8=======>

2022-07-12 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1818
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.5%
in alpha space · 39.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+24.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7780.667479-14.21%1.0027+28.88%0.0556✓1.63180k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009180.000083755-8.76%0.00009727+5.96%0.2530✓1.87744k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6080.561317-7.68%0.769+26.48%0.0105✓1.513,2002022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.731847-5.69%0.889+14.56%0.2136✓1.898.5M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4223.231-5.58%6.256+82.82%0.5416✗0.552.2M2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.2414.4447-5.22%21.14+38.71%0.1611✗1.021.0M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16860.160905-4.56%0.2554+51.48%0.1616✗1.392,7352022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.8470.810081-4.36%0.967+14.17%0.2132✓1.81610k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.431432-4.34%1.558+245.45%0.9146✗1.711.4M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095110.091072-4.25%0.08746-8.04%0.2559✓1.00368k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.36160.346375-4.21%0.5389+49.03%0.2265✗1.00179k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.6771.6083-4.10%2.184+30.23%0.0179✓1.34874k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85370.819614-3.99%1.4845+73.89%0.3252✗1.25444k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5113.9486-3.87%36.12+148.93%0.5960✗1.65431k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7371.6728-3.70%2.326+33.91%0.0078✓1.49115k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8672.7634-3.61%4.034+40.70%0.2416✗0.632.3M2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171770.165653-3.56%0.1952+13.64%0.4635✓2.918572022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.921880.889639-3.50%1.1706+26.98%0.0280✓1.142,3312022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176180.017004-3.48%0.019255+9.29%0.0090✓0.54231k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367180.354399-3.48%0.4605+25.42%0.0083✓1.25155k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.608110.587101-3.45%0.7242+19.09%0.1448✓1.65120k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.36039-3.38%0.551+47.72%0.1835✗1.129,6592022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1680.162468-3.29%0.2226+32.50%0.0183✓1.552,9732022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.24210.234287-3.23%0.3078+27.14%0.0574✗1.00503k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74840.724482-3.20%1.127+50.59%0.2232✗1.014.5M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033813-3.12%0.0439+25.79%0.0136✓1.27102k2022-08-11
FISStafiEthereum0.38240.370984-2.99%–pending––1.004832022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.252252-2.94%0.2613+0.54%0.1802✓1.0045k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.322.2519-2.94%4.038+74.05%0.2097✗1.743.4M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.45560.442446-2.89%0.40616-10.85%0.4198✓1.551.2M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum19.7219.1617-2.83%44.8+127.18%0.6338✗1.0093k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.4451.4045-2.80%2.089+44.57%0.1815✗1.00178k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum80.278.005-2.74%124.47+55.20%0.2534✗0.992.6M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.463.3679-2.66%5.28+52.60%0.3152✗0.62697k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.431-2.65%1.52+3.40%0.0095✓0.24575k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.032.9552-2.47%4.8+58.42%0.3303✗0.72612k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.282330.275605-2.38%0.36776+30.26%0.0071✓1.373,2622022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.48448.3384-2.31%61.928+25.15%0.0672✗0.84434k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022680.022157-2.31%0.03161+39.37%0.0035✓1.6719.6M2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.2374.1428-2.22%6.929+63.54%0.1354✗1.7614.9M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.012.9437-2.20%2.93-2.66%0.0941✓0.4282k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.61e-73.53e-7-2.16%3.27e-7-9.54%0.3164✓1.10486k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009590.009386-2.13%0.01006+4.90%0.1589✓1.065.1M2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.198805-2.07%0.228+12.32%0.1994✓1.561.1M2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37390.366499-1.98%0.4591+22.79%0.1147✓1.58208k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.1536-1.97%8.186+30.41%0.0023✓1.345.5M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.017833-1.96%0.01787-1.76%0.1693✓0.80405k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10170.09973-1.94%0.134+31.76%0.0834✗0.987,0862022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.654.5602-1.93%6.61+42.15%0.0561✗1.461.3M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1462.1047-1.92%3.1366+46.16%0.0446✗1.644,8022022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.12270.120348-1.92%0.1775+44.66%0.1134✗1.282.8M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198240.019456-1.85%0.024997+26.09%0.0330✗1.019372022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.41650.408781-1.85%0.5306+27.39%0.0147✓1.2846.2M2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum46.7845.915-1.85%63.11+34.91%0.0221✗1.3728k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.053080.052116-1.82%0.08708+64.05%0.2139✗1.3925k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.2913-1.81%4.7078-12.64%0.1587✓0.19335k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.065050.063902-1.77%0.08332+28.09%0.0910✗0.812,1062022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.05914-1.76%0.078+29.57%0.0325✓1.44312k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.5164-1.75%4.683+30.85%0.1512✗0.631.7M2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4620.45404-1.72%0.691+49.57%0.1194✗1.4092k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7650.752059-1.69%0.993+29.80%0.1060✗0.801.5M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08220.080813-1.69%0.0916+11.44%0.1478✓1.27179k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07110.06992-1.66%0.0718+0.98%0.1970✓1.04117k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.04367-1.64%0.0549+23.65%0.0405✓1.25264k2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43870.431563-1.63%0.5522+25.87%0.0046✓1.1257k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13620.134151-1.50%0.1949+43.10%0.0865✗1.33349k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.512.4725-1.49%4.091+62.99%0.2640✗1.11539k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009890.000009744-1.48%0.00001233+24.67%0.0325✓1.241.3M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.6632.1958-1.42%42.8+31.05%0.0013✓1.3288.2M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.03292.0041-1.42%3.2004+57.43%0.2970✗0.791.0M2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0500210.049314-1.41%0.057169+14.29%0.0127✓0.6315k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.4150.409706-1.28%0.6302+51.86%0.1557✗1.281.3M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7472.7121-1.27%4.044+47.22%0.2366✗0.76497k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.679550.671069-1.25%1.2255+80.35%0.4182✗0.852912022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.5382.5067-1.23%3.021+19.03%0.0603✓1.15969k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.369240.364957-1.16%0.47814+29.49%0.1092✗0.7554k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027130.026831-1.10%0.03187+17.47%0.1719✓1.601,9882022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.7927.7066-1.10%11.749+50.78%0.1324✗1.3412.7M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.87530.865811-1.08%1.3595+55.32%0.1534✗1.384.2M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6330.626475-1.03%0.924+45.97%0.1119✗1.28157k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10380.102822-0.94%0.1646+58.57%0.2570✗0.994.0M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00090210.000893667-0.93%0.001521+68.62%0.2542✗1.292.0M2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.61.5851-0.93%2.58+61.25%0.2432✗1.13114k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.71881.7029-0.92%3.3972+97.65%0.5058✗0.86899k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1581.1473-0.92%1.456+25.73%0.0470✓1.322.8M2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.820.812515-0.91%0.85+3.66%0.0941✓0.65121k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04240.042041-0.85%0.05344+26.04%0.0408✗0.925,7282022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.63521.6217-0.82%2.3938+46.40%0.1220✗1.2438k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0881.0793-0.80%1.324+21.69%0.0469✓1.171.6M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.38.2335-0.80%15.6+87.95%0.3242✗1.461.1M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1031-0.72%10.3+100.39%0.4151✗1.33263k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.09660.095926-0.70%0.1497+54.97%0.2083✗1.10549k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.783920.778533-0.69%1.0527+34.29%0.0115✗1.35433k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82640.821308-0.62%1.1274+36.42%0.0038✓1.451.6M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09990.0993-0.60%0.1263+26.43%0.0029✓1.10388k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29230.290812-0.51%0.3613+23.61%0.0362✓1.188.8M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.8312.7692-0.47%18.45+43.80%0.0742✗1.361.4M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008731-0.45%0.00834-4.90%0.2465✓0.931.2M2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum23.8723.772-0.41%30.52+27.86%0.0486✗0.9311.3M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.230.229143-0.37%0.3041+32.22%0.0431✗1.1162k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase11.150611.1106-0.36%17.0874+53.24%0.1762✗1.18304k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.43251.4275-0.35%1.9022+32.79%0.0116✗1.28603k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,437.915,419.78-0.33%11,294.44+107.70%0.4478✗1.334.5M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9445.9251-0.32%8.96+50.74%0.1400✗1.2720.2M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.306-0.31%1.91+45.80%0.0632✗1.47164k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.935.9132-0.28%8.57+44.52%0.2666✗0.49704k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006481-0.21%0.006698+3.13%0.0878✓0.5695k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25440.253956-0.17%0.3493+37.30%0.0606✗1.203.1M2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.264.2527-0.17%5.91+38.73%0.1885✗0.65733k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19071.1888-0.16%1.6643+39.77%0.0384✗1.38684k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0260.025969-0.12%0.05195+99.81%0.4157✗1.2923k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.2847.2347-0.10%61.89+30.90%0.0170✗1.1817.7M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5285.5228-0.09%8.964+62.16%0.1914✗1.365.6M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase0.840820.840096-0.09%1.0862+29.18%0.0365✗1.0285k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.011640.011631-0.08%0.015949+37.02%0.1386✗0.821.4M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0142.0131-0.04%2.849+41.46%0.0411✗1.4265k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.813.8091-0.02%5.8+52.23%0.2821✗0.64595k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum0.9915970.991437-0.02%1.2591+26.98%0.0027✗1.1059k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration46.8646.8702+0.02%60.91+29.98%0.0104✓1.17270k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC8.00e-78.00e-7+0.03%0.00000101+26.25%0.0528✓0.845.8M2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222182+0.04%0.2705+21.79%0.0794✗1.28201k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.1990.199109+0.05%0.2695+35.43%0.0403✓1.22701k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047150.047181+0.07%0.09833+108.55%0.4158✓1.48793k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.121.1208+0.07%1.54+37.50%0.0073✗1.51768k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.092092+0.10%0.1304+41.74%0.1697✓0.83150k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36030.360774+0.13%0.458+27.12%0.0523✗1.3594k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5580.558953+0.17%0.864+54.84%0.2353✓0.93412k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.2261.2283+0.19%1.767+44.13%0.0501✓1.46391k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2052.2105+0.25%3.611+63.76%0.2919✓0.92127k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.13140.131746+0.26%0.1701+29.45%0.0177✗1.2796k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0597970.059974+0.30%0.070882+18.54%0.0951✗1.222.2M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.122.1266+0.31%3.13+47.64%0.0473✓1.57218k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645720.064837+0.41%0.070371+8.98%0.0971✗0.83531k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04150.041692+0.46%0.0749+80.48%0.2956✓1.35855k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.0376920.037882+0.50%0.053086+40.84%0.0878✓1.1615k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026230.002636+0.51%0.004951+88.75%0.4074✓1.031.3M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash39.7539.9551+0.52%55.61+39.90%0.0934✓1.10642k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.59592.6096+0.53%4.2149+62.37%0.2421✓1.1030k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003160.003177+0.53%0.00393+24.37%0.0758✗1.34664k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum68.2468.607+0.54%107.55+57.61%0.0965✓1.649.9M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.22342.2361+0.57%2.9337+31.95%0.0556✓1.001.3M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.08270.08318+0.58%0.1215+46.92%0.0876✓1.35576k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006160.006198+0.61%0.00871+41.40%0.1245✓1.00397k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase14.314.3889+0.62%21.63+51.26%0.1016✓1.4277k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18120.182413+0.67%0.2297+26.77%0.0879✗1.48142k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04830.048644+0.71%0.0819+69.57%0.3541✓0.77204k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.7316.8513+0.72%28.54+70.59%0.1993✓1.5225.2M2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,265.3019,410.98+0.76%24,153.10+25.37%0.0060✓0.9948k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.267610.269645+0.76%0.38689+44.57%0.0917✓1.25445k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.04690.047262+0.77%0.0621+32.41%0.0481✗1.49109k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2631.2736+0.84%2.005+58.75%0.1371✓1.47173k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.971.9865+0.84%2.875+45.94%0.0037✓1.7084k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019010.019175+0.87%0.02718+42.98%0.1198✓1.06100k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.747.8086+0.89%11.8+52.45%0.1588✓1.18288k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.003640.003672+0.89%0.00517+42.03%0.0510✓1.35165k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04040.040769+0.91%0.0488+20.79%0.1130✗1.369,2782022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2721740.27486+0.99%0.376118+38.19%0.0414✓1.262.0M2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.2736.3385+1.04%9.201+46.68%0.1063✓1.2410.4M2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative1.4271.442+1.05%2.971+108.20%0.4622✓1.21287k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.35970.363519+1.06%0.5032+39.89%0.0522✓1.27405k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056730.005735+1.08%0.006618+16.64%0.0591✗0.943,1492022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.100450.101554+1.10%0.125283+24.72%0.0081✓1.018.4M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000037310.000037728+1.12%0.00004644+24.47%0.0550✗1.222.0M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.0745.1345+1.19%8.347+64.51%0.2398✓1.142.0M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46390.469492+1.21%0.6487+39.84%0.0642✓1.20579k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,037.341,050.40+1.26%1,881.04+81.33%0.3295✓1.17326.5M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8214.0108+1.38%42.06+204.34%0.8450✓1.181.4M2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.08740.088687+1.47%0.1425+63.04%0.1850✓1.342.5M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5740.582897+1.55%0.911+58.71%0.1851✓1.21874k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,303.6519,617.28+1.62%23,944.86+24.04%0.0161✓1.00453.1M2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash51.9252.8019+1.70%79.26+52.66%0.1207✓1.321.7M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash97.1998.8468+1.70%142.98+47.11%0.1291✓1.115.0M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum3.78773.8548+1.77%4.9372+30.35%0.0954✓0.711.1M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07330.07476+1.99%0.0988+34.79%0.0100✓1.256,9982022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.264273+2.04%0.321+23.94%0.0253✗1.02575k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22590.230548+2.06%0.4285+89.69%0.3738✓1.1433k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12310.125729+2.14%0.1474+19.74%0.1322✗1.3535k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5770.589466+2.16%0.74+28.25%0.1055✗1.55139k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero122.96125.6534+2.19%160.49+30.52%0.0018✓1.141.3M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43740.447771+2.37%0.5937+35.73%0.0411✓1.12289k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.114450.117455+2.63%0.17809+55.61%0.0693✓1.61169k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative8.6598.9093+2.89%10.512+21.40%0.0755✗1.123.0M2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.