8=======>

2022-07-13 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1578
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.4%
in alpha space · 38.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.67226-13.95%1.0248+31.18%0.1189✓1.61180k2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000085958-9.49%0.00009809+3.29%0.2296✓1.92724k2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.600149-7.24%0.792+22.41%0.0068✓1.513,2002022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.725902-5.11%0.944+23.40%0.0867✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.1989-5.11%6.594+95.61%0.6228✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6213.9399-4.65%21.15+44.66%0.2308✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.7292-4.38%39.38+139.39%0.6034✗1.67427k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.454376-4.34%1.651+247.58%0.9698✗1.701.3M2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.846706-4.33%0.983+11.07%0.1894✓1.80574k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.25881-4.18%0.3094+14.55%0.0100✓1.00565k2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.091098-3.96%0.08726-8.00%0.2316✓1.00373k2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.613472-3.87%0.72656+13.85%0.1387✓1.63120k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.168839-3.83%0.19851+13.07%0.3653✓2.808572022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.6844-3.75%2.426+38.63%0.1146✗1.33864k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.825203-3.74%1.4259+66.32%0.3143✗1.23622k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.361629-3.59%0.5531+47.45%0.2364✗1.00180k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.913838-3.55%1.2318+30.00%0.0846✗1.142,3312022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.7348-3.52%2.341+30.20%0.0208✓1.48115k2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.158675-3.48%0.2434+48.05%0.1701✗1.372,4272022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.776431-3.36%1.1564+43.94%0.2052✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.017232-3.18%0.020089+12.88%0.0532✗0.53222k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.372585-3.16%0.46635+21.21%0.0111✓1.25142k2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.159905-2.97%0.2224+34.95%0.0538✗1.462,9732022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.4407-2.96%4.15+65.01%0.2022✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.778-2.93%4.176+45.91%0.2899✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.365248-2.86%0.554+47.34%0.2079✗1.119,6592022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.034994-2.79%0.0445+23.61%0.0023✓1.2699k2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7882.4741-2.72%128.24+51.26%0.2540✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5086-2.67%1.59+2.58%0.0051✓0.25535k2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.3966-2.54%2.075+44.80%0.2074✗1.00172k2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.255247-2.47%0.2614-0.11%0.1647✓1.0045k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.0337-2.45%5.08+63.34%0.3811✗0.71597k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85850.6051-2.42%63.536+22.52%0.0690✗0.84417k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0946-2.38%3-5.36%0.1162✓0.4582k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.280532-2.38%0.37096+29.09%0.0236✓1.363,2762022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.4712-2.37%7.035+53.60%0.1229✗1.7514.8M2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.4675-2.32%5.53+55.77%0.3492✗0.62672k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.621.1029-2.30%49.07+127.18%0.6553✗1.00110k2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.130132-2.23%0.1809+35.91%0.0852✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.435193-2.20%0.42697-4.05%0.3050✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.019778-2.13%0.025466+26.02%0.0632✗1.019372022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7307-2.09%4.17+49.52%0.2100✗1.13534k2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.380972-2.09%0.4764+22.44%0.0730✓1.57202k2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.023184-2.01%0.03262+37.87%0.0301✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.3635-1.99%8.394+29.28%0.0269✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04821.0278-1.95%1.4231+35.77%0.0565✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.143033-1.90%0.196+34.43%0.0634✗1.33349k2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.1468-1.86%3.2354+47.90%0.1047✗1.624,8022022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.065771-1.82%0.08331+24.36%0.0854✗0.801,9502022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.074.979-1.79%6.66+31.36%0.0141✓1.471.3M2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3947.5268-1.78%65.12+34.57%0.0579✗1.3627k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.430589-1.74%0.5407+23.39%0.0125✓1.2746.2M2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.054253-1.66%0.0916+66.03%0.2637✗1.3824k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.475957-1.66%0.7+44.63%0.1239✗1.3988k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.205626-1.61%0.236+12.92%0.1575✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.53e-7-1.61%3.20e-7-10.73%0.3024✓1.09465k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.084912-1.61%0.0919+6.49%0.1589✓1.26171k2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.060418-1.60%0.0739+20.36%0.0652✓1.41299k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.709253-1.57%1.2293+70.60%0.3871✗0.862982022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.768963-1.54%1.013+29.71%0.1263✗0.791.5M2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010372-1.50%0.0000127+20.61%0.0321✓1.241.2M2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009252-1.47%0.01039+10.65%0.0776✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.101334-1.43%0.139+35.21%0.1329✗0.976,6852022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.2064-1.39%4.7972-9.14%0.1166✓0.18335k2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.050098-1.39%0.056411+11.03%0.0015✓0.6214k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045088-1.34%0.0569+24.51%0.0008✓1.24257k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.385444-1.33%0.48246+23.51%0.0818✗0.7654k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.444545-1.32%0.5574+23.73%0.0189✗1.1055k2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7637-1.26%4.151+48.30%0.2639✗0.76497k2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.6155-1.24%4.875+33.16%0.1814✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.110766-1.19%0.1745+55.66%0.2653✗1.004.0M2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.417085-1.19%0.6348+50.39%0.1823✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017545-1.15%0.01781+0.34%0.1309✓0.77385k2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.07108-1.14%0.0727+1.11%0.1703✓1.02131k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9434.5481-1.12%45.5+30.22%0.0268✗1.3284.4M2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.5067-1.12%3.223+27.14%0.0391✗1.13929k2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.043188-1.10%0.05396+23.56%0.0495✗0.925,7282022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0652-1.10%3.3109+58.56%0.3221✗0.80976k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.647814-1.10%0.938+43.21%0.1310✗1.27143k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.6043-0.97%2.59+59.88%0.2681✗1.12117k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.1415-0.93%12.061+46.76%0.1401✗1.3412.7M2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.7904-0.90%16.03+80.72%0.3259✗1.461.1M2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000924977-0.80%0.001509+61.87%0.2479✗1.282.0M2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.813651-0.77%0.83+1.22%0.1124✓0.70114k2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.188-0.75%1.496+24.98%0.0151✓1.302.6M2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.101144-0.74%0.164+60.94%0.2756✗1.10549k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2309-0.73%1.56+25.81%0.0498✓1.52768k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7353-0.71%3.4443+97.08%0.5239✗0.86857k2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.808702-0.67%1.0686+31.25%0.0265✗1.34433k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.307791-0.62%0.3656+18.05%0.0500✓1.188.7M2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.025155-0.61%0.03363+32.87%0.0130✗1.471,9122022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1624-0.56%1.334+14.11%0.0836✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.234346-0.53%0.2956+25.47%0.0243✗1.1060k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.878411-0.51%1.1467+29.88%0.0072✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.7306-0.51%2.3981+37.87%0.0915✗1.2536k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.4104-0.47%2.034+43.54%0.0849✗1.49173k2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.4643-0.47%10.7+94.90%0.4167✗1.35256k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981411.9254-0.47%17.1241+42.92%0.1375✗1.19289k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7879.4318-0.44%114.79+43.88%0.0536✗1.679.9M2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.3143-0.42%18.66+39.57%0.0815✗1.361.3M2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008844-0.40%0.00838-5.63%0.2274✓0.921.2M2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.2802-0.35%1.6851+31.17%0.0075✗1.42684k2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2524.9186-0.33%31.22+24.88%0.0492✗0.9311.0M2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102434-0.26%0.1304+26.97%0.0345✗1.10388k2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1186.1034-0.24%9.21+50.54%0.1524✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.1575-0.23%9.333+51.22%0.1781✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5161-0.20%1.9249+26.71%0.0024✓1.28603k2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.226974-0.19%0.2787+22.56%0.0331✓1.26185k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.026686-0.16%0.04843+81.18%0.3549✗1.2821k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3782-0.13%1.9+37.68%0.0445✗1.47160k2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1368-0.10%2.947+37.77%0.0533✗1.4260k2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006743-0.09%0.006832+1.23%0.0934✓0.5795k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,902.49-0.09%11,508.57+94.81%0.4151✗1.344.5M2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.593595-0.07%0.88+48.15%0.2168✗0.94405k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.090254-0.05%0.127+40.64%0.1874✗0.82150k2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.40e-7-0.04%0.00000103+22.62%0.0449✗0.855.8M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.265584-0.04%0.3631+36.66%0.0874✗1.203.1M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003399-0.04%0.00392+15.29%0.1121✓1.35664k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.146.1406+0.01%8.86+44.30%0.2737✓0.49670k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.204952+0.03%0.2777+35.53%0.0761✓1.21731k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.863522+0.04%1.1083+28.39%0.0583✓1.0181k2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.549.5204+0.04%62.95+27.17%0.0189✓1.1716.5M2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4444+0.10%6.13+38.06%0.1966✓0.66664k2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.2863+0.10%1.801+40.16%0.0634✓1.45387k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.038883+0.11%0.055699+43.40%0.1426✓1.1515k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.011952+0.12%0.01628+36.37%0.1550✓0.821.3M2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.369763+0.15%0.476+28.93%0.0007✓1.3494k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.1895+0.21%4.051+85.40%0.4446✓0.91105k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.9488+0.22%6.32+60.41%0.3520✓0.63584k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0649.1749+0.23%61.14+24.62%0.0032✗1.17247k2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.049661+0.24%0.10047+102.81%0.4269✓1.47793k2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0167+0.26%1.2878+27.00%0.0312✓1.0954k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002754+0.30%0.004523+64.71%0.3005✓1.041.3M2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.135965+0.34%0.1752+29.30%0.0168✓1.2696k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.062055+0.35%0.072322+16.95%0.0764✗1.222.1M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9020,291.27+0.35%24,153.80+19.46%0.0118✗0.9948k2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.2084+0.38%3.25+47.73%0.0926✓1.56218k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042975+0.41%0.0733+71.26%0.2812✓1.34855k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.066508+0.42%0.070487+6.43%0.0969✗0.82462k2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3942.5699+0.42%56.16+32.48%0.0673✓1.11632k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.293069+0.42%0.39278+34.59%0.0555✓1.26445k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.3579+0.44%21.35+39.63%0.0620✓1.4277k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.8941+0.45%29.35+56.03%0.1500✓1.5425.2M2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.7374+0.49%4.2925+57.57%0.2423✓1.1030k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006326+0.57%0.00892+41.81%0.1565✓0.99392k2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.2853+0.57%3.0168+32.76%0.0910✓0.991.2M2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.042872+0.64%0.0502+17.84%0.0980✗1.368,3162022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003925+0.64%0.00511+31.03%0.0080✓1.36153k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.049147+0.71%0.066+35.25%0.0157✓1.48108k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.087437+0.73%0.1237+42.51%0.0921✓1.35576k2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.050687+0.77%0.0827+64.41%0.3431✓0.78204k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.1857+0.81%12.4+52.71%0.1928✓1.18288k2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.1191+0.91%2.964+41.14%0.0165✓1.6984k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.498953+0.92%0.644+30.26%0.0277✓1.21579k2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.019315+1.02%0.02664+39.33%0.1233✓1.05100k2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.286031+1.04%0.388363+37.19%0.0685✓1.261.8M2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.381706+1.14%0.5099+35.11%0.0509✓1.27405k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.106485+1.15%0.126413+20.08%0.0196✗1.018.4M2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.5286+1.17%2.945+94.90%0.4271✓1.21287k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.5414+1.20%9.484+46.72%0.1396✓1.2310.3M2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.094923+1.20%0.1472+56.93%0.1850✓1.352.5M2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.184533+1.23%0.2537+39.17%0.0443✓1.45136k2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.3628+1.28%8.751+65.27%0.2747✓1.142.0M2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,128.65+1.29%1,959.91+75.89%0.3289✓1.18326.5M2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.005625+1.38%0.006893+24.23%0.0301✓0.923,1492022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000039181+1.40%0.00004784+23.81%0.0289✗1.211.9M2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9255.7469+1.51%77.34+40.82%0.0784✓1.321.7M2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4114.638+1.58%43.41+201.25%0.8655✓1.181.3M2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.286491+1.59%0.329+16.67%0.0571✗1.04575k2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54104.2057+1.62%143.1+39.56%0.1060✓1.124.8M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.615865+1.63%0.942+55.45%0.1958✓1.22874k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95944.0244+1.64%5.044+27.39%0.0912✓0.711.1M2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,563.03+1.70%24,415.18+20.75%0.0168✗1.00453.1M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.243515+1.85%0.4449+86.07%0.3871✓1.1433k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.129703+2.13%0.1535+20.87%0.0843✗1.3435k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.616899+2.31%0.741+22.89%0.1070✗1.54129k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.075877+2.40%0.104+40.35%0.0833✓1.236,9262022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11127.2993+2.57%166.92+34.49%0.0586✓1.131.3M2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.472287+2.60%0.6074+31.96%0.0396✓1.12311k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.125748+2.67%0.18299+49.40%0.0710✓1.61155k2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9379.2084+3.04%10.654+19.21%0.0642✗1.112.8M2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.