082✓0.9948k2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.593359-0.11%0.88+48.15%0.2172✗0.94405k2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.812032-0.26%1.0686+31.25%0.0224✗1.34433k2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.368218-0.27%0.476+28.93%0.0049✗1.3494k2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008854-0.29%0.00838-5.63%0.2285✓0.921.2M2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.86061-0.30%1.1083+28.39%0.0616✗1.0181k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.290743-0.37%0.39278+34.59%0.0634✗1.26445k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.57e-7-0.41%3.20e-7-10.73%0.3145✓1.09465k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000928466-0.42%0.001509+61.87%0.2442✗1.282.0M2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.065945-0.43%0.070487+6.43%0.0884✓0.82462k2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1297-0.43%2.947+37.77%0.0566✗1.4260k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.2167-0.48%21.35+39.63%0.0713✗1.4277k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.0749-0.56%12.4+52.71%0.2064✗1.18288k2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010461-0.65%0.0000127+20.61%0.0407✓1.241.2M2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.2765-0.66%1.801+40.16%0.0711✗1.45387k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.042309-0.68%0.0502+17.84%0.0848✓1.368,3162022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,867.25-0.68%11,508.57+94.81%0.4211✗1.344.5M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.0844-0.74%2.964+41.14%0.0330✗1.6984k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95943.9271-0.82%5.044+27.39%0.1157✗0.711.1M2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.1818-0.83%3.25+47.73%0.1047✗1.56218k2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.4983-0.84%2.945+94.90%0.4472✗1.21287k2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.237088-0.84%0.4449+86.07%0.4138✗1.1433k2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5062-0.85%1.9249+26.71%0.0041✓1.28603k2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006686-0.94%0.006832+1.23%0.0849✓0.5795k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.011824-0.96%0.01628+36.37%0.1658✗0.821.3M2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.125725-1.00%0.1535+20.87%0.0531✓1.3435k2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000038244-1.02%0.00004784+23.81%0.0047✓1.211.9M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.262975-1.03%0.3631+36.66%0.0973✗1.203.1M2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.018923-1.03%0.02664+39.33%0.1438✗1.05100k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.221-1.12%4.7972-9.14%0.1194✓0.18335k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2261-1.12%1.56+25.81%0.0459✓1.52768k2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.2198-1.12%18.66+39.57%0.0886✗1.361.3M2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.4283-1.12%10.7+94.90%0.4233✗1.35256k2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.3873-1.19%6.13+38.06%0.2096✗0.66664k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.488213-1.25%0.644+30.26%0.0495✗1.21579k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.5685-1.28%29.35+56.03%0.1674✗1.5425.2M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.101462-1.30%0.139+35.21%0.1317✗0.976,6852022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.29e-7-1.32%0.00000103+22.62%0.0578✗0.855.8M2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.267-1.37%1.6851+31.17%0.0178✗1.42684k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.3968-1.42%2.034+43.54%0.0945✗1.49173k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.101177-1.48%0.1304+26.97%0.0469✗1.10388k2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.232081-1.49%0.2956+25.47%0.0340✗1.1060k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.079-1.51%9.333+51.22%0.1910✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.605-1.53%4.875+33.16%0.1843✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.1785-1.54%1.496+24.98%0.0071✓1.302.6M2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.2373-1.55%3.0168+32.76%0.1122✗0.991.2M2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.060438-1.57%0.0739+20.36%0.0655✓1.41299k2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.548.6984-1.62%62.95+27.17%0.0356✗1.1716.5M2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.146.0402-1.62%8.86+44.30%0.2902✗0.49670k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.20541-1.72%0.236+12.92%0.1564✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7506-1.73%4.151+48.30%0.2686✗0.76497k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.475561-1.74%0.7+44.63%0.1247✗1.3988k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7878.3795-1.76%114.79+43.88%0.0669✗1.679.9M2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.038154-1.77%0.055699+43.40%0.1615✗1.1515k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7157-1.83%3.4443+97.08%0.5352✗0.86857k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.099962-1.90%0.164+60.94%0.2874✗1.10549k2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.6922-2.00%16.03+80.72%0.3372✗1.461.1M2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.109694-2.15%0.1745+55.66%0.2751✗1.004.0M2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009184-2.19%0.01039+10.65%0.0703✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.428606-2.19%0.5407+23.39%0.0078✓1.2746.2M2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0419-2.21%3.3109+58.56%0.3334✗0.80976k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.640076-2.28%0.938+43.21%0.1430✗1.27143k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3947.2829-2.29%65.12+34.57%0.0630✗1.3627k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85850.6707-2.29%63.536+22.52%0.0677✗0.84417k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9434.1398-2.29%45.5+30.22%0.0387✗1.3284.4M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017343-2.29%0.01781+0.34%0.1193✓0.77385k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.862479-2.31%1.1467+29.88%0.0111✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.6976-2.40%2.3981+37.87%0.1107✗1.2536k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.0124-2.50%12.061+46.76%0.1561✗1.3412.7M2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.1301-2.51%4.051+85.40%0.4721✗0.91105k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.5774-2.63%2.59+59.88%0.2850✗1.12117k2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1185.9525-2.70%9.21+50.54%0.1774✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.3925-2.83%2.075+44.80%0.2104✗1.00172k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2524.2821-2.87%31.22+24.88%0.0751✗0.9311.0M2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.43217-2.88%0.42697-4.05%0.2980✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.0838-2.90%0.0919+6.49%0.1457✓1.26171k2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.365025-2.92%0.554+47.34%0.2085✗1.119,6592022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.042383-2.95%0.05396+23.56%0.0683✗0.925,7282022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.159896-2.98%0.2224+34.95%0.0539✗1.462,9732022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.373164-3.01%0.46635+21.21%0.0126✓1.25142k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.757437-3.02%1.013+29.71%0.1414✗0.791.5M2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.074.9156-3.05%6.66+31.36%0.0269✓1.471.3M2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7035-3.06%4.17+49.52%0.2200✗1.13534k2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.129017-3.07%0.1809+35.91%0.0938✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.159238-3.14%0.2434+48.05%0.1666✗1.372,4272022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.376747-3.17%0.4764+22.44%0.0618✓1.57202k2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.408445-3.23%0.6348+50.39%0.2032✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.8067-3.38%6.32+60.41%0.3886✗0.63584k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.43503-3.43%0.5574+23.73%0.0405✗1.1055k2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.049053-3.45%0.056411+11.03%0.0226✓0.6214k2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.022811-3.59%0.03262+37.87%0.0463✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.252306-3.59%0.2614-0.11%0.1531✓1.0045k2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.4141-3.62%7.035+53.60%0.1357✗1.7514.8M2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.140462-3.66%0.196+34.43%0.0816✗1.33349k2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.024371-3.71%0.03363+32.87%0.0447✗1.471,9122022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.276647-3.73%0.37096+29.09%0.0376✓1.363,2762022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1253-3.74%1.334+14.11%0.0512✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.2473-3.78%8.394+29.28%0.0453✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.4055-4.07%5.53+55.77%0.3672✗0.62672k2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.06421-4.15%0.08331+24.36%0.1095✗0.801,9502022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.019351-4.24%0.025466+26.02%0.0850✗1.019372022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.9759-4.31%5.08+63.34%0.4004✗0.71597k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.034423-4.38%0.0445+23.61%0.0188✓1.2699k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.6724-4.44%2.426+38.63%0.1218✗1.33864k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.620.641-4.44%49.07+127.18%0.6774✗1.00110k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.688045-4.51%1.2293+70.60%0.4174✗0.862982022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.766587-4.58%1.1564+43.94%0.2179✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.901972-4.81%1.2318+30.00%0.0976✗1.142,3312022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04820.997082-4.88%1.4231+35.77%0.0868✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.043429-4.97%0.0569+24.51%0.0366✓1.24257k2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.052385-5.05%0.0916+66.03%0.2987✗1.3824k2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.839711-5.12%0.983+11.07%0.1811✓1.80574k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0076-5.12%3-5.36%0.0877✓0.4582k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.7091-5.34%4.176+45.91%0.3151✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.603872-5.38%0.72656+13.85%0.1229✓1.63120k2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.0684-5.45%3.2354+47.90%0.1419✗1.624,8022022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.448698-5.54%1.651+247.58%0.9824✗1.701.3M2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.016797-5.62%0.020089+12.88%0.0787✗0.53222k2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.6926-5.86%2.341+30.20%0.0454✓1.48115k2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.3664-5.91%4.15+65.01%0.2331✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.1702-5.96%6.594+95.61%0.6318✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.352724-5.97%0.5531+47.45%0.2613✗1.00180k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.806058-5.98%1.4259+66.32%0.3378✗1.23622k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.367221-5.99%0.48246+23.51%0.1303✗0.7654k2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.067556-6.04%0.0727+1.11%0.1195✓1.02131k2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4522-6.31%1.59+2.58%0.0432✓0.25535k2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.088221-6.99%0.08726-8.00%0.1995✓1.00373k2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7878.8295-7.02%128.24+51.26%0.2992✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.706954-7.59%0.944+23.40%0.0603✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.0284-8.64%39.38+139.39%0.6490✗1.67427k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.244415-9.51%0.3094+14.55%0.0472✓1.00565k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.158267-9.85%0.19851+13.07%0.3006✓2.808572022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000085197-10.29%0.00009809+3.29%0.2207✓1.92724k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6213.0671-10.62%21.15+44.66%0.2955✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.576945-10.83%0.792+22.41%0.0327✓1.513,2002022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.678845-13.10%1.0248+31.18%0.1091✓1.61180k2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.